Weather in El Naranjito

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:02 pm (CST)

Now · overcast 82 °F

Feels like: 91 °F
Low / high: 76 / 89 °F
Rain: 12%
Wind: 3 mph W

→ 29.86 inHg · steady UV 10 · very high

Today in El Naranjito: overcast, 76 °F to 89 °F, with a 12% chance of rain and a light air from the west (3 mph). Tomorrow, partly cloudy, 72 °F to 87 °F and a 0% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 89 °F. Next likely rain: Saturday 31 (28%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 76°
Today
87° 72°
Thu 29
87° 72°
Fri 30
87° 77°
Sat 31
88° 76°
Sun 1
88° 75°
Mon 2
88° 75°
Tue 3
86° 76°
Wed 4
88° 75°
Thu 5
87° 75°
Fri 6
87° 72°
Sat 7
88° 74°
Sun 8
87° 73°
Mon 9
87° 74°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	76 / 89 °F	12%	6 mph NNW	4.8 ft	6:21 am	ECMWF
Thu 29	Partly cloudy	72 / 87 °F	0%	9 mph W	4.9 ft	6:20 am	ECMWF
Fri 30	Overcast	72 / 87 °F	0%	10 mph W	5.2 ft	6:35 am · 5:03 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	77 / 87 °F	28% · 0.05 in	7 mph NW	5.4 ft	6:56 am · 5:56 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	35% · 0.02 in	6 mph W	5.2 ft	7:18 am · 6:40 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Overcast	75 / 88 °F	16%	8 mph WNW	5.1 ft	7:37 am · 7:22 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	75 / 88 °F	23%	5 mph SW	4.3 ft	7:52 am · 8:02 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	26% · 0.07 in	5 mph SW	3.7 ft	8:01 am · 8:42 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	75 / 88 °F	18%	5 mph W	3.5 ft	8:05 am · 9:23 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	22% · 0.02 in	4 mph WSW	4.4 ft	8:03 am · 10:09 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	72 / 87 °F	20%	6 mph SSE	4.3 ft	7:54 am · 11:08 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Mainly clear	74 / 88 °F	10%	5 mph WSW	4.1 ft	7:30 am	ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	73 / 87 °F	6%	7 mph WNW	4.6 ft	6:25 am	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	74 / 87 °F	4%	6 mph NW	4.5 ft	6:07 am	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Mainly clear	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Mainly clear	Overcast	Overcast	Mainly clear
Temperature	77°	76°	76°	82°	88°	87°	82°	78°
Chance of rain	4%	10%	8%	12%	10%	2%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 NNE	6 NNE	5 NNE	0 NNW	3 SSW	5 SW	3 W	2 NNW
Humidity	89%	84%	87%	79%	59%	63%	80%	89%
UV	0	0	0	3	9	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	89°	87°	87°	87°	88°	88°	88°
AIFS	85°	86°	85°	85°	85°	86°	85°
GFS	85°	85°	84°	85°	86°	86°	86°
ICON	88°	89°	89°	89°	89°	91°	88°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0.05 in	0.02 in	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.05 in	0.09 in
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0.04 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0.02 in	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	615	922	1023	719	621	820	518
AIFS	7	8	9	7	6	7	6
GFS	67	810	89	66	76	79	65
ICON	714	918	1020	817	817	1021	816
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	12%	0%	0%	28%	35%	16%	23%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	32%	3%	19%	0%	10%	26%	16%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit below −44%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	87° / 71°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	88° / 69°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +0.9 °F	Well above +176%	88° / 69°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	88° / 68°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.0 °F	A bit above +35%
December	A bit above +1.4 °F	Above +75%
January	Normal −0.2 °F	Well above +105%
February	Normal −0.5 °F	Above +96%
March	Normal +0.2 °F	Well above +233%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

El Naranjito climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit El Naranjito is from December to April: highs of 92 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: in June and from September to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 26 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Naranjito, about 9 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

91° 67°

JanJ
91° 66°

FebF
91° 66°

MarM
92° 68°

AprA
93° 71°

MayM
94° 74°

JunJ
94° 74°

JulJ
94° 74°

AugA
92° 74°

SepS
92° 73°

OctO
92° 71°

NovN
91° 68°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	91°	67°	0.41 in	1	7.0	83°	2.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	91°	66°	0.04 in	1	7.9	81°	3.1 ft	–
MarchMar	91°	66°	0.26 in	1	7.9	80°	3.7 ft	–
AprilApr	92°	68°	0.00 in	0	7.0	80°	4.1 ft	–
MayMay	93°	71°	0.52 in	3	6.3	82°	4.5 ft	–
JuneJun	94°	74°	6.41 in	16	6.1	85°	4.8 ft	8
JulyJul	94°	74°	7.91 in	21	6.8	86°	4.5 ft	1
AugustAug	94°	74°	9.44 in	22	6.8	86°	4.6 ft	3
SeptemberSep	92°	74°	12.81 in	22	5.7	86°	4.8 ft	8
OctoberOct	92°	73°	4.69 in	10	6.5	85°	4.4 ft	6
NovemberNov	92°	71°	0.70 in	2	7.7	85°	3.5 ft	–
DecemberDec	91°	68°	0.43 in	1	7.1	84°	3.1 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	83°	2.9 ft	–
Feb	81°	3.1 ft	–
Mar	80°	3.7 ft	–
Apr	80°	4.1 ft	–
May	82°	4.5 ft	–
Jun	85°	4.8 ft	8
Jul	86°	4.5 ft	1
Aug	86°	4.6 ft	3
Sep	86°	4.8 ft	8
Oct	85°	4.4 ft	6
Nov	85°	3.5 ft	–
Dec	84°	3.1 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 43.62 in of rain on about 100 days and about 2,500 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now82 °Ffeels like 91 °F

Tomorrow72 / 87 °F

It's 82 °F now (feels like 91 °F). Today, 76 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 72 °F to 87 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 12%
Thu 29 0%
Fri 30 0%
Sat 31 28% 0.05 in
Sun 1 35% 0.02 in
Mon 2 16%
Tue 3 23%

Today the chance of rain reaches 12%. The next day with likely rain is Saturday 31: 28% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.25 in; last 7 days, 1.58 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity81%

Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds83%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak10very high

Thu 29: 10 · Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 6

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.94

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 30

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	74 / 88 °F	0.01 in	6 mph N
Mon 26	Drizzle	73 / 90 °F	0.10 in	10 mph NE
Sun 25	Light showers	71 / 83 °F	0.96 in	10 mph NE
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	76 / 85 °F	0.26 in	5 mph ENE
Fri 23	Drizzle	76 / 89 °F	0.15 in	6 mph SSE
Thu 22	Drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.09 in	9 mph SW
Wed 21	Light drizzle	79 / 90 °F	0.01 in	9 mph W

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	78 / 90 °F	0	7 mph SW
Mon 19	Overcast	76 / 91 °F	0	7 mph WSW
Sun 18	Heavy drizzle	75 / 93 °F	0.04 in	10 mph N
Sat 17	Showers	77 / 85 °F	0.78 in	9 mph ENE
Fri 16	Drizzle	75 / 88 °F	0.17 in	5 mph E
Thu 15	Light showers	76 / 92 °F	0.69 in	8 mph N
Wed 14	Light drizzle	78 / 89 °F	0.01 in	11 mph WSW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.00 in	10 mph WNW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	73 / 90 °F	0.01 in	7 mph WNW
Sun 11	Showers	76 / 81 °F	1.48 in	6 mph NNE
Sat 10	Heavy showers	74 / 78 °F	3.93 in	12 mph E
Fri 9	Showers	75 / 78 °F	2.53 in	10 mph ENE
Thu 8	Light showers	77 / 82 °F	0.69 in	4 mph ENE
Wed 7	Thunderstorm	75 / 88 °F	1.54 in	4 mph NE
Tue 6	Light showers	77 / 84 °F	0.51 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 5	Showers	76 / 88 °F	0.64 in	5 mph NE
Sun 4	Showers	77 / 89 °F	0.63 in	7 mph E
Sat 3	Light showers	76 / 85 °F	0.57 in	5 mph W
Fri 2	Drizzle	77 / 87 °F	0.11 in	6 mph ESE
Thu 1	Showers	76 / 89 °F	0.70 in	6 mph SSW
Wed 30	Showers	76 / 80 °F	2.64 in	6 mph E
Tue 29	Showers	77 / 82 °F	2.28 in	15 mph ESE
Mon 28	Showers	78 / 89 °F	0.87 in	14 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in El NaranjitoQuestions

What's the weather like today in El Naranjito?

Overcast, from 76 °F to 89 °F, with a light air from the west (3 mph) and a 12% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in El Naranjito?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 0% (0.00 in): partly cloudy.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.86 inHg and steady: −0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit El Naranjito?

The best time to visit El Naranjito is from December to April: highs of 92 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in El Naranjito in October?

In October, El Naranjito normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 10 rainy days (4.69 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in El Naranjito?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 94 °F, and the coldest March, with lows of 66 °F. The wettest is September (12.81 in) and the driest, April.

When is hurricane season in El Naranjito?

Hurricane season: in June and from September to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 26 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of El Naranjito, about 9 every 10 years; 10 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Raymond, in October 2025.

More about El Naranjito today

Weather near El Naranjito

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:02 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from