Weather in Whakatane

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:43 pm (GMT+13)

Now · overcast 61 °F

Feels like: 56 °F
Low / high: 51 / 69 °F
Rain: 12%
Wind: 12 mph WNW

→ 29.61 inHg · steady

Today in Whakatane: overcast, 51 °F to 69 °F, with a 12% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the west-northwest (12 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 51 °F to 64 °F and a 31% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 69 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (57%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

69° 51°
Today
64° 51°
Fri 30
63° 45°
Sat 31
64° 43°
Sun 1
64° 59°
Mon 2
66° 58°
Tue 3
66° 51°
Wed 4
64° 57°
Thu 5
69° 62°
Fri 6
69° 60°
Sat 7
68° 62°
Sun 8
68° 59°
Mon 9
70° 58°
Tue 10
67° 59°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Overcast	51 / 69 °F	12%	20 mph WNW	4.7 ft	9:50 am · 10:08 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	51 / 64 °F	31%	21 mph W	4.4 ft	10:40 am · 11:00 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	45 / 63 °F	0%	16 mph W	2.7 ft	11:32 am · 11:54 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	43 / 64 °F	9%	12 mph NW	2.4 ft	12:27 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	59 / 64 °F	11% · 0.01 in	13 mph NNW	3.0 ft	12:51 am · 1:25 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	58 / 66 °F	57% · 0.04 in	9 mph NNW	2.9 ft	1:51 am · 2:26 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	51 / 66 °F	33%	9 mph N	2.9 ft	2:54 am · 3:28 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	57 / 64 °F	53% · 0.36 in	11 mph N	4.3 ft	3:58 am · 4:28 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	62 / 69 °F	69% · 0.06 in	13 mph NW	4.4 ft	5:00 am · 5:24 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	60 / 69 °F	64% · 0.11 in	14 mph N	4.9 ft	5:57 am · 6:16 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Rain	62 / 68 °F	47% · 1.13 in	18 mph NNW	7.3 ft	6:49 am · 7:05 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Heavy drizzle	59 / 68 °F	38% · 0.28 in	10 mph ENE	5.6 ft	7:36 am · 7:50 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	58 / 70 °F	35% · 0.05 in	10 mph SE	3.7 ft	8:20 am · 8:34 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	59 / 67 °F	45% · 0.02 in	11 mph NNW	3.5 ft	9:02 am · 9:17 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	55°	53°	51°	58°	67°	69°	66°	60°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	9%	8%	6%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	11 WNW	9 WNW	9 WNW	13 WNW	16 WNW	19 WNW	18 WNW	11 WNW
Humidity	72%	74%	75%	65%	47%	42%	56%	73%
UV	0	0	0	3	6	5	1	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	69°	64°	63°	64°	64°	66°	66°
AIFS	66°	65°	62°	63°	64°	65°	64°
GFS	71°	70°	64°	64°	65°	67°	71°
ICON	68°	65°	66°	65°	67°	69°	68°
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.04 in	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0.03 in	0	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.06 in	0.43 in
GFS	0.00 in	0.01 in	0	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.04 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00 in
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	2040	2148	1635	1225	1329	924	921
AIFS	19	17	12	10	10	7	11
GFS	1228	1334	1220	1021	1121	814	89
ICON	1535	1539	1023	1126	1329	1023	922
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	12%	31%	0%	9%	11%	57%	33%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	13%	16%	11%	48%	52%	41%	20%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +2.9 °F	Above +52%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.2 °F	A bit above +25%	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	63° / 52°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	64° / 53°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	65° / 53°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
December	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
January	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal
February	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal
March	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Whakatane climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Whakatane is from November to March: highs of 70 °F to 76 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: in April and from December to January, peaking in April. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Whakatane, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Cook, in April 2017.

76° 58°

JanJ
76° 59°

FebF
74° 56°

MarM
69° 50°

AprA
64° 45°

MayM
60° 42°

JunJ
58° 40°

JulJ
60° 42°

AugA
63° 45°

SepS
67° 48°

OctO
70° 52°

NovN
74° 57°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	76°	58°	3.09 in	7	8.8	68°	3.3 ft	1
FebruaryFeb	76°	59°	3.89 in	7	7.8	70°	3.1 ft	–
MarchMar	74°	56°	4.45 in	8	6.8	69°	3.1 ft	–
AprilApr	69°	50°	4.29 in	10	5.4	67°	3.1 ft	2
MayMay	64°	45°	5.54 in	10	4.3	64°	3.3 ft	–
JuneJun	60°	42°	6.11 in	11	3.8	61°	3.5 ft	–
JulyJul	58°	40°	5.30 in	12	4.2	59°	3.6 ft	–
AugustAug	60°	42°	5.74 in	11	5.1	58°	3.3 ft	–
SeptemberSep	63°	45°	4.66 in	10	5.5	58°	3.3 ft	–
OctoberOct	67°	48°	3.78 in	9	6.7	59°	3.0 ft	–
NovemberNov	70°	52°	3.01 in	8	7.9	62°	2.9 ft	–
DecemberDec	74°	57°	5.12 in	9	7.9	65°	3.1 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	68°	3.3 ft	1
Feb	70°	3.1 ft	–
Mar	69°	3.1 ft	–
Apr	67°	3.1 ft	2
May	64°	3.3 ft	–
Jun	61°	3.5 ft	–
Jul	59°	3.6 ft	–
Aug	58°	3.3 ft	–
Sep	58°	3.3 ft	–
Oct	59°	3.0 ft	–
Nov	62°	2.9 ft	–
Dec	65°	3.1 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 54.98 in of rain on about 112 days and about 2,250 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now61 °Ffeels like 56 °F

Tomorrow51 / 64 °F

It's 61 °F now (feels like 56 °F). Today, 51 °F to 69 °F; tomorrow, 51 °F to 64 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 12%
Fri 30 31%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 9%
Mon 2 11% 0.01 in
Tue 3 57% 0.04 in
Wed 4 33%

Today the chance of rain reaches 12%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 57% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.14 in; last 7 days, 0.14 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity72%

Dew point51 °F

Humidity is 72% now and the dew point is 51 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds92%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6moderate

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 7 · Sun 1: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.00 30.26

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.69 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 19

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	47 / 68 °F	0	14 mph W
Tue 27	Drizzle	55 / 66 °F	0.14 in	18 mph NW
Mon 26	Overcast	45 / 67 °F	0	17 mph NW
Sun 25	Overcast	47 / 71 °F	0	10 mph W
Sat 24	Overcast	48 / 67 °F	0	10 mph NW
Fri 23	Overcast	47 / 71 °F	0	8 mph E
Thu 22	Overcast	46 / 68 °F	0	9 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	46 / 67 °F	0	10 mph NW
Tue 20	Overcast	49 / 69 °F	0	12 mph NNW
Mon 19	Mainly clear	40 / 64 °F	0	9 mph NW
Sun 18	Mainly clear	40 / 62 °F	0	10 mph WSW
Sat 17	Overcast	46 / 60 °F	0	15 mph S
Fri 16	Light drizzle	46 / 59 °F	0.01 in	18 mph S
Thu 15	Light rain	51 / 63 °F	0.48 in	23 mph NNW
Wed 14	Overcast	51 / 66 °F	0	11 mph NW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	56 / 67 °F	0.07 in	12 mph NW
Mon 12	Mainly clear	50 / 70 °F	0	8 mph W
Sun 11	Light drizzle	54 / 65 °F	0.13 in	11 mph NW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	55 / 67 °F	0.01 in	10 mph NNW
Fri 9	Overcast	52 / 71 °F	0	8 mph SE
Thu 8	Light drizzle	52 / 69 °F	0.07 in	7 mph SSW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	45 / 70 °F	0.02 in	9 mph S
Tue 6	Overcast	38 / 61 °F	0	6 mph ESE
Mon 5	Partly cloudy	39 / 61 °F	0	9 mph S
Sun 4	Drizzle	43 / 60 °F	0.05 in	12 mph SSE
Sat 3	Drizzle	44 / 65 °F	0.15 in	10 mph S
Fri 2	Partly cloudy	40 / 65 °F	0	12 mph W
Thu 1	Overcast	42 / 63 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	43 / 62 °F	0.01 in	8 mph E
Tue 29	Overcast	42 / 64 °F	0	11 mph WSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in WhakataneQuestions

What's the weather like today in Whakatane?

Overcast, from 51 °F to 69 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west-northwest (12 mph) and a 12% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Whakatane?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 31% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 43 °F and a high of 69 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.61 inHg and steady: −0.17 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Whakatane?

The best time to visit Whakatane is from November to March: highs of 70 °F to 76 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Whakatane in October?

In October, Whakatane normally sees highs of 67 °F and lows of 48 °F, with about 9 rainy days (3.78 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 59 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Whakatane?

The warmest is February, with average highs of 76 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 40 °F. The wettest is June (6.11 in) and the driest, November.

When is cyclone season in Whakatane?

Cyclone season: in April and from December to January, peaking in April. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Whakatane, about one every 10 years. The most recent: Cook, in April 2017.

More about Whakatane today

Weather near Whakatane

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:43 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from