Weather in Estero de Milpas

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:49 pm (CST)

Now · clear 76 °F

Feels like: 85 °F
Low / high: 69 / 84 °F
Rain: 82% · 0.06 in
Wind: 2 mph E

↗ 30.01 inHg · rising UV 6 · high

Today in Estero de Milpas: drizzle, 69 °F to 84 °F, with a 82% chance of rain (0.06 in) and a light air from the east (2 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 70 °F to 84 °F and a 88% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 86 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

84° 69°
Today
84° 70°
Thu 29
86° 70°
Fri 30
86° 68°
Sat 31
86° 72°
Sun 1
86° 71°
Mon 2
86° 72°
Tue 3
79° 75°
Wed 4
78° 66°
Thu 5
76° 61°
Fri 6
78° 58°
Sat 7
78° 56°
Sun 8
78° 58°
Mon 9
79° 60°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Drizzle	69 / 84 °F	82% · 0.06 in	6 mph N	1.9 ft	6:44 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light rain	70 / 84 °F	88% · 0.22 in	5 mph E	1.6 ft	8:18 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	70 / 86 °F	22%	8 mph SSE	1.6 ft	10:11 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	68 / 86 °F	12% · 0.03 in	6 mph NNW	1.4 ft	10:55 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	72 / 86 °F	59% · 0.09 in	5 mph N	1.2 ft	11:17 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	71 / 86 °F	38% · 0.09 in	6 mph ESE	1.1 ft	11:21 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	72 / 86 °F	18%	9 mph SSE	1.9 ft	8:36 am · 11:14 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	75 / 79 °F	49% · 0.12 in	13 mph NNW	2.3 ft	11:02 am · 11:06 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	66 / 78 °F	25%	9 mph NW	2.6 ft	12:41 pm · 10:59 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Clear sky	61 / 76 °F	20%	10 mph NW	6.8 ft	2:16 pm · 10:48 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Mainly clear	58 / 78 °F	29%	4 mph NNW	5.4 ft	3:19 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	56 / 78 °F	35%	4 mph NW	3.6 ft	4:11 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	58 / 78 °F	49%	4 mph N	2.3 ft	5:01 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	60 / 79 °F	29%	5 mph NW	1.9 ft	5:50 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Drizzle	Clear	Clear
Temperature	71°	69°	69°	77°	84°	82°	77°	74°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	18%	82%	16%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 WSW	3 W	2 WNW	2 N	4 NNE	6 ENE	2 ENE	0 W
Humidity	91%	95%	94%	80%	62%	69%	86%	90%
UV	0	0	0	3	6	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	84°	84°	86°	86°	86°	86°	86°
AIFS	84°	83°	85°	86°	86°	86°	86°
GFS	82°	84°	82°	85°	86°	85°	85°
ICON	82°	81°	83°	86°	87°	85°	84°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.22 in	0	0.03 in	0.09 in	0.09 in	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0.05 in	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0.06 in	0.01 in	0.06 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.01 in	0.04 in	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	613	511	816	614	516	618	924
AIFS	5	5	6	5	5	7	8
GFS	88	811	910	99	77	1012	910
ICON	714	612	714	815	816	816	1124
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	82%	88%	22%	12%	59%	38%	18%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	77%	42%	29%	3%	3%	0%	27%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +4.1 °F	A bit below −43%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	78° / 66°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	79° / 67°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +27%	77° / 66°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.4 °F	Normal	75° / 64°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
December	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal
January	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
February	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal
March	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Estero de Milpas climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Estero de Milpas is from December to April: highs of 74 °F to 86 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Estero de Milpas, about 6 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Barry, in June 2025.

74° 59°

JanJ
77° 61°

FebF
81° 64°

MarM
86° 69°

AprA
90° 73°

MayM
91° 75°

JunJ
91° 75°

JulJ
91° 74°

AugA
89° 73°

SepS
86° 70°

OctO
80° 64°

NovN
75° 60°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	74°	59°	1.53 in	5	5.4	72°	1.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	77°	61°	1.36 in	4	5.8	72°	1.5 ft	–
MarchMar	81°	64°	0.94 in	5	6.3	74°	1.5 ft	–
AprilApr	86°	69°	1.73 in	5	6.8	77°	1.4 ft	–
MayMay	90°	73°	3.15 in	8	7.4	80°	1.4 ft	–
JuneJun	91°	75°	6.47 in	15	7.7	83°	1.3 ft	5
JulyJul	91°	75°	6.02 in	17	8.0	83°	1.1 ft	1
AugustAug	91°	74°	7.42 in	18	7.9	84°	1.1 ft	6
SeptemberSep	89°	73°	13.33 in	19	6.2	85°	1.2 ft	4
OctoberOct	86°	70°	8.92 in	13	6.3	83°	1.4 ft	1
NovemberNov	80°	64°	3.30 in	9	5.9	79°	1.6 ft	–
DecemberDec	75°	60°	1.72 in	5	5.5	75°	1.6 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	72°	1.7 ft	–
Feb	72°	1.5 ft	–
Mar	74°	1.5 ft	–
Apr	77°	1.4 ft	–
May	80°	1.4 ft	–
Jun	83°	1.3 ft	5
Jul	83°	1.1 ft	1
Aug	84°	1.1 ft	6
Sep	85°	1.2 ft	4
Oct	83°	1.4 ft	1
Nov	79°	1.6 ft	–
Dec	75°	1.6 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 55.89 in of rain on about 121 days and about 2,400 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 85 °F

Tomorrow70 / 84 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 69 °F to 84 °F; tomorrow, 70 °F to 84 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 82% 0.06 in
Thu 29 88% 0.22 in
Fri 30 22%
Sat 31 12% 0.03 in
Sun 1 59% 0.09 in
Mon 2 38% 0.09 in
Tue 3 18%

Today the chance of rain reaches 82%, with 0.06 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 88% and 0.22 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.06 in; last 3 days, 0.24 in; last 7 days, 2.60 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity88%

Dew point72 °F

Humidity is 88% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds6%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak6high

Thu 29: 7 · Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 29.88

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.07 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	68 / 86 °F	0.01 in	5 mph NW
Mon 26	Heavy drizzle	69 / 81 °F	0.17 in	6 mph NW
Sun 25	Rain	71 / 82 °F	0.39 in	6 mph NNW
Sat 24	Drizzle	70 / 83 °F	0.19 in	6 mph NNE
Fri 23	Drizzle	68 / 82 °F	0.23 in	5 mph NNE
Thu 22	Rain	72 / 83 °F	0.79 in	9 mph NNW
Wed 21	Rain	72 / 80 °F	0.99 in	9 mph NW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Drizzle	72 / 83 °F	0.18 in	11 mph NW
Mon 19	Overcast	67 / 81 °F	0	10 mph NW
Sun 18	Drizzle	65 / 73 °F	0.06 in	11 mph WNW
Sat 17	Drizzle	66 / 71 °F	0.06 in	17 mph WNW
Fri 16	Showers	71 / 83 °F	0.81 in	17 mph NNW
Thu 15	Showers	74 / 85 °F	0.64 in	7 mph NNE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.16 in	7 mph E
Tue 13	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.04 in	9 mph SE
Mon 12	Drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.12 in	7 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.01 in	6 mph NNW
Sat 10	Drizzle	74 / 85 °F	0.13 in	9 mph NW
Fri 9	Overcast	76 / 84 °F	0	7 mph WNW
Thu 8	Light showers	76 / 86 °F	0.38 in	9 mph NW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.01 in	13 mph NW
Tue 6	Drizzle	74 / 85 °F	0.19 in	13 mph WNW
Mon 5	Showers	73 / 79 °F	1.76 in	10 mph NW
Sun 4	Light showers	74 / 81 °F	1.24 in	12 mph WNW
Sat 3	Light showers	74 / 85 °F	1.20 in	9 mph NW
Fri 2	Light showers	75 / 89 °F	0.89 in	7 mph WNW
Thu 1	Thunderstorm	76 / 89 °F	0.35 in	7 mph ESE
Wed 30	Drizzle	79 / 93 °F	0.16 in	9 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.09 in	8 mph SE
Mon 28	Drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.22 in	7 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Estero de MilpasQuestions

What's the weather like today in Estero de Milpas?

Drizzle, from 69 °F to 84 °F, with a light air from the east (2 mph) and a 82% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Estero de Milpas?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 88% (0.22 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 68 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 6 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.01 inHg and rising: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Estero de Milpas?

The best time to visit Estero de Milpas is from December to April: highs of 74 °F to 86 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Estero de Milpas in October?

In October, Estero de Milpas normally sees highs of 86 °F and lows of 70 °F, with about 13 rainy days (8.92 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Estero de Milpas?

The warmest is June, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 59 °F. The wettest is September (13.33 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in Estero de Milpas?

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Estero de Milpas, about 6 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Barry, in June 2025.

More about Estero de Milpas today

Weather near Estero de Milpas

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:49 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from