Weather in Casitas

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:11 am (CST)

Now · mainly clear 71 °F

Feels like: 77 °F
Low / high: 69 / 82 °F
Rain: 69% · 0.02 in
Wind: 4 mph SW

→ 30.04 inHg · steady UV 8 · very high

Today in Casitas: light drizzle, 69 °F to 82 °F, with a 69% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a light breeze from the southwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 69 °F to 84 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 86 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (47%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 69°
Today
84° 69°
Fri 30
85° 69°
Sat 31
86° 69°
Sun 1
86° 71°
Mon 2
86° 72°
Tue 3
80° 73°
Wed 4
78° 68°
Thu 5
77° 63°
Fri 6
78° 58°
Sat 7
78° 55°
Sun 8
78° 58°
Mon 9
80° 61°
Tue 10
80° 63°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	69 / 82 °F	69% · 0.02 in	7 mph E	2.6 ft	8:04 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	69 / 84 °F	2%	6 mph E	2.4 ft	9:25 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	69 / 85 °F	6%	8 mph N	2.3 ft	10:22 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Mainly clear	69 / 86 °F	31%	6 mph NW	2.0 ft	10:55 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	71 / 86 °F	14% · 0.04 in	7 mph ESE	1.6 ft	11:11 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	72 / 86 °F	10%	5 mph ENE	3.4 ft	8:57 am · 11:17 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	73 / 80 °F	47% · 0.09 in	13 mph WNW	3.7 ft	11:03 am · 11:17 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	68 / 78 °F	35% · 0.00 in	8 mph W	5.2 ft	12:32 pm · 11:11 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Clear sky	63 / 77 °F	19%	8 mph NW	7.7 ft	1:42 pm · 10:57 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Clear sky	58 / 78 °F	24%	6 mph W	—	2:43 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Partly cloudy	55 / 78 °F	32%	4 mph WSW	—	3:39 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	58 / 78 °F	41%	5 mph WNW	—	4:34 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	61 / 80 °F	37%	6 mph WNW	—	5:31 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	63 / 80 °F	27%	9 mph WNW	—	6:32 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear	Clear
Temperature	71°	69°	70°	78°	82°	82°	77°	75°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	24%	69%	6%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 SW	2 SW	3 WSW	1 WNW	4 NE	7 E	4 E	2 SSE
Humidity	99%	100%	100%	85%	74%	72%	85%	91%
UV	0	0	0	3	8	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	82°	84°	85°	86°	86°	86°	80°
AIFS	84°	85°	86°	86°	86°	87°	86°
GFS	82°	82°	83°	84°	83°	85°	79°
ICON	82°	86°	87°	88°	88°	91°	91°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.02 in	0	0	0	0.04 in	0	0.09 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.28 in
GFS	0	0.03 in	0	0	0	0	0.30 in
ICON	0.05 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	715	614	817	616	719	517	1328
AIFS	5	5	4	4	6	6	8
GFS	911	1012	910	99	911	99	1720
ICON	713	713	815	815	916	817	815
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	69%	2%	6%	31%	14%	10%	47%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	23%	10%	0%	3%	0%	23%	24%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +3.2 °F	A bit below −45%	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	79° / 73°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +20%	A bit above +1.3 °F	77° / 72°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	76° / 70°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F
December	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F
January	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F
February	Normal −0.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F
March	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Casitas climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Casitas is from December to April: highs of 74 °F to 85 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Casitas, about 7 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Barry, in June 2025.

74° 61°

JanJ
77° 62°

FebF
81° 66°

MarM
85° 70°

AprA
89° 74°

MayM
90° 75°

JunJ
90° 75°

JulJ
90° 74°

AugA
89° 74°

SepS
86° 71°

OctO
81° 65°

NovN
76° 62°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	74°	61°	3.35 in	7	4.9	73°	4.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	77°	62°	2.50 in	6	5.5	73°	4.0 ft	–
MarchMar	81°	66°	2.52 in	6	5.8	74°	3.9 ft	–
AprilApr	85°	70°	3.86 in	6	6.2	77°	3.5 ft	–
MayMay	89°	74°	3.00 in	11	6.9	80°	3.2 ft	–
JuneJun	90°	75°	4.93 in	20	7.3	83°	2.9 ft	5
JulyJul	90°	75°	4.69 in	21	7.5	83°	2.5 ft	1
AugustAug	90°	74°	6.46 in	23	7.4	85°	2.4 ft	8
SeptemberSep	89°	74°	13.19 in	24	5.6	85°	2.7 ft	4
OctoberOct	86°	71°	10.07 in	16	5.9	83°	3.5 ft	2
NovemberNov	81°	65°	7.53 in	11	5.5	79°	4.5 ft	–
DecemberDec	76°	62°	4.39 in	7	5.2	76°	4.4 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	73°	4.7 ft	–
Feb	73°	4.0 ft	–
Mar	74°	3.9 ft	–
Apr	77°	3.5 ft	–
May	80°	3.2 ft	–
Jun	83°	2.9 ft	5
Jul	83°	2.5 ft	1
Aug	85°	2.4 ft	8
Sep	85°	2.7 ft	4
Oct	83°	3.5 ft	2
Nov	79°	4.5 ft	–
Dec	76°	4.4 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 66.48 in of rain on about 159 days and about 2,250 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now71 °Ffeels like 77 °F

Tomorrow69 / 84 °F

It's 71 °F now (feels like 77 °F). Today, 69 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 69 °F to 84 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 69% 0.02 in
Fri 30 2%
Sat 31 6%
Sun 1 31%
Mon 2 14% 0.04 in
Tue 3 10%
Wed 4 47% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 69%, with 0.02 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 47% and 0.09 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.06 in; last 3 days, 0.20 in; last 7 days, 1.97 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity99%

Dew point70 °F

Humidity is 99% now and the dew point is 70 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds31%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8very high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.0030.10 29.87

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.07 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	69 / 84 °F	0.06 in	6 mph W
Tue 27	Light drizzle	68 / 83 °F	0.04 in	7 mph WNW
Mon 26	Drizzle	70 / 79 °F	0.11 in	6 mph WNW
Sun 25	Drizzle	71 / 80 °F	0.27 in	6 mph W
Sat 24	Drizzle	70 / 83 °F	0.13 in	8 mph W
Fri 23	Light drizzle	68 / 83 °F	0.04 in	8 mph NW
Thu 22	Light showers	72 / 84 °F	1.48 in	8 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Rain	72 / 78 °F	2.07 in	12 mph W
Tue 20	Rain	72 / 75 °F	1.24 in	10 mph W
Mon 19	Overcast	69 / 83 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Sun 18	Overcast	65 / 74 °F	0	13 mph W
Sat 17	Heavy rain	62 / 72 °F	1.78 in	17 mph W
Fri 16	Showers	73 / 85 °F	1.47 in	11 mph NW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	76 / 84 °F	0.15 in	9 mph NNW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.02 in	11 mph E
Tue 13	Light drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.05 in	12 mph E
Mon 12	Drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.14 in	8 mph ENE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.04 in	8 mph NW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.02 in	9 mph WNW
Fri 9	Rain	74 / 86 °F	0.34 in	10 mph W
Thu 8	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.27 in	10 mph W
Wed 7	Light drizzle	80 / 92 °F	0.02 in	13 mph WNW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.09 in	13 mph W
Mon 5	Heavy drizzle	74 / 85 °F	0.30 in	11 mph WNW
Sun 4	Light showers	74 / 83 °F	0.57 in	10 mph WNW
Sat 3	Showers	74 / 88 °F	0.88 in	7 mph W
Fri 2	Light showers	74 / 89 °F	0.44 in	8 mph WNW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	80 / 92 °F	0.09 in	8 mph NNW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	80 / 95 °F	0.02 in	10 mph ESE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	77 / 94 °F	0.05 in	8 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CasitasQuestions

What's the weather like today in Casitas?

Light drizzle, from 69 °F to 82 °F, with a light breeze from the southwest (4 mph) and a 69% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Casitas?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 69 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.04 inHg and steady: −0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Casitas?

The best time to visit Casitas is from December to April: highs of 74 °F to 85 °F, about 7 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Casitas in October?

In October, Casitas normally sees highs of 86 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 16 rainy days (10.07 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 83 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Casitas?

The warmest is June, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 61 °F. The wettest is September (13.19 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Casitas?

Hurricane season: from June to September, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Casitas, about 7 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Barry, in June 2025.

More about Casitas today

Weather near Casitas

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 13 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:11 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from