Weather in Merida

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 7:29 am (GMT+8)

Now · mainly clear 83 °F

Feels like: 94 °F
Low / high: 75 / 87 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.21 in
Wind: 1 mph WSW

↗ 29.92 inHg · rising UV 8 · very high

Today in Merida: heavy drizzle, 75 °F to 87 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.21 in) and a light air from the west-southwest (1 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 74 °F to 88 °F and a 100% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 89 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 75°
Today
88° 74°
Fri 30
85° 74°
Sat 31
87° 73°
Sun 1
87° 73°
Mon 2
89° 70°
Tue 3
83° 73°
Wed 4
87° 73°
Thu 5
88° 73°
Fri 6
85° 71°
Sat 7
85° 73°
Sun 8
85° 74°
Mon 9
86° 74°
Tue 10
84° 74°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Heavy drizzle	75 / 87 °F	100% · 0.21 in	5 mph NW	0.1 ft	1:34 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light showers	74 / 88 °F	100% · 0.21 in	4 mph N	0.1 ft	12:30 am · 2:16 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	74 / 85 °F	100% · 0.31 in	5 mph N	0.1 ft	1:07 am · 3:08 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Drizzle	73 / 87 °F	95% · 0.25 in	5 mph N	0.3 ft	1:49 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	73 / 87 °F	100% · 0.13 in	3 mph NNW	0.1 ft	2:41 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	70 / 89 °F	87% · 0.04 in	4 mph NW	0.1 ft	4:04 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	73 / 83 °F	88% · 0.17 in	6 mph NNW	0.5 ft	6:27 am · 8:53 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	78% · 0.09 in	3 mph NNE	0.3 ft	8:14 am · 9:13 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	73 / 88 °F	77% · 0.05 in	3 mph NNE	0.3 ft	9:24 am · 9:39 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	71 / 85 °F	68% · 0.07 in	3 mph N	1.0 ft	10:18 am · 10:05 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	73 / 85 °F	78% · 0.07 in	4 mph NW	1.0 ft	11:03 am · 10:32 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	74 / 85 °F	80% · 0.19 in	2 mph NW	1.0 ft	11:43 am · 10:58 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Heavy drizzle	74 / 86 °F	83% · 0.45 in	2 mph NW	1.0 ft	12:20 pm · 11:23 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	74 / 84 °F	91% · 0.28 in	3 mph SSW	0.9 ft	12:53 pm · 11:48 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Heavy drizzle	Drizzle	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	77°	76°	78°	86°	86°	82°	80°	78°
Chance of rain	1%	0%	0%	12%	66%	100%	74%	13%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.05 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	1 NW	1 NNW	1 NNW	2 SW	3 W	4 NNW	2 W	3 N
Humidity	95%	98%	92%	72%	74%	88%	93%	98%
UV	0	0	0	5	7	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Sunday 1: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	88°	85°	87°	87°	89°	83°
AIFS	85°	86°	84°	84°	87°	87°	85°
GFS	90°	88°	87°	87°	87°	86°	87°
ICON	90°	89°	89°	88°	89°	86°	90°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.21 in	0.21 in	0.31 in	0.25 in	0.13 in	0.04 in	0.17 in
AIFS	0.24 in	0.28 in	0.31 in	0.43 in	0.17 in	0.07 in	0.15 in
GFS	0.19 in	0.13 in	0.15 in	0.31 in	0.40 in	0.25 in	0
ICON	0.05 in	0.16 in	0.23 in	0.01 in	0.14 in	0.25 in	0.04 in
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	514	412	517	513	313	414	616
AIFS	5	4	3	3	4	5	5
GFS	55	54	76	86	55	76	107
ICON	49	616	613	612	411	312	511
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	100%	100%	95%	100%	87%	88%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	100%	68%	80%	84%	71%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.1 °F	Below −61%	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −40%	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −46%	A bit above +1.1 °F	85° / 77°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −36%	A bit above +0.9 °F	85° / 77°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −38%	A bit above +0.7 °F	85° / 77°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −44%	Above +2.2 °F
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	Below −63%	Above +1.8 °F
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	Below −71%	Above +2.0 °F
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	Below −77%	Above +2.0 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Below −83%	Above +1.8 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Merida climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Merida is from December to April: highs of 85 °F to 89 °F, about 20 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: from April to June and from September to December, peaking in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 27 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Merida, about 9 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kalmaegi, in November 2025.

85° 73°

JanJ
85° 73°

FebF
87° 74°

MarM
89° 75°

AprA
90° 76°

MayM
90° 76°

JunJ
89° 76°

JulJ
89° 76°

AugA
89° 75°

SepS
88° 75°

OctO
87° 75°

NovN
86° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	73°	9.68 in	23	4.1	82°	1.2 ft	1
FebruaryFeb	85°	73°	7.11 in	17	4.4	81°	1.0 ft	–
MarchMar	87°	74°	5.97 in	17	5.4	82°	0.8 ft	1
AprilApr	89°	75°	3.62 in	13	6.1	84°	0.7 ft	2
MayMay	90°	76°	6.82 in	16	5.6	86°	0.5 ft	1
JuneJun	90°	76°	8.69 in	21	4.8	86°	0.6 ft	3
JulyJul	89°	76°	8.50 in	22	3.8	86°	0.9 ft	1
AugustAug	89°	76°	7.59 in	17	3.9	85°	1.0 ft	–
SeptemberSep	89°	75°	9.26 in	20	3.3	85°	0.9 ft	2
OctoberOct	88°	75°	10.17 in	24	4.3	85°	0.8 ft	1
NovemberNov	87°	75°	10.85 in	24	4.4	85°	0.8 ft	7
DecemberDec	86°	74°	12.48 in	26	4.1	83°	1.0 ft	8

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	1.2 ft	1
Feb	81°	1.0 ft	–
Mar	82°	0.8 ft	1
Apr	84°	0.7 ft	2
May	86°	0.5 ft	1
Jun	86°	0.6 ft	3
Jul	86°	0.9 ft	1
Aug	85°	1.0 ft	–
Sep	85°	0.9 ft	2
Oct	85°	0.8 ft	1
Nov	85°	0.8 ft	7
Dec	83°	1.0 ft	8

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 100.75 in of rain on about 240 days and about 1,650 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now83 °Ffeels like 94 °F

Tomorrow74 / 88 °F

It's 83 °F now (feels like 94 °F). Today, 75 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 88 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.21 in
Fri 30 100% 0.21 in
Sat 31 100% 0.31 in
Sun 1 95% 0.25 in
Mon 2 100% 0.13 in
Tue 3 87% 0.04 in
Wed 4 88% 0.17 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.21 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 100% and 0.21 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.08 in; last 3 days, 0.53 in; last 7 days, 2.80 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity79%

Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 79% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds33%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now2

Today's peak8very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.87

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 17

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.08 in	6 mph N
Tue 27	Heavy drizzle	74 / 90 °F	0.30 in	6 mph NNE
Mon 26	Heavy drizzle	73 / 89 °F	0.15 in	4 mph N
Sun 25	Showers	74 / 87 °F	0.41 in	4 mph NE
Sat 24	Showers	77 / 85 °F	1.02 in	8 mph SE
Fri 23	Showers	79 / 87 °F	0.71 in	10 mph SSE
Thu 22	Drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.24 in	9 mph SSE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.07 in	11 mph NW
Tue 20	Drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.11 in	8 mph NNW
Mon 19	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.08 in	5 mph N
Sun 18	Showers	75 / 89 °F	0.70 in	7 mph N
Sat 17	Light showers	76 / 87 °F	0.60 in	3 mph NW
Fri 16	Showers	76 / 88 °F	0.37 in	5 mph N
Thu 15	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.35 in	5 mph N
Wed 14	Showers	75 / 83 °F	1.06 in	4 mph NE
Tue 13	Heavy drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.37 in	4 mph NNW
Mon 12	Drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.26 in	4 mph SSW
Sun 11	Light showers	77 / 90 °F	0.21 in	4 mph SE
Sat 10	Drizzle	75 / 88 °F	0.22 in	5 mph NE
Fri 9	Showers	75 / 87 °F	0.60 in	6 mph N
Thu 8	Drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.20 in	6 mph N
Wed 7	Drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.21 in	4 mph NNE
Tue 6	Drizzle	76 / 84 °F	0.48 in	5 mph N
Mon 5	Light showers	75 / 90 °F	0.43 in	6 mph NW
Sun 4	Light showers	75 / 88 °F	0.48 in	8 mph NW
Sat 3	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.09 in	5 mph NW
Fri 2	Drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.11 in	8 mph NNW
Thu 1	Drizzle	75 / 88 °F	0.12 in	6 mph SE
Wed 30	Drizzle	74 / 89 °F	0.08 in	4 mph N
Tue 29	Showers	76 / 88 °F	0.66 in	3 mph NNE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MeridaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Merida?

Heavy drizzle, from 75 °F to 87 °F, with a light air from the west-southwest (1 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Merida?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 100% (0.21 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and rising: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Merida?

The best time to visit Merida is from December to April: highs of 85 °F to 89 °F, about 20 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Merida in October?

In October, Merida normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 75 °F, with about 24 rainy days (10.17 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Merida?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 73 °F. The wettest is December (12.48 in) and the driest, April.

When is typhoon season in Merida?

Typhoon season: from April to June and from September to December, peaking in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 27 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Merida, about 9 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kalmaegi, in November 2025.

More about Merida today

Weather near Merida

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:29 am (local time).

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