Weather in Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita)

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:44 pm (CST)

Now · overcast 81 °F

Feels like: 89 °F
Low / high: 78 / 82 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.98 in
Wind: 7 mph N

→ 29.83 inHg · steady

Today in Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita): showers, 78 °F to 82 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.98 in) and a light breeze from the north (7 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 80 °F to 86 °F and a 29% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 86 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (25%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 78°
Today
86° 80°
Thu 29
85° 78°
Fri 30
85° 78°
Sat 31
85° 79°
Sun 1
86° 81°
Mon 2
86° 80°
Tue 3
85° 78°
Wed 4
82° 77°
Thu 5
84° 76°
Fri 6
83° 76°
Sat 7
84° 77°
Sun 8
83° 77°
Mon 9
83° 76°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Showers	78 / 82 °F	100% · 0.98 in	8 mph ENE	4.5 ft	9:44 am · 11:13 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light drizzle	80 / 86 °F	29% · 0.02 in	18 mph SSW	4.8 ft	10:15 am	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	78 / 85 °F	25% · 0.07 in	9 mph N	3.7 ft	12:17 am · 10:47 am	ECMWF
Sat 31	Mainly clear	78 / 85 °F	2%	11 mph NNE	3.6 ft	11:23 am	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	79 / 85 °F	12% · 0.06 in	11 mph N	3.6 ft	1:35 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	81 / 86 °F	14% · 0.00 in	10 mph N	3.3 ft	6:34 am · 5:12 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	80 / 86 °F	20% · 0.01 in	11 mph N	3.3 ft	6:39 am · 6:22 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Mainly clear	78 / 85 °F	7%	9 mph N	3.4 ft	6:54 am · 7:07 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Mainly clear	77 / 82 °F	10%	5 mph NNE	3.2 ft	7:13 am · 7:44 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Partly cloudy	76 / 84 °F	4%	8 mph NE	3.9 ft	7:33 am · 8:16 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	76 / 83 °F	4%	5 mph NE	3.9 ft	7:54 am · 8:46 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	77 / 84 °F	4%	9 mph NNE	4.1 ft	8:15 am · 9:15 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	77 / 83 °F	2%	10 mph NNE	4.5 ft	8:37 am · 9:43 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	76 / 83 °F	2%	6 mph NNE	4.3 ft	8:58 am · 10:11 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Showers	Light showers	Drizzle	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	78°	78°	78°	78°	78°	81°	81°	80°
Chance of rain	96%	90%	96%	100%	98%	90%	39%	20%
Rain	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.17 in	0.09 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 E	4 NE	4 NE	3 NE	7 ESE	4 ESE	8 N	4 ENE
Humidity	90%	86%	91%	90%	93%	87%	80%	86%
UV	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	82°	86°	85°	85°	85°	86°	86°
AIFS	82°	85°	84°	85°	85°	85°	85°
GFS	80°	89°	88°	88°	88°	90°	89°
ICON	82°	90°	87°	88°	89°	89°	87°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.98 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0	0.06 in	0.00 in	0.01 in
AIFS	1.16 in	0.08 in	0.03 in	0	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.04 in
GFS	0.15 in	0.02 in	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.02 in
ICON	0.50 in	0.05 in	0.00 in	0	0	0.02 in	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	815	1832	918	1123	1119	1017	1121
AIFS	8	7	5	9	10	10	9
GFS	510	611	66	65	77	55	78
ICON	516	1225	615	1122	817	921	817
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	29%	25%	2%	12%	14%	20%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	97%	33%	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.6 °F	Below −56%	Above +2.9 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	Above +2.9 °F	82° / 74°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Above +3.1 °F	82° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Above +95%	Above +2.9 °F	80° / 73°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.8 °F	Above +78%	Above +3.1 °F	80° / 72°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit above +38%	Above +3.1 °F
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +87%	Well above +4.3 °F
January	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +44%	Well above +4.0 °F
February	Normal +0.5 °F	Well above +103%	Above +2.9 °F
March	A bit above +0.9 °F	Well above +122%	Above +3.1 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita) climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita) is from December to April: highs of 83 °F to 86 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita), about 7 every 10 years; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lidia, in October 2023.

83° 60°

JanJ
84° 59°

FebF
84° 60°

MarM
86° 62°

AprA
89° 67°

MayM
90° 73°

JunJ
91° 74°

JulJ
91° 74°

AugA
90° 74°

SepS
90° 72°

OctO
88° 67°

NovN
84° 62°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	83°	60°	0.50 in	2	6.8	78°	3.4 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	84°	59°	0.58 in	1	7.5	76°	3.3 ft	–
MarchMar	84°	60°	0.13 in	0	8.1	76°	3.3 ft	–
AprilApr	86°	62°	0.03 in	0	7.6	77°	3.3 ft	–
MayMay	89°	67°	0.07 in	1	7.6	80°	3.3 ft	1
JuneJun	90°	73°	3.99 in	13	6.9	83°	3.2 ft	2
JulyJul	91°	74°	7.54 in	25	6.9	85°	2.9 ft	–
AugustAug	91°	74°	11.45 in	27	6.9	86°	3.0 ft	3
SeptemberSep	90°	74°	12.00 in	24	6.1	86°	3.3 ft	5
OctoberOct	90°	72°	3.83 in	11	6.8	86°	3.1 ft	9
NovemberNov	88°	67°	0.94 in	2	7.4	83°	3.0 ft	–
DecemberDec	84°	62°	0.80 in	1	6.7	79°	3.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	78°	3.4 ft	–
Feb	76°	3.3 ft	–
Mar	76°	3.3 ft	–
Apr	77°	3.3 ft	–
May	80°	3.3 ft	1
Jun	83°	3.2 ft	2
Jul	85°	2.9 ft	–
Aug	86°	3.0 ft	3
Sep	86°	3.3 ft	5
Oct	86°	3.1 ft	9
Nov	83°	3.0 ft	–
Dec	79°	3.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 41.86 in of rain on about 108 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now81 °Ffeels like 89 °F

Tomorrow80 / 86 °F

It's 81 °F now (feels like 89 °F). Today, 78 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 80 °F to 86 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.98 in
Thu 29 29% 0.02 in
Fri 30 25% 0.07 in
Sat 31 2%
Sun 1 12% 0.06 in
Mon 2 14% 0.00 in
Tue 3 20% 0.01 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.98 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 25% and 0.07 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 1.15 in; last 3 days, 2.60 in; last 7 days, 3.64 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity80%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 80% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now13 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (13 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 8 · Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.96

Steady now (0.00 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light showers	77 / 87 °F	0.52 in	9 mph ENE
Mon 26	Thunderstorm	77 / 84 °F	0.97 in	11 mph E
Sun 25	Light showers	78 / 89 °F	0.37 in	11 mph SSW
Sat 24	Showers	77 / 88 °F	0.38 in	6 mph NE
Fri 23	Showers	80 / 88 °F	0.35 in	8 mph NW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.06 in	8 mph N
Wed 21	Overcast	81 / 87 °F	0	10 mph NNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	81 / 88 °F	0	6 mph N
Mon 19	Overcast	81 / 89 °F	0	8 mph ENE
Sun 18	Drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.16 in	9 mph SE
Sat 17	Drizzle	82 / 89 °F	0.11 in	11 mph NNE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.09 in	6 mph ENE
Thu 15	Drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.22 in	8 mph SSW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.01 in	8 mph NNE
Tue 13	Drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.07 in	13 mph SE
Mon 12	Thunderstorm	80 / 85 °F	1.13 in	13 mph SSE
Sun 11	Thunderstorm	79 / 83 °F	1.26 in	9 mph NE
Sat 10	Drizzle	79 / 84 °F	0.09 in	7 mph SSE
Fri 9	Showers	78 / 87 °F	0.59 in	6 mph N
Thu 8	Showers	78 / 86 °F	0.82 in	8 mph NNW
Wed 7	Light showers	78 / 87 °F	0.49 in	7 mph NNE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.09 in	8 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light showers	79 / 87 °F	0.54 in	6 mph NE
Sun 4	Thunderstorm	80 / 85 °F	0.47 in	5 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.03 in	13 mph S
Fri 2	Drizzle	81 / 88 °F	0.07 in	9 mph SSE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	80 / 89 °F	0.09 in	8 mph E
Wed 30	Heavy drizzle	80 / 83 °F	0.47 in	7 mph ESE
Tue 29	Drizzle	82 / 88 °F	0.18 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 28	Drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.11 in	8 mph N

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita)Questions

What's the weather like today in Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita)?

Showers, from 78 °F to 82 °F, with a light breeze from the north (7 mph) and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita)?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 29% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 78 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.83 inHg and steady: −0.05 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita)?

The best time to visit Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita) is from December to April: highs of 83 °F to 86 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita) in October?

In October, Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita) normally sees highs of 90 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 11 rainy days (3.83 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 86 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita)?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 59 °F. The wettest is September (12.00 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita)?

Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 20 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita), about 7 every 10 years; 12 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Lidia, in October 2023.

More about Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita) today

Weather near Corral del Risco (Punta de Mita)

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:44 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from