Weather in Esperanza

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:44 pm (GMT+8)

Now · mainly clear 84 °F

Feels like: 95 °F
Low / high: 84 / 85 °F
Rain: 39% · 0.05 in
Wind: 7 mph NNW

↘ 29.88 inHg · falling UV 8 · very high

Today in Esperanza: light drizzle, 84 °F to 85 °F, with a 39% chance of rain (0.05 in) and a light breeze from the north-northwest (7 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 83 °F to 85 °F and a 76% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

85° 84°
Today
85° 83°
Fri 30
83° 80°
Sat 31
84° 80°
Sun 1
85° 82°
Mon 2
85° 83°
Tue 3
84° 81°
Wed 4
86° 82°
Thu 5
87° 83°
Fri 6
85° 83°
Sat 7
85° 83°
Sun 8
84° 83°
Mon 9
84° 82°
Tue 10
84° 83°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	84 / 85 °F	39% · 0.05 in	8 mph ENE	0.8 ft	1:33 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	83 / 85 °F	76% · 0.08 in	10 mph NNE	0.3 ft	12:31 am · 2:15 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	80 / 83 °F	76% · 0.28 in	6 mph ENE	0.3 ft	1:07 am · 3:07 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	80 / 84 °F	65% · 0.15 in	6 mph SE	0.3 ft	1:50 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	41% · 0.02 in	10 mph NE	0.2 ft	2:42 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	34% · 0.07 in	12 mph NE	0.3 ft	4:04 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	44% · 0.06 in	9 mph ENE	0.3 ft	6:27 am · 8:53 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	37% · 0.07 in	8 mph NNE	0.5 ft	8:14 am · 9:14 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	83 / 87 °F	43% · 0.04 in	11 mph NNE	1.0 ft	9:24 am · 9:39 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	45% · 0.07 in	13 mph NE	1.2 ft	10:18 am · 10:06 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	41% · 0.11 in	10 mph NE	1.1 ft	11:03 am · 10:33 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	83 / 84 °F	65% · 0.07 in	11 mph NE	1.1 ft	11:43 am · 10:59 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	82 / 84 °F	57% · 0.19 in	11 mph ENE	1.1 ft	12:19 pm · 11:24 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	83 / 84 °F	63% · 0.12 in	11 mph NE	1.0 ft	12:52 pm · 11:49 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	85°	85°	84°	84°	84°	84°	85°	85°
Chance of rain	9%	12%	24%	16%	0%	5%	24%	38%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	7 ENE	6 ESE	6 E	3 ENE	6 NNW	8 N	7 ENE	5 E
Humidity	75%	75%	77%	75%	78%	80%	75%	74%
UV	0	0	0	5	7	1	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	85°	85°	83°	84°	85°	85°	84°
AIFS	86°	85°	84°	84°	85°	86°	85°
GFS	86°	86°	85°	85°	85°	85°	84°
ICON	85°	84°	84°	85°	85°	84°	84°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.05 in	0.08 in	0.28 in	0.15 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.06 in
AIFS	0.09 in	0.19 in	0.30 in	0.35 in	0.20 in	0.04 in	0.09 in
GFS	0.04 in	0.46 in	0.40 in	0.06 in	0.70 in	0.02 in	0.01 in
ICON	0.26 in	0.19 in	0.54 in	0.02 in	0.15 in	0.14 in	0.09 in
Confidence	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	816	1015	617	612	1015	1216	919
AIFS	8	6	4	3	6	7	9
GFS	1212	1010	99	99	1112	911	1614
ICON	713	611	811	68	69	911	1014
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	39%	76%	76%	65%	41%	34%	44%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	90%	73%	65%	52%	61%	62%	43%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	Below −64%	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −43%	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	Below −51%	A bit above +1.4 °F	85° / 79°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −39%	A bit above +1.1 °F	86° / 80°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −49%	A bit above +1.1 °F	85° / 79°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −48%	Above +2.3 °F
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	Below −69%	Above +2.0 °F
January	A bit above +2.3 °F	Below −78%	Above +2.0 °F
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	Below −84%	Above +2.0 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Below −86%	Above +1.8 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Esperanza climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Esperanza is from February to April: highs of 86 °F to 90 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: in April and from November to December, peaking in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 23 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Esperanza, about 8 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kalmaegi, in November 2025.

85° 74°

JanJ
86° 74°

FebF
88° 74°

MarM
90° 76°

AprA
91° 77°

MayM
90° 77°

JunJ
89° 77°

JulJ
90° 76°

AugA
89° 76°

SepS
88° 76°

OctO
88° 76°

NovN
86° 76°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	74°	6.47 in	14	4.2	82°	1.2 ft	1
FebruaryFeb	86°	74°	5.26 in	10	4.4	81°	1.0 ft	–
MarchMar	88°	74°	4.19 in	9	5.3	82°	0.8 ft	1
AprilApr	90°	76°	2.15 in	7	5.9	84°	0.7 ft	2
MayMay	91°	77°	5.43 in	14	5.3	85°	0.5 ft	–
JuneJun	90°	77°	8.07 in	21	4.4	86°	0.6 ft	2
JulyJul	89°	77°	7.69 in	23	3.6	86°	0.9 ft	1
AugustAug	90°	76°	6.92 in	19	3.7	85°	1.0 ft	–
SeptemberSep	89°	76°	9.22 in	20	3.1	85°	0.9 ft	1
OctoberOct	88°	76°	9.25 in	23	4.3	85°	0.8 ft	1
NovemberNov	88°	76°	8.80 in	19	4.4	85°	0.8 ft	6
DecemberDec	86°	76°	8.28 in	19	4.1	83°	1.0 ft	8

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	1.2 ft	1
Feb	81°	1.0 ft	–
Mar	82°	0.8 ft	1
Apr	84°	0.7 ft	2
May	85°	0.5 ft	–
Jun	86°	0.6 ft	2
Jul	86°	0.9 ft	1
Aug	85°	1.0 ft	–
Sep	85°	0.9 ft	1
Oct	85°	0.8 ft	1
Nov	85°	0.8 ft	6
Dec	83°	1.0 ft	8

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 81.74 in of rain on about 199 days and about 1,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now84 °Ffeels like 95 °F

Tomorrow83 / 85 °F

It's 84 °F now (feels like 95 °F). Today, 84 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 83 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 39% 0.05 in
Fri 30 76% 0.08 in
Sat 31 76% 0.28 in
Sun 1 65% 0.15 in
Mon 2 41% 0.02 in
Tue 3 34% 0.07 in
Wed 4 44% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 39%, with 0.05 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 76% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.47 in; last 7 days, 1.56 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity79%

Dew point77 °F

Humidity is 79% now and the dew point is 77 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds34%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now6

Today's peak8very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.96

Falling now (−0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 19

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.02 in	15 mph NNE
Tue 27	Light showers	83 / 87 °F	0.34 in	11 mph N
Mon 26	Drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.12 in	10 mph NNE
Sun 25	Light showers	82 / 85 °F	0.30 in	11 mph NE
Sat 24	Light showers	80 / 85 °F	0.48 in	13 mph S
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.28 in	19 mph SSW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	83 / 88 °F	0.04 in	19 mph SSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	84 / 89 °F	0.13 in	14 mph WNW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.08 in	15 mph NNW
Mon 19	Light drizzle	84 / 88 °F	0.06 in	11 mph N
Sun 18	Drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.14 in	11 mph NNE
Sat 17	Showers	80 / 87 °F	0.52 in	7 mph ENE
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	81 / 86 °F	0.27 in	15 mph N
Thu 15	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.30 in	11 mph N
Wed 14	Light showers	81 / 84 °F	0.79 in	7 mph NNW
Tue 13	Heavy drizzle	82 / 84 °F	0.31 in	9 mph NNW
Mon 12	Heavy drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.28 in	7 mph S
Sun 11	Drizzle	82 / 84 °F	0.17 in	12 mph S
Sat 10	Showers	80 / 86 °F	0.81 in	12 mph NNE
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.38 in	11 mph NNW
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.21 in	13 mph NNW
Wed 7	Drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.17 in	9 mph NW
Tue 6	Drizzle	81 / 86 °F	0.31 in	9 mph SW
Mon 5	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.28 in	6 mph NNE
Sun 4	Light showers	82 / 84 °F	0.40 in	10 mph WNW
Sat 3	Drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.28 in	10 mph WNW
Fri 2	Drizzle	83 / 88 °F	0.20 in	10 mph WNW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	84 / 86 °F	0.14 in	7 mph S
Wed 30	Light drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NNE
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	82 / 84 °F	0.31 in	8 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in EsperanzaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Esperanza?

Light drizzle, from 84 °F to 85 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northwest (7 mph) and a 39% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Esperanza?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 76% (0.08 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 80 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.88 inHg and falling: +0.04 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Esperanza?

The best time to visit Esperanza is from February to April: highs of 86 °F to 90 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Esperanza in October?

In October, Esperanza normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 76 °F, with about 23 rainy days (9.25 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Esperanza?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 74 °F. The wettest is October (9.25 in) and the driest, April.

When is typhoon season in Esperanza?

Typhoon season: in April and from November to December, peaking in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 23 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Esperanza, about 8 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kalmaegi, in November 2025.

More about Esperanza today

Weather near Esperanza

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:44 pm (local time).

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