Weather in Te Kaha

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:00 pm (GMT+13)

Now · light drizzle 61 °F

Feels like: 56 °F
Low / high: 56 / 63 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.15 in
Wind: 17 mph W

↘ 29.71 inHg · falling UV 8 · high

Today in Te Kaha: light drizzle, 56 °F to 63 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.15 in) and a moderate breeze from the west (17 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 53 °F to 61 °F and a 97% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 64 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

63° 56°
Today
61° 53°
Fri 30
61° 48°
Sat 31
61° 54°
Sun 1
63° 57°
Mon 2
63° 58°
Tue 3
64° 54°
Wed 4
64° 56°
Thu 5
67° 64°
Fri 6
67° 64°
Sat 7
65° 64°
Sun 8
67° 60°
Mon 9
65° 59°
Tue 10
66° 58°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	56 / 63 °F	100% · 0.15 in	19 mph W	6.4 ft	9:39 am · 9:55 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	53 / 61 °F	97% · 0.13 in	23 mph WSW	6.2 ft	10:30 am · 10:48 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	48 / 61 °F	10%	17 mph SW	5.2 ft	11:23 am · 11:42 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	54 / 61 °F	29% · 0.03 in	11 mph NW	2.6 ft	12:19 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	57 / 63 °F	51% · 0.09 in	12 mph NW	4.5 ft	12:39 am · 1:17 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	58 / 63 °F	84% · 0.21 in	7 mph NW	3.8 ft	1:39 am · 2:16 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	54 / 64 °F	55% · 0.05 in	6 mph N	3.6 ft	2:42 am · 3:16 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light rain	56 / 64 °F	76% · 0.75 in	13 mph N	6.8 ft	3:45 am · 4:14 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	64 / 67 °F	67% · 0.24 in	12 mph NW	4.9 ft	4:46 am · 5:09 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	64 / 67 °F	59% · 0.20 in	11 mph NNW	4.1 ft	5:42 am · 6:01 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Rain	64 / 65 °F	41% · 1.73 in	20 mph NNW	7.5 ft	6:34 am · 6:49 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	60 / 67 °F	47% · 0.34 in	9 mph NW	5.8 ft	7:22 am · 7:35 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	59 / 65 °F	49% · 0.02 in	12 mph SE	3.2 ft	8:06 am · 8:19 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	58 / 66 °F	55%	7 mph WSW	2.6 ft	8:48 am · 9:01 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	58°	56°	56°	58°	61°	63°	62°	60°
Chance of rain	68%	80%	38%	14%	73%	100%	80%	96%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.02 in
Wind (mph)	18 W	18 W	16 WSW	16 W	17 W	18 WNW	18 WNW	18 W
Humidity	67%	73%	76%	71%	71%	75%	79%	83%
UV	0	0	0	3	7	5	1	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	63°	61°	61°	61°	63°	63°	64°
AIFS	64°	63°	61°	62°	63°	65°	65°
GFS	63°	63°	59°	60°	61°	63°	64°
ICON	64°	62°	61°	63°	63°	64°	67°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.15 in	0.13 in	0	0.03 in	0.09 in	0.21 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0.15 in	0.11 in	0.03 in	0.09 in	0.12 in	0.14 in	0.23 in
GFS	0.15 in	0.08 in	0.08 in	0.02 in	0.09 in	0.07 in	0.00 in
ICON	0.05 in	0.05 in	0	0	0.08 in	0.11 in	0.02 in
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	high	high	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1935	2341	1731	1120	1222	717	614
AIFS	20	19	15	10	11	7	9
GFS	1930	2733	2029	1113	1214	710	89
ICON	1838	1945	1836	1022	1225	817	617
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	97%	10%	29%	51%	84%	55%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	81%	65%	32%	45%	68%	74%	55%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit wetter and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.5 °F	Above +54%	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit above +39%	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	61° / 56°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F	62° / 56°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	Normal +0.2 °F	63° / 57°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F
December	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F
January	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	A bit below −0.7 °F
February	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F
March	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	Normal −0.4 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Te Kaha climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Te Kaha is from January to February: highs of 72 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from April to May and from December to February. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Te Kaha, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Donna, in May 2017.

72° 57°

JanJ
72° 58°

FebF
70° 55°

MarM
65° 50°

AprA
61° 46°

MayM
57° 42°

JunJ
56° 42°

JulJ
56° 42°

AugA
59° 45°

SepS
62° 48°

OctO
65° 51°

NovN
69° 55°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	72°	57°	3.78 in	7	8.6	68°	4.7 ft	2
FebruaryFeb	72°	58°	4.19 in	7	7.4	70°	4.5 ft	1
MarchMar	70°	55°	5.55 in	8	6.4	69°	4.7 ft	–
AprilApr	65°	50°	5.79 in	9	5.2	67°	4.8 ft	2
MayMay	61°	46°	6.35 in	10	4.1	64°	5.0 ft	1
JuneJun	57°	42°	8.26 in	11	3.6	61°	5.4 ft	–
JulyJul	56°	42°	7.57 in	12	3.9	59°	5.7 ft	–
AugustAug	56°	42°	6.98 in	11	4.9	58°	5.3 ft	–
SeptemberSep	59°	45°	6.10 in	9	5.3	58°	5.2 ft	–
OctoberOct	62°	48°	5.06 in	8	6.6	59°	4.6 ft	–
NovemberNov	65°	51°	3.62 in	8	7.7	62°	4.4 ft	–
DecemberDec	69°	55°	5.40 in	8	7.8	65°	4.4 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	68°	4.7 ft	2
Feb	70°	4.5 ft	1
Mar	69°	4.7 ft	–
Apr	67°	4.8 ft	2
May	64°	5.0 ft	1
Jun	61°	5.4 ft	–
Jul	59°	5.7 ft	–
Aug	58°	5.3 ft	–
Sep	58°	5.2 ft	–
Oct	59°	4.6 ft	–
Nov	62°	4.4 ft	–
Dec	65°	4.4 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 68.63 in of rain on about 107 days and about 2,200 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now61 °Ffeels like 56 °F

Tomorrow53 / 61 °F

It's 61 °F now (feels like 56 °F). Today, 56 °F to 63 °F; tomorrow, 53 °F to 61 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.15 in
Fri 30 97% 0.13 in
Sat 31 10%
Sun 1 29% 0.03 in
Mon 2 51% 0.09 in
Tue 3 84% 0.21 in
Wed 4 55% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.15 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 97% and 0.13 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.05 in; last 3 days, 0.58 in; last 7 days, 0.58 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity71%

Dew point52 °F

Humidity is 71% now and the dew point is 52 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now10 migood

Clouds11%

Visibility is good now (10 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now7

Today's peak8high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.6029.8030.0030.20 30.16

Falling now (−0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.45 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	55 / 62 °F	0.00 in	17 mph W
Tue 27	Light rain	60 / 63 °F	0.53 in	17 mph WNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	55 / 63 °F	0.00 in	15 mph W
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	55 / 63 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Sat 24	Partly cloudy	55 / 65 °F	0	8 mph SW
Fri 23	Mainly clear	51 / 67 °F	0	6 mph ESE
Thu 22	Clear sky	52 / 65 °F	0	6 mph WSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	56 / 63 °F	0	7 mph WSW
Tue 20	Light drizzle	48 / 63 °F	0.04 in	6 mph NE
Mon 19	Mainly clear	43 / 60 °F	0	6 mph SSW
Sun 18	Overcast	47 / 59 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Sat 17	Overcast	47 / 58 °F	0	15 mph SSW
Fri 16	Drizzle	48 / 58 °F	0.15 in	16 mph SSW
Thu 15	Rain	55 / 62 °F	0.92 in	19 mph NW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	59 / 64 °F	0.08 in	11 mph W
Tue 13	Light drizzle	53 / 66 °F	0.07 in	9 mph WNW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	54 / 65 °F	0.01 in	8 mph SW
Sun 11	Drizzle	58 / 61 °F	0.37 in	10 mph WNW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	59 / 64 °F	0.09 in	5 mph NW
Fri 9	Light drizzle	57 / 65 °F	0.02 in	5 mph NNE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	59 / 67 °F	0.07 in	4 mph WSW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	52 / 64 °F	0.04 in	8 mph SSW
Tue 6	Overcast	42 / 60 °F	0	9 mph ENE
Mon 5	Overcast	46 / 60 °F	0	7 mph ESE
Sun 4	Drizzle	48 / 58 °F	0.06 in	7 mph SE
Sat 3	Drizzle	51 / 60 °F	0.13 in	14 mph SW
Fri 2	Partly cloudy	49 / 59 °F	0	14 mph WSW
Thu 1	Overcast	51 / 61 °F	0	8 mph W
Wed 30	Partly cloudy	49 / 61 °F	0	7 mph NE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	49 / 60 °F	0.04 in	15 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Te KahaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Te Kaha?

Light drizzle, from 56 °F to 63 °F, with a moderate breeze from the west (17 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Te Kaha?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 97% (0.13 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 48 °F and a high of 64 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.71 inHg and falling: −0.14 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Te Kaha?

The best time to visit Te Kaha is from January to February: highs of 72 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Te Kaha in October?

In October, Te Kaha normally sees highs of 62 °F and lows of 48 °F, with about 8 rainy days (5.06 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 59 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Te Kaha?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 72 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 42 °F. The wettest is June (8.26 in) and the driest, November.

When is cyclone season in Te Kaha?

Cyclone season: from April to May and from December to February. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 7 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Te Kaha, about 2 every 10 years. The most recent: Donna, in May 2017.

More about Te Kaha today

Weather near Te Kaha

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:00 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from