Weather in Southerness

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:20 am (GMT)

Now · overcast 54 °F

Feels like: 53 °F
Low / high: 52 / 55 °F
Rain: 80% · 0.01 in
Wind: 4 mph SW

→ 30.24 inHg · steady

Today in Southerness: overcast, 52 °F to 55 °F, with a 80% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light breeze from the southwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 53 °F to 54 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 55 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

55° 52°
Today
54° 53°
Fri 30
52° 48°
Sat 31
54° 48°
Sun 1
52° 38°
Mon 2
53° 38°
Tue 3
49° 41°
Wed 4
49° 40°
Thu 5
49° 39°
Fri 6
48° 40°
Sat 7
42° 36°
Sun 8
51° 43°
Mon 9
53° 49°
Tue 10
53° 50°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	52 / 55 °F	80% · 0.01 in	10 mph S	2.0 ft	12:51 am · 1:11 pm	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Overcast	53 / 54 °F	0%	10 mph S	2.8 ft	1:37 am · 1:57 pm	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	48 / 52 °F	4%	6 mph SSW	1.9 ft	2:28 am · 2:49 pm	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Fog	48 / 54 °F	4%	6 mph NE	0.9 ft	3:26 am · 3:49 pm	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Partly cloudy	38 / 52 °F	0%	5 mph NNE	0.3 ft	4:34 am · 5:01 pm	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	38 / 53 °F	4% · 0.01 in	7 mph NNE	0.1 ft	5:56 am · 6:25 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	41 / 49 °F	0%	2 mph NNE	0.1 ft	7:19 am · 7:43 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	40 / 49 °F	4%	6 mph ENE	0.3 ft	8:25 am · 8:45 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Clear sky	39 / 49 °F	6%	6 mph ENE	0.7 ft	9:16 am · 9:34 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	40 / 48 °F	5%	6 mph ENE	0.8 ft	9:59 am · 10:16 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	36 / 42 °F	23%	8 mph NE	1.1 ft	10:37 am · 10:53 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	43 / 51 °F	24% · 0.07 in	8 mph ENE	1.1 ft	11:12 am · 11:28 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	49 / 53 °F	25%	8 mph ENE	1.1 ft	11:46 am	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	50 / 53 °F	24% · 0.17 in	8 mph E	1.0 ft	12:03 am · 12:20 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 3:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	54°	54°	54°	54°	55°	55°	53°	52°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	6%	0%	80%	8%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 SW	3 SW	5 SSW	6 S	10 S	7 S	2 SW	4 ESE
Humidity	92%	93%	96%	94%	94%	87%	88%	91%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	56°	54°	51°	53°	51°	53°	49°
AIFS	57°	56°	54°	52°	48°	49°	49°
GFS	56°	55°	55°	55°	53°	53°	53°
ICON	56°	55°	54°	55°	51°	51°	48°
ARPEGE	56°	54°	52°	53°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	55°	54°	52°	54°	—	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0	0	0.05 in	0	0	0
GFS	0.03 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ARPEGE	0	0	0	0.01 in	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0.01 in	0	0	0	—	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1121	1020	511	614	412	710	27
AIFS	9	9	4	7	5	6	8
GFS	1121	710	712	611	55	58	55
ICON	1018	611	611	611	47	611	48
ARPEGE	1522	1626	1220	1016	—	—	—
ICON-EU	1015	1014	611	610	—	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	80%	0%	4%	4%	0%	4%	0%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	55%	0%	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.3 °F	Below −87%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +28%	45° / 39°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	44° / 38°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	43° / 38°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Southerness climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Southerness is from June to August: highs of 63 °F to 66 °F, about 14 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

45° 36°

JanJ
46° 36°

FebF
49° 38°

MarM
54° 41°

AprA
59° 44°

MayM
63° 50°

JunJ
66° 53°

JulJ
65° 53°

AugA
61° 49°

SepS
55° 44°

OctO
49° 40°

NovN
45° 36°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	45°	36°	4.56 in	16	1.2	44°	4.4 ft
FebruaryFeb	46°	36°	3.92 in	13	2.1	43°	4.3 ft
MarchMar	49°	38°	3.09 in	13	3.5	43°	3.0 ft
AprilApr	54°	41°	2.28 in	11	5.0	47°	2.3 ft
MayMay	59°	44°	2.60 in	12	6.1	51°	2.3 ft
JuneJun	63°	50°	2.67 in	13	5.5	56°	2.1 ft
JulyJul	66°	53°	3.30 in	15	5.2	60°	2.0 ft
AugustAug	65°	53°	3.66 in	15	4.4	62°	2.6 ft
SeptemberSep	61°	49°	3.07 in	13	4.0	60°	3.0 ft
OctoberOct	55°	44°	4.56 in	15	2.6	56°	3.6 ft
NovemberNov	49°	40°	4.56 in	16	1.2	51°	3.9 ft
DecemberDec	45°	36°	4.76 in	16	0.8	47°	5.0 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	44°	4.4 ft
Feb	43°	4.3 ft
Mar	43°	3.0 ft
Apr	47°	2.3 ft
May	51°	2.3 ft
Jun	56°	2.1 ft
Jul	60°	2.0 ft
Aug	62°	2.6 ft
Sep	60°	3.0 ft
Oct	56°	3.6 ft
Nov	51°	3.9 ft
Dec	47°	5.0 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 43.02 in of rain on about 167 days and about 1,250 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now54 °Ffeels like 53 °F

Tomorrow53 / 54 °F

It's 54 °F now (feels like 53 °F). Today, 52 °F to 55 °F; tomorrow, 53 °F to 54 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 80% 0.01 in
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 4%
Sun 1 4%
Mon 2 0%
Tue 3 4% 0.01 in
Wed 4 0%

Today the chance of rain reaches 80%, with 0.01 in in total. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.24 in; last 3 days, 0.76 in; last 7 days, 2.69 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity93%

Dew point52 °F

Humidity is 93% now and the dew point is 52 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now10 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (10 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 0

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.0030.2030.40 30.43

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.19 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	51 / 58 °F	0.17 in	19 mph SW
Tue 27	Drizzle	49 / 58 °F	0.11 in	26 mph SW
Mon 26	Light rain	46 / 58 °F	0.41 in	26 mph SSW
Sun 25	Drizzle	46 / 50 °F	0.22 in	31 mph W
Sat 24	Rain	40 / 52 °F	0.74 in	31 mph SSW
Fri 23	Rain	41 / 46 °F	0.97 in	20 mph NNW
Thu 22	Overcast	40 / 52 °F	0	11 mph WSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Heavy drizzle	45 / 54 °F	0.30 in	19 mph SW
Tue 20	Drizzle	49 / 53 °F	0.43 in	11 mph E
Mon 19	Light drizzle	38 / 58 °F	0.01 in	11 mph ENE
Sun 18	Mainly clear	32 / 53 °F	0	5 mph N
Sat 17	Mainly clear	37 / 53 °F	0	7 mph N
Fri 16	Partly cloudy	41 / 55 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Thu 15	Light rain	51 / 59 °F	0.46 in	24 mph SW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	47 / 60 °F	0.08 in	26 mph SSW
Tue 13	Light rain	49 / 60 °F	0.39 in	23 mph SW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	44 / 60 °F	0.09 in	19 mph SSE
Sun 11	Overcast	42 / 56 °F	0	9 mph SW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	46 / 54 °F	0.06 in	17 mph W
Fri 9	Drizzle	49 / 59 °F	0.20 in	16 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light rain	40 / 55 °F	0.33 in	15 mph WSW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	41 / 56 °F	0.01 in	10 mph NW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	49 / 58 °F	0.05 in	5 mph NW
Mon 5	Light drizzle	56 / 63 °F	0.05 in	17 mph SW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	51 / 61 °F	0.02 in	16 mph SW
Sat 3	Overcast	45 / 60 °F	0	10 mph WSW
Fri 2	Light rain	54 / 62 °F	0.64 in	25 mph SSW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	53 / 61 °F	0.04 in	14 mph SSW
Wed 30	Light rain	58 / 66 °F	0.28 in	18 mph S
Tue 29	Light drizzle	47 / 64 °F	0.05 in	18 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in SouthernessQuestions

What's the weather like today in Southerness?

Overcast, from 52 °F to 55 °F, with a light breeze from the southwest (4 mph) and a 80% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Southerness?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 38 °F and a high of 55 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.24 inHg and steady: +0.32 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Southerness?

The best time to visit Southerness is from June to August: highs of 63 °F to 66 °F, about 14 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Southerness in October?

In October, Southerness normally sees highs of 55 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 15 rainy days (4.56 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 56 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Southerness?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 66 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is December (4.76 in) and the driest, April.

More about Southerness today

Weather near Southerness

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:20 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from