Weather in Tonalá

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 10:08 pm (CST)

Now · mainly clear 79 °F

Feels like: 84 °F
Low / high: 73 / 84 °F
Rain: 73% · 0.06 in
Wind: 7 mph NNE

↗ 30.01 inHg · rising UV 10 · very high

Today in Tonalá: light drizzle, 73 °F to 84 °F, with a 73% chance of rain (0.06 in) and a light breeze from the north-northeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 74 °F to 82 °F and a 94% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 87 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

84° 73°
Today
82° 74°
Thu 29
82° 72°
Fri 30
83° 73°
Sat 31
84° 76°
Sun 1
84° 75°
Mon 2
87° 73°
Tue 3
85° 74°
Wed 4
81° 76°
Thu 5
82° 75°
Fri 6
80° 72°
Sat 7
79° 70°
Sun 8
81° 68°
Mon 9
75° 71°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	73 / 84 °F	73% · 0.06 in	9 mph NNE	2.5 ft	6:02 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	74 / 82 °F	94% · 0.12 in	7 mph NNE	2.0 ft	7:36 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	72 / 82 °F	45% · 0.02 in	7 mph N	1.6 ft	9:29 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Drizzle	73 / 83 °F	53% · 0.10 in	10 mph NW	2.4 ft	10:13 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	76 / 84 °F	63% · 0.14 in	11 mph NNW	2.0 ft	10:35 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	75 / 84 °F	63% · 0.18 in	9 mph NNE	1.8 ft	10:39 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	20% · 0.00 in	8 mph E	1.1 ft	7:54 am · 10:32 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	74 / 85 °F	43% · 0.08 in	8 mph NW	1.2 ft	10:20 am · 10:24 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light showers	76 / 81 °F	62% · 0.41 in	17 mph NNW	5.0 ft	11:59 am · 10:17 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	75 / 82 °F	41%	14 mph NNW	8.2 ft	1:34 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	72 / 80 °F	35%	12 mph NNW	7.9 ft	2:37 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	70 / 79 °F	39%	7 mph N	5.1 ft	3:29 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	68 / 81 °F	45% · 0.02 in	9 mph N	3.1 ft	4:19 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light rain	71 / 75 °F	45% · 0.84 in	16 mph N	5.0 ft	5:08 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear sky	Clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	76°	73°	74°	79°	83°	84°	80°	80°
Chance of rain	57%	43%	31%	73%	55%	18%	2%	6%
Rain	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 E	1 SSE	1 SSW	2 WNW	7 NNW	9 NNE	9 N	8 NNE
Humidity	93%	98%	96%	90%	66%	61%	73%	71%
UV	0	0	0	4	9	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	84°	82°	82°	83°	84°	84°	87°
AIFS	83°	82°	83°	83°	82°	83°	85°
GFS	82°	82°	82°	81°	82°	84°	87°
ICON	83°	82°	82°	81°	82°	83°	90°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.12 in	0.02 in	0.10 in	0.14 in	0.18 in	0.00 in
AIFS	0.06 in	0.09 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.17 in	0.10 in	0.02 in
GFS	0.26 in	0.13 in	0	0	0	0.02 in	0
ICON	0.19 in	0.07 in	0	0.06 in	0.08 in	0.06 in	0
Confidence	medium	high	high	medium	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	920	718	718	1022	1122	916	817
AIFS	9	7	8	10	9	8	7
GFS	1013	710	88	76	89	66	612
ICON	817	615	715	919	919	715	512
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	73%	94%	45%	53%	63%	63%	20%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	94%	97%	6%	22%	40%	19%	33%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.1 °F	Below −56%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	82° / 72°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −22%	82° / 73°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	82° / 72°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −20%	81° / 71°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal
January	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit below −37%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Tonalá climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Tonalá is from February to March: highs of 83 °F to 87 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in August and in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 10 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tonalá, about 3 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Karl, in October 2022.

80° 65°

JanJ
83° 66°

FebF
87° 69°

MarM
92° 72°

AprA
94° 74°

MayM
93° 74°

JunJ
92° 75°

JulJ
92° 75°

AugA
91° 74°

SepS
88° 73°

OctO
85° 71°

NovN
82° 67°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	80°	65°	7.26 in	10	5.0	76°	4.0 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	83°	66°	3.07 in	7	6.1	75°	3.1 ft	–
MarchMar	87°	69°	2.15 in	5	6.3	77°	3.0 ft	–
AprilApr	92°	72°	1.48 in	4	6.1	80°	2.5 ft	–
MayMay	94°	74°	3.33 in	9	6.4	82°	2.2 ft	1
JuneJun	93°	74°	9.56 in	20	6.6	84°	2.0 ft	1
JulyJul	92°	75°	8.62 in	23	7.0	83°	2.0 ft	–
AugustAug	92°	75°	12.94 in	25	6.6	84°	1.8 ft	4
SeptemberSep	91°	74°	16.26 in	25	5.1	85°	2.0 ft	–
OctoberOct	88°	73°	20.59 in	21	5.7	83°	2.8 ft	4
NovemberNov	85°	71°	11.67 in	16	5.6	80°	3.7 ft	–
DecemberDec	82°	67°	7.63 in	12	5.0	78°	3.6 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	76°	4.0 ft	–
Feb	75°	3.1 ft	–
Mar	77°	3.0 ft	–
Apr	80°	2.5 ft	–
May	82°	2.2 ft	1
Jun	84°	2.0 ft	1
Jul	83°	2.0 ft	–
Aug	84°	1.8 ft	4
Sep	85°	2.0 ft	–
Oct	83°	2.8 ft	4
Nov	80°	3.7 ft	–
Dec	78°	3.6 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 104.55 in of rain on about 176 days and about 2,150 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now79 °Ffeels like 84 °F

Tomorrow74 / 82 °F

It's 79 °F now (feels like 84 °F). Today, 73 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 82 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 73% 0.06 in
Thu 29 94% 0.12 in
Fri 30 45% 0.02 in
Sat 31 53% 0.10 in
Sun 1 63% 0.14 in
Mon 2 63% 0.18 in
Tue 3 20% 0.00 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 73%, with 0.06 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 94% and 0.12 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.43 in; last 7 days, 1.55 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity72%

Dew point69 °F

Humidity is 72% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds36%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Thu 29: 9 · Fri 30: 6 · Sat 31: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 29.88

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.05 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 31

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	74 / 82 °F	0.28 in	12 mph NNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	73 / 82 °F	0.08 in	11 mph N
Sun 25	Drizzle	73 / 84 °F	0.19 in	11 mph NNE
Sat 24	Drizzle	74 / 81 °F	0.20 in	9 mph NNE
Fri 23	Drizzle	76 / 83 °F	0.17 in	10 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light showers	75 / 83 °F	0.56 in	12 mph NNE
Wed 21	Light showers	74 / 80 °F	0.93 in	11 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light showers	76 / 83 °F	0.94 in	17 mph NNW
Mon 19	Showers	76 / 78 °F	3.50 in	17 mph N
Sun 18	Showers	75 / 78 °F	3.96 in	17 mph N
Sat 17	Light showers	76 / 78 °F	2.51 in	29 mph NW
Fri 16	Heavy drizzle	77 / 83 °F	0.28 in	9 mph N
Thu 15	Light showers	75 / 84 °F	0.51 in	9 mph NNE
Wed 14	Light showers	75 / 87 °F	0.27 in	11 mph NE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	82 / 90 °F	0.02 in	11 mph NE
Mon 12	Light drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.08 in	12 mph NE
Sun 11	Drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.15 in	9 mph N
Sat 10	Drizzle	77 / 85 °F	0.21 in	12 mph NW
Fri 9	Showers	76 / 86 °F	0.92 in	10 mph NW
Thu 8	Light showers	78 / 85 °F	0.54 in	15 mph WNW
Wed 7	Light showers	78 / 89 °F	0.24 in	12 mph W
Tue 6	Light showers	78 / 86 °F	0.85 in	11 mph NW
Mon 5	Light showers	77 / 85 °F	0.66 in	8 mph WNW
Sun 4	Light showers	75 / 83 °F	0.51 in	11 mph NNW
Sat 3	Heavy drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.34 in	7 mph WSW
Fri 2	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.49 in	6 mph ENE
Thu 1	Thunderstorm	74 / 90 °F	0.27 in	8 mph NNE
Wed 30	Light showers	80 / 93 °F	0.13 in	10 mph W
Tue 29	Light showers	76 / 95 °F	0.22 in	11 mph ESE
Mon 28	Light showers	76 / 92 °F	0.32 in	6 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in TonaláQuestions

What's the weather like today in Tonalá?

Light drizzle, from 73 °F to 84 °F, with a light breeze from the north-northeast (7 mph) and a 73% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Tonalá?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 94% (0.12 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.01 inHg and rising: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Tonalá?

The best time to visit Tonalá is from February to March: highs of 83 °F to 87 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Tonalá in October?

In October, Tonalá normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 21 rainy days (20.59 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Tonalá?

The warmest is May, with average highs of 94 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 65 °F. The wettest is October (20.59 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Tonalá?

Hurricane season: in August and in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 10 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tonalá, about 3 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Karl, in October 2022.

More about Tonalá today

Weather near Tonalá

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:08 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from