Weather in Analalava

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 11:44 am (GMT+3)

Now · light drizzle 88 °F

Feels like: 97 °F
Low / high: 74 / 89 °F
Rain: 98% · 0.09 in
Wind: 10 mph WNW

→ 29.93 inHg · steady UV 10 · very high

Today in Analalava: drizzle, 74 °F to 89 °F, with a 98% chance of rain (0.09 in) and a gentle breeze from the west-northwest (10 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 74 °F to 86 °F and a 97% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 91 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 74°
Today
86° 74°
Fri 30
87° 75°
Sat 31
89° 73°
Sun 1
91° 73°
Mon 2
90° 74°
Tue 3
91° 77°
Wed 4
90° 77°
Thu 5
90° 75°
Fri 6
93° 75°
Sat 7
92° 78°
Sun 8
92° 77°
Mon 9
91° 75°
Tue 10
92° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Drizzle	74 / 89 °F	98% · 0.09 in	13 mph NW	1.0 ft	5:31 am · 5:49 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	74 / 86 °F	97% · 0.16 in	15 mph NW	1.8 ft	6:09 am · 6:28 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	78% · 0.08 in	12 mph NW	1.2 ft	6:52 am · 7:16 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Overcast	73 / 89 °F	16%	11 mph WNW	1.2 ft	7:46 am · 8:26 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Overcast	73 / 91 °F	30%	12 mph WNW	1.2 ft	9:13 am · 10:30 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	74 / 90 °F	45% · 0.01 in	12 mph WNW	1.2 ft	11:17 am	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	77 / 91 °F	39% · 0.05 in	12 mph WNW	1.2 ft	12:16 am · 12:45 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Overcast	77 / 90 °F	18%	12 mph W	1.1 ft	1:20 am · 1:43 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	75 / 90 °F	31%	13 mph NNE	1.0 ft	2:07 am · 2:28 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	75 / 93 °F	35% · 0.05 in	9 mph SSE	1.6 ft	2:46 am · 3:06 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	78 / 92 °F	57% · 0.24 in	12 mph SE	1.8 ft	3:20 am · 3:40 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	77 / 92 °F	59% · 0.06 in	11 mph E	1.6 ft	3:52 am · 4:11 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	75 / 91 °F	43%	12 mph E	1.8 ft	4:23 am · 4:41 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	77 / 92 °F	67%	11 mph W	1.6 ft	4:51 am · 5:08 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Light drizzle	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	79°	76°	75°	87°	88°	85°	82°	80°
Chance of rain	14%	63%	24%	12%	98%	31%	0%	4%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 WNW	4 ENE	5 ESE	1 WSW	10 NW	12 NW	10 NW	7 NW
Humidity	82%	89%	90%	59%	58%	67%	75%	79%
UV	0	0	0	7	8	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	89°	86°	87°	89°	91°	90°	91°
AIFS	88°	86°	88°	88°	89°	89°	91°
GFS	94°	89°	89°	91°	92°	94°	93°
ICON	89°	83°	84°	85°	88°	86°	87°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.09 in	0.16 in	0.08 in	0	0	0.01 in	0.05 in
AIFS	0.08 in	0.14 in	0.10 in	0	0	0.03 in	0.08 in
GFS	0.08 in	0.05 in	0.07 in	0	0	0	0.21 in
ICON	0.07 in	0.23 in	0.09 in	0	0	0	0.04 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1327	1532	1226	1125	1227	1229	1228
AIFS	11	13	11	11	10	12	12
GFS	1516	1516	1412	1414	1314	1515	1515
ICON	1422	1119	1219	1523	1422	1726	1728
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	98%	97%	78%	16%	30%	45%	39%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	72%	71%	80%	3%	3%	23%	42%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.4 °F	Below −59%	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	A bit above +35%	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −20%	A bit above +1.6 °F	87° / 79°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	87° / 80°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	88° / 80°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	A bit below −23%	A bit above +1.3 °F
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F
January	Above +2.9 °F	A bit below −22%	Above +2.7 °F
February	Above +3.2 °F	A bit below −22%	Above +3.4 °F
March	Above +3.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.9 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Analalava climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Analalava is from June to August: highs of 88 °F to 89 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from December to April, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Analalava, about 4 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Jude, in March 2025.

88° 74°

JanJ
89° 73°

FebF
90° 74°

MarM
92° 73°

AprA
91° 70°

MayM
89° 67°

JunJ
88° 66°

JulJ
89° 67°

AugA
90° 67°

SepS
92° 71°

OctO
92° 73°

NovN
90° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	88°	74°	19.54 in	28	6.8	85°	2.5 ft	2
FebruaryFeb	89°	73°	15.71 in	26	6.6	85°	2.1 ft	1
MarchMar	90°	74°	9.63 in	25	6.9	85°	1.5 ft	5
AprilApr	92°	73°	2.37 in	12	9.2	85°	1.3 ft	2
MayMay	91°	70°	0.63 in	3	9.6	84°	1.7 ft	1
JuneJun	89°	67°	0.16 in	1	9.5	81°	2.1 ft	–
JulyJul	88°	66°	0.12 in	1	9.7	79°	2.2 ft	–
AugustAug	89°	67°	0.18 in	1	10.2	78°	2.0 ft	–
SeptemberSep	90°	67°	0.35 in	1	10.3	79°	1.8 ft	–
OctoberOct	92°	71°	1.23 in	4	10.6	81°	1.6 ft	–
NovemberNov	92°	73°	5.41 in	14	9.1	83°	1.4 ft	–
DecemberDec	90°	74°	10.96 in	24	7.2	84°	1.6 ft	2

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	85°	2.5 ft	2
Feb	85°	2.1 ft	1
Mar	85°	1.5 ft	5
Apr	85°	1.3 ft	2
May	84°	1.7 ft	1
Jun	81°	2.1 ft	–
Jul	79°	2.2 ft	–
Aug	78°	2.0 ft	–
Sep	79°	1.8 ft	–
Oct	81°	1.6 ft	–
Nov	83°	1.4 ft	–
Dec	84°	1.6 ft	2

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 66.29 in of rain on about 141 days and about 3,200 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now88 °Ffeels like 97 °F

Tomorrow74 / 86 °F

It's 88 °F now (feels like 97 °F). Today, 74 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 86 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 98% 0.09 in
Fri 30 97% 0.16 in
Sat 31 78% 0.08 in
Sun 1 16%
Mon 2 30%
Tue 3 45% 0.01 in
Wed 4 39% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 98%, with 0.09 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 97% and 0.16 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.07 in; last 3 days, 0.14 in; last 7 days, 0.64 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity57%

Dew point71 °F

Humidity is 57% now and the dew point is 71 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds17%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now8

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 12 · Sat 31: 11 · Sun 1: 12

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 30.01

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.03 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 21

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.11 in	13 mph NW
Tue 27	Mainly clear	75 / 95 °F	0	14 mph WNW
Mon 26	Mainly clear	75 / 93 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Sun 25	Heavy drizzle	75 / 96 °F	0.06 in	13 mph WNW
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	77 / 90 °F	0.38 in	13 mph WNW
Fri 23	Light drizzle	77 / 93 °F	0.05 in	14 mph WNW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	76 / 94 °F	0.02 in	12 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	75 / 91 °F	0	14 mph WNW
Tue 20	Mainly clear	74 / 93 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Mon 19	Overcast	73 / 92 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Sun 18	Overcast	73 / 92 °F	0	12 mph SSE
Sat 17	Mainly clear	73 / 94 °F	0	15 mph SE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	73 / 94 °F	0.01 in	15 mph SE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	74 / 96 °F	0.01 in	13 mph SE
Wed 14	Clear sky	74 / 96 °F	0	14 mph SE
Tue 13	Clear sky	76 / 97 °F	0	15 mph SE
Mon 12	Mainly clear	74 / 97 °F	0	17 mph SE
Sun 11	Drizzle	73 / 96 °F	0.07 in	13 mph NW
Sat 10	Drizzle	76 / 91 °F	0.12 in	14 mph NW
Fri 9	Overcast	75 / 91 °F	0	13 mph NW
Thu 8	Mainly clear	74 / 92 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Wed 7	Overcast	73 / 91 °F	0	14 mph NNW
Tue 6	Clear sky	74 / 96 °F	0	12 mph SE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	73 / 93 °F	0.00 in	13 mph S
Sun 4	Light drizzle	72 / 90 °F	0.01 in	12 mph WSW
Sat 3	Overcast	74 / 93 °F	0	12 mph S
Fri 2	Light drizzle	71 / 93 °F	0.00 in	12 mph NW
Thu 1	Light drizzle	72 / 92 °F	0.03 in	12 mph WNW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	73 / 90 °F	0.01 in	11 mph NW
Tue 29	Clear sky	72 / 93 °F	0	11 mph WNW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in AnalalavaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Analalava?

Drizzle, from 74 °F to 89 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west-northwest (10 mph) and a 98% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Analalava?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 97% (0.16 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 73 °F and a high of 91 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Analalava?

The best time to visit Analalava is from June to August: highs of 88 °F to 89 °F, barely 1 rainy day a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Analalava in October?

In October, Analalava normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 4 rainy days (1.23 in for the month) and 11 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 81 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Analalava?

The warmest is April, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 66 °F. The wettest is January (19.54 in) and the driest, July.

When is cyclone season in Analalava?

Cyclone season: from December to April, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Analalava, about 4 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Jude, in March 2025.

More about Analalava today

Weather near Analalava

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 11:44 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from