Weather in San Carlos

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:39 pm (GMT-7)

Now · clear 79 °F

Feels like: 83 °F
Low / high: 70 / 89 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 7 mph W

↗ 29.88 inHg · rising UV 7 · high

Today in San Carlos: overcast, 70 °F to 89 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west (7 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 74 °F to 87 °F and a 8% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 89 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (87%).

Measured now at the airport

Guaymas/Yáñez (MMGM), 7.1 mi away · 59 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature86 °F

Wind8 mph from the south-southwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 70°
Today
87° 74°
Thu 29
81° 74°
Fri 30
84° 72°
Sat 31
85° 75°
Sun 1
84° 72°
Mon 2
83° 69°
Tue 3
84° 68°
Wed 4
84° 69°
Thu 5
83° 69°
Fri 6
82° 69°
Sat 7
86° 67°
Sun 8
91° 72°
Mon 9
90° 70°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	70 / 89 °F	0%	9 mph NW	1.6 ft	8:31 am	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	74 / 87 °F	8%	11 mph E	1.9 ft	8:34 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Showers	74 / 81 °F	87% · 0.80 in	9 mph SSE	2.7 ft	8:34 am	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	72 / 84 °F	40% · 0.02 in	4 mph ESE	1.7 ft	8:24 am	NBM
Sun 1	Showers	75 / 85 °F	23% · 0.09 in	4 mph SW	1.0 ft	7:54 am	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	72 / 84 °F	15%	17 mph NW	2.2 ft	7:36 am · 5:16 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Clear sky	69 / 83 °F	0%	14 mph NW	3.2 ft	7:33 am · 6:53 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	68 / 84 °F	3%	6 mph NW	3.1 ft	7:36 am · 8:01 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Clear sky	69 / 84 °F	3%	4 mph NW	1.9 ft	7:41 am · 8:58 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	69 / 83 °F	9%	3 mph WSW	1.4 ft	7:45 am · 9:50 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	69 / 82 °F	6%	3 mph WNW	0.7 ft	7:46 am · 10:41 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Clear sky	67 / 86 °F	9%	11 mph WNW	1.7 ft	7:43 am · 11:35 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	72 / 91 °F	6%	13 mph NW	2.3 ft	7:36 am	ECMWF
Tue 10	Clear sky	70 / 90 °F	2%	11 mph NW	2.3 ft	7:35 am	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 12:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	73°	71°	70°	82°	89°	88°	82°	78°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 NW	5 NE	7 NE	5 ENE	6 SSW	9 WSW	7 W	6 W
Humidity	65%	67%	64%	36%	37%	44%	61%	76%
UV	0	0	0	2	6	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	89°	88°	80°	83°	84°	83°	80°
AIFS	91°	88°	80°	84°	85°	81°	83°
GFS	90°	86°	85°	86°	86°	87°	87°
ICON	93°	88°	81°	86°	87°	90°	89°
HRRR	89°	85°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	89°	87°	81°	84°	85°	84°	83°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0.87 in	0.07 in	0.41 in	0.04 in	0
AIFS	0	0.02 in	1.11 in	0.24 in	0.45 in	0.02 in	0
GFS	0	0.00 in	0.11 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0	0.24 in	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0.80 in	0.02 in	0.09 in	0	0
Confidence	high	high	medium	low	low	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1018	1222	1324	1019	1123	1124	1224
AIFS	9	6	10	11	15	11	12
GFS	98	119	1517	910	1110	1421	1315
ICON	1017	1018	1221	814	917	1323	1120
HRRR	911	1112	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	37	49	912	48	49	1718	1415
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	12%	99%	54%	25%	21%	0%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	48%	95%	14%	6%	6%	0%
NBM (NOAA)	0%	8%	87%	40%	23%	15%	0%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	1%	35%	7%	8%	6%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer, much wetter and a much warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Well above +6.3 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +4.5 °F	Well above +313%	Well above +7.2 °F	82° / 73°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +4.1 °F	Well above +145%	Well above +7.7 °F	79° / 71°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +4.0 °F	Well above +103%	Well above +7.9 °F	77° / 68°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.4 °F	Well above +111%	Well above +8.3 °F	75° / 66°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	Above +3.8 °F	Well above +177%	Well above +7.7 °F
December	Above +4.3 °F	Above +54%	Well above +9.0 °F
January	Above +4.3 °F	Above +84%	Well above +8.5 °F
February	Above +2.9 °F	Well above +185%	Well above +7.0 °F
March	Above +3.1 °F	Well above +151%	Well above +5.8 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

San Carlos climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit San Carlos is from November to April: highs of 76 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of San Carlos, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lorena, in September 2019.

76° 52°

JanJ
78° 54°

FebF
82° 57°

MarM
87° 63°

AprA
93° 70°

MayM
97° 79°

JunJ
98° 83°

JulJ
98° 83°

AugA
96° 80°

SepS
92° 71°

OctO
83° 60°

NovN
76° 53°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	76°	52°	0.53 in	1	6.8	65°	2.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	78°	54°	0.31 in	1	7.1	65°	1.9 ft	–
MarchMar	82°	57°	0.17 in	0	7.7	66°	1.5 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	63°	0.05 in	0	8.5	69°	1.5 ft	–
MayMay	93°	70°	0.03 in	0	9.5	74°	1.4 ft	–
JuneJun	97°	79°	0.14 in	1	9.7	80°	1.6 ft	–
JulyJul	98°	83°	1.28 in	7	8.6	84°	1.7 ft	–
AugustAug	98°	83°	1.79 in	8	8.7	86°	1.6 ft	–
SeptemberSep	96°	80°	3.09 in	5	7.7	86°	1.6 ft	5
OctoberOct	92°	71°	0.77 in	1	8.0	82°	1.7 ft	1
NovemberNov	83°	60°	0.33 in	1	7.4	74°	1.9 ft	–
DecemberDec	76°	53°	0.30 in	1	6.6	68°	2.3 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	65°	2.1 ft	–
Feb	65°	1.9 ft	–
Mar	66°	1.5 ft	–
Apr	69°	1.5 ft	–
May	74°	1.4 ft	–
Jun	80°	1.6 ft	–
Jul	84°	1.7 ft	–
Aug	86°	1.6 ft	–
Sep	86°	1.6 ft	5
Oct	82°	1.7 ft	1
Nov	74°	1.9 ft	–
Dec	68°	2.3 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 8.80 in of rain on about 29 days and about 2,950 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now79 °Ffeels like 83 °F

Tomorrow74 / 87 °F

It's 79 °F now (feels like 83 °F). Today, 70 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 87 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 8%
Fri 30 87% 0.80 in
Sat 31 40% 0.02 in
Sun 1 23% 0.09 in
Mon 2 15%
Tue 3 0%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 87% and 0.80 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity69%

Dew point68 °F

Humidity is 69% now and the dew point is 68 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds5%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.77

Rising now (+0.04 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 30

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	71 / 86 °F	8 mph W
Mon 26	Partly cloudy	71 / 87 °F	12 mph NW
Sun 25	Overcast	72 / 86 °F	12 mph NW
Sat 24	Mainly clear	73 / 85 °F	10 mph WNW
Fri 23	Clear sky	76 / 87 °F	11 mph NW
Thu 22	Overcast	81 / 89 °F	13 mph WNW
Wed 21	Overcast	83 / 92 °F	6 mph WSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	81 / 94 °F	0	11 mph W
Mon 19	Mainly clear	79 / 92 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Sun 18	Light drizzle	77 / 91 °F	0.05 in	10 mph NW
Sat 17	Mainly clear	79 / 92 °F	0	10 mph NNW
Fri 16	Light rain	74 / 94 °F	0.18 in	16 mph NNE
Thu 15	Clear sky	69 / 89 °F	0	12 mph NW
Wed 14	Mainly clear	74 / 87 °F	0	15 mph NNW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	77 / 86 °F	0.01 in	7 mph WNW
Mon 12	Mainly clear	78 / 87 °F	0	8 mph W
Sun 11	Light showers	79 / 86 °F	0.43 in	13 mph SSW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	82 / 90 °F	0.07 in	15 mph SSE
Fri 9	Clear sky	82 / 94 °F	0	7 mph SSE
Thu 8	Mainly clear	84 / 93 °F	0	7 mph WNW
Wed 7	Clear sky	84 / 96 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Tue 6	Overcast	83 / 94 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Mon 5	Drizzle	83 / 89 °F	0.14 in	7 mph NW
Sun 4	Drizzle	82 / 93 °F	0.11 in	7 mph NNW
Sat 3	Overcast	81 / 93 °F	0	8 mph E
Fri 2	Mainly clear	76 / 91 °F	0	6 mph NW
Thu 1	Clear sky	75 / 89 °F	0	7 mph NW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.04 in	8 mph NNW
Tue 29	Thunderstorm	76 / 87 °F	0.85 in	23 mph ESE
Mon 28	Thunderstorm	79 / 88 °F	0.52 in	11 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in San CarlosQuestions

What's the weather like today in San Carlos?

Overcast, from 70 °F to 89 °F, with a light breeze from the west (7 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in San Carlos?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 8% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 69 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.88 inHg and rising: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit San Carlos?

The best time to visit San Carlos is from November to April: highs of 76 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in San Carlos in October?

In October, San Carlos normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 1 rainy days (0.77 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 82 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in San Carlos?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 98 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 52 °F. The wettest is September (3.09 in) and the driest, May.

When is hurricane season in San Carlos?

Hurricane season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of San Carlos, about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lorena, in September 2019.

More about San Carlos today

Weather near San Carlos

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:39 pm (local time).

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