Weather in Montego Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 4:58 pm (EST)

Now · partly cloudy 84 °F

Feels like: 92 °F
Low / high: 76 / 86 °F
Rain: 82% · 0.01 in
Wind: 2 mph E

→ 29.86 inHg · steady UV 7 · high

Today in Montego Bay: light drizzle, 76 °F to 86 °F, with a 82% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light air from the east (2 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 71 °F to 85 °F and a 2% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 86 °F. Next likely rain: Friday 30 (78%).

Measured now at the airport

MKJS (MKJS), 2.1 mi away · 58 min ago

Visibility6.2 mi or more

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature86 °F

Wind10 mph from the east

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 76°
Today
85° 71°
Thu 29
85° 76°
Fri 30
86° 78°
Sat 31
85° 77°
Sun 1
85° 74°
Mon 2
80° 75°
Tue 3
82° 75°
Wed 4
83° 74°
Thu 5
83° 74°
Fri 6
82° 76°
Sat 7
83° 75°
Sun 8
83° 76°
Mon 9
84° 77°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	82% · 0.01 in	7 mph SSE	0.9 ft	1:47 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Overcast	71 / 85 °F	2%	8 mph ESE	0.6 ft	3:05 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	76 / 85 °F	78% · 0.09 in	11 mph E	0.7 ft	8:06 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	78 / 86 °F	47% · 0.09 in	13 mph E	1.0 ft	8:04 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	77 / 85 °F	80% · 0.04 in	11 mph E	1.2 ft	6:25 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	74 / 85 °F	84% · 0.06 in	8 mph SE	1.4 ft	6:43 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	75 / 80 °F	84% · 0.12 in	4 mph SW	0.7 ft	4:43 am · 7:01 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	75 / 82 °F	67% · 0.07 in	5 mph S	0.5 ft	6:45 am · 7:18 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	74 / 83 °F	51% · 0.09 in	7 mph SE	0.4 ft	8:17 am · 7:33 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	74 / 83 °F	53% · 0.05 in	8 mph W	0.4 ft	9:33 am · 7:41 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light showers	76 / 82 °F	61% · 0.40 in	5 mph SSE	1.3 ft	10:35 am · 7:28 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light showers	75 / 83 °F	53% · 0.38 in	6 mph ESE	2.0 ft	11:27 am	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	76 / 83 °F	65% · 0.24 in	9 mph E	1.8 ft	12:13 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	77 / 84 °F	63% · 0.28 in	10 mph E	1.8 ft	1:00 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear
Temperature	77°	77°	77°	83°	86°	86°	83°	78°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	45%	82%	45%	6%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 S	6 S	6 S	3 SE	6 NE	5 NE	2 SE	5 SSW
Humidity	87%	86%	88%	71%	62%	61%	75%	90%
UV	0	0	0	4	7	2	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	86°	85°	85°	86°	85°	85°	80°
AIFS	86°	86°	83°	85°	84°	84°	82°
GFS	91°	87°	88°	88°	89°	86°	85°
ICON	89°	88°	87°	89°	88°	89°	90°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.01 in	0	0.09 in	0.09 in	0.04 in	0.06 in	0.12 in
AIFS	0.05 in	0.05 in	0.32 in	0.14 in	0.24 in	0.24 in	0.38 in
GFS	0.04 in	0	0.15 in	0.06 in	0.52 in	0.25 in	0.07 in
ICON	0.03 in	0	0.14 in	0.01 in	0.18 in	0.01 in	0.11 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	715	815	1117	1321	1120	819	415
AIFS	7	4	6	9	8	5	3
GFS	69	86	1010	1213	811	54	96
ICON	614	917	615	1325	1021	412	414
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	82%	2%	78%	47%	80%	84%	84%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	71%	71%	100%	87%	90%	74%	84%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +25%	85° / 73°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +29%	85° / 72°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	86° / 72°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	86° / 72°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Above +66%
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +61%
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	Above +50%
March	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Montego Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Montego Bay is from January to April: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Montego Bay, about 5 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

84° 69°

JanJ
84° 69°

FebF
85° 69°

MarM
87° 71°

AprA
87° 73°

MayM
88° 73°

JunJ
89° 73°

JulJ
90° 74°

AugA
89° 74°

SepS
88° 73°

OctO
86° 72°

NovN
85° 70°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	84°	69°	3.18 in	6	7.5	81°	3.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	84°	69°	2.24 in	5	7.7	80°	3.6 ft	–
MarchMar	85°	69°	3.11 in	8	8.5	80°	3.5 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	71°	4.81 in	7	8.8	82°	2.8 ft	–
MayMay	87°	73°	9.63 in	16	7.3	83°	2.9 ft	–
JuneJun	88°	73°	6.42 in	17	7.3	84°	3.1 ft	–
JulyJul	89°	73°	5.27 in	18	8.5	84°	3.0 ft	3
AugustAug	90°	74°	6.97 in	20	7.6	85°	2.9 ft	4
SeptemberSep	89°	74°	8.70 in	23	7.5	86°	2.2 ft	3
OctoberOct	88°	73°	10.15 in	22	7.0	85°	2.4 ft	3
NovemberNov	86°	72°	5.33 in	13	6.9	84°	3.1 ft	1
DecemberDec	85°	70°	4.21 in	7	7.1	82°	3.7 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	3.7 ft	–
Feb	80°	3.6 ft	–
Mar	80°	3.5 ft	–
Apr	82°	2.8 ft	–
May	83°	2.9 ft	–
Jun	84°	3.1 ft	–
Jul	84°	3.0 ft	3
Aug	85°	2.9 ft	4
Sep	86°	2.2 ft	3
Oct	85°	2.4 ft	3
Nov	84°	3.1 ft	1
Dec	82°	3.7 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 70.02 in of rain on about 160 days and about 2,800 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now84 °Ffeels like 92 °F

Tomorrow71 / 85 °F

It's 84 °F now (feels like 92 °F). Today, 76 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 71 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 82% 0.01 in
Thu 29 2%
Fri 30 78% 0.09 in
Sat 31 47% 0.09 in
Sun 1 80% 0.04 in
Mon 2 84% 0.06 in
Tue 3 84% 0.12 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 82%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 78% and 0.09 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.02 in; last 3 days, 0.18 in; last 7 days, 1.15 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity68%

Dew point72 °F

Humidity is 68% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds58%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak7high

Thu 29: 9 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.96

Steady now (+0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 22

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	72 / 86 °F	0.09 in	6 mph S
Mon 26	Partly cloudy	73 / 85 °F	0	7 mph W
Sun 25	Light drizzle	77 / 83 °F	0.16 in	8 mph N
Sat 24	Showers	75 / 85 °F	0.56 in	8 mph S
Fri 23	Drizzle	76 / 83 °F	0.24 in	14 mph E
Thu 22	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.07 in	10 mph ENE
Wed 21	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.08 in	9 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	0.01 in	10 mph E
Mon 19	Drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.13 in	10 mph ESE
Sun 18	Overcast	75 / 86 °F	0	14 mph E
Sat 17	Light drizzle	77 / 89 °F	0.05 in	13 mph E
Fri 16	Light drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.08 in	16 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	79 / 87 °F	0.08 in	16 mph E
Wed 14	Drizzle	77 / 85 °F	0.12 in	17 mph E
Tue 13	Light drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.05 in	15 mph E
Mon 12	Drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.19 in	12 mph E
Sun 11	Drizzle	79 / 88 °F	0.09 in	15 mph E
Sat 10	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.04 in	16 mph E
Fri 9	Drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.09 in	10 mph E
Thu 8	Light drizzle	79 / 88 °F	0.01 in	14 mph E
Wed 7	Light drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.05 in	12 mph ESE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	0.06 in	12 mph E
Mon 5	Partly cloudy	77 / 87 °F	0	5 mph ESE
Sun 4	Drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.06 in	11 mph ESE
Sat 3	Thunderstorm	78 / 87 °F	0.41 in	15 mph E
Fri 2	Light drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.08 in	15 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	79 / 89 °F	0.08 in	15 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.06 in	18 mph E
Tue 29	Overcast	80 / 88 °F	0	13 mph E
Mon 28	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	0.01 in	14 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Montego BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Montego Bay?

Light drizzle, from 76 °F to 86 °F, with a light air from the east (2 mph) and a 82% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Montego Bay?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 2% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 71 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 7 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.86 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Montego Bay?

The best time to visit Montego Bay is from January to April: highs of 84 °F to 87 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Montego Bay in October?

In October, Montego Bay normally sees highs of 88 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 22 rainy days (10.15 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Montego Bay?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 90 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 69 °F. The wettest is October (10.15 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Montego Bay?

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Montego Bay, about 5 every 10 years; 9 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

More about Montego Bay today

Weather near Montego Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 11 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:58 pm (local time).

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