Weather in La Victoria (La Peñita)
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:41 am (CST)- Feels like
- 79 °F
- Low / high
- 70 / 82 °F
- Rain
- 94% · 0.09 in
- Wind
- 5 mph W
Today in La Victoria (La Peñita): drizzle, 70 °F to 82 °F, with a 94% chance of rain (0.09 in) and a light breeze from the west (5 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 71 °F to 84 °F and a 14% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Sunday 1, at 87 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (53%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 70 / 82 °F | 94% · 0.09 in | 5 mph ENE | 2.0 ft | 8:14 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 71 / 84 °F | 14% · 0.01 in | 7 mph ESE | 1.8 ft | 9:35 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 70 / 86 °F | 6% | 8 mph N | 1.8 ft | 10:29 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 70 / 87 °F | 53% | 6 mph NW | 1.6 ft | 10:59 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 72 / 86 °F | 24% · 0.02 in | 8 mph SE | 1.4 ft | 11:11 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 71 / 86 °F | 11% | 9 mph ESE | 2.8 ft | 9:14 am · 11:15 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 74 / 78 °F | 41% · 0.28 in | 10 mph NW | 3.2 ft | 11:16 am · 11:14 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 69 / 77 °F | 25% | 9 mph WNW | 3.4 ft | 12:48 pm · 11:04 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 62 / 76 °F | 18% | 9 mph N | 4.7 ft | 2:04 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 57 / 78 °F | 18% | 6 mph W | 3.2 ft | 3:07 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 57 / 77 °F | 35% | 5 mph NW | 2.2 ft | 4:01 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 58 / 78 °F | 42% | 5 mph WNW | 1.6 ft | 4:52 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 59 / 79 °F | 31% | 6 mph NW | 1.4 ft | 5:43 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 62 / 78 °F | 25% · 0.02 in | 9 mph NW | 3.1 ft | 6:40 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Clear | Clear | Clear | Mainly clear | Light drizzle | Drizzle | Mainly clear | Mainly clear |
| Temperature | 72° | 71° | 70° | 78° | 82° | 80° | 77° | 75° |
| Chance of rain | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 57% | 94% | 14% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.01 in | 0.02 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 5 W | 4 W | 2 W | 2 NW | 3 ENE | 5 E | 5 E | 3 ESE |
| Humidity | 98% | 98% | 97% | 84% | 75% | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 82° | 84° | 86° | 87° | 86° | 86° | 78° |
| AIFS | 85° | 85° | 87° | 87° | 87° | 87° | 84° |
| GFS | 85° | 83° | 86° | 86° | 86° | 88° | 78° |
| ICON | 82° | 85° | 86° | 86° | 86° | 87° | 87° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | medium |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.09 in | 0.01 in | 0 | 0 | 0.02 in | 0 | 0.28 in |
| AIFS | 0.04 in | 0.00 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 in |
| GFS | 0.01 in | 0.01 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 in |
| ICON | 0.06 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Confidence | medium | high | high | high | high | high | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 515 | 715 | 816 | 616 | 816 | 922 | 1023 |
| AIFS | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| GFS | 99 | 911 | 911 | 89 | 1011 | 713 | 1422 |
| ICON | 613 | 714 | 714 | 816 | 815 | 919 | 715 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 94% | 14% | 6% | 53% | 24% | 11% | 41% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 19% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 24% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | Above +3.4 °F | A bit below −44% | Above +1.8 °F | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Normal +0.5 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.3 °F | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.4 °F | 78° / 72° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +0.9 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.3 °F | 77° / 71° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | Normal −0.2 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.9 °F | 75° / 69° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Sea |
|---|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.8 °F | Normal | A bit above +1.4 °F |
| December | Normal +0.4 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.7 °F |
| January | Normal +0.2 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.5 °F |
| February | Normal −0.4 °F | A bit above +21% | A bit above +0.7 °F |
| March | Normal +0.2 °F | Normal | A bit above +0.7 °F |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.
La Victoria (La Peñita) climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit La Victoria (La Peñita) is from December to April: highs of 75 °F to 86 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of La Victoria (La Peñita), about 7 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Barry, in June 2025.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 75° | 59° | 1.57 in | 5 | 5.2 | 72° | 4.3 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 77° | 61° | 1.11 in | 4 | 5.6 | 72° | 3.6 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 82° | 65° | 1.06 in | 5 | 5.8 | 74° | 3.6 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 86° | 69° | 1.80 in | 5 | 6.4 | 77° | 3.3 ft | – |
| MayMay | 90° | 73° | 2.39 in | 8 | 7.0 | 80° | 3.1 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 92° | 75° | 6.69 in | 15 | 7.2 | 83° | 2.8 ft | 5 |
| JulyJul | 91° | 75° | 5.07 in | 17 | 7.5 | 83° | 2.4 ft | 2 |
| AugustAug | 91° | 75° | 6.51 in | 18 | 7.5 | 84° | 2.4 ft | 7 |
| SeptemberSep | 89° | 73° | 10.81 in | 19 | 5.9 | 85° | 2.6 ft | 4 |
| OctoberOct | 86° | 70° | 7.25 in | 13 | 6.0 | 82° | 3.2 ft | 2 |
| NovemberNov | 81° | 64° | 3.70 in | 9 | 5.7 | 79° | 4.0 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 76° | 60° | 1.78 in | 5 | 5.3 | 75° | 4.0 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 72° | 4.3 ft | – |
| Feb | 72° | 3.6 ft | – |
| Mar | 74° | 3.6 ft | – |
| Apr | 77° | 3.3 ft | – |
| May | 80° | 3.1 ft | – |
| Jun | 83° | 2.8 ft | 5 |
| Jul | 83° | 2.4 ft | 2 |
| Aug | 84° | 2.4 ft | 7 |
| Sep | 85° | 2.6 ft | 4 |
| Oct | 82° | 3.2 ft | 2 |
| Nov | 79° | 4.0 ft | – |
| Dec | 75° | 4.0 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 49.74 in of rain on about 121 days and about 2,300 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 72 °F now (feels like 79 °F). Today, 70 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 84 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 94%, with 0.09 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 53% and 0.00 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.06 in; last 3 days, 0.18 in; last 7 days, 2.21 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 99% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 9
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.07 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Light drizzle | 69 / 84 °F | 0.06 in | 6 mph NNW |
| Tue 27 | Light drizzle | 69 / 85 °F | 0.01 in | 7 mph NNW |
| Mon 26 | Drizzle | 70 / 79 °F | 0.11 in | 6 mph NW |
| Sun 25 | Light rain | 70 / 80 °F | 0.46 in | 7 mph WNW |
| Sat 24 | Drizzle | 70 / 85 °F | 0.18 in | 9 mph NW |
| Fri 23 | Heavy drizzle | 70 / 82 °F | 0.18 in | 7 mph NNE |
| Thu 22 | Rain | 72 / 84 °F | 1.41 in | 7 mph NW |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Rain | 71 / 79 °F | 1.30 in | 8 mph WNW |
| Tue 20 | Drizzle | 70 / 83 °F | 0.16 in | 10 mph NW |
| Mon 19 | Overcast | 67 / 82 °F | 0 | 9 mph WNW |
| Sun 18 | Light drizzle | 65 / 74 °F | 0.02 in | 12 mph WNW |
| Sat 17 | Heavy drizzle | 63 / 70 °F | 0.10 in | 17 mph WNW |
| Fri 16 | Showers | 70 / 83 °F | 1.42 in | 15 mph NNW |
| Thu 15 | Light showers | 75 / 82 °F | 0.43 in | 9 mph NE |
| Wed 14 | Light drizzle | 77 / 87 °F | 0.16 in | 8 mph ENE |
| Tue 13 | Light drizzle | 77 / 89 °F | 0.03 in | 10 mph E |
| Mon 12 | Light drizzle | 75 / 86 °F | 0.06 in | 9 mph ENE |
| Sun 11 | Light drizzle | 74 / 88 °F | 0.06 in | 5 mph NNW |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 73 / 85 °F | 0.11 in | 8 mph WNW |
| Fri 9 | Light drizzle | 75 / 82 °F | 0.01 in | 6 mph W |
| Thu 8 | Drizzle | 75 / 86 °F | 0.15 in | 9 mph WNW |
| Wed 7 | Overcast | 77 / 90 °F | 0 | 12 mph WNW |
| Tue 6 | Drizzle | 74 / 86 °F | 0.11 in | 11 mph WNW |
| Mon 5 | Showers | 73 / 80 °F | 1.74 in | 10 mph WNW |
| Sun 4 | Light showers | 74 / 81 °F | 1.06 in | 9 mph W |
| Sat 3 | Light showers | 74 / 85 °F | 0.76 in | 9 mph NW |
| Fri 2 | Light showers | 75 / 90 °F | 0.54 in | 6 mph NW |
| Thu 1 | Light showers | 76 / 89 °F | 0.33 in | 8 mph E |
| Wed 30 | Light drizzle | 80 / 93 °F | 0.06 in | 9 mph ESE |
| Tue 29 | Drizzle | 78 / 91 °F | 0.12 in | 8 mph ESE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in La Victoria (La Peñita)Questions
What's the weather like today in La Victoria (La Peñita)?
Drizzle, from 70 °F to 82 °F, with a light breeze from the west (5 mph) and a 94% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in La Victoria (La Peñita)?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 14% (0.01 in): light drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 87 °F; the warmest day, Sunday 1.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.04 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit La Victoria (La Peñita)?
The best time to visit La Victoria (La Peñita) is from December to April: highs of 75 °F to 86 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in La Victoria (La Peñita) in October?
In October, La Victoria (La Peñita) normally sees highs of 86 °F and lows of 70 °F, with about 13 rainy days (7.25 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 82 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in La Victoria (La Peñita)?
The warmest is June, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 59 °F. The wettest is September (10.81 in) and the driest, March.
When is hurricane season in La Victoria (La Peñita)?
Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of La Victoria (La Peñita), about 7 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Barry, in June 2025.
More about La Victoria (La Peñita) today
Weather near La Victoria (La Peñita)
- Santiago de la Peña 72 °F · clear · 2.3 mi
- Barra de Cazones 73 °F · mainly clear · 18 mi
- Estero de Milpas 72 °F · clear · 22 mi
- Gutiérrez Zamora 72 °F · clear · 38 mi
- La Guadalupe 70 °F · mainly clear · 49 mi
- Cucharas 71 °F · partly cloudy · 51 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:41 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from