Weather in Cogan

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 9:28 am (GMT+8)

Now · light drizzle 86 °F

Feels like: 97 °F
Low / high: 80 / 87 °F
Rain: 67% · 0.08 in
Wind: 4 mph E

→ 29.93 inHg · steady UV 8 · very high

Today in Cogan: light drizzle, 80 °F to 87 °F, with a 67% chance of rain (0.08 in) and a light breeze from the east (4 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 78 °F to 85 °F and a 63% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 87 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 80°
Today
85° 78°
Fri 30
86° 76°
Sat 31
85° 75°
Sun 1
87° 76°
Mon 2
86° 78°
Tue 3
86° 78°
Wed 4
86° 78°
Thu 5
86° 78°
Fri 6
87° 77°
Sat 7
86° 75°
Sun 8
87° 76°
Mon 9
82° 77°
Tue 10
86° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	67% · 0.08 in	5 mph NE	0.8 ft	1:32 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	63% · 0.07 in	6 mph ENE	0.3 ft	12:28 am · 2:18 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light showers	76 / 86 °F	77% · 0.41 in	5 mph N	0.4 ft	1:06 am · 3:14 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	75 / 85 °F	71% · 0.09 in	4 mph S	0.4 ft	1:50 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	43% · 0.08 in	4 mph NE	0.2 ft	2:44 am	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	41% · 0.06 in	5 mph NE	0.4 ft	4:04 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	46% · 0.05 in	4 mph NNE	0.4 ft	6:11 am · 8:52 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	47% · 0.04 in	7 mph N	0.7 ft	8:05 am · 9:12 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	78 / 86 °F	55%	11 mph NNE	1.4 ft	9:16 am · 9:34 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	47% · 0.11 in	6 mph NE	1.6 ft	10:09 am · 9:56 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	75 / 86 °F	56% · 0.25 in	7 mph NE	1.6 ft	10:54 am · 10:20 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	67% · 0.20 in	7 mph NNE	1.6 ft	11:34 am · 10:44 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Heavy drizzle	77 / 82 °F	63% · 0.46 in	5 mph NE	1.4 ft	12:12 pm · 11:10 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	77 / 86 °F	82% · 0.25 in	5 mph NNE	1.2 ft	12:47 pm · 11:37 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Light drizzle
Temperature	82°	80°	81°	85°	87°	86°	83°	80°
Chance of rain	14%	27%	44%	52%	66%	56%	58%	59%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	5 NNE	2 E	3 NE	5 E	4 E	4 NE	4 N	2 N
Humidity	85%	87%	83%	75%	75%	75%	81%	92%
UV	0	0	0	6	7	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	85°	86°	85°	87°	86°	86°
AIFS	90°	89°	88°	88°	88°	89°	89°
GFS	89°	88°	87°	87°	88°	87°	85°
ICON	87°	86°	88°	87°	87°	85°	88°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.08 in	0.07 in	0.41 in	0.09 in	0.08 in	0.06 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0.12 in	0.26 in	0.46 in	0.50 in	0.28 in	0.07 in	0.11 in
GFS	0.08 in	0.08 in	0.06 in	0.07 in	0.33 in	0	0.05 in
ICON	0.22 in	0.17 in	0.20 in	0.50 in	0.15 in	0.45 in	0.12 in
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	513	613	519	413	417	515	415
AIFS	7	6	4	2	5	7	8
GFS	67	66	87	65	56	66	99
ICON	515	414	513	37	49	311	617
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	67%	63%	77%	71%	43%	41%	46%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	95%	81%	77%	82%	62%	52%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	Below −51%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −31%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −39%	85° / 77°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −35%	85° / 78°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −34%	85° / 78°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −35%
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Below −60%
January	Above +2.7 °F	Below −71%
February	Above +3.2 °F	Below −76%
March	Above +3.8 °F	Below −80%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Cogan climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Cogan is from February to April: highs of 85 °F to 89 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: in April and from November to December, peaking in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 21 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Cogan, about 7 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kalmaegi, in November 2025.

84° 71°

JanJ
85° 71°

FebF
87° 71°

MarM
89° 73°

AprA
90° 74°

MayM
89° 74°

JunJ
88° 74°

JulJ
88° 74°

AugA
88° 74°

SepS
87° 73°

OctO
86° 73°

NovN
85° 73°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	84°	71°	5.34 in	14	3.9	82°	1.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	85°	71°	4.26 in	10	4.1	81°	1.4 ft	–
MarchMar	87°	71°	3.89 in	9	5.0	82°	1.1 ft	1
AprilApr	89°	73°	1.90 in	7	5.7	84°	0.9 ft	2
MayMay	90°	74°	5.48 in	14	5.1	85°	0.6 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	74°	7.56 in	21	4.1	86°	0.6 ft	2
JulyJul	88°	74°	8.18 in	23	3.1	85°	0.9 ft	1
AugustAug	88°	74°	6.31 in	19	3.3	85°	1.0 ft	–
SeptemberSep	88°	74°	8.57 in	20	2.9	85°	0.8 ft	1
OctoberOct	87°	73°	9.07 in	23	3.8	85°	0.9 ft	1
NovemberNov	86°	73°	8.31 in	19	4.1	84°	1.0 ft	6
DecemberDec	85°	73°	7.01 in	19	3.7	83°	1.2 ft	7

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	1.7 ft	–
Feb	81°	1.4 ft	–
Mar	82°	1.1 ft	1
Apr	84°	0.9 ft	2
May	85°	0.6 ft	–
Jun	86°	0.6 ft	2
Jul	85°	0.9 ft	1
Aug	85°	1.0 ft	–
Sep	85°	0.8 ft	1
Oct	85°	0.9 ft	1
Nov	84°	1.0 ft	6
Dec	83°	1.2 ft	7

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 75.87 in of rain on about 199 days and about 1,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now86 °Ffeels like 97 °F

Tomorrow78 / 85 °F

It's 86 °F now (feels like 97 °F). Today, 80 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 67% 0.08 in
Fri 30 63% 0.07 in
Sat 31 77% 0.41 in
Sun 1 71% 0.09 in
Mon 2 43% 0.08 in
Tue 3 41% 0.06 in
Wed 4 46% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 67%, with 0.08 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 63% and 0.07 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.03 in; last 3 days, 0.41 in; last 7 days, 2.07 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity75%

Dew point77 °F

Humidity is 75% now and the dew point is 77 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds32%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now7

Today's peak8very high

Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 11

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.87

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 17

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.06 in	7 mph NNE
Tue 27	Heavy drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.30 in	9 mph N
Mon 26	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.02 in	7 mph NNE
Sun 25	Drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.22 in	6 mph N
Sat 24	Light showers	78 / 85 °F	0.98 in	6 mph SSW
Fri 23	Light showers	79 / 87 °F	0.39 in	12 mph SSW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.07 in	10 mph SW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	79 / 91 °F	0.07 in	5 mph W
Tue 20	Light drizzle	78 / 91 °F	0.09 in	6 mph NW
Mon 19	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.07 in	9 mph N
Sun 18	Heavy drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.22 in	6 mph N
Sat 17	Light showers	77 / 88 °F	0.44 in	6 mph NE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.14 in	10 mph N
Thu 15	Light showers	77 / 88 °F	0.45 in	6 mph NNE
Wed 14	Light showers	77 / 80 °F	0.71 in	7 mph SE
Tue 13	Thunderstorm	78 / 86 °F	1.24 in	4 mph NW
Mon 12	Drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.40 in	4 mph WSW
Sun 11	Light showers	78 / 88 °F	0.32 in	4 mph SSE
Sat 10	Light showers	77 / 86 °F	0.74 in	8 mph WNW
Fri 9	Light showers	76 / 85 °F	0.60 in	6 mph NNW
Thu 8	Showers	77 / 84 °F	0.89 in	5 mph NW
Wed 7	Thunderstorm	76 / 85 °F	1.12 in	5 mph NNE
Tue 6	Showers	76 / 83 °F	0.76 in	4 mph WNW
Mon 5	Heavy drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.31 in	5 mph WSW
Sun 4	Heavy drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.32 in	6 mph WSW
Sat 3	Light showers	77 / 86 °F	0.30 in	5 mph WSW
Fri 2	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.19 in	5 mph W
Thu 1	Heavy drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.26 in	5 mph SW
Wed 30	Overcast	75 / 88 °F	0	6 mph NNE
Tue 29	Thunderstorm	76 / 83 °F	1.06 in	6 mph S

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CoganQuestions

What's the weather like today in Cogan?

Light drizzle, from 80 °F to 87 °F, with a light breeze from the east (4 mph) and a 67% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Cogan?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 63% (0.07 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 75 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and steady: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Cogan?

The best time to visit Cogan is from February to April: highs of 85 °F to 89 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 5 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Cogan in October?

In October, Cogan normally sees highs of 87 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 23 rainy days (9.07 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Cogan?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 71 °F. The wettest is October (9.07 in) and the driest, April.

When is typhoon season in Cogan?

Typhoon season: in April and from November to December, peaking in December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 21 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Cogan, about 7 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Kalmaegi, in November 2025.

More about Cogan today

Weather near Cogan

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:28 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from