Weather in Santa Maria Estate

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 11:08 pm (AST)

Now · clear 85 °F

Feels like: 89 °F
Low / high: 82 / 86 °F
Rain: 65% · 0.07 in
Wind: 15 mph ESE

→ 29.98 inHg · steady UV 8 · very high

Today in Santa Maria Estate: light drizzle, 82 °F to 86 °F, with a 65% chance of rain (0.07 in) and a moderate breeze from the east-southeast (15 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 84 °F to 85 °F and a 25% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 86 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (46%).

Measured now at the airport

St Thomas/King (TIST), 1.5 mi away · 15 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature84 °F

Wind8 mph from the east

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 82°
Today
85° 84°
Thu 29
84° 82°
Fri 30
84° 80°
Sat 31
84° 82°
Sun 1
84° 79°
Mon 2
83° 82°
Tue 3
84° 80°
Wed 4
84° 82°
Thu 5
84° 83°
Fri 6
85° 83°
Sat 7
84° 81°
Sun 8
84° 82°
Mon 9
85° 83°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	65% · 0.07 in	15 mph ESE	3.8 ft	10:25 am · 10:06 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Clear sky	84 / 85 °F	25%	15 mph ESE	3.8 ft	11:18 am · 10:59 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	82 / 84 °F	46% · 0.13 in	17 mph ESE	3.5 ft	12:13 pm · 11:59 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	80 / 84 °F	58% · 0.25 in	16 mph E	3.1 ft	1:11 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	82 / 84 °F	58% · 0.13 in	16 mph E	3.1 ft	1:11 am · 2:11 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light showers	79 / 84 °F	55% · 0.44 in	17 mph ESE	3.5 ft	2:29 am · 3:11 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	82 / 83 °F	51% · 0.25 in	17 mph SE	3.4 ft	3:47 am · 4:09 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	80 / 84 °F	73% · 0.14 in	13 mph SE	3.1 ft	4:56 am · 5:03 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	82 / 84 °F	55% · 0.13 in	11 mph SE	2.6 ft	5:56 am · 5:54 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	83 / 84 °F	53%	12 mph SE	2.4 ft	6:47 am · 6:41 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	83 / 85 °F	47%	15 mph E	2.4 ft	7:33 am · 7:25 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	41% · 0.17 in	15 mph E	2.6 ft	8:15 am · 8:06 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	82 / 84 °F	33% · 0.11 in	12 mph E	2.2 ft	8:54 am · 8:46 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	35% · 0.04 in	11 mph E	1.7 ft	9:33 am · 9:24 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear	Clear
Temperature	85°	83°	83°	85°	85°	86°	85°	85°
Chance of rain	25%	44%	60%	31%	15%	9%	9%	17%
Rain	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	14 ESE	11 ESE	13 SE	15 ESE	14 SE	13 ESE	12 ESE	13 ESE
Humidity	71%	75%	74%	70%	69%	65%	68%	70%
UV	0	0	0	3	8	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	86°	85°	84°	84°	84°	84°	83°
AIFS	85°	85°	84°	83°	83°	84°	84°
GFS	85°	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°
ICON	85°	85°	85°	85°	84°	85°	86°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.07 in	0	0.13 in	0.25 in	0.13 in	0.44 in	0.25 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.09 in	0.24 in	0.24 in	0.17 in	0.12 in
GFS	0.03 in	0.13 in	0.07 in	0.06 in	0.40 in	0.61 in	0.11 in
ICON	0.08 in	0.07 in	0.03 in	0.17 in	0.12 in	0.06 in	0.07 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1519	1520	1724	1622	1623	1727	1724
AIFS	15	14	15	13	14	14	13
GFS	1315	1515	1616	1516	1719	1719	1516
ICON	1217	1217	1217	1115	1217	1319	1218
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	65%	25%	46%	58%	58%	55%	51%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	65%	63%	39%	66%	74%	72%	61%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −42%	Above +1.8 °F	84° / 82°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	83° / 81°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	83° / 81°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	82° / 80°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F
January	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
February	Above +2.7 °F	A bit above +27%	Above +2.5 °F
March	Above +2.7 °F	Above +61%	Above +2.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Santa Maria Estate climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Santa Maria Estate is from January to April: highs of 82 °F to 84 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 22 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Santa Maria Estate, about 7 every 10 years; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ernesto, in August 2024.

82° 71°

JanJ
82° 71°

FebF
83° 71°

MarM
84° 72°

AprA
85° 74°

MayM
87° 76°

JunJ
88° 76°

JulJ
88° 76°

AugA
88° 76°

SepS
87° 75°

OctO
85° 74°

NovN
83° 72°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	82°	71°	2.35 in	9	7.3	80°	5.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	82°	71°	1.39 in	7	7.5	79°	5.4 ft	–
MarchMar	83°	71°	1.93 in	7	8.0	79°	5.2 ft	–
AprilApr	84°	72°	2.50 in	9	8.3	80°	4.6 ft	–
MayMay	85°	74°	3.61 in	15	8.1	81°	4.2 ft	–
JuneJun	87°	76°	2.68 in	13	8.4	82°	4.0 ft	–
JulyJul	88°	76°	3.38 in	15	8.4	83°	4.2 ft	1
AugustAug	88°	76°	4.80 in	18	8.2	84°	4.0 ft	9
SeptemberSep	88°	76°	5.12 in	21	7.5	84°	4.1 ft	6
OctoberOct	87°	75°	5.00 in	18	7.4	84°	4.2 ft	4
NovemberNov	85°	74°	5.12 in	17	6.9	83°	4.8 ft	1
DecemberDec	83°	72°	2.98 in	10	7.0	81°	5.4 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	5.4 ft	–
Feb	79°	5.4 ft	–
Mar	79°	5.2 ft	–
Apr	80°	4.6 ft	–
May	81°	4.2 ft	–
Jun	82°	4.0 ft	–
Jul	83°	4.2 ft	1
Aug	84°	4.0 ft	9
Sep	84°	4.1 ft	6
Oct	84°	4.2 ft	4
Nov	83°	4.8 ft	1
Dec	81°	5.4 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 40.85 in of rain on about 159 days and about 2,850 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now85 °Ffeels like 89 °F

Tomorrow84 / 85 °F

It's 85 °F now (feels like 89 °F). Today, 82 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 84 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 65% 0.07 in
Thu 29 25%
Fri 30 46% 0.13 in
Sat 31 58% 0.25 in
Sun 1 58% 0.13 in
Mon 2 55% 0.44 in
Tue 3 51% 0.25 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 65%, with 0.07 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 46% and 0.13 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.09 in; last 7 days, 0.25 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity71%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 71% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds7%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8very high

Thu 29: 9 · Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.89

Steady now (0.00 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 16

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	84 / 86 °F	0	18 mph ESE
Mon 26	Light drizzle	85 / 87 °F	0.02 in	22 mph SE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.01 in	21 mph ESE
Sat 24	Drizzle	85 / 87 °F	0.13 in	21 mph ESE
Fri 23	Overcast	83 / 87 °F	0	19 mph ESE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.01 in	13 mph SE
Wed 21	Mainly clear	83 / 86 °F	0	12 mph SSE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.07 in	11 mph SE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.13 in	12 mph ESE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	81 / 86 °F	0.01 in	12 mph ESE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.07 in	15 mph E
Fri 16	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.08 in	15 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.02 in	16 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	84 / 85 °F	0.02 in	16 mph E
Tue 13	Heavy drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.26 in	15 mph E
Mon 12	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.18 in	18 mph E
Sun 11	Drizzle	79 / 85 °F	0.28 in	25 mph E
Sat 10	Drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.39 in	20 mph E
Fri 9	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.09 in	20 mph E
Thu 8	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.06 in	19 mph ESE
Wed 7	Drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.24 in	19 mph ESE
Tue 6	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.12 in	22 mph E
Mon 5	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.02 in	17 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.12 in	15 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.01 in	15 mph E
Fri 2	Overcast	84 / 86 °F	0	18 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	84 / 87 °F	0.06 in	20 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.11 in	20 mph E
Tue 29	Clear sky	84 / 86 °F	0	19 mph ENE
Mon 28	Mainly clear	84 / 86 °F	0	16 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Santa Maria EstateQuestions

What's the weather like today in Santa Maria Estate?

Light drizzle, from 82 °F to 86 °F, with a moderate breeze from the east-southeast (15 mph) and a 65% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Santa Maria Estate?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 25% (0.00 in): clear sky.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 79 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and steady: 0.00 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Santa Maria Estate?

The best time to visit Santa Maria Estate is from January to April: highs of 82 °F to 84 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Santa Maria Estate in October?

In October, Santa Maria Estate normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 18 rainy days (5.00 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Santa Maria Estate?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 71 °F. The wettest is September (5.12 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Santa Maria Estate?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 22 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Santa Maria Estate, about 7 every 10 years; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ernesto, in August 2024.

More about Santa Maria Estate today

Weather near Santa Maria Estate

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:08 pm (local time).

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