TidePlanet

Weather in Dorothea

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 4:17 am (AST)
Now · clear 84 °F
Feels like
88 °F
Low / high
84 / 85 °F
Rain
25%
Wind
15 mph ESE
↘ 29.92 inHg · falling UV 9 · very high

Today in Dorothea: overcast, 84 °F to 85 °F, with a 25% chance of rain and a moderate breeze from the east-southeast (15 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 81 °F to 83 °F and a 46% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 85 °F.

Measured now at the airport

St Thomas/King (TIST), 1.9 mi away · 24 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature84 °F
Wind9 mph from the southeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Overcast 84 / 85 °F 25% 15 mph ESE 3.4 ft 11:18 am · 10:59 pm ECMWF
Fri 30 Light drizzle 81 / 83 °F 46% · 0.11 in 16 mph ESE 3.2 ft 12:13 pm · 11:59 pm ECMWF
Sat 31 Heavy drizzle 81 / 83 °F 58% · 0.31 in 15 mph E 3.0 ft 1:11 pm ECMWF
Sun 1 Drizzle 82 / 84 °F 58% · 0.18 in 15 mph E 2.9 ft 1:11 am · 2:11 pm ECMWF
Mon 2 Showers 79 / 84 °F 55% · 0.41 in 16 mph ESE 3.2 ft 2:29 am · 3:11 pm ECMWF
Tue 3 Heavy drizzle 80 / 85 °F 51% · 0.35 in 17 mph SE 3.2 ft 3:47 am · 4:09 pm ECMWF
Wed 4 Heavy drizzle 80 / 83 °F 73% · 0.20 in 12 mph SE 2.8 ft 4:56 am · 5:03 pm ECMWF
Thu 5 Light showers 80 / 83 °F 55% · 0.41 in 6 mph SSW 2.3 ft 5:56 am · 5:54 pm ECMWF
Fri 6 Light drizzle 80 / 82 °F 53% · 0.14 in 6 mph SSW 2.2 ft 6:47 am · 6:41 pm ECMWF
Sat 7 Partly cloudy 82 / 83 °F 47% 9 mph NNE 2.3 ft 7:33 am · 7:25 pm ECMWF
Sun 8 Mainly clear 82 / 83 °F 41% 9 mph NNE 2.1 ft 8:15 am · 8:06 pm ECMWF
Mon 9 Light drizzle 82 / 83 °F 33% · 0.02 in 9 mph E 2.2 ft 8:54 am · 8:46 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Light drizzle 82 / 84 °F 35% · 0.11 in 14 mph ESE 2.9 ft 9:33 am · 9:24 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Light drizzle 82 / 84 °F 35% · 0.04 in 16 mph ESE 3.0 ft 10:12 am · 10:02 pm ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky ClearClearClearClear skyMainly clearClear skyMainly clearOvercast
Temperature 85°84°84°85°85°84°84°84°
Chance of rain 8%5%6%19%20%5%9%12%
Rain 0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 15 ESE15 ESE15 ESE14 ESE13 ESE13 ESE13 ESE13 E
Humidity 72%72%71%70%69%71%72%74%
UV 00039300
Model ECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWFECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 85°83°83°84°84°85°83°
AIFS 85°84°84°83°84°84°83°
GFS 84°84°84°84°84°84°84°
ICON 86°85°84°84°85°86°85°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 00.11 in0.31 in0.18 in0.41 in0.35 in0.20 in
AIFS 0.01 in0.09 in0.09 in0.18 in0.18 in0.13 in0.33 in
GFS 0.06 in0.09 in0.13 in0.51 in0.63 in0.05 in0.07 in
ICON 0.06 in0.19 in0.24 in0.41 in0.05 in0.04 in0.05 in
Confidence mediumhighmediummediummediummediummedium
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 1520162015211523162717241220
AIFS 15141415151510
GFS 14151615151618191518141476
ICON 121712171216121913191217710
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 25%46%58%58%55%51%73%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 81%40%71%81%83%70%33%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 A bit above +1.1 °F Normal A bit above +1.4 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 A bit above +2.0 °F A bit below −42% Above +1.8 °F —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +1.8 °F Normal Above +1.8 °F 83° / 81°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 A bit above +1.8 °F Normal Above +1.8 °F 83° / 81°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +1.8 °F Normal Above +1.8 °F 82° / 80°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +2.0 °F Normal Above +2.0 °F
December A bit above +2.5 °F Normal Above +2.3 °F
January Above +2.7 °F Normal Above +2.5 °F
February Above +2.7 °F A bit above +27% Above +2.5 °F
March Above +2.7 °F Above +61% Above +2.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Dorothea climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Dorothea is from January to April: highs of 82 °F to 85 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 22 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Dorothea, about 7 every 10 years; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ernesto, in August 2024.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves Cyclones
JanuaryJan 82° 70° 2.65 in 9 7.3 80° 5.4 ft –
FebruaryFeb 83° 70° 1.46 in 7 7.4 79° 5.4 ft –
MarchMar 83° 70° 2.11 in 7 7.9 79° 5.2 ft –
AprilApr 85° 72° 2.57 in 9 8.1 80° 4.6 ft –
MayMay 85° 73° 3.81 in 15 7.9 81° 4.2 ft –
JuneJun 87° 75° 2.59 in 13 8.2 82° 4.0 ft –
JulyJul 88° 75° 3.50 in 15 8.4 83° 4.2 ft 1
AugustAug 88° 76° 4.94 in 18 8.1 83° 4.0 ft 9
SeptemberSep 88° 75° 5.17 in 21 7.3 84° 4.1 ft 6
OctoberOct 87° 75° 5.18 in 18 7.3 84° 4.2 ft 4
NovemberNov 85° 73° 5.44 in 17 6.8 83° 4.8 ft 1
DecemberDec 83° 71° 3.39 in 10 6.8 81° 5.4 ft 1
Month Water Waves Cyclones
Jan 80° 5.4 ft –
Feb 79° 5.4 ft –
Mar 79° 5.2 ft –
Apr 80° 4.6 ft –
May 81° 4.2 ft –
Jun 82° 4.0 ft –
Jul 83° 4.2 ft 1
Aug 83° 4.0 ft 9
Sep 84° 4.1 ft 6
Oct 84° 4.2 ft 4
Nov 83° 4.8 ft 1
Dec 81° 5.4 ft 1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 42.80 in of rain on about 159 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now84 °Ffeels like 88 °F
Tomorrow81 / 83 °F

It's 84 °F now (feels like 88 °F). Today, 84 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 81 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 25%
  • Fri 30 46% 0.11 in
  • Sat 31 58% 0.31 in
  • Sun 1 58% 0.18 in
  • Mon 2 55% 0.41 in
  • Tue 3 51% 0.35 in
  • Wed 4 73% 0.20 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 25%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 46% and 0.11 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.04 in; last 3 days, 0.09 in; last 7 days, 0.24 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity71%
Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 71% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now10 migood
Clouds3%

Visibility is good now (10 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak9very high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 8

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 15
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Light drizzle82 / 86 °F0.07 in15 mph ESE
Tue 27 Overcast84 / 86 °F018 mph ESE
Mon 26 Light drizzle85 / 87 °F0.02 in22 mph SE
Sun 25 Light drizzle84 / 86 °F0.01 in21 mph ESE
Sat 24 Drizzle85 / 87 °F0.13 in21 mph ESE
Fri 23 Overcast83 / 87 °F019 mph ESE
Thu 22 Light drizzle83 / 86 °F0.01 in13 mph SE
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Mainly clear83 / 86 °F012 mph SSE
Tue 20 Light drizzle83 / 86 °F0.07 in11 mph SE
Mon 19 Light drizzle82 / 85 °F0.13 in12 mph ESE
Sun 18 Light drizzle81 / 86 °F0.01 in12 mph ESE
Sat 17 Light drizzle82 / 86 °F0.07 in15 mph E
Fri 16 Light drizzle83 / 86 °F0.08 in15 mph E
Thu 15 Light drizzle84 / 86 °F0.02 in16 mph E
Wed 14 Light drizzle84 / 85 °F0.02 in16 mph E
Tue 13 Heavy drizzle83 / 86 °F0.26 in15 mph E
Mon 12 Drizzle82 / 86 °F0.18 in18 mph E
Sun 11 Drizzle79 / 85 °F0.28 in25 mph E
Sat 10 Drizzle81 / 85 °F0.39 in20 mph E
Fri 9 Light drizzle83 / 86 °F0.09 in20 mph E
Thu 8 Light drizzle84 / 86 °F0.06 in19 mph ESE
Wed 7 Drizzle82 / 85 °F0.24 in19 mph ESE
Tue 6 Drizzle82 / 86 °F0.12 in22 mph E
Mon 5 Light drizzle83 / 86 °F0.02 in17 mph ESE
Sun 4 Light drizzle82 / 86 °F0.12 in15 mph ESE
Sat 3 Light drizzle84 / 86 °F0.01 in15 mph E
Fri 2 Overcast84 / 86 °F018 mph E
Thu 1 Light drizzle84 / 87 °F0.06 in20 mph E
Wed 30 Light drizzle84 / 86 °F0.11 in20 mph E
Tue 29 Clear sky84 / 86 °F019 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in DorotheaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Dorothea?

Overcast, from 84 °F to 85 °F, with a moderate breeze from the east-southeast (15 mph) and a 25% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Dorothea?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 46% (0.11 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 79 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and falling: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Dorothea?

The best time to visit Dorothea is from January to April: highs of 82 °F to 85 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Dorothea in October?

In October, Dorothea normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 18 rainy days (5.18 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Dorothea?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 88 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 70 °F. The wettest is November (5.44 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Dorothea?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 22 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Dorothea, about 7 every 10 years; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Ernesto, in August 2024.

More about Dorothea today

Weather near Dorothea

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:17 am (local time).

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