Weather in Esperanza

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 9:03 am (AST)

Now · clear sky 85 °F

Feels like: 89 °F
Low / high: 83 / 85 °F
Rain: 55% · 0.09 in
Wind: 13 mph ESE

↗ 29.98 inHg · rising UV 8 · high

Today in Esperanza: drizzle, 83 °F to 85 °F, with a 55% chance of rain (0.09 in) and a moderate breeze from the east-southeast (13 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 80 °F to 84 °F and a 44% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

85° 83°
Today
84° 80°
Fri 30
83° 79°
Sat 31
83° 81°
Sun 1
83° 76°
Mon 2
84° 78°
Tue 3
83° 80°
Wed 4
83° 78°
Thu 5
82° 79°
Fri 6
83° 80°
Sat 7
83° 80°
Sun 8
82° 81°
Mon 9
83° 81°
Tue 10
83° 82°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Drizzle	83 / 85 °F	55% · 0.09 in	13 mph ESE	2.7 ft	11:29 am · 10:30 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	80 / 84 °F	44% · 0.02 in	13 mph E	2.6 ft	12:29 pm · 11:31 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	79 / 83 °F	65% · 0.28 in	14 mph E	2.6 ft	1:31 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	81 / 83 °F	60% · 0.20 in	13 mph E	2.7 ft	12:46 am · 2:32 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light showers	76 / 83 °F	53% · 0.40 in	18 mph ESE	3.0 ft	2:13 am · 3:29 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light showers	78 / 84 °F	62% · 0.38 in	13 mph SE	3.0 ft	3:39 am · 4:20 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light showers	80 / 83 °F	62% · 0.37 in	11 mph SE	2.4 ft	4:54 am · 5:06 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light showers	78 / 83 °F	55% · 0.46 in	6 mph SSW	2.0 ft	5:57 am · 5:48 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	79 / 82 °F	54% · 0.21 in	5 mph SSW	1.4 ft	6:51 am · 6:28 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	80 / 83 °F	52% · 0.07 in	9 mph NE	2.2 ft	7:39 am · 7:07 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	80 / 83 °F	53% · 0.02 in	10 mph NNE	2.1 ft	8:23 am · 7:45 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	81 / 82 °F	35%	8 mph E	2.2 ft	9:04 am · 8:22 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	81 / 83 °F	35% · 0.12 in	12 mph E	2.9 ft	9:44 am · 8:59 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	82 / 83 °F	45% · 0.09 in	12 mph ESE	3.1 ft	10:25 am · 9:36 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast
Temperature	85°	84°	84°	85°	84°	83°	83°	84°
Chance of rain	2%	0%	2%	15%	47%	52%	31%	9%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	12 ESE	12 ESE	12 ESE	13 ESE	12 SE	10 SE	7 E	10 E
Humidity	71%	74%	72%	70%	71%	75%	73%	71%
UV	0	0	0	3	7	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	85°	84°	83°	83°	83°	84°	83°
AIFS	85°	84°	83°	83°	84°	85°	83°
GFS	84°	84°	84°	85°	84°	84°	84°
ICON	85°	86°	85°	84°	87°	87°	87°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.09 in	0.02 in	0.28 in	0.20 in	0.40 in	0.38 in	0.37 in
AIFS	0	0.08 in	0.11 in	0.32 in	0.20 in	0.12 in	0.21 in
GFS	0.16 in	0.15 in	0.37 in	0.13 in	1.46 in	0.09 in	0.08 in
ICON	0.10 in	0.07 in	0.19 in	0.37 in	0.17 in	0.05 in	0.08 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1318	1319	1420	1327	1823	1321	1117
AIFS	13	13	14	15	14	14	8
GFS	1515	1617	1515	2021	1719	1314	98
ICON	1016	1017	1118	1119	1119	1117	712
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	55%	44%	65%	60%	53%	62%	62%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	72%	48%	66%	77%	81%	62%	47%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −44%	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	83° / 81°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	83° / 80°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	82° / 80°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −21%	Above +2.0 °F
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F
January	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
February	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
March	Above +2.7 °F	A bit above +47%	Above +2.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Esperanza climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Esperanza is from January to April: highs of 83 °F to 86 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 22 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Esperanza, about 7 every 10 years; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ernesto, in August 2024.

83° 70°

JanJ
84° 70°

FebF
84° 70°

MarM
86° 72°

AprA
87° 74°

MayM
88° 76°

JunJ
89° 76°

JulJ
89° 76°

AugA
89° 75°

SepS
88° 74°

OctO
86° 73°

NovN
84° 71°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	83°	70°	2.85 in	9	7.0	80°	3.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	84°	70°	1.78 in	6	7.4	79°	3.9 ft	–
MarchMar	84°	70°	1.80 in	7	7.9	79°	3.5 ft	–
AprilApr	86°	72°	2.18 in	11	8.2	80°	3.4 ft	–
MayMay	87°	74°	4.37 in	13	8.0	81°	3.4 ft	–
JuneJun	88°	76°	3.70 in	11	8.5	83°	3.5 ft	–
JulyJul	89°	76°	4.15 in	13	8.5	83°	3.7 ft	1
AugustAug	89°	76°	5.29 in	14	8.2	84°	3.5 ft	9
SeptemberSep	89°	75°	6.34 in	17	7.4	84°	3.0 ft	7
OctoberOct	88°	74°	5.34 in	15	7.4	84°	3.0 ft	3
NovemberNov	86°	73°	6.35 in	16	6.7	83°	3.2 ft	1
DecemberDec	84°	71°	3.54 in	11	6.7	81°	3.9 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	3.9 ft	–
Feb	79°	3.9 ft	–
Mar	79°	3.5 ft	–
Apr	80°	3.4 ft	–
May	81°	3.4 ft	–
Jun	83°	3.5 ft	–
Jul	83°	3.7 ft	1
Aug	84°	3.5 ft	9
Sep	84°	3.0 ft	7
Oct	84°	3.0 ft	3
Nov	83°	3.2 ft	1
Dec	81°	3.9 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 47.69 in of rain on about 143 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now85 °Ffeels like 89 °F

Tomorrow80 / 84 °F

It's 85 °F now (feels like 89 °F). Today, 83 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 80 °F to 84 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 55% 0.09 in
Fri 30 44% 0.02 in
Sat 31 65% 0.28 in
Sun 1 60% 0.20 in
Mon 2 53% 0.40 in
Tue 3 62% 0.38 in
Wed 4 62% 0.37 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 55%, with 0.09 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 44% and 0.02 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.15 in; last 3 days, 0.38 in; last 7 days, 0.63 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity70%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds16%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now3

Today's peak8high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 7

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.89

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 19

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.21 in	14 mph ESE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.04 in	16 mph SE
Mon 26	Drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.21 in	18 mph SE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.06 in	18 mph ESE
Sat 24	Light drizzle	84 / 87 °F	0.07 in	17 mph SE
Fri 23	Light drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.04 in	15 mph ESE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.01 in	11 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.01 in	12 mph SSE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.02 in	8 mph SE
Mon 19	Drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.13 in	9 mph E
Sun 18	Light drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.07 in	10 mph ESE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.08 in	13 mph E
Fri 16	Drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.12 in	14 mph E
Thu 15	Drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.12 in	13 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.04 in	13 mph E
Tue 13	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.06 in	12 mph ENE
Mon 12	Heavy drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.18 in	15 mph E
Sun 11	Drizzle	79 / 85 °F	0.30 in	17 mph E
Sat 10	Drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.37 in	17 mph E
Fri 9	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.04 in	15 mph E
Thu 8	Light showers	79 / 87 °F	0.38 in	15 mph E
Wed 7	Light showers	80 / 86 °F	0.56 in	20 mph ESE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.08 in	17 mph E
Mon 5	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.06 in	15 mph E
Sun 4	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.12 in	13 mph ESE
Sat 3	Overcast	84 / 86 °F	0	14 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.01 in	15 mph E
Thu 1	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.24 in	17 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.13 in	17 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.01 in	16 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in EsperanzaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Esperanza?

Drizzle, from 83 °F to 85 °F, with a moderate breeze from the east-southeast (13 mph) and a 55% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Esperanza?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 44% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 76 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and rising: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Esperanza?

The best time to visit Esperanza is from January to April: highs of 83 °F to 86 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Esperanza in October?

In October, Esperanza normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 15 rainy days (5.34 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Esperanza?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 70 °F. The wettest is November (6.35 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Esperanza?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 22 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Esperanza, about 7 every 10 years; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ernesto, in August 2024.

More about Esperanza today

Weather near Esperanza

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:03 am (local time).

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