Weather in Mud Bay
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:03 pm (AKDT)- Feels like
- 31 °F
- Low / high
- 33 / 43 °F
- Rain
- 0%
- Wind
- 4 mph NW
Today in Mud Bay: clear sky, 33 °F to 43 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the northwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 33 °F to 44 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 44 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (80%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 33 / 43 °F | 0% | 6 mph NW | 0.3 ft | 3:03 am · 2:50 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 29 | 33 / 44 °F | 0% | 3 mph N | 0.1 ft | 3:48 am · 3:32 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 33 / 44 °F | 0% | 3 mph ENE | 0.1 ft | 4:38 am · 4:20 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 38 / 42 °F | 80% · 0.61 in | 7 mph E | 0.2 ft | 5:36 am · 5:18 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 38 / 43 °F | 88% · 1.18 in | 6 mph E | 0.6 ft | 5:46 am · 5:31 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 40 / 42 °F | 76% · 0.28 in | 3 mph E | 0.3 ft | 7:09 am · 7:01 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 42 / 43 °F | 70% · 0.32 in | 6 mph ESE | 0.6 ft | 8:27 am · 8:34 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 41 / 44 °F | 78% · 0.31 in | 5 mph ENE | 0.3 ft | 9:26 am · 9:47 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 43 / 45 °F | 68% · 0.68 in | 5 mph ENE | 0.1 ft | 10:13 am · 10:44 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 40 / 45 °F | 81% · 0.76 in | 8 mph ESE | 1.6 ft | 10:53 am · 11:33 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 39 / 40 °F | 69% · 0.22 in | 6 mph NW | 1.2 ft | 11:30 am | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 40 / 43 °F | 73% · 0.61 in | 2 mph NE | 0.6 ft | 12:15 am · 12:04 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 41 / 43 °F | 64% · 0.99 in | 6 mph NNW | 1.4 ft | 12:53 am · 12:35 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 44 / 46 °F | 63% · 1.28 in | 6 mph NNE | 0.9 ft | 1:28 am · 1:06 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Clear | Clear | Clear | Clear sky | Clear sky | Clear sky | Clear | Clear |
| Temperature | 41° | 39° | 36° | 36° | 41° | 42° | 37° | 34° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 6 NW | 5 NW | 5 WNW | 4 NW | 5 NW | 5 NW | 4 NW | 4 NW |
| Humidity | 62% | 64% | 78% | 78% | 58% | 52% | 64% | 69% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Low confidenceThey don't agree on temperature tomorrow: it may change, so check again closer to the day.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 43° | 44° | 44° | 42° | 43° | 42° | 43° |
| AIFS | 36° | 34° | 34° | 38° | 39° | 38° | 39° |
| GFS | 41° | 40° | 37° | 40° | 41° | 41° | 41° |
| ICON | 43° | 39° | 40° | 42° | 39° | 44° | 45° |
| Confidence | medium | low | medium | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 in | 1.18 in | 0.28 in | 0.29 in |
| AIFS | 0 | 0 | 0.04 in | 1.21 in | 1.29 in | 0.34 in | 0.71 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.41 in | 0.39 in | 0.12 in |
| ICON | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 in | 0.99 in | 0.07 in | 0 |
| Confidence | high | high | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 618 | 312 | 311 | 720 | 615 | 318 | 622 |
| AIFS | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| GFS | 1215 | 911 | 1114 | 1117 | 1218 | 1319 | 1114 |
| ICON | 813 | 711 | 711 | 712 | 610 | 58 | 47 |
| Confidence | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium | medium |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 80% | 88% | 76% | 68% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 0% | 0% | 71% | 51% | 74% | 61% | 65% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: much warmer and normal rain.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | Well above +6.5 °F | Normal | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Well above +7.7 °F | Normal | 35° / 31° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | Well above +6.7 °F | Normal | 31° / 28° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | Well above +6.3 °F | Normal | 29° / 26° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | Well above +5.8 °F | Normal | 28° / 25° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +0.9 °F | Normal |
| December | Well above +6.1 °F | Normal |
| January | Above +5.0 °F | Normal |
| February | Above +4.1 °F | Normal |
| March | Above +5.0 °F | Normal |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).
Mud Bay climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Mud Bay is from June to July: highs of 68 °F, about 16 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 36° | 26° | 5.72 in | 19 | 1.3 |
| FebruaryFeb | 38° | 28° | 4.29 in | 16 | 3.1 |
| MarchMar | 40° | 28° | 3.19 in | 17 | 5.7 |
| AprilApr | 49° | 33° | 2.19 in | 17 | 8.1 |
| MayMay | 59° | 42° | 1.82 in | 15 | 9.0 |
| JuneJun | 67° | 50° | 1.74 in | 15 | 6.9 |
| JulyJul | 68° | 53° | 2.12 in | 18 | 4.7 |
| AugustAug | 66° | 50° | 3.38 in | 18 | 4.9 |
| SeptemberSep | 58° | 44° | 6.04 in | 20 | 3.2 |
| OctoberOct | 49° | 38° | 7.72 in | 22 | 2.1 |
| NovemberNov | 40° | 29° | 6.04 in | 21 | 1.7 |
| DecemberDec | 37° | 29° | 5.93 in | 22 | 0.2 |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 50.18 in of rain on about 219 days and about 1,550 hours of sunshine.
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 37 °F now (feels like 31 °F). Today, 33 °F to 43 °F; tomorrow, 33 °F to 44 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 80% and 0.61 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.56 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 64% now and the dew point is 26 °F.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 0
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.55 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Partly cloudy | 36 / 49 °F | 0 | 8 mph NW |
| Mon 26 | Overcast | 35 / 43 °F | 0 | 4 mph NNW |
| Sun 25 | Overcast | 35 / 44 °F | 0 | 2 mph NE |
| Sat 24 | Overcast | 31 / 42 °F | 0 | 5 mph NNW |
| Fri 23 | Light drizzle | 33 / 46 °F | 0.07 in | 3 mph N |
| Thu 22 | Drizzle | 40 / 42 °F | 0.41 in | 3 mph ESE |
| Wed 21 | Drizzle | 40 / 44 °F | 0.34 in | 7 mph SE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Rain | 41 / 49 °F | 2.53 in | 12 mph ESE |
| Mon 19 | Rain | 42 / 46 °F | 0.37 in | 9 mph SE |
| Sun 18 | Drizzle | 43 / 46 °F | 0.15 in | 7 mph SE |
| Sat 17 | Light rain | 42 / 45 °F | 0.81 in | 7 mph ESE |
| Fri 16 | Rain | 44 / 50 °F | 0.96 in | 10 mph SE |
| Thu 15 | Rain | 40 / 47 °F | 2.75 in | 3 mph NNE |
| Wed 14 | Drizzle | 38 / 48 °F | 0.11 in | 4 mph E |
| Tue 13 | Drizzle | 38 / 50 °F | 0.15 in | 6 mph ESE |
| Mon 12 | Drizzle | 44 / 50 °F | 0.28 in | 6 mph ESE |
| Sun 11 | Heavy drizzle | 41 / 45 °F | 0.31 in | 7 mph ESE |
| Sat 10 | Mainly clear | 37 / 51 °F | 0 | 5 mph E |
| Fri 9 | Overcast | 40 / 49 °F | 0 | 9 mph NW |
| Thu 8 | Light drizzle | 44 / 53 °F | 0.01 in | 6 mph WNW |
| Wed 7 | Heavy drizzle | 46 / 51 °F | 0.22 in | 5 mph ESE |
| Tue 6 | Light rain | 47 / 51 °F | 0.79 in | 8 mph ESE |
| Mon 5 | Light rain | 48 / 51 °F | 0.93 in | 9 mph SE |
| Sun 4 | Rain | 44 / 53 °F | 1.30 in | 8 mph ESE |
| Sat 3 | Rain | 47 / 50 °F | 0.83 in | 5 mph ESE |
| Fri 2 | Light rain | 46 / 50 °F | 0.66 in | 7 mph SE |
| Thu 1 | Light rain | 46 / 49 °F | 0.44 in | 8 mph ESE |
| Wed 30 | Light rain | 46 / 50 °F | 0.36 in | 7 mph ESE |
| Tue 29 | Drizzle | 46 / 49 °F | 0.41 in | 4 mph ESE |
| Mon 28 | Drizzle | 46 / 49 °F | 0.39 in | 7 mph SE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Mud BayQuestions
What's the weather like today in Mud Bay?
Clear sky, from 33 °F to 43 °F, with a light breeze from the northwest (4 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Mud Bay?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): clear sky.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 33 °F and a high of 44 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.40 inHg and steady: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Mud Bay?
The best time to visit Mud Bay is from June to July: highs of 68 °F, about 16 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Mud Bay in October?
In October, Mud Bay normally sees highs of 49 °F and lows of 38 °F, with about 22 rainy days (7.72 in for the month) and 2 hours of sunshine a day. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Mud Bay?
The warmest is July, with average highs of 68 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 26 °F. The wettest is October (7.72 in) and the driest, June.
More about Mud Bay today
Weather near Mud Bay
- Skagway 34 °F · mainly clear · 21 mi
- Klukwan 32 °F · clear · 25 mi
- Excursion Inlet 33 °F · clear · 51 mi
- Gustavus 35 °F · clear · 53 mi
- Juneau 39 °F · clear · 68 mi
- Hoonah 37 °F · clear · 73 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:03 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from