Weather in Chacala

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:02 am (GMT-7)

Now · partly cloudy 75 °F

Feels like: 84 °F
Low / high: 74 / 87 °F
Rain: 82% · 0.09 in
Wind: 3 mph SE

→ 29.89 inHg · steady UV 8 · very high

Today in Chacala: light drizzle, 74 °F to 87 °F, with a 82% chance of rain (0.09 in) and a light air from the southeast (3 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 75 °F to 86 °F and a 13% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 88 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (41%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

87° 74°
Today
86° 75°
Fri 30
85° 75°
Sat 31
85° 74°
Sun 1
86° 76°
Mon 2
88° 76°
Tue 3
86° 74°
Wed 4
86° 70°
Thu 5
85° 68°
Fri 6
85° 69°
Sat 7
83° 70°
Sun 8
84° 71°
Mon 9
85° 70°
Tue 10
85° 72°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	82% · 0.09 in	5 mph ENE	3.4 ft	9:10 am · 11:20 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Partly cloudy	75 / 86 °F	13%	6 mph N	2.9 ft	9:47 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Mainly clear	75 / 85 °F	2%	6 mph N	2.6 ft	10:36 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	74 / 85 °F	19% · 0.02 in	6 mph NNW	2.7 ft	5:24 am · 1:09 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	41% · 0.06 in	6 mph NNW	2.6 ft	5:10 am · 3:55 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Partly cloudy	76 / 88 °F	5%	6 mph NW	2.6 ft	5:27 am · 5:08 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	74 / 86 °F	6%	5 mph N	2.6 ft	5:47 am · 5:58 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	70 / 86 °F	14%	5 mph N	2.2 ft	6:07 am · 6:39 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	68 / 85 °F	6%	5 mph W	1.7 ft	6:28 am · 7:15 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	69 / 85 °F	8%	5 mph NW	—	6:48 am · 7:47 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	70 / 83 °F	4%	4 mph NNE	—	7:08 am · 8:18 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	71 / 84 °F	4%	4 mph NNE	—	7:29 am · 8:47 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	70 / 85 °F	2%	4 mph NNE	—	7:50 am · 9:15 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	72 / 85 °F	2%	4 mph NNE	—	8:10 am · 9:45 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Overcast
Temperature	76°	75°	76°	82°	87°	84°	79°	76°
Chance of rain	26%	15%	8%	3%	17%	58%	80%	62%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 ESE	3 SE	3 SE	1 ESE	5 NW	2 NNW	2 E	5 ENE
Humidity	97%	97%	95%	82%	64%	75%	89%	97%
UV	0	0	0	4	8	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	87°	86°	85°	85°	86°	88°	86°
AIFS	87°	87°	87°	87°	87°	87°	86°
GFS	89°	88°	88°	88°	89°	89°	89°
ICON	88°	88°	88°	88°	90°	89°	88°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.09 in	0	0	0.02 in	0.06 in	0	0
AIFS	0.09 in	0.05 in	0	0.02 in	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.02 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0.03 in	0.01 in	0
ICON	0.04 in	0	0	0	0	0.02 in	0
Confidence	medium	medium	high	high	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	512	616	615	617	615	616	516
AIFS	3	3	4	4	5	4	3
GFS	68	67	68	69	711	69	67
ICON	614	614	818	818	717	616	616
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	82%	13%	2%	19%	41%	5%	6%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	58%	29%	0%	3%	6%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.7 °F	Below −88%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	87° / 65°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Well above +152%	85° / 65°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	Above +93%	85° / 63°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +49%
December	A bit above +1.3 °F	Above +71%
January	Normal −0.2 °F	A bit above +43%
February	Normal −0.7 °F	Well above +108%
March	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Chacala climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Chacala is from December to April: highs of 83 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from September to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Chacala, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lidia, in October 2023.

83° 58°

JanJ
84° 58°

FebF
85° 59°

MarM
87° 61°

AprA
90° 66°

MayM
91° 73°

JunJ
92° 74°

JulJ
92° 74°

AugA
91° 74°

SepS
92° 72°

OctO
89° 66°

NovN
85° 60°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	83°	58°	0.77 in	2	6.6	77°	3.3 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	84°	58°	0.74 in	1	7.5	76°	3.3 ft	–
MarchMar	85°	59°	0.16 in	0	8.1	76°	3.4 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	61°	0.06 in	0	7.7	77°	3.4 ft	–
MayMay	90°	66°	0.24 in	1	7.7	80°	3.4 ft	–
JuneJun	91°	73°	6.82 in	13	6.6	83°	3.4 ft	2
JulyJul	92°	74°	11.54 in	25	7.0	86°	3.1 ft	–
AugustAug	92°	74°	16.84 in	27	6.9	87°	3.2 ft	2
SeptemberSep	91°	74°	16.02 in	24	6.0	86°	3.6 ft	5
OctoberOct	92°	72°	5.05 in	11	6.8	86°	3.3 ft	8
NovemberNov	89°	66°	0.75 in	2	7.4	83°	3.1 ft	–
DecemberDec	85°	60°	0.90 in	1	6.5	79°	3.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	77°	3.3 ft	–
Feb	76°	3.3 ft	–
Mar	76°	3.4 ft	–
Apr	77°	3.4 ft	–
May	80°	3.4 ft	–
Jun	83°	3.4 ft	2
Jul	86°	3.1 ft	–
Aug	87°	3.2 ft	2
Sep	86°	3.6 ft	5
Oct	86°	3.3 ft	8
Nov	83°	3.1 ft	–
Dec	79°	3.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 59.88 in of rain on about 108 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now75 °Ffeels like 84 °F

Tomorrow75 / 86 °F

It's 75 °F now (feels like 84 °F). Today, 74 °F to 87 °F; tomorrow, 75 °F to 86 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 82% 0.09 in
Fri 30 13%
Sat 31 2%
Sun 1 19% 0.02 in
Mon 2 41% 0.06 in
Tue 3 5%
Wed 4 6%

Today the chance of rain reaches 82%, with 0.09 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 41% and 0.06 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 1.39 in; last 3 days, 2.81 in; last 7 days, 3.73 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity97%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 97% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds60%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8very high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.96

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 32

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Showers	76 / 80 °F	1.48 in	4 mph E
Tue 27	Light showers	75 / 85 °F	0.87 in	6 mph ESE
Mon 26	Light showers	76 / 82 °F	0.46 in	6 mph ESE
Sun 25	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.30 in	5 mph S
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.28 in	9 mph NE
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.25 in	6 mph NW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	81 / 90 °F	0.09 in	8 mph W

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	80 / 92 °F	0.01 in	6 mph NW
Tue 20	Overcast	80 / 90 °F	0	6 mph WNW
Mon 19	Overcast	80 / 90 °F	0	6 mph NE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.04 in	10 mph ESE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.06 in	8 mph ENE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.04 in	5 mph NNE
Thu 15	Thunderstorm	78 / 89 °F	0.46 in	4 mph SW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	79 / 88 °F	0.04 in	5 mph N
Tue 13	Thunderstorm	78 / 89 °F	0.33 in	5 mph ESE
Mon 12	Light showers	78 / 89 °F	0.38 in	7 mph SE
Sun 11	Rain	78 / 83 °F	0.72 in	7 mph E
Sat 10	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.04 in	6 mph SSW
Fri 9	Drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.14 in	3 mph NNW
Thu 8	Thunderstorm	77 / 87 °F	0.65 in	5 mph NW
Wed 7	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.27 in	5 mph NNE
Tue 6	Heavy drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.20 in	5 mph WNW
Mon 5	Showers	78 / 90 °F	0.76 in	4 mph ESE
Sun 4	Thunderstorm	79 / 88 °F	0.69 in	4 mph ESE
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	79 / 89 °F	0.32 in	8 mph SSE
Fri 2	Drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.19 in	8 mph NW
Thu 1	Drizzle	79 / 90 °F	0.22 in	4 mph ENE
Wed 30	Showers	79 / 84 °F	0.70 in	4 mph SE
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	79 / 88 °F	0.32 in	7 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ChacalaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Chacala?

Light drizzle, from 74 °F to 87 °F, with a light air from the southeast (3 mph) and a 82% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Chacala?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 13% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.89 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Chacala?

The best time to visit Chacala is from December to April: highs of 83 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Chacala in October?

In October, Chacala normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 11 rainy days (5.05 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 86 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Chacala?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 58 °F. The wettest is August (16.84 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Chacala?

Hurricane season: from September to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Chacala, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lidia, in October 2023.

More about Chacala today

Weather near Chacala

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 12 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:02 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from