Weather in Nuevo Vallarta

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:38 am (CST)

Now · partly cloudy 73 °F

Feels like: 81 °F
Low / high: 72 / 89 °F
Rain: 57% · 0.04 in
Wind: 4 mph NE

→ 29.88 inHg · steady UV 9 · very high

Today in Nuevo Vallarta: light drizzle, 72 °F to 89 °F, with a 57% chance of rain (0.04 in) and a light breeze from the northeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 72 °F to 88 °F and a 33% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 89 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Measured now at the airport

Puerto Vallarta (MMPR), 3.2 mi away · 58 min ago

Visibility8.0 mi

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature75 °F

Wind3 mph from the north-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 72°
Today
88° 72°
Fri 30
88° 71°
Sat 31
88° 71°
Sun 1
89° 74°
Mon 2
89° 71°
Tue 3
88° 71°
Wed 4
85° 68°
Thu 5
86° 67°
Fri 6
86° 70°
Sat 7
87° 69°
Sun 8
87° 68°
Mon 9
87° 67°
Tue 10
87° 67°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	72 / 89 °F	57% · 0.04 in	6 mph NNE	2.7 ft	10:15 am	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	72 / 88 °F	33% · 0.04 in	7 mph N	2.6 ft	12:17 am · 10:47 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	71 / 88 °F	0%	6 mph NNE	2.4 ft	11:23 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	71 / 88 °F	2%	5 mph N	2.4 ft	1:35 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Overcast	74 / 89 °F	15%	6 mph NNW	2.4 ft	6:34 am · 5:12 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	71 / 89 °F	10%	5 mph N	2.2 ft	6:39 am · 6:22 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	71 / 88 °F	4%	5 mph N	2.3 ft	6:54 am · 7:07 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	68 / 85 °F	10%	6 mph ENE	2.1 ft	7:13 am · 7:44 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	67 / 86 °F	10%	5 mph SSE	2.9 ft	7:33 am · 8:16 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	70 / 86 °F	4%	5 mph S	2.9 ft	7:54 am · 8:46 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	69 / 87 °F	6%	5 mph NNE	3.1 ft	8:15 am · 9:15 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	68 / 87 °F	4%	5 mph NNE	3.3 ft	8:37 am · 9:43 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	67 / 87 °F	4%	5 mph NW	3.2 ft	8:58 am · 10:11 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	67 / 87 °F	2%	5 mph NE	3.3 ft	9:20 am · 10:41 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	74°	73°	72°	79°	88°	88°	84°	77°
Chance of rain	14%	8%	6%	2%	6%	25%	55%	49%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	4 NE	3 NNE	5 NE	4 NNE	4 SSW	4 SW	4 WNW	6 NE
Humidity	98%	96%	91%	79%	61%	64%	77%	93%
UV	0	0	0	2	8	5	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	89°	88°	88°	88°	89°	89°	88°
AIFS	86°	87°	86°	85°	85°	87°	85°
GFS	89°	86°	86°	87°	88°	88°	87°
ICON	89°	87°	89°	89°	89°	89°	90°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.04 in	0.04 in	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0.06 in	0.03 in	0	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.03 in
GFS	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	613	717	615	518	615	514	516
AIFS	4	4	5	5	5	4	4
GFS	97	85	74	75	86	76	86
ICON	69	711	711	711	813	712	712
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	57%	33%	0%	2%	15%	10%	4%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	56%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.6 °F	Below −56%	Above +2.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	Above +2.9 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Above +3.1 °F	82° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Above +95%	Above +2.9 °F	80° / 73°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	Above +78%	Above +3.1 °F	80° / 72°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit above +38%	Above +3.1 °F
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +87%	Well above +4.3 °F
January	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +44%	Well above +4.0 °F
February	Normal +0.5 °F	Well above +103%	Above +2.9 °F
March	A bit above +0.9 °F	Well above +122%	Above +3.1 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Nuevo Vallarta climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Nuevo Vallarta is from December to April: highs of 85 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in June and from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nuevo Vallarta, about 7 every 10 years; 11 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lidia, in October 2023.

85° 61°

JanJ
85° 60°

FebF
85° 61°

MarM
87° 63°

AprA
89° 68°

MayM
91° 75°

JunJ
92° 75°

JulJ
93° 75°

AugA
92° 75°

SepS
92° 74°

OctO
89° 68°

NovN
86° 63°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	61°	0.69 in	2	6.8	77°	3.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	85°	60°	0.50 in	1	7.6	76°	3.3 ft	–
MarchMar	85°	61°	0.08 in	0	8.1	75°	3.3 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	63°	0.03 in	0	7.6	76°	3.3 ft	–
MayMay	89°	68°	0.13 in	1	7.6	79°	3.3 ft	1
JuneJun	91°	75°	5.10 in	13	6.9	82°	3.2 ft	3
JulyJul	92°	75°	8.07 in	24	6.9	85°	2.9 ft	–
AugustAug	93°	75°	11.04 in	26	6.8	86°	3.0 ft	3
SeptemberSep	92°	75°	11.67 in	23	6.0	86°	3.3 ft	5
OctoberOct	92°	74°	3.52 in	11	6.7	86°	3.1 ft	8
NovemberNov	89°	68°	0.92 in	2	7.4	83°	3.0 ft	–
DecemberDec	86°	63°	0.80 in	1	6.6	79°	3.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	77°	3.4 ft	–
Feb	76°	3.3 ft	–
Mar	75°	3.3 ft	–
Apr	76°	3.3 ft	–
May	79°	3.3 ft	1
Jun	82°	3.2 ft	3
Jul	85°	2.9 ft	–
Aug	86°	3.0 ft	3
Sep	86°	3.3 ft	5
Oct	86°	3.1 ft	8
Nov	83°	3.0 ft	–
Dec	79°	3.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 42.57 in of rain on about 104 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now73 °Ffeels like 81 °F

Tomorrow72 / 88 °F

It's 73 °F now (feels like 81 °F). Today, 72 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 72 °F to 88 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 57% 0.04 in
Fri 30 33% 0.04 in
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 2%
Mon 2 15%
Tue 3 10%
Wed 4 4%

Today the chance of rain reaches 57%, with 0.04 in in total. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.80 in; last 3 days, 2.04 in; last 7 days, 3.01 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity97%

Dew point73 °F

Humidity is 97% now and the dew point is 73 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds79%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.95

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Rain	74 / 81 °F	0.82 in	5 mph NE
Tue 27	Showers	74 / 87 °F	0.85 in	7 mph NNE
Mon 26	Light showers	74 / 83 °F	0.37 in	6 mph NNE
Sun 25	Thunderstorm	76 / 88 °F	0.37 in	6 mph NNE
Sat 24	Light showers	75 / 88 °F	0.33 in	5 mph N
Fri 23	Light showers	78 / 90 °F	0.21 in	9 mph SSE
Thu 22	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.05 in	10 mph SSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	78 / 91 °F	0.02 in	8 mph NE
Tue 20	Overcast	76 / 91 °F	0	8 mph SSE
Mon 19	Overcast	76 / 89 °F	0	8 mph E
Sun 18	Drizzle	74 / 86 °F	0.10 in	7 mph ENE
Sat 17	Drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.11 in	8 mph NE
Fri 16	Light showers	76 / 90 °F	0.22 in	5 mph NE
Thu 15	Light showers	77 / 89 °F	0.35 in	8 mph N
Wed 14	Light drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.05 in	5 mph NE
Tue 13	Drizzle	76 / 90 °F	0.25 in	7 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light showers	77 / 87 °F	0.34 in	3 mph NE
Sun 11	Light showers	76 / 80 °F	0.86 in	6 mph NNE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	78 / 85 °F	0.02 in	6 mph SE
Fri 9	Light showers	76 / 86 °F	0.29 in	8 mph E
Thu 8	Showers	76 / 88 °F	0.87 in	7 mph W
Wed 7	Drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.29 in	5 mph NNW
Tue 6	Thunderstorm	77 / 88 °F	0.32 in	5 mph ENE
Mon 5	Thunderstorm	78 / 88 °F	0.53 in	5 mph NE
Sun 4	Thunderstorm	79 / 87 °F	0.81 in	4 mph NE
Sat 3	Light showers	78 / 88 °F	0.20 in	7 mph NNE
Fri 2	Light drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.07 in	5 mph ENE
Thu 1	Showers	78 / 91 °F	0.24 in	5 mph ENE
Wed 30	Showers	78 / 83 °F	0.67 in	5 mph ENE
Tue 29	Showers	78 / 90 °F	0.57 in	4 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Nuevo VallartaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Nuevo Vallarta?

Light drizzle, from 72 °F to 89 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (4 mph) and a 57% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Nuevo Vallarta?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 33% (0.04 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.88 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Nuevo Vallarta?

The best time to visit Nuevo Vallarta is from December to April: highs of 85 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Nuevo Vallarta in October?

In October, Nuevo Vallarta normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 11 rainy days (3.52 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 86 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Nuevo Vallarta?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 93 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 60 °F. The wettest is September (11.67 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Nuevo Vallarta?

Hurricane season: in June and from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Nuevo Vallarta, about 7 every 10 years; 11 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lidia, in October 2023.

More about Nuevo Vallarta today

Weather near Nuevo Vallarta

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:38 am (local time).

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