Weather in Karosta

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:56 am (EET)

Now · light rain 48 °F

Feels like: 44 °F
Low / high: 47 / 53 °F
Rain: 29% · 0.02 in
Wind: 7 mph SSE

→ 30.22 inHg · steady

Today in Karosta: light rain, 47 °F to 53 °F, with a 29% chance of rain (0.02 in) and a light breeze from the south-southeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 48 °F to 51 °F and a 19% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 53 °F. Next likely rain: Monday 2 (33%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

53° 47°
Today
51° 48°
Fri 30
51° 42°
Sat 31
44° 37°
Sun 1
49° 41°
Mon 2
50° 42°
Tue 3
46° 39°
Wed 4
51° 39°
Thu 5
51° 45°
Fri 6
50° 46°
Sat 7
47° 46°
Sun 8
47° 39°
Mon 9
46° 35°
Tue 10
42° 34°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Light rain	47 / 53 °F	29% · 0.02 in	7 mph SSW	2.5 ft	ICON-EU
Fri 30	Overcast	48 / 51 °F	19% · 0.01 in	8 mph NW	3.5 ft	ICON-EU
Sat 31	Overcast	42 / 51 °F	7% · 0.01 in	9 mph NNE	3.9 ft	ICON-EU
Sun 1	Fog	37 / 44 °F	8%	5 mph SE	1.6 ft	ICON-EU
Mon 2	Light showers	41 / 49 °F	33% · 0.05 in	5 mph S	1.4 ft	ICON-EU + ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	42 / 50 °F	19% · 0.05 in	12 mph NNW	5.4 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Overcast	39 / 46 °F	19%	14 mph N	6.2 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	39 / 51 °F	14% · 0.05 in	9 mph NW	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Overcast	45 / 51 °F	17%	9 mph NW	2.4 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Overcast	46 / 50 °F	15%	10 mph NW	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Overcast	46 / 47 °F	20%	11 mph W	4.3 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	39 / 47 °F	27%	11 mph NNW	3.7 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	35 / 46 °F	31%	6 mph SE	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	34 / 42 °F	33%	10 mph SE	1.8 ft	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: ICON-EU until Monday 2 9:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 5:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	47°	47°	47°	48°	53°	53°	50°	50°
Chance of rain	0%	5%	16%	17%	25%	13%	6%	28%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 SSE	6 SSE	7 S	6 S	6 WNW	6 WSW	5 WSW	4 SW
Humidity	95%	95%	94%	95%	85%	81%	93%	89%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU	ICON-EU

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	54°	53°	51°	48°	50°	50°	46°
AIFS	51°	52°	50°	46°	49°	49°	49°
GFS	53°	52°	52°	48°	49°	49°	51°
ICON	54°	52°	51°	44°	50°	49°	52°
ARPEGE	53°	51°	51°	43°	—	—	—
ICON-EU	53°	51°	51°	44°	49°	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0	0.09 in	0.05 in	0
AIFS	0.02 in	0	0	0	0.12 in	0	0
GFS	0.02 in	0	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.17 in	0	0
ICON	0.02 in	0.00 in	0	0	0.04 in	0	0
ARPEGE	0.06 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0	—	—	—
ICON-EU	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.01 in	0	0.05 in	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	817	1020	1021	421	734	1231	1429
AIFS	8	9	9	6	8	12	10
GFS	1117	1319	1621	914	1316	814	1724
ICON	716	818	920	612	612	920	817
ARPEGE	1218	1219	1522	914	—	—	—
ICON-EU	715	818	919	511	511	—	—
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	29%	19%	7%	8%	33%	19%	19%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	20%	14%	6%	10%	46%	19%	23%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

The next few weeks look normal for the time of year.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal −0.5 °F	Below −57%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal −0.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	42° / 38°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit above +20%	41° / 38°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	40° / 36°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.2 °F	A bit above +22%
January	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal
February	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Karosta climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Karosta is from July to August: highs of 71 °F to 71 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

34° 25°

JanJ
34° 24°

FebF
39° 28°

MarM
50° 36°

AprA
60° 44°

MayM
66° 51°

JunJ
71° 57°

JulJ
71° 56°

AugA
63° 49°

SepS
52° 42°

OctO
43° 35°

NovN
37° 29°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	34°	25°	2.04 in	11	1.0	39°	4.5 ft
FebruaryFeb	34°	24°	1.52 in	8	2.4	37°	4.0 ft
MarchMar	39°	28°	1.33 in	8	5.7	36°	3.2 ft
AprilApr	50°	36°	1.17 in	6	7.3	40°	2.6 ft
MayMay	60°	44°	1.55 in	7	9.5	47°	1.9 ft
JuneJun	66°	51°	2.31 in	8	10.4	55°	2.2 ft
JulyJul	71°	57°	2.65 in	9	9.4	62°	2.3 ft
AugustAug	71°	56°	3.19 in	10	7.9	65°	2.5 ft
SeptemberSep	63°	49°	2.46 in	9	5.4	60°	3.3 ft
OctoberOct	52°	42°	3.28 in	12	2.9	54°	3.9 ft
NovemberNov	43°	35°	2.71 in	11	0.6	48°	4.0 ft
DecemberDec	37°	29°	2.45 in	12	0.0	43°	5.2 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	39°	4.5 ft
Feb	37°	4.0 ft
Mar	36°	3.2 ft
Apr	40°	2.6 ft
May	47°	1.9 ft
Jun	55°	2.2 ft
Jul	62°	2.3 ft
Aug	65°	2.5 ft
Sep	60°	3.3 ft
Oct	54°	3.9 ft
Nov	48°	4.0 ft
Dec	43°	5.2 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 26.66 in of rain on about 109 days and about 1,900 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now48 °Ffeels like 44 °F

Tomorrow48 / 51 °F

It's 48 °F now (feels like 44 °F). Today, 47 °F to 53 °F; tomorrow, 48 °F to 51 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 29% 0.02 in
Fri 30 19% 0.01 in
Sat 31 7% 0.01 in
Sun 1 8%
Mon 2 33% 0.05 in
Tue 3 19% 0.05 in
Wed 4 19%

Today the chance of rain reaches 29%, with 0.02 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Monday 2: 33% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.17 in; last 7 days, 0.69 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity95%

Dew point46 °F

Humidity is 95% now and the dew point is 46 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now2.9 mimoderate

Clouds99%

Visibility is moderate now (2.9 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.30 30.28

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityModerate · 41

PollenNoneToday, at most none.

Pollen: Copernicus CAMS model (a rough guide, not a pollen trap). Levels use each type's usual thresholds.

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Overcast	41 / 50 °F	0	11 mph SSE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	46 / 54 °F	0.05 in	13 mph S
Mon 26	Light drizzle	47 / 54 °F	0.17 in	14 mph SSW
Sun 25	Heavy drizzle	43 / 54 °F	0.24 in	19 mph SSE
Sat 24	Overcast	44 / 55 °F	0	12 mph SE
Fri 23	Drizzle	46 / 55 °F	0.24 in	12 mph SSE
Thu 22	Overcast	53 / 58 °F	0	17 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	46 / 57 °F	0	15 mph SE
Tue 20	Overcast	42 / 49 °F	0	10 mph E
Mon 19	Overcast	36 / 50 °F	0	10 mph NE
Sun 18	Overcast	41 / 52 °F	0	11 mph NNE
Sat 17	Overcast	45 / 58 °F	0	12 mph SE
Fri 16	Overcast	48 / 60 °F	0	13 mph S
Thu 15	Light drizzle	48 / 57 °F	0.02 in	11 mph WNW
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	47 / 56 °F	0.34 in	14 mph SW
Tue 13	Light drizzle	45 / 56 °F	0.02 in	8 mph NNW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	45 / 54 °F	0.11 in	7 mph SSW
Sun 11	Drizzle	46 / 54 °F	0.21 in	11 mph S
Sat 10	Light drizzle	49 / 56 °F	0.10 in	19 mph WSW
Fri 9	Light rain	47 / 59 °F	0.61 in	27 mph WSW
Thu 8	Light drizzle	47 / 66 °F	0.02 in	13 mph SE
Wed 7	Overcast	47 / 60 °F	0	9 mph W
Tue 6	Overcast	55 / 61 °F	0	17 mph W
Mon 5	Light drizzle	54 / 59 °F	0.06 in	17 mph WSW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	49 / 60 °F	0.02 in	13 mph WSW
Sat 3	Light drizzle	51 / 61 °F	0.01 in	9 mph SW
Fri 2	Clear sky	51 / 67 °F	0	11 mph SSE
Thu 1	Overcast	52 / 68 °F	0	10 mph SE
Wed 30	Drizzle	53 / 64 °F	0.11 in	7 mph SE
Tue 29	Drizzle	53 / 65 °F	0.19 in	10 mph S

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in KarostaQuestions

What's the weather like today in Karosta?

Light rain, from 47 °F to 53 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southeast (7 mph) and a 29% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Karosta?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 19% (0.01 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 37 °F and a high of 53 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.22 inHg and steady: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Karosta?

The best time to visit Karosta is from July to August: highs of 71 °F to 71 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 9 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Karosta in October?

In October, Karosta normally sees highs of 52 °F and lows of 42 °F, with about 12 rainy days (3.28 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 54 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Karosta?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 24 °F. The wettest is October (3.28 in) and the driest, April.

More about Karosta today

Weather near Karosta

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 9.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:56 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from