Weather in La Peñita de Jaltemba
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:24 am (GMT-7)- Feels like
- 85 °F
- Low / high
- 73 / 88 °F
- Rain
- 82% · 0.19 in
- Wind
- 2 mph ESE
Today in La Peñita de Jaltemba: drizzle, 73 °F to 88 °F, with a 82% chance of rain (0.19 in) and a light air from the east-southeast (2 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 76 °F to 86 °F and a 13% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 88 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (41%).
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 73 / 88 °F | 82% · 0.19 in | 6 mph ENE | 4.1 ft | 9:15 am · 11:17 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 76 / 86 °F | 13% | 6 mph N | 3.1 ft | 9:47 am | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 74 / 85 °F | 2% | 6 mph N | 3.0 ft | 10:23 am | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 73 / 85 °F | 19% · 0.01 in | 5 mph NNW | 3.1 ft | 12:35 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 76 / 86 °F | 41% · 0.02 in | 6 mph NNW | 3.1 ft | 5:34 am · 4:12 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 74 / 87 °F | 5% | 5 mph NNW | 3.1 ft | 5:39 am · 5:22 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 74 / 86 °F | 6% | 6 mph NNW | 3.1 ft | 5:54 am · 6:07 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 71 / 84 °F | 14% | 4 mph N | 2.6 ft | 6:13 am · 6:44 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 71 / 84 °F | 6% | 5 mph NNW | 2.2 ft | 6:33 am · 7:16 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 72 / 85 °F | 8% | 5 mph WNW | — | 6:54 am · 7:46 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 73 / 85 °F | 4% | 5 mph NNW | — | 7:15 am · 8:15 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 72 / 83 °F | 4% | 5 mph N | — | 7:37 am · 8:43 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 70 / 85 °F | 2% | 4 mph NNW | — | 7:58 am · 9:11 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 71 / 85 °F | 2% | 5 mph NW | — | 8:20 am · 9:41 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Overcast | Partly cloudy | Mainly clear | Clear sky | Light drizzle | Drizzle | Drizzle | Light drizzle |
| Temperature | 76° | 74° | 75° | 83° | 88° | 85° | 79° | 75° |
| Chance of rain | 26% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 17% | 58% | 80% | 62% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.01 in | 0.02 in | 0.03 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 2 ESE | 3 SE | 4 SE | 1 N | 5 NW | 3 WNW | 2 ESE | 5 ENE |
| Humidity | 98% | 97% | 93% | 81% | 69% | 74% | 93% | 97% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 88° | 86° | 85° | 85° | 86° | 87° | 86° |
| AIFS | 87° | 87° | 87° | 87° | 87° | 87° | 86° |
| GFS | 89° | 89° | 88° | 88° | 90° | 90° | 90° |
| ICON | 89° | 87° | 88° | 88° | 90° | 89° | 88° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.19 in | 0 | 0 | 0.01 in | 0.02 in | 0 | 0 |
| AIFS | 0.09 in | 0.05 in | 0 | 0.02 in | 0.05 in | 0.05 in | 0.02 in |
| GFS | 0.01 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 in | 0.01 in | 0 |
| ICON | 0.13 in | 0 | 0.01 in | 0 | 0 | 0.02 in | 0 |
| Confidence | medium | medium | high | high | medium | medium | high |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 616 | 616 | 615 | 517 | 615 | 516 | 617 |
| AIFS | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| GFS | 76 | 55 | 55 | 66 | 68 | 67 | 66 |
| ICON | 615 | 615 | 716 | 615 | 716 | 616 | 616 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 82% | 13% | 2% | 19% | 41% | 5% | 6% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 55% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +0.9 °F | Below −77% | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | Normal +0.4 °F | Normal | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.1 °F | Normal | 84° / 62° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Above +97% | 82° / 61° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.1 °F | Above +78% | 82° / 60° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.8 °F | A bit above +22% |
| December | A bit above +1.1 °F | Above +75% |
| January | Normal −0.4 °F | Normal |
| February | A bit below −0.9 °F | Above +92% |
| March | Normal −0.2 °F | Normal |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).
La Peñita de Jaltemba climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit La Peñita de Jaltemba is from December to April: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: in June and from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of La Peñita de Jaltemba, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lidia, in October 2023.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 84° | 60° | 0.69 in | 2 | 6.7 | 77° | 3.3 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 84° | 60° | 0.61 in | 1 | 7.4 | 76° | 3.3 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 85° | 61° | 0.12 in | 0 | 8.1 | 76° | 3.4 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 87° | 63° | 0.06 in | 0 | 7.7 | 77° | 3.4 ft | – |
| MayMay | 90° | 68° | 0.20 in | 1 | 7.7 | 80° | 3.4 ft | 1 |
| JuneJun | 91° | 74° | 6.42 in | 13 | 6.8 | 83° | 3.4 ft | 2 |
| JulyJul | 92° | 75° | 10.37 in | 25 | 7.1 | 86° | 3.1 ft | – |
| AugustAug | 93° | 75° | 15.78 in | 27 | 7.0 | 87° | 3.2 ft | 2 |
| SeptemberSep | 92° | 75° | 15.04 in | 24 | 6.1 | 86° | 3.6 ft | 5 |
| OctoberOct | 92° | 73° | 4.96 in | 11 | 6.8 | 86° | 3.3 ft | 8 |
| NovemberNov | 89° | 68° | 0.84 in | 2 | 7.4 | 83° | 3.1 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 85° | 62° | 0.93 in | 1 | 6.5 | 79° | 3.2 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 77° | 3.3 ft | – |
| Feb | 76° | 3.3 ft | – |
| Mar | 76° | 3.4 ft | – |
| Apr | 77° | 3.4 ft | – |
| May | 80° | 3.4 ft | 1 |
| Jun | 83° | 3.4 ft | 2 |
| Jul | 86° | 3.1 ft | – |
| Aug | 87° | 3.2 ft | 2 |
| Sep | 86° | 3.6 ft | 5 |
| Oct | 86° | 3.3 ft | 8 |
| Nov | 83° | 3.1 ft | – |
| Dec | 79° | 3.2 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 56.00 in of rain on about 108 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 76 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 73 °F to 88 °F; tomorrow, 76 °F to 86 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 82%, with 0.19 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 41% and 0.02 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 1.06 in; last 3 days, 2.41 in; last 7 days, 3.33 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 98% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 8
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Light showers | 75 / 81 °F | 1.07 in | 4 mph E |
| Tue 27 | Light showers | 75 / 85 °F | 0.87 in | 6 mph ESE |
| Mon 26 | Light showers | 76 / 82 °F | 0.46 in | 6 mph ESE |
| Sun 25 | Light showers | 76 / 89 °F | 0.30 in | 5 mph S |
| Sat 24 | Heavy drizzle | 75 / 87 °F | 0.28 in | 9 mph NE |
| Fri 23 | Heavy drizzle | 78 / 89 °F | 0.25 in | 6 mph NW |
| Thu 22 | Light drizzle | 81 / 90 °F | 0.09 in | 8 mph W |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Light drizzle | 80 / 92 °F | 0.01 in | 6 mph NW |
| Tue 20 | Overcast | 80 / 90 °F | 0 | 6 mph WNW |
| Mon 19 | Overcast | 80 / 90 °F | 0 | 6 mph NE |
| Sun 18 | Light drizzle | 76 / 88 °F | 0.04 in | 10 mph ESE |
| Sat 17 | Light drizzle | 80 / 91 °F | 0.06 in | 8 mph ENE |
| Fri 16 | Light drizzle | 77 / 88 °F | 0.04 in | 5 mph NNE |
| Thu 15 | Thunderstorm | 78 / 89 °F | 0.46 in | 4 mph SW |
| Wed 14 | Light drizzle | 79 / 88 °F | 0.04 in | 5 mph N |
| Tue 13 | Thunderstorm | 78 / 89 °F | 0.33 in | 5 mph ESE |
| Mon 12 | Light showers | 78 / 89 °F | 0.38 in | 7 mph SE |
| Sun 11 | Rain | 78 / 83 °F | 0.72 in | 7 mph E |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 78 / 87 °F | 0.04 in | 6 mph SSW |
| Fri 9 | Drizzle | 77 / 88 °F | 0.14 in | 3 mph NNW |
| Thu 8 | Thunderstorm | 77 / 87 °F | 0.65 in | 5 mph NW |
| Wed 7 | Light showers | 78 / 87 °F | 0.27 in | 5 mph NNE |
| Tue 6 | Heavy drizzle | 78 / 88 °F | 0.20 in | 5 mph WNW |
| Mon 5 | Showers | 78 / 90 °F | 0.76 in | 4 mph ESE |
| Sun 4 | Thunderstorm | 79 / 88 °F | 0.69 in | 4 mph ESE |
| Sat 3 | Thunderstorm | 79 / 89 °F | 0.32 in | 8 mph SSE |
| Fri 2 | Drizzle | 79 / 89 °F | 0.19 in | 8 mph NW |
| Thu 1 | Drizzle | 79 / 90 °F | 0.22 in | 4 mph ENE |
| Wed 30 | Showers | 79 / 84 °F | 0.70 in | 4 mph SE |
| Tue 29 | Heavy drizzle | 79 / 88 °F | 0.32 in | 7 mph NE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in La Peñita de JaltembaQuestions
What's the weather like today in La Peñita de Jaltemba?
Drizzle, from 73 °F to 88 °F, with a light air from the east-southeast (2 mph) and a 82% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in La Peñita de Jaltemba?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 13% (0.00 in): overcast.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.89 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit La Peñita de Jaltemba?
The best time to visit La Peñita de Jaltemba is from December to April: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in La Peñita de Jaltemba in October?
In October, La Peñita de Jaltemba normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 11 rainy days (4.96 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 86 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in La Peñita de Jaltemba?
The warmest is August, with average highs of 93 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 60 °F. The wettest is August (15.78 in) and the driest, April.
When is hurricane season in La Peñita de Jaltemba?
Hurricane season: in June and from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 18 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of La Peñita de Jaltemba, about 6 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lidia, in October 2023.
More about La Peñita de Jaltemba today
Weather near La Peñita de Jaltemba
- Chacala 76 °F · partly cloudy · 9.0 mi
- San Francisco 80 °F · mainly clear · 14 mi
- Sayulita 80 °F · mainly clear · 17 mi
- Bucerías 73 °F · partly cloudy · 20 mi
- El Llano 78 °F · overcast · 27 mi
- Puerto Vallarta 77 °F · mainly clear · 29 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:24 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from