Weather in Hope Bay
14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:04 pm (EST)- Feels like
- 87 °F
- Low / high
- 71 / 88 °F
- Rain
- 51% · 0.01 in
- Wind
- 4 mph SSW
Today in Hope Bay: light drizzle, 71 °F to 88 °F, with a 51% chance of rain (0.01 in) and a light breeze from the south-southwest (4 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 69 °F to 86 °F and a 84% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 88 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Thu 29
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 28 | 71 / 88 °F | 51% · 0.01 in | 7 mph S | 2.0 ft | 11:51 am | ECMWF | |
| Thu 29 | 69 / 86 °F | 84% · 0.06 in | 5 mph SSE | 1.6 ft | 1:06 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 73 / 84 °F | 94% · 0.22 in | 6 mph E | 1.6 ft | 2:24 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 75 / 85 °F | 61% · 0.14 in | 9 mph E | 2.0 ft | 3:38 am · 3:33 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 74 / 85 °F | 70% · 0.13 in | 8 mph E | 2.3 ft | 4:46 am · 4:31 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 72 / 86 °F | 100% · 0.39 in | 6 mph S | 2.2 ft | 5:39 am · 5:20 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 73 / 83 °F | 100% · 0.09 in | 4 mph SSE | 2.0 ft | 6:26 am · 6:03 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 73 / 80 °F | 86% · 0.19 in | 4 mph S | 1.4 ft | 7:10 am · 6:40 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 74 / 80 °F | 83% · 0.33 in | 4 mph SSW | 1.4 ft | 7:50 am · 7:09 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 73 / 82 °F | 72% · 0.35 in | 5 mph S | 1.0 ft | 8:26 am · 7:20 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 74 / 78 °F | 74% · 0.61 in | 5 mph S | 0.9 ft | 8:58 am | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 75 / 82 °F | 68% · 0.24 in | 5 mph ESE | 1.4 ft | 9:27 am | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 75 / 84 °F | 73% · 0.14 in | 7 mph E | 1.6 ft | 9:55 am | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 76 / 83 °F | 85% · 0.19 in | 6 mph E | 1.8 ft | 10:26 am | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Clear | Clear | Clear | Clear sky | Light drizzle | Partly cloudy | Partly cloudy | Mainly clear |
| Temperature | 74° | 73° | 73° | 83° | 87° | 86° | 79° | 74° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 31% | 6% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 7 SSW | 6 SSW | 6 SSW | 1 SE | 4 ENE | 2 ENE | 4 SSW | 6 S |
| Humidity | 85% | 85% | 88% | 65% | 57% | 60% | 79% | 91% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 88° | 86° | 84° | 85° | 85° | 86° | 83° |
| AIFS | 85° | 83° | 83° | 84° | 83° | 82° | 81° |
| GFS | 88° | 85° | 87° | 86° | 86° | 85° | 83° |
| ICON | 88° | 87° | 85° | 86° | 87° | 87° | 88° |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | medium |
| Rain | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0.01 in | 0.06 in | 0.22 in | 0.14 in | 0.13 in | 0.39 in | 0.09 in |
| AIFS | 0.02 in | 0.13 in | 0.26 in | 0.17 in | 0.21 in | 0.28 in | 0.48 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0.39 in | 0.04 in | 0.15 in | 0.20 in | 0.40 in | 0.25 in |
| ICON | 0 | 0.09 in | 0.11 in | 0.02 in | 0.05 in | 0.22 in | 0.08 in |
| Confidence | high | medium | medium | medium | high | high | medium |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 714 | 522 | 615 | 923 | 823 | 623 | 413 |
| AIFS | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| GFS | 910 | 710 | 1012 | 89 | 99 | 911 | 710 |
| ICON | 512 | 614 | 615 | 819 | 513 | 515 | 617 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Thu 29 | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 51% | 84% | 94% | 61% | 70% | 100% | 100% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 0% | 94% | 76% | 51% | 45% | 35% | 39% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +1.1 °F | A bit below −24% | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Normal | 83° / 75° |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Normal | 83° / 75° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +1.8 °F | Normal | 83° / 75° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.8 °F | A bit below −26% | 83° / 75° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +2.3 °F | A bit below −35% |
| December | A bit above +2.3 °F | Normal |
| January | A bit above +2.3 °F | A bit above +29% |
| February | A bit above +2.5 °F | A bit above +38% |
| March | A bit above +2.3 °F | Normal |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).
Hope Bay climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Hope Bay is from February to April: highs of 81 °F to 83 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Hope Bay, about 4 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 81° | 69° | 7.37 in | 4 | 6.8 | 81° | 4.0 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 81° | 69° | 3.10 in | 2 | 7.4 | 80° | 3.9 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 82° | 70° | 3.30 in | 3 | 8.2 | 80° | 3.8 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 83° | 71° | 4.09 in | 4 | 8.7 | 81° | 3.1 ft | – |
| MayMay | 84° | 72° | 8.70 in | 10 | 7.4 | 82° | 3.3 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 85° | 74° | 6.20 in | 7 | 7.7 | 83° | 3.5 ft | – |
| JulyJul | 87° | 74° | 5.46 in | 5 | 8.6 | 84° | 3.4 ft | 3 |
| AugustAug | 87° | 74° | 6.63 in | 9 | 7.7 | 85° | 3.2 ft | 4 |
| SeptemberSep | 87° | 74° | 7.66 in | 11 | 7.7 | 85° | 2.5 ft | 2 |
| OctoberOct | 85° | 73° | 11.10 in | 13 | 7.0 | 85° | 2.7 ft | 3 |
| NovemberNov | 83° | 71° | 10.98 in | 9 | 6.8 | 83° | 3.2 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 82° | 70° | 10.86 in | 5 | 6.3 | 82° | 4.0 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 81° | 4.0 ft | – |
| Feb | 80° | 3.9 ft | – |
| Mar | 80° | 3.8 ft | – |
| Apr | 81° | 3.1 ft | – |
| May | 82° | 3.3 ft | – |
| Jun | 83° | 3.5 ft | – |
| Jul | 84° | 3.4 ft | 3 |
| Aug | 85° | 3.2 ft | 4 |
| Sep | 85° | 2.5 ft | 2 |
| Oct | 85° | 2.7 ft | 3 |
| Nov | 83° | 3.2 ft | – |
| Dec | 82° | 4.0 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 85.46 in of rain on about 82 days and about 2,750 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 79 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 71 °F to 88 °F; tomorrow, 69 °F to 86 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 51%, with 0.01 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 84% and 0.06 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.01 in; last 3 days, 0.13 in; last 7 days, 2.91 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 80% now and the dew point is 72 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Thu 29: 8 · Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 8
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Rising now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 | Light drizzle | 71 / 88 °F | 0.02 in | 7 mph S |
| Mon 26 | Light drizzle | 71 / 86 °F | 0.08 in | 5 mph S |
| Sun 25 | Heavy drizzle | 73 / 85 °F | 0.20 in | 6 mph SW |
| Sat 24 | Thunderstorm | 74 / 83 °F | 1.50 in | 5 mph NNW |
| Fri 23 | Showers | 74 / 77 °F | 1.03 in | 4 mph SE |
| Thu 22 | Light drizzle | 72 / 89 °F | 0.06 in | 8 mph E |
| Wed 21 | Light drizzle | 73 / 89 °F | 0.06 in | 6 mph SE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 20 | Drizzle | 72 / 89 °F | 0.13 in | 6 mph ESE |
| Mon 19 | Drizzle | 74 / 88 °F | 0.15 in | 8 mph E |
| Sun 18 | Drizzle | 74 / 89 °F | 0.11 in | 9 mph ESE |
| Sat 17 | Light drizzle | 75 / 90 °F | 0.01 in | 11 mph E |
| Fri 16 | Light drizzle | 78 / 90 °F | 0.06 in | 12 mph E |
| Thu 15 | Heavy drizzle | 76 / 84 °F | 0.35 in | 11 mph E |
| Wed 14 | Drizzle | 74 / 88 °F | 0.18 in | 13 mph E |
| Tue 13 | Light drizzle | 74 / 89 °F | 0.07 in | 11 mph E |
| Mon 12 | Drizzle | 75 / 87 °F | 0.14 in | 11 mph E |
| Sun 11 | Drizzle | 78 / 91 °F | 0.09 in | 9 mph E |
| Sat 10 | Light drizzle | 75 / 92 °F | 0.00 in | 12 mph E |
| Fri 9 | Drizzle | 75 / 85 °F | 0.18 in | 8 mph E |
| Thu 8 | Light drizzle | 77 / 85 °F | 0.05 in | 9 mph E |
| Wed 7 | Drizzle | 73 / 89 °F | 0.09 in | 9 mph ESE |
| Tue 6 | Drizzle | 73 / 89 °F | 0.13 in | 8 mph E |
| Mon 5 | Drizzle | 74 / 89 °F | 0.15 in | 5 mph SE |
| Sun 4 | Thunderstorm | 76 / 88 °F | 0.40 in | 7 mph ESE |
| Sat 3 | Drizzle | 78 / 92 °F | 0.13 in | 8 mph E |
| Fri 2 | Drizzle | 80 / 92 °F | 0.13 in | 10 mph E |
| Thu 1 | Light drizzle | 78 / 93 °F | 0.06 in | 12 mph E |
| Wed 30 | Light drizzle | 77 / 92 °F | 0.02 in | 13 mph E |
| Tue 29 | Light drizzle | 80 / 90 °F | 0.01 in | 10 mph E |
| Mon 28 | Light drizzle | 75 / 90 °F | 0.05 in | 9 mph E |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Hope BayQuestions
What's the weather like today in Hope Bay?
Light drizzle, from 71 °F to 88 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (4 mph) and a 51% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Hope Bay?
On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 84% (0.06 in): light drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 69 °F and a high of 88 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 29.89 inHg and rising: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Hope Bay?
The best time to visit Hope Bay is from February to April: highs of 81 °F to 83 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Hope Bay in October?
In October, Hope Bay normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 13 rainy days (11.10 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Hope Bay?
The warmest is August, with average highs of 87 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 69 °F. The wettest is October (11.10 in) and the driest, February.
When is hurricane season in Hope Bay?
Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 12 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Hope Bay, about 4 every 10 years; 7 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.
More about Hope Bay today
Weather near Hope Bay
- Buff Bay 79 °F · partly cloudy · 6.7 mi
- Bull Bay 79 °F · mainly clear · 19 mi
- Manchioneal 80 °F · mainly clear · 22 mi
- Yallahs 84 °F · mainly clear · 22 mi
- Morant Bay 77 °F · overcast · 24 mi
- Port Maria 78 °F · mainly clear · 24 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 13 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:04 pm (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from