Weather in Ambenja

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:23 am (GMT+3)

Now · light drizzle 76 °F

Feels like: 85 °F
Low / high: 72 / 89 °F
Rain: 75% · 0.61 in
Wind: 1 mph ENE

↘ 29.91 inHg · falling UV 12 · extreme

Today in Ambenja: rain, 72 °F to 89 °F, with a 75% chance of rain (0.61 in) and a light air from the east-northeast (1 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 73 °F to 88 °F and a 82% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 96 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

89° 72°
Today
88° 73°
Fri 30
93° 73°
Sat 31
94° 71°
Sun 1
96° 70°
Mon 2
96° 72°
Tue 3
91° 76°
Wed 4
99° 76°
Thu 5
98° 76°
Fri 6
98° 75°
Sat 7
92° 75°
Sun 8
102° 78°
Mon 9
101° 76°
Tue 10
101° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Rain	72 / 89 °F	75% · 0.61 in	11 mph NW	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	73 / 88 °F	82% · 0.26 in	11 mph NW	2.1 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Mainly clear	73 / 93 °F	44%	10 mph NW	1.9 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	71 / 94 °F	0%	10 mph NW	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Partly cloudy	70 / 96 °F	4%	9 mph NW	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Overcast	72 / 96 °F	22%	11 mph NW	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	76 / 91 °F	22% · 0.02 in	11 mph WNW	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Clear sky	76 / 99 °F	12%	11 mph E	1.9 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Mainly clear	76 / 98 °F	14%	9 mph ENE	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	75 / 98 °F	20%	9 mph WSW	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	75 / 92 °F	41%	11 mph NW	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	78 / 102 °F	37%	10 mph E	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Clear sky	76 / 101 °F	49%	12 mph E	1.7 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Clear sky	77 / 101 °F	41%	11 mph ESE	1.6 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Rain	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Clear	Clear
Temperature	77°	75°	72°	77°	88°	88°	81°	77°
Chance of rain	0%	35%	59%	63%	75%	63%	8%	10%
Rain	0.00 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.13 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 W	2 ENE	6 E	2 SSW	5 NW	11 NW	7 WNW	0 E
Humidity	88%	97%	98%	69%	55%	57%	75%	88%
UV	0	0	0	5	12	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	89°	88°	93°	94°	96°	96°	91°
AIFS	89°	84°	90°	90°	91°	92°	94°
GFS	89°	88°	86°	89°	92°	93°	93°
ICON	86°	84°	86°	87°	89°	90°	94°
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.61 in	0.26 in	0	0	0	0	0.02 in
AIFS	0.14 in	0.31 in	0.03 in	0	0	0.01 in	0.05 in
GFS	0.02 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0	0	0	0.10 in
ICON	0.10 in	0.23 in	0.10 in	0	0	0	0
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1124	1127	1025	1021	922	1129	1128
AIFS	11	11	10	10	9	8	7
GFS	1417	1517	1316	1317	1317	1522	1518
ICON	1221	1120	1221	1119	1221	1323	1425
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	75%	82%	44%	0%	4%	22%	22%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	74%	83%	55%	0%	0%	6%	55%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and a bit drier.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.0 °F	Below −75%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit below −23%	94° / 75°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	93° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	92° / 76°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit below −25%
December	Above +2.7 °F	Normal
January	Above +3.2 °F	A bit below −27%
February	Above +3.4 °F	A bit below −26%
March	Above +3.6 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Ambenja climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Ambenja is from July to August: highs of 89 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

Cyclone season: from December to April, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ambenja, about 5 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Jude, in March 2025.

89° 74°

JanJ
90° 73°

FebF
91° 74°

MarM
92° 72°

AprA
92° 68°

MayM
90° 64°

JunJ
87° 62°

JulJ
89° 63°

AugA
91° 65°

SepS
93° 69°

OctO
94° 73°

NovN
92° 73°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	89°	74°	21.09 in	28	6.2	85°	2.8 ft	3
FebruaryFeb	90°	73°	13.26 in	24	6.5	85°	2.3 ft	2
MarchMar	91°	74°	11.11 in	20	7.0	85°	1.6 ft	5
AprilApr	92°	72°	1.77 in	8	9.3	85°	1.5 ft	2
MayMay	92°	68°	0.48 in	2	9.6	83°	1.9 ft	1
JuneJun	90°	64°	0.19 in	2	9.5	80°	2.1 ft	–
JulyJul	87°	62°	0.22 in	2	9.7	78°	2.2 ft	–
AugustAug	89°	63°	0.20 in	1	10.2	78°	2.2 ft	–
SeptemberSep	91°	65°	0.24 in	1	10.4	79°	2.0 ft	–
OctoberOct	93°	69°	0.71 in	3	11.0	81°	1.9 ft	–
NovemberNov	94°	73°	4.48 in	11	9.5	83°	1.6 ft	–
DecemberDec	92°	73°	9.00 in	21	7.4	84°	1.8 ft	2

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	85°	2.8 ft	3
Feb	85°	2.3 ft	2
Mar	85°	1.6 ft	5
Apr	85°	1.5 ft	2
May	83°	1.9 ft	1
Jun	80°	2.1 ft	–
Jul	78°	2.2 ft	–
Aug	78°	2.2 ft	–
Sep	79°	2.0 ft	–
Oct	81°	1.9 ft	–
Nov	83°	1.6 ft	–
Dec	84°	1.8 ft	2

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 62.74 in of rain on about 124 days and about 3,250 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now76 °Ffeels like 85 °F

Tomorrow73 / 88 °F

It's 76 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 72 °F to 89 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 88 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 75% 0.61 in
Fri 30 82% 0.26 in
Sat 31 44%
Sun 1 0%
Mon 2 4%
Tue 3 22%
Wed 4 22% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 75%, with 0.61 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 82% and 0.26 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.04 in; last 3 days, 0.05 in; last 7 days, 0.30 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity96%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 96% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds67%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak12extreme

Fri 30: 13 · Sat 31: 13 · Sun 1: 13

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.84

Falling now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 25

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light drizzle	75 / 95 °F	0.02 in	11 mph NNW
Tue 27	Mainly clear	76 / 98 °F	0	9 mph E
Mon 26	Light drizzle	76 / 99 °F	0.02 in	11 mph E
Sun 25	Drizzle	76 / 99 °F	0.10 in	9 mph ENE
Sat 24	Drizzle	78 / 96 °F	0.13 in	9 mph NW
Fri 23	Light drizzle	77 / 97 °F	0.01 in	12 mph WNW
Thu 22	Mainly clear	75 / 97 °F	0	10 mph NW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Mainly clear	75 / 95 °F	0	11 mph NW
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	75 / 99 °F	0	11 mph ENE
Mon 19	Overcast	74 / 98 °F	0	11 mph E
Sun 18	Overcast	74 / 97 °F	0	12 mph E
Sat 17	Clear sky	72 / 96 °F	0	13 mph E
Fri 16	Mainly clear	73 / 96 °F	0	13 mph E
Thu 15	Overcast	73 / 98 °F	0	15 mph ESE
Wed 14	Clear sky	73 / 97 °F	0	14 mph E
Tue 13	Mainly clear	74 / 98 °F	0	15 mph ESE
Mon 12	Clear sky	73 / 97 °F	0	14 mph ESE
Sun 11	Light drizzle	75 / 97 °F	0.01 in	12 mph E
Sat 10	Light drizzle	76 / 96 °F	0.07 in	9 mph NNE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	75 / 93 °F	0.05 in	11 mph NNW
Thu 8	Partly cloudy	74 / 100 °F	0	10 mph ENE
Wed 7	Partly cloudy	74 / 99 °F	0	11 mph E
Tue 6	Mainly clear	73 / 98 °F	0	11 mph E
Mon 5	Mainly clear	74 / 99 °F	0	10 mph E
Sun 4	Partly cloudy	73 / 97 °F	0	12 mph E
Sat 3	Overcast	73 / 96 °F	0	12 mph E
Fri 2	Overcast	73 / 98 °F	0	11 mph ENE
Thu 1	Drizzle	72 / 98 °F	0.06 in	11 mph E
Wed 30	Overcast	73 / 98 °F	0	8 mph E
Tue 29	Mainly clear	73 / 99 °F	0	12 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in AmbenjaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Ambenja?

Rain, from 72 °F to 89 °F, with a light air from the east-northeast (1 mph) and a 75% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Ambenja?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 82% (0.26 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 70 °F and a high of 96 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 12 (extreme). Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.91 inHg and falling: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Ambenja?

The best time to visit Ambenja is from July to August: highs of 89 °F, about 2 rainy days a month and 10 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Ambenja in October?

In October, Ambenja normally sees highs of 93 °F and lows of 69 °F, with about 3 rainy days (0.71 in for the month) and 11 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 81 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Ambenja?

The warmest is November, with average highs of 94 °F, and the coldest July, with lows of 62 °F. The wettest is January (21.09 in) and the driest, June.

When is cyclone season in Ambenja?

Cyclone season: from December to April, peaking in March. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Ambenja, about 5 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Jude, in March 2025.

More about Ambenja today

Weather near Ambenja

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 15 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:23 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from