Weather in Troncones

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 5:36 pm (CST)

Now · overcast 85 °F

Feels like: 93 °F
Low / high: 83 / 85 °F
Rain: 4%
Wind: 3 mph WNW

→ 29.85 inHg · steady UV 9 · very high

Today in Troncones: overcast, 83 °F to 85 °F, with a 4% chance of rain and a light air from the west-northwest (3 mph). Tomorrow, clear sky, 81 °F to 85 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 85 °F. Next likely rain: Sunday 1 (53%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

85° 83°
Today
85° 81°
Thu 29
84° 82°
Fri 30
85° 82°
Sat 31
85° 81°
Sun 1
85° 81°
Mon 2
85° 82°
Tue 3
84° 81°
Wed 4
84° 82°
Thu 5
85° 80°
Fri 6
84° 81°
Sat 7
84° 80°
Sun 8
85° 78°
Mon 9
84° 81°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	83 / 85 °F	4%	7 mph N	4.7 ft	6:23 am	ECMWF
Thu 29	Clear sky	81 / 85 °F	0%	12 mph NW	4.8 ft	6:29 am · 5:12 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Mainly clear	82 / 84 °F	5%	14 mph NW	5.2 ft	6:44 am · 5:40 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	22% · 0.01 in	8 mph WNW	5.4 ft	7:03 am · 6:15 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	81 / 85 °F	53% · 0.03 in	6 mph NW	5.3 ft	7:23 am · 6:52 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Mainly clear	81 / 85 °F	14%	6 mph NW	5.1 ft	7:41 am · 7:30 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	33% · 0.09 in	6 mph SSW	4.3 ft	7:56 am · 8:07 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	59% · 0.12 in	6 mph SW	3.8 ft	8:05 am · 8:44 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	82 / 84 °F	51% · 0.05 in	4 mph WNW	3.6 ft	8:08 am · 9:22 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	80 / 85 °F	20% · 0.05 in	6 mph WSW	3.9 ft	8:03 am · 10:04 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	31% · 0.04 in	6 mph SSE	3.9 ft	7:51 am · 10:58 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	80 / 84 °F	18% · 0.07 in	6 mph WNW	3.7 ft	7:27 am	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	78 / 85 °F	8%	9 mph NW	3.9 ft	6:34 am	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	81 / 84 °F	8%	6 mph NW	3.9 ft	6:15 am	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Overcast	Overcast	Clear
Temperature	84°	84°	83°	83°	85°	85°	85°	85°
Chance of rain	4%	0%	4%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 E	6 E	7 E	6 NW	5 WNW	6 W	3 NW	5 N
Humidity	72%	69%	77%	78%	64%	71%	70%	71%
UV	0	0	0	3	9	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind on Friday 30: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	85°	85°	84°	85°	85°	85°	85°
AIFS	84°	84°	83°	83°	84°	84°	84°
GFS	89°	88°	88°	88°	89°	90°	89°
ICON	87°	87°	88°	87°	88°	89°	88°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.03 in	0	0.09 in
AIFS	0.02 in	0	0	0.02 in	0.05 in	0	0.05 in
GFS	0	0	0	0.01 in	0.02 in	0	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	710	1216	1418	812	615	612	614
AIFS	6	7	8	6	6	7	5
GFS	56	59	68	67	54	67	55
ICON	812	1016	1320	1016	813	1117	913
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	4%	0%	5%	22%	53%	14%	33%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	3%	0%	19%	3%	10%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.6 °F	Below −72%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	85° / 70°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	Below −71%	87° / 69°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	87° / 69°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	87° / 68°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.0 °F	Above +51%
January	Normal +0.7 °F	Above +86%
February	Normal +0.4 °F	Well above +103%
March	Normal +0.7 °F	Well above +179%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Troncones climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Troncones is from November to April: highs of 89 °F to 91 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in June and from September to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 22 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Troncones, about 7 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

89° 69°

JanJ
89° 68°

FebF
90° 68°

MarM
90° 69°

AprA
92° 72°

MayM
91° 75°

JunJ
92° 75°

JulJ
92° 75°

AugA
90° 74°

SepS
90° 74°

OctO
91° 72°

NovN
89° 70°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	89°	69°	0.69 in	1	7.1	83°	3.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	89°	68°	0.07 in	1	8.0	81°	3.4 ft	–
MarchMar	90°	68°	0.12 in	1	7.8	80°	3.9 ft	–
AprilApr	90°	69°	0.00 in	0	6.8	80°	4.4 ft	–
MayMay	92°	72°	0.74 in	3	6.0	82°	4.7 ft	–
JuneJun	91°	75°	6.15 in	16	6.1	85°	5.1 ft	5
JulyJul	92°	75°	5.70 in	21	6.8	86°	4.7 ft	1
AugustAug	92°	75°	6.99 in	22	6.7	87°	4.8 ft	2
SeptemberSep	90°	74°	10.46 in	22	5.8	86°	5.1 ft	7
OctoberOct	90°	74°	4.71 in	10	6.6	85°	4.6 ft	7
NovemberNov	91°	72°	0.56 in	2	7.8	85°	3.7 ft	–
DecemberDec	89°	70°	0.31 in	1	7.1	84°	3.2 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	83°	3.1 ft	–
Feb	81°	3.4 ft	–
Mar	80°	3.9 ft	–
Apr	80°	4.4 ft	–
May	82°	4.7 ft	–
Jun	85°	5.1 ft	5
Jul	86°	4.7 ft	1
Aug	87°	4.8 ft	2
Sep	86°	5.1 ft	7
Oct	85°	4.6 ft	7
Nov	85°	3.7 ft	–
Dec	84°	3.2 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 36.50 in of rain on about 100 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now85 °Ffeels like 93 °F

Tomorrow81 / 85 °F

It's 85 °F now (feels like 93 °F). Today, 83 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 81 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 4%
Thu 29 0%
Fri 30 5%
Sat 31 22% 0.01 in
Sun 1 53% 0.03 in
Mon 2 14%
Tue 3 33% 0.09 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 4%. The next day with likely rain is Sunday 1: 53% and 0.03 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.09 in; last 7 days, 1.19 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity70%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 70% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds98%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Thu 29: 10 · Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.93

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.03 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 35

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.02 in	7 mph N
Mon 26	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.05 in	8 mph NE
Sun 25	Light rain	78 / 81 °F	0.59 in	11 mph NNW
Sat 24	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	0.11 in	11 mph ESE
Fri 23	Light showers	79 / 87 °F	0.28 in	5 mph N
Thu 22	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.10 in	6 mph NW
Wed 21	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.05 in	6 mph NW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	84 / 87 °F	0.05 in	9 mph SSE
Mon 19	Overcast	82 / 86 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Sun 18	Light drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.01 in	13 mph NNW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.04 in	16 mph E
Fri 16	Light rain	79 / 84 °F	0.18 in	11 mph NNE
Thu 15	Light showers	81 / 85 °F	0.27 in	16 mph SE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.08 in	15 mph WNW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.02 in	14 mph NW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.03 in	6 mph WNW
Sun 11	Light showers	80 / 85 °F	0.39 in	13 mph NNW
Sat 10	Showers	80 / 83 °F	1.67 in	22 mph SE
Fri 9	Light showers	80 / 83 °F	1.00 in	21 mph ESE
Thu 8	Light showers	81 / 83 °F	0.72 in	5 mph ENE
Wed 7	Light showers	80 / 85 °F	0.40 in	18 mph ESE
Tue 6	Heavy drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.28 in	19 mph SE
Mon 5	Showers	79 / 86 °F	0.44 in	7 mph S
Sun 4	Light showers	80 / 85 °F	0.48 in	8 mph W
Sat 3	Light showers	81 / 84 °F	0.59 in	7 mph W
Fri 2	Light showers	82 / 85 °F	0.25 in	8 mph S
Thu 1	Light showers	80 / 86 °F	0.57 in	13 mph S
Wed 30	Rain	80 / 84 °F	1.57 in	15 mph SE
Tue 29	Showers	81 / 84 °F	1.13 in	31 mph SE
Mon 28	Light showers	82 / 86 °F	0.35 in	19 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in TronconesQuestions

What's the weather like today in Troncones?

Overcast, from 83 °F to 85 °F, with a light air from the west-northwest (3 mph) and a 4% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Troncones?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): clear sky.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 81 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.85 inHg and steady: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Troncones?

The best time to visit Troncones is from November to April: highs of 89 °F to 91 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Troncones in October?

In October, Troncones normally sees highs of 90 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 10 rainy days (4.71 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Troncones?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest March, with lows of 68 °F. The wettest is September (10.46 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in Troncones?

Hurricane season: in June and from September to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 22 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Troncones, about 7 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

More about Troncones today

Weather near Troncones

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 2.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 5:36 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from