Weather in Carlisle
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 5:55 am (GMT)- Feels like
- 43 °F
- Low / high
- 46 / 59 °F
- Rain
- 25%
- Wind
- 4 mph SSE
Today in Carlisle: fog, 46 °F to 59 °F, with a 25% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south-southeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 49 °F to 57 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 59 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 46 / 59 °F | 25% | 8 mph SSE | 1:43 am · 2:04 pm · 8:13 pm | ICON-EU | |
| Fri 30 | 49 / 57 °F | 0% | 10 mph SSE | 2:27 am · 2:49 pm · 8:57 pm | ICON-EU | |
| Sat 31 | 42 / 53 °F | 3% | 5 mph SW | 3:15 am · 3:38 pm · 9:37 pm | ICON-EU | |
| Sun 1 | 41 / 54 °F | 4% | 6 mph ENE | 4:08 am · 4:34 pm | ICON-EU | |
| Mon 2 | 36 / 51 °F | 0% | 3 mph ESE | 5:09 am · 5:39 pm | ICON-EU | |
| Tue 3 | 38 / 54 °F | 4% | 9 mph NE | 6:20 am · 6:53 pm | ICON-EU + ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 43 / 49 °F | 0% | 4 mph ENE | 7:43 am · 8:16 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 43 / 51 °F | 2% | 8 mph ENE | 9:20 am · 9:34 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 39 / 50 °F | 4% | 6 mph ENE | 10:15 am · 10:26 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 40 / 50 °F | 7% · 0.02 in | 8 mph ENE | 10:54 am · 11:07 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 35 / 42 °F | 20% · 0.00 in | 9 mph ENE | 11:28 am · 11:42 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 43 / 52 °F | 24% · 0.09 in | 9 mph ENE | 12:01 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 49 / 53 °F | 24% | 8 mph ENE | 12:16 am · 12:33 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 49 / 54 °F | 25% · 0.12 in | 9 mph E | 12:49 am · 7:36 am · 1:05 pm | ECMWF |
Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Tuesday 3 1:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 3:00 pm; then GFS.
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Overcast | Overcast | Fog | Mainly clear | Mainly clear | Overcast | Mainly clear | Partly cloudy |
| Temperature | 50° | 48° | 46° | 50° | 58° | 58° | 52° | 51° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 25% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 6 SSE | 4 S | 4 SSE | 4 SSE | 7 SSE | 7 SSE | 6 SSE | 6 SE |
| Humidity | 89% | 95% | 97% | 94% | 82% | 78% | 87% | 87% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ICON-EU | ICON-EU | ICON-EU | ICON-EU | ICON-EU | ICON-EU | ICON-EU | ICON-EU |
Do the models agree?
High confidenceThe models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.
What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 58° | 55° | 51° | 53° | 51° | 54° | 49° |
| AIFS | 57° | 55° | 54° | 52° | 47° | 49° | 49° |
| GFS | 58° | 57° | 57° | 56° | 53° | 53° | 55° |
| ICON | 59° | 58° | 53° | 54° | 51° | 50° | 50° |
| ARPEGE | 57° | 56° | 54° | 53° | — | — | — |
| ICON-EU | 59° | 57° | 53° | 54° | 51° | — | — |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | medium |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.02 in | 0 | 0 | 0.02 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AIFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 in | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ARPEGE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 in | — | — | — |
| ICON-EU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 915 | 713 | 510 | 612 | 310 | 99 | 47 |
| AIFS | 8 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| GFS | 815 | 1010 | 618 | 49 | 34 | 59 | 48 |
| ICON | 611 | 69 | 59 | 611 | 46 | 511 | 611 |
| ARPEGE | 1218 | 1421 | 1219 | 917 | — | — | — |
| ICON-EU | 814 | 1017 | 510 | 610 | 36 | — | — |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 25% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit below −0.9 °F | Below −86% | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Normal 0.0 °F | Normal | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.1 °F | A bit above +28% | 44° / 38° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | Normal +0.5 °F | Normal | 42° / 37° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | Normal 0.0 °F | Normal | 41° / 37° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | Normal +0.5 °F | Normal |
| December | A bit above +1.6 °F | Normal |
| January | A bit above +1.3 °F | Normal |
| February | A bit above +0.9 °F | Normal |
| March | A bit above +1.1 °F | Normal |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
Carlisle climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Carlisle is from June to August: highs of 65 °F to 68 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 45° | 36° | 3.02 in | 15 | 1.2 | 43° | 4.4 ft |
| FebruaryFeb | 47° | 36° | 2.60 in | 12 | 2.1 | 42° | 4.3 ft |
| MarchMar | 50° | 38° | 2.28 in | 11 | 3.6 | 43° | 3.0 ft |
| AprilApr | 55° | 40° | 1.91 in | 10 | 5.0 | 47° | 2.3 ft |
| MayMay | 60° | 45° | 2.13 in | 11 | 6.2 | 52° | 2.3 ft |
| JuneJun | 65° | 50° | 2.72 in | 12 | 5.0 | 56° | 2.1 ft |
| JulyJul | 68° | 53° | 3.24 in | 15 | 5.2 | 60° | 2.0 ft |
| AugustAug | 67° | 53° | 3.19 in | 14 | 4.3 | 62° | 2.6 ft |
| SeptemberSep | 63° | 50° | 2.69 in | 12 | 4.0 | 60° | 3.0 ft |
| OctoberOct | 56° | 44° | 3.19 in | 15 | 2.6 | 56° | 3.6 ft |
| NovemberNov | 50° | 40° | 3.11 in | 14 | 1.3 | 51° | 3.9 ft |
| DecemberDec | 45° | 36° | 3.34 in | 14 | 0.8 | 47° | 5.0 ft |
| Month | Water | Waves |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 43° | 4.4 ft |
| Feb | 42° | 4.3 ft |
| Mar | 43° | 3.0 ft |
| Apr | 47° | 2.3 ft |
| May | 52° | 2.3 ft |
| Jun | 56° | 2.1 ft |
| Jul | 60° | 2.0 ft |
| Aug | 62° | 2.6 ft |
| Sep | 60° | 3.0 ft |
| Oct | 56° | 3.6 ft |
| Nov | 51° | 3.9 ft |
| Dec | 47° | 5.0 ft |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 33.41 in of rain on about 155 days and about 1,250 hours of sunshine.
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 46 °F now (feels like 43 °F). Today, 46 °F to 59 °F; tomorrow, 49 °F to 57 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 25%. No significant rain expected this week.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.06 in; last 3 days, 0.71 in; last 7 days, 2.18 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 97% now and the dew point is 45 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is misty now (1.0 mi). There may be fog today at 5:00 am, 6:00 am, 7:00 am.
UV index
Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Rising now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.17 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Drizzle | 50 / 58 °F | 0.17 in | 20 mph SW |
| Tue 27 | Drizzle | 49 / 58 °F | 0.26 in | 23 mph SW |
| Mon 26 | Heavy drizzle | 47 / 59 °F | 0.32 in | 19 mph SSW |
| Sun 25 | Light drizzle | 46 / 50 °F | 0.17 in | 34 mph WSW |
| Sat 24 | Light rain | 38 / 49 °F | 0.62 in | 30 mph SSW |
| Fri 23 | Light rain | 40 / 47 °F | 0.66 in | 17 mph N |
| Thu 22 | Light drizzle | 40 / 52 °F | 0.02 in | 11 mph WSW |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Drizzle | 45 / 54 °F | 0.19 in | 15 mph SSW |
| Tue 20 | Light drizzle | 49 / 53 °F | 0.18 in | 10 mph E |
| Mon 19 | Overcast | 40 / 58 °F | 0 | 12 mph ENE |
| Sun 18 | Mainly clear | 31 / 53 °F | 0 | 6 mph N |
| Sat 17 | Clear sky | 38 / 54 °F | 0 | 7 mph NNE |
| Fri 16 | Light drizzle | 41 / 55 °F | 0.02 in | 10 mph WNW |
| Thu 15 | Drizzle | 50 / 60 °F | 0.23 in | 21 mph SW |
| Wed 14 | Overcast | 46 / 61 °F | 0 | 23 mph SSW |
| Tue 13 | Rain | 49 / 61 °F | 0.50 in | 22 mph WSW |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 44 / 61 °F | 0.02 in | 11 mph SE |
| Sun 11 | Partly cloudy | 41 / 56 °F | 0 | 9 mph WSW |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 46 / 54 °F | 0.04 in | 18 mph W |
| Fri 9 | Heavy drizzle | 49 / 59 °F | 0.29 in | 19 mph WSW |
| Thu 8 | Light rain | 38 / 54 °F | 0.34 in | 11 mph SW |
| Wed 7 | Overcast | 40 / 56 °F | 0 | 10 mph WNW |
| Tue 6 | Light drizzle | 51 / 58 °F | 0.06 in | 5 mph NW |
| Mon 5 | Drizzle | 57 / 63 °F | 0.13 in | 18 mph SW |
| Sun 4 | Light drizzle | 44 / 61 °F | 0.02 in | 16 mph SW |
| Sat 3 | Light drizzle | 45 / 59 °F | 0.02 in | 11 mph WSW |
| Fri 2 | Rain | 51 / 64 °F | 0.78 in | 19 mph SSW |
| Thu 1 | Light drizzle | 51 / 61 °F | 0.06 in | 14 mph SSW |
| Wed 30 | Light rain | 55 / 66 °F | 0.32 in | 15 mph SSE |
| Tue 29 | Overcast | 46 / 64 °F | 0 | 17 mph E |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in CarlisleQuestions
What's the weather like today in Carlisle?
Fog, from 46 °F to 59 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southeast (4 mph) and a 25% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Carlisle?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): overcast.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 36 °F and a high of 59 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.28 inHg and rising: +0.37 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Carlisle?
The best time to visit Carlisle is from June to August: highs of 65 °F to 68 °F, about 13 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Carlisle in October?
In October, Carlisle normally sees highs of 56 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 15 rainy days (3.19 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 56 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Carlisle?
The warmest is July, with average highs of 68 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is December (3.34 in) and the driest, April.
More about Carlisle today
Weather near Carlisle
- Eastriggs 52 °F · overcast · 11 mi
- Silloth 53 °F · partly cloudy · 18 mi
- Dumfries 50 °F · fog · 29 mi
- Distington 54 °F · overcast · 32 mi
- Auchencairn 52 °F · fog · 37 mi
- Broughton in Furness 53 °F · overcast · 44 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:55 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from