Weather in Guásimas (De Belem)

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:40 pm (GMT-7)

Now · mainly clear 78 °F

Feels like: 84 °F
Low / high: 64 / 92 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 4 mph WSW

↗ 29.88 inHg · rising UV 7 · high

Today in Guásimas (De Belem): overcast, 64 °F to 92 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west-southwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 71 °F to 89 °F and a 8% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 92 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (70%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

92° 64°
Today
89° 71°
Thu 29
83° 70°
Fri 30
87° 69°
Sat 31
87° 70°
Sun 1
87° 69°
Mon 2
86° 64°
Tue 3
86° 64°
Wed 4
86° 64°
Thu 5
85° 64°
Fri 6
84° 64°
Sat 7
89° 63°
Sun 8
94° 69°
Mon 9
92° 68°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	64 / 92 °F	0%	12 mph WNW	1.1 ft	8:34 am	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	71 / 89 °F	8% · 0.01 in	12 mph SW	1.2 ft	8:39 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light showers	70 / 83 °F	70% · 0.78 in	9 mph SSE	2.0 ft	8:49 am	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	69 / 87 °F	26% · 0.02 in	6 mph SSE	1.1 ft	8:55 am	NBM
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	70 / 87 °F	20% · 0.09 in	8 mph SW	0.9 ft	8:23 am	NBM
Mon 2	Drizzle	69 / 87 °F	15% · 0.02 in	10 mph NW	1.8 ft	7:34 am · 5:29 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Clear sky	64 / 86 °F	0%	9 mph NW	2.0 ft	7:28 am · 6:59 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Clear sky	64 / 86 °F	1%	6 mph WNW	1.8 ft	7:34 am · 8:04 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Clear sky	64 / 86 °F	2%	5 mph SSE	1.1 ft	7:43 am · 9:02 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	64 / 85 °F	6%	6 mph SSW	1.0 ft	7:52 am · 9:57 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	64 / 84 °F	7%	6 mph W	0.9 ft	7:57 am · 10:52 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Clear sky	63 / 89 °F	18%	9 mph WNW	1.7 ft	7:52 am · 11:52 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	69 / 94 °F	6%	6 mph NNW	3.4 ft	7:39 am	ECMWF
Tue 10	Clear sky	68 / 92 °F	2%	6 mph W	3.0 ft	7:41 am	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 12:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear	Partly cloudy
Temperature	69°	65°	64°	78°	92°	91°	82°	77°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 NNE	6 N	6 N	4 N	5 SW	11 WSW	7 WSW	5 WSW
Humidity	64%	68%	59%	40%	32%	40%	66%	75%
UV	0	0	0	2	7	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature on Friday 30: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	94°	94°	79°	86°	85°	83°	83°
AIFS	92°	89°	79°	84°	85°	82°	84°
GFS	89°	84°	85°	86°	85°	89°	89°
ICON	93°	87°	84°	87°	86°	88°	88°
HRRR	92°	86°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	92°	90°	83°	87°	87°	87°	86°
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0.80 in	0.04 in	0.12 in	0.19 in	0
AIFS	0	0.02 in	0.99 in	0.26 in	0.43 in	0.07 in	0
GFS	0	0	0.28 in	0	0	0.04 in	0
ICON	0	0	0.42 in	0.01 in	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0.01 in	0.78 in	0.02 in	0.09 in	0.02 in	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	low	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	919	1122	615	917	1225	720	918
AIFS	7	6	7	9	13	6	6
GFS	129	129	1517	1210	1414	1413	1212
ICON	1017	1017	1019	916	1017	1120	815
HRRR	1214	1416	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	910	911	911	68	89	1012	911
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	18%	95%	47%	20%	22%	0%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	32%	90%	29%	6%	10%	0%
NBM (NOAA)	0%	8%	70%	26%	20%	15%	0%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	2%	33%	10%	7%	7%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit below −1.4 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +2.3 °F	Well above +172%	88° / 67°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	84° / 65°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	81° / 61°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	78° / 59°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Well above +137%
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal
January	A bit above +2.3 °F	Above +59%
February	Normal +0.5 °F	Well above +130%
March	Normal +0.7 °F	Well above +130%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Guásimas (De Belem) climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Guásimas (De Belem) is from November to April: highs of 78 °F to 89 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Guásimas (De Belem), about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lorena, in September 2019.

79° 49°

JanJ
80° 51°

FebF
84° 55°

MarM
89° 60°

AprA
94° 67°

MayM
97° 75°

JunJ
98° 80°

JulJ
98° 80°

AugA
97° 78°

SepS
93° 68°

OctO
85° 57°

NovN
78° 49°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	79°	49°	0.62 in	1	6.8	65°	1.6 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	80°	51°	1.15 in	1	7.1	65°	1.4 ft	–
MarchMar	84°	55°	0.34 in	1	7.7	66°	1.3 ft	–
AprilApr	89°	60°	0.04 in	0	8.5	69°	1.2 ft	–
MayMay	94°	67°	0.03 in	0	9.6	75°	1.2 ft	–
JuneJun	97°	75°	0.41 in	1	9.6	81°	1.4 ft	–
JulyJul	98°	80°	2.15 in	9	8.2	85°	1.3 ft	–
AugustAug	98°	80°	2.57 in	11	8.5	86°	1.2 ft	–
SeptemberSep	97°	78°	4.30 in	6	7.6	86°	1.2 ft	5
OctoberOct	93°	68°	0.98 in	2	8.0	82°	1.3 ft	1
NovemberNov	85°	57°	0.19 in	1	7.3	74°	1.4 ft	–
DecemberDec	78°	49°	0.26 in	1	6.5	67°	1.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	65°	1.6 ft	–
Feb	65°	1.4 ft	–
Mar	66°	1.3 ft	–
Apr	69°	1.2 ft	–
May	75°	1.2 ft	–
Jun	81°	1.4 ft	–
Jul	85°	1.3 ft	–
Aug	86°	1.2 ft	–
Sep	86°	1.2 ft	5
Oct	82°	1.3 ft	1
Nov	74°	1.4 ft	–
Dec	67°	1.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 13.02 in of rain on about 34 days and about 2,900 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 84 °F

Tomorrow71 / 89 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 84 °F). Today, 64 °F to 92 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 89 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 8% 0.01 in
Fri 30 70% 0.78 in
Sat 31 26% 0.02 in
Sun 1 20% 0.09 in
Mon 2 15% 0.02 in
Tue 3 0%

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 70% and 0.78 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity74%

Dew point69 °F

Humidity is 74% now and the dew point is 69 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now13 migood

Clouds33%

Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Thu 29: 6 · Fri 30: 5 · Sat 31: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.75

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 23

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	67 / 91 °F	0	9 mph SSW
Mon 26	Overcast	72 / 90 °F	0	11 mph W
Sun 25	Overcast	71 / 87 °F	0	7 mph NW
Sat 24	Clear sky	71 / 89 °F	0	8 mph WNW
Fri 23	Clear sky	76 / 91 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Thu 22	Overcast	82 / 94 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Wed 21	Light drizzle	81 / 98 °F	0.01 in	10 mph SSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	79 / 100 °F	0	11 mph SW
Mon 19	Mainly clear	79 / 97 °F	0	9 mph W
Sun 18	Light drizzle	77 / 99 °F	0.06 in	12 mph N
Sat 17	Light drizzle	78 / 97 °F	0.01 in	13 mph NE
Fri 16	Mainly clear	74 / 101 °F	0	16 mph ENE
Thu 15	Clear sky	70 / 94 °F	0	6 mph NW
Wed 14	Clear sky	74 / 92 °F	0	14 mph NW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	73 / 90 °F	0.02 in	10 mph SW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	78 / 91 °F	0.05 in	8 mph S
Sun 11	Drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.13 in	14 mph S
Sat 10	Light drizzle	80 / 97 °F	0.05 in	13 mph SSE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	80 / 100 °F	0.05 in	6 mph S
Thu 8	Clear sky	82 / 99 °F	0	6 mph SW
Wed 7	Clear sky	83 / 100 °F	0	10 mph WSW
Tue 6	Light drizzle	82 / 96 °F	0.06 in	9 mph WSW
Mon 5	Drizzle	80 / 90 °F	0.12 in	7 mph SE
Sun 4	Drizzle	80 / 100 °F	0.12 in	8 mph NE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	78 / 98 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SSE
Fri 2	Mainly clear	72 / 95 °F	0	9 mph NW
Thu 1	Clear sky	72 / 91 °F	0	8 mph NW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.05 in	7 mph N
Tue 29	Light showers	76 / 86 °F	0.59 in	20 mph SE
Mon 28	Light showers	77 / 92 °F	0.43 in	10 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Guásimas (De Belem)Questions

What's the weather like today in Guásimas (De Belem)?

Overcast, from 64 °F to 92 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (4 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Guásimas (De Belem)?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 8% (0.01 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 64 °F and a high of 92 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.88 inHg and rising: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Guásimas (De Belem)?

The best time to visit Guásimas (De Belem) is from November to April: highs of 78 °F to 89 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Guásimas (De Belem) in October?

In October, Guásimas (De Belem) normally sees highs of 93 °F and lows of 68 °F, with about 2 rainy days (0.98 in for the month) and 8 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 82 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Guásimas (De Belem)?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 98 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 49 °F. The wettest is September (4.30 in) and the driest, May.

When is hurricane season in Guásimas (De Belem)?

Hurricane season: in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Guásimas (De Belem), about 2 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lorena, in September 2019.

More about Guásimas (De Belem) today

Weather near Guásimas (De Belem)

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:40 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from