TidePlanet

Weather in Dumfries

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:47 am (GMT)
Now · fog 50 °F
Feels like
50 °F
Low / high
48 / 56 °F
Rain
80%
Wind
2 mph SE
→ 30.24 inHg · steady

Today in Dumfries: fog, 48 °F to 56 °F, with a 80% chance of rain and a light air from the southeast (2 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 47 °F to 55 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 56 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Fog 48 / 56 °F 80% 9 mph SSE 2.0 ft 12:51 am · 1:11 pm ICON-EU
Fri 30 Overcast 47 / 55 °F 0% 8 mph SE 2.8 ft 1:37 am · 1:57 pm ICON-EU
Sat 31 Fog 45 / 54 °F 4% 6 mph SW 1.9 ft 2:28 am · 2:49 pm ICON-EU
Sun 1 Fog 44 / 55 °F 4% 5 mph NE 0.9 ft 3:26 am · 3:49 pm ICON-EU
Mon 2 Fog 37 / 51 °F 0% 4 mph NNW 0.3 ft 4:34 am · 5:01 pm ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3 Light drizzle 38 / 53 °F 4% · 0.01 in 7 mph NNE 0.1 ft 5:56 am · 6:25 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Overcast 41 / 49 °F 0% 2 mph NNE 0.1 ft 7:19 am · 7:43 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Partly cloudy 40 / 49 °F 4% 6 mph ENE 0.3 ft 8:25 am · 8:45 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Clear sky 39 / 49 °F 6% 6 mph ENE 0.7 ft 9:16 am · 9:34 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Overcast 40 / 48 °F 5% 6 mph ENE 0.8 ft 9:59 am · 10:16 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Overcast 36 / 42 °F 23% 8 mph NE 1.1 ft 10:37 am · 10:53 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Light drizzle 43 / 51 °F 24% · 0.07 in 8 mph ENE 1.1 ft 11:12 am · 11:28 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 49 / 53 °F 25% 8 mph ENE 1.1 ft 11:46 am ECMWF
Wed 11 Light drizzle 50 / 53 °F 24% · 0.17 in 8 mph E 1.0 ft 12:03 am · 12:20 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 7:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 3:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky OvercastFogFogFogOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
Temperature 51°50°49°51°56°55°51°49°
Chance of rain 0%0%6%0%80%8%0%0%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 1 S2 SE2 WNW2 ESE8 S7 S1 SW2 SE
Humidity 94%97%98%97%89%85%90%95%
UV 00001000
Model ICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EUICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 56°54°51°53°51°53°49°
AIFS 57°56°54°52°48°49°49°
GFS 57°55°55°55°53°53°53°
ICON 56°55°54°55°51°51°48°
ARPEGE 57°55°53°54°———
ICON-EU 56°55°54°55°———
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0.02 in00000.01 in0
AIFS 0.02 in000.05 in000
GFS 0.02 in000000
ICON 0000000
ARPEGE 0000.00 in———
ICON-EU 0000———
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 1121102051161441271027
AIFS 9947568
GFS 1421710812811555855
ICON 10186116116114761148
ARPEGE 11181016914811———
ICON-EU 91781461159———
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 80%0%4%4%0%4%0%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 55%0%6%0%0%0%0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit below −1.3 °F Below −87% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Normal −0.2 °F Normal —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +0.9 °F A bit above +28% 45° / 39°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Normal +0.5 °F Normal 44° / 38°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 Normal −0.2 °F Normal 43° / 38°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November Normal +0.4 °F Normal
December A bit above +1.6 °F Normal
January A bit above +1.1 °F Normal
February A bit above +0.9 °F Normal
March A bit above +1.1 °F Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Dumfries climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Dumfries is from June to August: highs of 64 °F to 67 °F, about 14 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 45° 36° 4.44 in 16 1.1 44° 4.4 ft
FebruaryFeb 46° 36° 3.96 in 13 2.1 43° 4.3 ft
MarchMar 49° 38° 3.04 in 13 3.4 43° 3.0 ft
AprilApr 54° 40° 2.17 in 11 4.9 47° 2.3 ft
MayMay 60° 45° 2.53 in 12 6.0 51° 2.3 ft
JuneJun 64° 50° 2.67 in 13 5.0 56° 2.1 ft
JulyJul 67° 53° 3.42 in 15 4.9 60° 2.0 ft
AugustAug 66° 53° 3.72 in 15 4.0 62° 2.6 ft
SeptemberSep 62° 49° 2.99 in 13 4.0 60° 3.0 ft
OctoberOct 56° 44° 4.64 in 15 2.5 56° 3.6 ft
NovemberNov 50° 40° 4.43 in 16 1.3 51° 3.9 ft
DecemberDec 45° 36° 4.72 in 16 0.8 47° 5.0 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 44° 4.4 ft
Feb 43° 4.3 ft
Mar 43° 3.0 ft
Apr 47° 2.3 ft
May 51° 2.3 ft
Jun 56° 2.1 ft
Jul 60° 2.0 ft
Aug 62° 2.6 ft
Sep 60° 3.0 ft
Oct 56° 3.6 ft
Nov 51° 3.9 ft
Dec 47° 5.0 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 42.74 in of rain on about 167 days and about 1,200 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now50 °Ffeels like 50 °F
Tomorrow47 / 55 °F

It's 50 °F now (feels like 50 °F). Today, 48 °F to 56 °F; tomorrow, 47 °F to 55 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 80%
  • Fri 30 0%
  • Sat 31 4%
  • Sun 1 4%
  • Mon 2 0%
  • Tue 3 4% 0.01 in
  • Wed 4 0%

Today the chance of rain reaches 80%. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.15 in; last 3 days, 0.69 in; last 7 days, 2.62 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity97%
Dew point49 °F

Humidity is 97% now and the dew point is 49 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now6.0 mimoderate
Clouds93%

Visibility is moderate now (6.0 mi). There may be fog today at 2:00 am, 3:00 am, 4:00 am, 5:00 am.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.20 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24
PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Drizzle51 / 58 °F0.17 in19 mph SW
Tue 27 Drizzle49 / 58 °F0.11 in26 mph SW
Mon 26 Light rain46 / 58 °F0.41 in26 mph SSW
Sun 25 Drizzle46 / 50 °F0.22 in31 mph W
Sat 24 Rain40 / 52 °F0.74 in31 mph SSW
Fri 23 Rain41 / 46 °F0.97 in20 mph NNW
Thu 22 Overcast40 / 52 °F011 mph WSW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Heavy drizzle45 / 54 °F0.30 in19 mph SW
Tue 20 Drizzle49 / 53 °F0.43 in11 mph E
Mon 19 Light drizzle38 / 58 °F0.01 in11 mph ENE
Sun 18 Mainly clear32 / 53 °F05 mph N
Sat 17 Mainly clear37 / 53 °F07 mph N
Fri 16 Partly cloudy41 / 55 °F011 mph WNW
Thu 15 Light rain51 / 59 °F0.46 in24 mph SW
Wed 14 Light drizzle47 / 60 °F0.08 in26 mph SSW
Tue 13 Light rain49 / 60 °F0.39 in23 mph SW
Mon 12 Light drizzle44 / 60 °F0.09 in19 mph SSE
Sun 11 Overcast42 / 56 °F09 mph SW
Sat 10 Light drizzle46 / 54 °F0.06 in17 mph W
Fri 9 Drizzle49 / 59 °F0.20 in16 mph WSW
Thu 8 Light rain40 / 55 °F0.33 in15 mph WSW
Wed 7 Light drizzle41 / 56 °F0.01 in10 mph NW
Tue 6 Light drizzle49 / 58 °F0.05 in5 mph NW
Mon 5 Light drizzle56 / 63 °F0.05 in17 mph SW
Sun 4 Light drizzle51 / 61 °F0.02 in16 mph SW
Sat 3 Overcast45 / 60 °F010 mph WSW
Fri 2 Light rain54 / 62 °F0.64 in25 mph SSW
Thu 1 Light drizzle53 / 61 °F0.04 in14 mph SSW
Wed 30 Light rain58 / 66 °F0.28 in18 mph S
Tue 29 Light drizzle47 / 64 °F0.05 in18 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in DumfriesQuestions

What's the weather like today in Dumfries?

Fog, from 48 °F to 56 °F, with a light air from the southeast (2 mph) and a 80% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Dumfries?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 37 °F and a high of 56 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.24 inHg and steady: +0.36 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Dumfries?

The best time to visit Dumfries is from June to August: highs of 64 °F to 67 °F, about 14 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Dumfries in October?

In October, Dumfries normally sees highs of 56 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 15 rainy days (4.64 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 56 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Dumfries?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 67 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is December (4.72 in) and the driest, April.

More about Dumfries today

Weather near Dumfries

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:47 am (local time).

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