Weather in Tolaga Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:50 pm (GMT+13)

Now · overcast 62 °F

Feels like: 60 °F
Low / high: 53 / 68 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 6 mph WNW

→ 29.54 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in Tolaga Bay: overcast, 53 °F to 68 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west-northwest (6 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 51 °F to 68 °F and a 25% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 70 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (33%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

68° 53°
Today
68° 51°
Fri 30
61° 48°
Sat 31
68° 43°
Sun 1
69° 52°
Mon 2
69° 52°
Tue 3
70° 50°
Wed 4
74° 52°
Thu 5
79° 62°
Fri 6
80° 61°
Sat 7
74° 66°
Sun 8
67° 58°
Mon 9
61° 56°
Tue 10
75° 54°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	53 / 68 °F	0%	17 mph WNW	3.0 ft	9:01 am · 9:21 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	51 / 68 °F	25% · 0.02 in	18 mph W	3.9 ft	9:53 am · 10:15 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	48 / 61 °F	14% · 0.01 in	15 mph SW	7.7 ft	10:47 am · 11:10 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	43 / 68 °F	4%	11 mph NW	6.8 ft	11:42 am	ECMWF
Mon 2	Overcast	52 / 69 °F	0%	11 mph NNW	3.9 ft	12:07 am · 12:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	52 / 69 °F	33% · 0.05 in	7 mph NNE	2.4 ft	1:04 am · 1:37 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	50 / 70 °F	29% · 0.02 in	7 mph NNW	2.8 ft	2:03 am · 2:36 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	52 / 74 °F	30% · 0.07 in	12 mph N	3.9 ft	3:03 am · 3:33 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	62 / 79 °F	39%	11 mph NW	3.6 ft	4:03 am · 4:29 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	61 / 80 °F	38% · 0.02 in	10 mph NW	3.7 ft	5:01 am · 5:22 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	66 / 74 °F	28% · 0.07 in	13 mph NNW	3.9 ft	5:55 am · 6:13 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	58 / 67 °F	45% · 0.17 in	11 mph S	4.9 ft	6:45 am · 7:01 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	56 / 61 °F	46% · 0.14 in	10 mph SSE	5.5 ft	7:32 am · 7:48 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	54 / 75 °F	35% · 0.02 in	4 mph WNW	8.7 ft	8:16 am · 8:33 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	55°	54°	53°	60°	67°	67°	65°	62°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 WNW	10 WNW	17 W	13 W	11 WNW	13 WNW	9 NW	7 WNW
Humidity	69%	66%	67%	58%	52%	56%	64%	69%
UV	0	0	0	3	7	4	1	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	68°	68°	61°	68°	69°	69°	70°
AIFS	67°	69°	59°	68°	69°	71°	68°
GFS	71°	69°	58°	69°	71°	72°	70°
ICON	70°	70°	62°	74°	72°	76°	77°
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.02 in	0.01 in	0	0	0.05 in	0.02 in
AIFS	0	0.05 in	0.05 in	0	0	0.02 in	0.13 in
GFS	0	0.02 in	0.02 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	medium	medium	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1733	1838	1530	1123	1128	723	718
AIFS	15	13	16	9	10	8	12
GFS	1439	1334	1331	912	711	711	86
ICON	1541	1743	1231	923	924	515	413
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	25%	14%	4%	0%	33%	29%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	6%	39%	2%	0%	3%	10%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.1 °F	A bit below −30%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	66° / 51°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit below −22%	67° / 52°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit below −29%	68° / 52°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −34%
January	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit below −34%
February	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −37%
March	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −20%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Tolaga Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Tolaga Bay is from December to February: highs of 73 °F to 75 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from December to April, peaking in April. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tolaga Bay, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Cook, in April 2017.

75° 57°

JanJ
75° 58°

FebF
72° 56°

MarM
68° 51°

AprA
65° 47°

MayM
60° 44°

JunJ
58° 43°

JulJ
60° 43°

AugA
63° 46°

SepS
66° 49°

OctO
69° 52°

NovN
73° 55°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	75°	57°	3.66 in	6	8.6	66°	5.9 ft	1
FebruaryFeb	75°	58°	3.31 in	7	7.3	68°	6.2 ft	1
MarchMar	72°	56°	5.22 in	8	5.8	67°	6.9 ft	1
AprilApr	68°	51°	5.01 in	8	5.1	65°	7.1 ft	2
MayMay	65°	47°	5.06 in	9	4.1	63°	7.3 ft	–
JuneJun	60°	44°	7.03 in	10	3.8	60°	7.9 ft	–
JulyJul	58°	43°	6.85 in	11	3.7	58°	8.0 ft	–
AugustAug	60°	43°	5.41 in	10	5.0	57°	7.4 ft	–
SeptemberSep	63°	46°	4.55 in	8	5.6	57°	7.2 ft	–
OctoberOct	66°	49°	3.28 in	7	6.8	58°	5.9 ft	–
NovemberNov	69°	52°	3.03 in	7	7.5	60°	5.8 ft	–
DecemberDec	73°	55°	3.46 in	7	7.9	63°	5.8 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	66°	5.9 ft	1
Feb	68°	6.2 ft	1
Mar	67°	6.9 ft	1
Apr	65°	7.1 ft	2
May	63°	7.3 ft	–
Jun	60°	7.9 ft	–
Jul	58°	8.0 ft	–
Aug	57°	7.4 ft	–
Sep	57°	7.2 ft	–
Oct	58°	5.9 ft	–
Nov	60°	5.8 ft	–
Dec	63°	5.8 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 55.87 in of rain on about 97 days and about 2,150 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now62 °Ffeels like 60 °F

Tomorrow51 / 68 °F

It's 62 °F now (feels like 60 °F). Today, 53 °F to 68 °F; tomorrow, 51 °F to 68 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Fri 30 25% 0.02 in
Sat 31 14% 0.01 in
Sun 1 4%
Mon 2 0%
Tue 3 33% 0.05 in
Wed 4 29% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 33% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.31 in; last 7 days, 0.31 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity69%

Dew point52 °F

Humidity is 69% now and the dew point is 52 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds80%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.5030.00 30.31

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.81 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 21

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	53 / 67 °F	0.07 in	12 mph NW
Tue 27	Light rain	55 / 70 °F	0.24 in	14 mph NW
Mon 26	Partly cloudy	50 / 72 °F	0	8 mph WNW
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	46 / 70 °F	0	7 mph NNE
Sat 24	Mainly clear	49 / 77 °F	0	5 mph WNW
Fri 23	Clear sky	53 / 68 °F	0	8 mph SSW
Thu 22	Overcast	47 / 72 °F	0	9 mph NW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	43 / 67 °F	0	6 mph E
Tue 20	Overcast	41 / 65 °F	0	11 mph S
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	46 / 64 °F	0	8 mph WSW
Sun 18	Overcast	48 / 58 °F	0	17 mph SSW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	45 / 55 °F	0.17 in	21 mph SSW
Fri 16	Drizzle	45 / 55 °F	0.21 in	21 mph SW
Thu 15	Light rain	54 / 69 °F	0.35 in	17 mph NNW
Wed 14	Partly cloudy	58 / 76 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	47 / 74 °F	0.02 in	6 mph NW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	53 / 66 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SW
Sun 11	Heavy drizzle	53 / 68 °F	0.21 in	9 mph NW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	56 / 64 °F	0.15 in	8 mph SE
Fri 9	Drizzle	56 / 62 °F	0.34 in	13 mph S
Thu 8	Drizzle	56 / 62 °F	0.23 in	14 mph SSW
Wed 7	Rain	51 / 61 °F	0.73 in	9 mph SSW
Tue 6	Overcast	38 / 61 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	43 / 56 °F	0.01 in	7 mph ESE
Sun 4	Drizzle	47 / 55 °F	0.10 in	14 mph S
Sat 3	Drizzle	47 / 63 °F	0.14 in	14 mph SSW
Fri 2	Mainly clear	41 / 70 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Thu 1	Partly cloudy	42 / 69 °F	0	6 mph WNW
Wed 30	Mainly clear	42 / 65 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Tue 29	Overcast	48 / 64 °F	0	13 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Tolaga BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Tolaga Bay?

Overcast, from 53 °F to 68 °F, with a light breeze from the west-northwest (6 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Tolaga Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 25% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 43 °F and a high of 70 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.54 inHg and steady: −0.18 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Tolaga Bay?

The best time to visit Tolaga Bay is from December to February: highs of 73 °F to 75 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Tolaga Bay in October?

In October, Tolaga Bay normally sees highs of 66 °F and lows of 49 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.28 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 58 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Tolaga Bay?

The warmest is January, with average highs of 75 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 43 °F. The wettest is June (7.03 in) and the driest, November.

When is cyclone season in Tolaga Bay?

Cyclone season: from December to April, peaking in April. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tolaga Bay, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Cook, in April 2017.

More about Tolaga Bay today

Weather near Tolaga Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:50 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from