Weather in Gustavus

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:45 pm (AKDT)

Now · clear 32 °F

Feels like: 26 °F
Low / high: 28 / 48 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 3 mph NNE

→ 30.29 inHg · steady

Today in Gustavus: clear sky, 28 °F to 48 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light air from the north-northeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, mainly clear, 29 °F to 44 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 48 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (74%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

48° 28°
Today
44° 29°
Thu 29
43° 30°
Fri 30
43° 36°
Sat 31
45° 39°
Sun 1
45° 40°
Mon 2
45° 41°
Tue 3
47° 40°
Wed 4
51° 46°
Thu 5
47° 33°
Fri 6
40° 33°
Sat 7
47° 39°
Sun 8
51° 42°
Mon 9
52° 44°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Clear sky	28 / 48 °F	0%	6 mph N	1.1 ft	3:21 am · 3:03 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Mainly clear	29 / 44 °F	0%	2 mph NNE	0.3 ft	4:08 am · 3:47 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	30 / 43 °F	0%	3 mph E	0.3 ft	5:00 am · 4:36 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	36 / 43 °F	74% · 0.25 in	12 mph ESE	2.0 ft	6:01 am · 5:34 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	39 / 45 °F	78% · 0.66 in	21 mph ESE	2.5 ft	6:17 am · 5:47 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Heavy drizzle	40 / 45 °F	82% · 0.47 in	6 mph E	1.0 ft	7:40 am · 7:17 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	41 / 45 °F	68% · 0.20 in	11 mph ESE	1.4 ft	8:48 am · 8:46 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	40 / 47 °F	74% · 0.26 in	9 mph ENE	1.4 ft	9:42 am · 9:58 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light rain	46 / 51 °F	63% · 0.40 in	11 mph ESE	1.6 ft	10:27 am · 10:56 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light rain	33 / 47 °F	82% · 0.98 in	12 mph SE	1.7 ft	11:05 am · 11:45 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	33 / 40 °F	72% · 0.24 in	5 mph N	1.1 ft	11:40 am	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	39 / 47 °F	63% · 0.22 in	13 mph ESE	1.8 ft	12:28 am · 12:12 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light rain	42 / 51 °F	65% · 1.19 in	17 mph ENE	1.6 ft	1:07 am · 12:43 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light rain	44 / 52 °F	63% · 1.09 in	18 mph ESE	1.9 ft	1:44 am · 1:14 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear	Clear
Temperature	37°	35°	34°	38°	46°	47°	35°	28°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 NNW	5 N	6 N	6 N	6 N	5 NNW	3 N	3 NNE
Humidity	64%	64%	63%	53%	38%	41%	71%	80%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	48°	44°	43°	43°	45°	45°	45°
AIFS	44°	41°	40°	40°	40°	40°	42°
GFS	46°	42°	41°	43°	42°	42°	43°
ICON	48°	43°	42°	44°	42°	47°	47°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.25 in	0.66 in	0.47 in	0.19 in
AIFS	0	0	0.01 in	1.29 in	1.24 in	0.33 in	0.78 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0.27 in	0.43 in	0.03 in
ICON	0	0	0	0.13 in	0.80 in	0.13 in	0
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	617	27	38	1228	2132	624	1126
AIFS	11	3	9	12	11	6	13
GFS	1213	43	77	811	1316	1213	810
ICON	613	46	612	1122	1124	615	613
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	74%	78%	82%	67%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	29%	71%	58%	55%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: much warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +6.1 °F	A bit above +21%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Well above +7.0 °F	Normal	40° / 37°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Well above +5.8 °F	Normal	36° / 33°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Well above +5.6 °F	Normal	35° / 32°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +4.9 °F	Normal	34° / 31°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
December	Above +5.0 °F	Normal
January	Above +4.9 °F	Normal
February	Above +4.1 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.9 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Gustavus climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Gustavus is from June to July: highs of 67 °F, about 17 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

33° 25°

JanJ
35° 26°

FebF
39° 28°

MarM
49° 34°

AprA
59° 41°

MayM
65° 48°

JunJ
67° 51°

JulJ
65° 50°

AugA
58° 45°

SepS
49° 39°

OctO
39° 31°

NovN
34° 27°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	33°	25°	5.16 in	19	1.2	43°	8.4 ft
FebruaryFeb	35°	26°	3.94 in	16	2.8	42°	7.7 ft
MarchMar	39°	28°	2.96 in	17	5.6	42°	6.5 ft
AprilApr	49°	34°	2.25 in	16	7.6	43°	5.7 ft
MayMay	59°	41°	2.73 in	15	8.9	46°	4.5 ft
JuneJun	65°	48°	2.69 in	16	7.5	50°	3.9 ft
JulyJul	67°	51°	4.12 in	18	4.8	54°	3.4 ft
AugustAug	65°	50°	5.76 in	19	5.0	56°	4.0 ft
SeptemberSep	58°	45°	8.06 in	21	3.3	54°	5.3 ft
OctoberOct	49°	39°	8.44 in	22	2.6	50°	6.4 ft
NovemberNov	39°	31°	6.75 in	20	1.7	47°	7.8 ft
DecemberDec	34°	27°	6.56 in	21	0.2	45°	8.6 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	43°	8.4 ft
Feb	42°	7.7 ft
Mar	42°	6.5 ft
Apr	43°	5.7 ft
May	46°	4.5 ft
Jun	50°	3.9 ft
Jul	54°	3.4 ft
Aug	56°	4.0 ft
Sep	54°	5.3 ft
Oct	50°	6.4 ft
Nov	47°	7.8 ft
Dec	45°	8.6 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 59.41 in of rain on about 220 days and about 1,550 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now32 °Ffeels like 26 °F

Tomorrow29 / 44 °F

It's 32 °F now (feels like 26 °F). Today, 28 °F to 48 °F; tomorrow, 29 °F to 44 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 0%
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 74% 0.25 in
Sun 1 78% 0.66 in
Mon 2 82% 0.47 in
Tue 3 68% 0.20 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 74% and 0.25 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.46 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity78%

Dew point26 °F

Humidity is 78% now and the dew point is 26 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds2%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.2030.40 29.88

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.43 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 31

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Mainly clear	28 / 50 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Mon 26	Overcast	29 / 44 °F	0	3 mph NE
Sun 25	Overcast	32 / 43 °F	0	2 mph ENE
Sat 24	Overcast	27 / 45 °F	0	3 mph N
Fri 23	Light drizzle	27 / 47 °F	0.04 in	4 mph NE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	39 / 43 °F	0.31 in	7 mph ESE
Wed 21	Snow	39 / 43 °F	0.91 in	10 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light snow	41 / 49 °F	2.04 in	25 mph SE
Mon 19	Light snow	42 / 46 °F	0.61 in	16 mph SE
Sun 18	Drizzle	41 / 48 °F	0.26 in	11 mph SE
Sat 17	Heavy drizzle	42 / 46 °F	0.73 in	13 mph SE
Fri 16	Rain	43 / 51 °F	1.24 in	10 mph SSE
Thu 15	Rain	42 / 51 °F	2.65 in	9 mph ENE
Wed 14	Drizzle	35 / 50 °F	0.15 in	9 mph E
Tue 13	Drizzle	35 / 50 °F	0.12 in	7 mph ESE
Mon 12	Light rain	43 / 50 °F	0.46 in	11 mph SE
Sun 11	Drizzle	35 / 45 °F	0.26 in	13 mph ESE
Sat 10	Mainly clear	32 / 51 °F	0	4 mph SE
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	32 / 52 °F	0	8 mph NNW
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	37 / 54 °F	0	5 mph NNW
Wed 7	Light rain	41 / 50 °F	0.61 in	8 mph SE
Tue 6	Light rain	47 / 50 °F	1.48 in	12 mph SE
Mon 5	Light rain	48 / 50 °F	0.94 in	14 mph SE
Sun 4	Rain	47 / 53 °F	1.45 in	17 mph SE
Sat 3	Rain	47 / 49 °F	1.13 in	14 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light rain	46 / 49 °F	0.55 in	11 mph SE
Thu 1	Light rain	44 / 48 °F	0.85 in	9 mph SE
Wed 30	Light rain	43 / 51 °F	0.69 in	12 mph SE
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	46 / 52 °F	0.28 in	8 mph ESE
Mon 28	Heavy drizzle	46 / 49 °F	0.55 in	10 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in GustavusQuestions

What's the weather like today in Gustavus?

Clear sky, from 28 °F to 48 °F, with a light air from the north-northeast (3 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Gustavus?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): mainly clear.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 28 °F and a high of 48 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.29 inHg and steady: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Gustavus?

The best time to visit Gustavus is from June to July: highs of 67 °F, about 17 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Gustavus in October?

In October, Gustavus normally sees highs of 49 °F and lows of 39 °F, with about 22 rainy days (8.44 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 50 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Gustavus?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 67 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 25 °F. The wettest is October (8.44 in) and the driest, April.

More about Gustavus today

Weather near Gustavus

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:45 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from