Weather in Runaway Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:32 am (EST)

Now · mainly clear 78 °F

Feels like: 85 °F
Low / high: 78 / 82 °F
Rain: 45% · 0.01 in
Wind: 5 mph S

↘ 29.88 inHg · falling UV 8 · very high

Today in Runaway Bay: light drizzle, 78 °F to 82 °F, with a 45% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light breeze from the south (5 mph). Tomorrow, heavy drizzle, 78 °F to 81 °F and a 60% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 83 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

82° 78°
Today
81° 78°
Fri 30
83° 79°
Sat 31
83° 79°
Sun 1
81° 78°
Mon 2
81° 77°
Tue 3
82° 77°
Wed 4
80° 78°
Thu 5
81° 77°
Fri 6
80° 78°
Sat 7
80° 78°
Sun 8
81° 79°
Mon 9
83° 80°
Tue 10
83° 80°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Light drizzle	78 / 82 °F	45% · 0.01 in	11 mph ESE	0.7 ft	2:32 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Heavy drizzle	78 / 81 °F	60% · 0.19 in	13 mph ESE	0.9 ft	7:33 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	79 / 83 °F	52% · 0.02 in	15 mph E	1.2 ft	7:31 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	79 / 83 °F	52% · 0.07 in	13 mph E	1.2 ft	5:52 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	78 / 81 °F	54% · 0.16 in	14 mph E	1.0 ft	6:10 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	77 / 81 °F	80% · 0.19 in	4 mph S	0.6 ft	4:10 am · 6:28 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	77 / 82 °F	69% · 0.19 in	4 mph SSW	0.3 ft	6:12 am · 6:45 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Heavy drizzle	78 / 80 °F	55% · 0.28 in	5 mph S	0.3 ft	7:44 am · 7:00 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	77 / 81 °F	57% · 0.19 in	6 mph S	0.6 ft	9:00 am · 7:08 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	78 / 80 °F	59% · 0.31 in	6 mph SSW	0.9 ft	10:02 am · 6:55 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	78 / 80 °F	51% · 0.33 in	10 mph ESE	1.5 ft	10:54 am	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	79 / 81 °F	55% · 0.11 in	7 mph E	1.4 ft	11:40 am	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	80 / 83 °F	49% · 0.07 in	10 mph ESE	1.5 ft	12:27 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	80 / 83 °F	61% · 0.13 in	9 mph ESE	1.2 ft	1:19 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Clear	Clear
Temperature	78°	78°	78°	81°	82°	82°	82°	80°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	9%	39%	32%	18%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 S	5 S	5 S	3 NE	8 ENE	10 ENE	11 E	8 ESE
Humidity	89%	84%	81%	70%	68%	78%	80%	87%
UV	0	0	0	4	8	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	82°	81°	83°	83°	81°	81°	82°
AIFS	83°	82°	83°	82°	82°	80°	81°
GFS	92°	90°	89°	89°	90°	87°	86°
ICON	86°	85°	87°	86°	89°	87°	88°
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.01 in	0.19 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.16 in	0.19 in	0.19 in
AIFS	0.09 in	0.24 in	0.16 in	0.24 in	0.23 in	0.47 in	0.45 in
GFS	0.02 in	0.37 in	0.02 in	0.48 in	0.35 in	0.24 in	0.24 in
ICON	0	0.05 in	0	0	0.07 in	0.04 in	0.13 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1114	1320	1522	1318	1419	417	49
AIFS	6	8	10	8	6	6	5
GFS	69	514	814	415	36	510	46
ICON	1120	1222	1528	1225	817	1019	1325
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	45%	60%	52%	52%	54%	80%	69%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	66%	100%	38%	90%	90%	70%	77%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	84° / 71°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	84° / 70°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	84° / 70°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +2.7 °F	Normal
December	Above +2.9 °F	A bit above +25%
January	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +23%
February	Above +2.7 °F	Normal
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Runaway Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Runaway Bay is from January to April: highs of 81 °F to 84 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Runaway Bay, about 5 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

81° 67°

JanJ
82° 67°

FebF
82° 67°

MarM
84° 69°

AprA
84° 71°

MayM
85° 72°

JunJ
87° 71°

JulJ
87° 72°

AugA
87° 72°

SepS
85° 71°

OctO
83° 70°

NovN
82° 69°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	81°	67°	5.00 in	8	7.3	81°	3.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	82°	67°	2.37 in	6	7.6	80°	3.6 ft	–
MarchMar	82°	67°	3.15 in	9	8.3	80°	3.5 ft	–
AprilApr	84°	69°	3.52 in	9	9.0	81°	2.8 ft	–
MayMay	84°	71°	6.08 in	17	7.6	83°	2.9 ft	–
JuneJun	85°	72°	4.16 in	16	7.7	83°	3.1 ft	–
JulyJul	87°	71°	3.06 in	17	8.6	84°	3.0 ft	3
AugustAug	87°	72°	3.49 in	20	7.6	85°	2.9 ft	5
SeptemberSep	87°	72°	4.97 in	23	7.6	85°	2.2 ft	3
OctoberOct	85°	71°	8.17 in	22	7.0	85°	2.4 ft	3
NovemberNov	83°	70°	7.53 in	13	6.9	84°	3.1 ft	1
DecemberDec	82°	69°	7.53 in	9	6.9	82°	3.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	3.7 ft	–
Feb	80°	3.6 ft	–
Mar	80°	3.5 ft	–
Apr	81°	2.8 ft	–
May	83°	2.9 ft	–
Jun	83°	3.1 ft	–
Jul	84°	3.0 ft	3
Aug	85°	2.9 ft	5
Sep	85°	2.2 ft	3
Oct	85°	2.4 ft	3
Nov	84°	3.1 ft	1
Dec	82°	3.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 59.04 in of rain on about 171 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now78 °Ffeels like 85 °F

Tomorrow78 / 81 °F

It's 78 °F now (feels like 85 °F). Today, 78 °F to 82 °F; tomorrow, 78 °F to 81 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 45% 0.01 in
Fri 30 60% 0.19 in
Sat 31 52% 0.02 in
Sun 1 52% 0.07 in
Mon 2 54% 0.16 in
Tue 3 80% 0.19 in
Wed 4 69% 0.19 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 45%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 60% and 0.19 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.08 in; last 7 days, 1.32 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%

Dew point73 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 73 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds22%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8very high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.98

Falling now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 31

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Partly cloudy	78 / 84 °F	0	13 mph SE
Tue 27	Light drizzle	77 / 83 °F	0.04 in	8 mph S
Mon 26	Light drizzle	77 / 83 °F	0.05 in	9 mph W
Sun 25	Drizzle	77 / 82 °F	0.34 in	10 mph W
Sat 24	Light showers	76 / 82 °F	0.51 in	11 mph ENE
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	78 / 83 °F	0.38 in	17 mph E
Thu 22	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.01 in	11 mph ESE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.04 in	4 mph ESE
Tue 20	Light drizzle	79 / 84 °F	0.06 in	8 mph ESE
Mon 19	Drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.07 in	15 mph E
Sun 18	Overcast	79 / 85 °F	0	18 mph E
Sat 17	Overcast	81 / 85 °F	0	17 mph ESE
Fri 16	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.07 in	20 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	79 / 85 °F	0.09 in	17 mph E
Wed 14	Light drizzle	79 / 85 °F	0.05 in	22 mph ESE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.06 in	19 mph ESE
Mon 12	Drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.09 in	23 mph E
Sun 11	Drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.14 in	13 mph E
Sat 10	Overcast	81 / 87 °F	0	21 mph E
Fri 9	Light drizzle	81 / 84 °F	0.07 in	16 mph ESE
Thu 8	Overcast	82 / 84 °F	0	16 mph E
Wed 7	Light drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.01 in	13 mph ESE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	80 / 84 °F	0.08 in	15 mph ESE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.08 in	14 mph E
Sun 4	Light drizzle	80 / 85 °F	0.02 in	20 mph ESE
Sat 3	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.15 in	17 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.02 in	20 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.01 in	22 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.04 in	23 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.02 in	15 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Runaway BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Runaway Bay?

Light drizzle, from 78 °F to 82 °F, with a light breeze from the south (5 mph) and a 45% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Runaway Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 60% (0.19 in): heavy drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 77 °F and a high of 83 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.88 inHg and falling: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Runaway Bay?

The best time to visit Runaway Bay is from January to April: highs of 81 °F to 84 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Runaway Bay in October?

In October, Runaway Bay normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 22 rainy days (8.17 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Runaway Bay?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is October (8.17 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Runaway Bay?

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 15 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Runaway Bay, about 5 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

More about Runaway Bay today

Weather near Runaway Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.3 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:32 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from