Weather in Pāvilosta

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 1:04 am (EET)

Now · overcast 47 °F

Feels like: 43 °F
Low / high: 46 / 53 °F
Rain: 24% · 0.04 in
Wind: 6 mph SSE

→ 30.22 inHg · steady

Today in Pāvilosta: light showers, 46 °F to 53 °F, with a 24% chance of rain (0.04 in) and a light breeze from the south-southeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 49 °F to 52 °F and a 27% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 53 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (31%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

53° 46°
Today
52° 49°
Fri 30
51° 44°
Sat 31
44° 38°
Sun 1
48° 40°
Mon 2
48° 42°
Tue 3
46° 39°
Wed 4
51° 39°
Thu 5
52° 46°
Fri 6
50° 46°
Sat 7
47° 46°
Sun 8
48° 40°
Mon 9
46° 35°
Tue 10
42° 33°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Light showers	46 / 53 °F	24% · 0.04 in	7 mph SSW	2.2 ft	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Overcast	49 / 52 °F	27% · 0.01 in	12 mph NW	3.7 ft	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	44 / 51 °F	26% · 0.01 in	11 mph NNE	4.5 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Fog	38 / 44 °F	4%	4 mph SSE	1.7 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Light showers	40 / 48 °F	31% · 0.14 in	6 mph S	2.4 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	42 / 48 °F	35% · 0.08 in	14 mph NW	7.1 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	39 / 46 °F	31%	13 mph N	7.0 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	39 / 51 °F	25% · 0.09 in	9 mph NW	5.1 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	46 / 52 °F	25%	8 mph NW	4.9 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	46 / 50 °F	24%	9 mph WNW	3.3 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	46 / 47 °F	27%	10 mph W	4.4 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	40 / 48 °F	28%	10 mph NNW	4.3 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	35 / 46 °F	33%	6 mph S	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	33 / 42 °F	35%	8 mph SE	1.4 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 9:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 5:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Light rain
Temperature	46°	47°	47°	47°	53°	52°	50°	51°
Chance of rain	0%	2%	14%	19%	2%	1%	4%	18%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in
Wind (mph)	5 SSE	6 SSE	6 S	6 S	6 W	6 WSW	4 SW	5 SSW
Humidity	95%	94%	95%	95%	85%	83%	90%	94%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	54°	54°	51°	48°	50°	48°	46°
AIFS	51°	52°	50°	47°	49°	49°	51°
GFS	54°	52°	51°	50°	46°	47°	47°
ICON	53°	53°	51°	44°	49°	50°	51°
ARPEGE	53°	51°	51°	45°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	53°	52°	51°	44°	48°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.06 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.05 in	0.08 in	0
AIFS	0.06 in	0.02 in	0	0	0.14 in	0	0
GFS	0.01 in	0	0.01 in	0	0.12 in	0.02 in	0
ICON	0.01 in	0	0.01 in	0	0.12 in	0	0
ARPEGE	0.07 in	0.03 in	0.01 in	0	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0.04 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0	0.12 in	—	—
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	816	919	919	620	635	1434	1330
AIFS	9	11	10	8	12	11	9
GFS	917	1119	1422	610	1219	1622	1019
ICON	917	1326	1226	612	816	1325	1225
ARPEGE	917	1626	1627	610	—	—	—
ICON-EU	715	1226	1126	49	614	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	24%	27%	26%	4%	31%	35%	31%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	23%	7%	6%	3%	40%	13%	23%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal −0.2 °F	A bit below −49%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit below −0.9 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	41° / 36°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	40° / 36°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	38° / 34°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.1 °F	A bit above +24%
January	Normal +0.4 °F	Normal
February	Normal −0.2 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Pāvilosta climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Pāvilosta is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

33° 26°

JanJ
33° 24°

FebF
39° 28°

MarM
50° 36°

AprA
59° 44°

MayM
65° 51°

JunJ
71° 57°

JulJ
71° 57°

AugA
62° 50°

SepS
52° 42°

OctO
42° 35°

NovN
36° 29°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	33°	26°	2.03 in	9	1.0	39°	4.5 ft
FebruaryFeb	33°	24°	1.48 in	7	2.5	36°	4.0 ft
MarchMar	39°	28°	1.45 in	7	5.8	36°	3.3 ft
AprilApr	50°	36°	1.19 in	6	7.3	40°	2.7 ft
MayMay	59°	44°	1.48 in	7	9.7	46°	2.0 ft
JuneJun	65°	51°	2.33 in	8	10.4	55°	2.2 ft
JulyJul	71°	57°	2.69 in	9	9.3	62°	2.3 ft
AugustAug	71°	57°	3.31 in	9	7.8	64°	2.5 ft
SeptemberSep	62°	50°	2.50 in	8	5.4	60°	3.3 ft
OctoberOct	52°	42°	3.42 in	10	3.0	53°	4.0 ft
NovemberNov	42°	35°	3.00 in	10	0.6	48°	4.1 ft
DecemberDec	36°	29°	2.71 in	10	0.0	43°	5.2 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	39°	4.5 ft
Feb	36°	4.0 ft
Mar	36°	3.3 ft
Apr	40°	2.7 ft
May	46°	2.0 ft
Jun	55°	2.2 ft
Jul	62°	2.3 ft
Aug	64°	2.5 ft
Sep	60°	3.3 ft
Oct	53°	4.0 ft
Nov	48°	4.1 ft
Dec	43°	5.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 27.59 in of rain on about 99 days and about 1,900 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now47 °Ffeels like 43 °F

Tomorrow49 / 52 °F

It's 47 °F now (feels like 43 °F). Today, 46 °F to 53 °F; tomorrow, 49 °F to 52 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 24% 0.04 in
Fri 30 27% 0.01 in
Sat 31 26% 0.01 in
Sun 1 4%
Mon 2 31% 0.14 in
Tue 3 35% 0.08 in
Wed 4 31%

Today the chance of rain reaches 24%, with 0.04 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 31% and 0.14 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.15 in; last 7 days, 0.63 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity94%

Dew point45 °F

Humidity is 94% now and the dew point is 45 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now4.0 mimoderate

Clouds100%

Visibility is moderate now (4.0 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.30 30.27

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 42

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	42 / 50 °F	0	11 mph SSE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	46 / 55 °F	0.04 in	12 mph SSW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	47 / 54 °F	0.13 in	13 mph SSW
Sun 25	Drizzle	43 / 53 °F	0.20 in	19 mph SSE
Sat 24	Overcast	44 / 55 °F	0	12 mph SSE
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	45 / 55 °F	0.26 in	12 mph SSE
Thu 22	Overcast	52 / 58 °F	0	17 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	45 / 56 °F	0	14 mph ESE
Tue 20	Overcast	40 / 49 °F	0	9 mph E
Mon 19	Mainly clear	35 / 51 °F	0	9 mph NE
Sun 18	Overcast	41 / 52 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	45 / 58 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SE
Fri 16	Overcast	49 / 60 °F	0	13 mph S
Thu 15	Drizzle	48 / 57 °F	0.06 in	11 mph WNW
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	47 / 56 °F	0.32 in	13 mph SW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	46 / 56 °F	0.02 in	7 mph NNW
Mon 12	Drizzle	45 / 54 °F	0.19 in	7 mph SSW
Sun 11	Light drizzle	46 / 54 °F	0.14 in	9 mph S
Sat 10	Drizzle	48 / 55 °F	0.09 in	17 mph WSW
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	47 / 59 °F	0.52 in	23 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	46 / 67 °F	0.02 in	11 mph SE
Wed 7	Overcast	46 / 60 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Tue 6	Overcast	54 / 61 °F	0	16 mph W
Mon 5	Light drizzle	53 / 59 °F	0.04 in	15 mph WSW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	48 / 61 °F	0.01 in	11 mph WSW
Sat 3	Overcast	50 / 62 °F	0	8 mph SW
Fri 2	Clear sky	51 / 67 °F	0	9 mph SSE
Thu 1	Overcast	52 / 68 °F	0	11 mph SE
Wed 30	Light drizzle	53 / 66 °F	0.00 in	6 mph SSE
Tue 29	Drizzle	54 / 64 °F	0.19 in	10 mph S

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in PāvilostaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Pāvilosta?

Light showers, from 46 °F to 53 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southeast (6 mph) and a 24% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Pāvilosta?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 27% (0.01 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 38 °F and a high of 53 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.22 inHg and steady: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Pāvilosta?

The best time to visit Pāvilosta is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Pāvilosta in October?

In October, Pāvilosta normally sees highs of 52 °F and lows of 42 °F, with about 10 rainy days (3.42 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 53 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Pāvilosta?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 24 °F. The wettest is October (3.42 in) and the driest, April.

More about Pāvilosta today

Weather near Pāvilosta

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 1:04 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from