Weather in Manchioneal

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 6:06 pm (EST)

Now · mainly clear 80 °F

Feels like: 89 °F
Low / high: 74 / 85 °F
Rain: 0%
Wind: 6 mph SSW

↗ 29.90 inHg · rising UV 8 · very high

Today in Manchioneal: partly cloudy, 74 °F to 85 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a light breeze from the south-southwest (6 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 74 °F to 81 °F and a 71% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 28, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

85° 74°
Today
81° 74°
Thu 29
82° 74°
Fri 30
84° 79°
Sat 31
84° 78°
Sun 1
82° 76°
Mon 2
83° 76°
Tue 3
83° 76°
Wed 4
81° 76°
Thu 5
83° 77°
Fri 6
83° 77°
Sat 7
83° 78°
Sun 8
84° 78°
Mon 9
85° 81°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Partly cloudy	74 / 85 °F	0%	9 mph SSW	2.6 ft	12:46 pm	ECMWF
Thu 29	Light showers	74 / 81 °F	71% · 0.27 in	7 mph S	2.0 ft	2:04 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light showers	74 / 82 °F	76% · 0.37 in	8 mph ENE	2.6 ft	7:05 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	79 / 84 °F	76% · 0.20 in	9 mph NE	3.0 ft	7:03 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	51% · 0.06 in	5 mph NE	3.1 ft	5:24 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light drizzle	76 / 82 °F	70% · 0.15 in	8 mph SSE	3.0 ft	5:42 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	75% · 0.20 in	8 mph S	2.6 ft	3:42 am · 6:00 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Light drizzle	76 / 83 °F	73% · 0.17 in	7 mph S	2.0 ft	5:44 am · 6:17 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	76 / 81 °F	43% · 0.19 in	9 mph SSW	1.8 ft	7:16 am · 6:32 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	77 / 83 °F	52% · 0.17 in	7 mph SSW	1.6 ft	8:32 am · 6:40 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Drizzle	77 / 83 °F	55% · 0.26 in	6 mph SSE	1.4 ft	9:34 am · 6:27 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Drizzle	78 / 83 °F	63% · 0.37 in	6 mph NNE	2.2 ft	10:26 am	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	78 / 84 °F	75% · 0.14 in	8 mph NNE	2.6 ft	11:12 am	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	81 / 85 °F	67% · 0.06 in	7 mph NE	2.7 ft	11:59 am	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Mainly clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Clear
Temperature	76°	74°	75°	82°	85°	84°	80°	76°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	5 WSW	5 SW	5 WSW	5 S	9 SSE	9 S	6 SSW	4 SW
Humidity	90%	93%	93%	73%	66%	71%	86%	94%
UV	0	0	0	4	8	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	85°	81°	82°	84°	84°	82°	83°
AIFS	85°	82°	83°	84°	84°	83°	82°
GFS	86°	85°	86°	86°	85°	83°	84°
ICON	87°	83°	84°	86°	88°	84°	84°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.27 in	0.37 in	0.20 in	0.06 in	0.15 in	0.20 in
AIFS	0	0.24 in	0.22 in	0.14 in	0.14 in	0.26 in	0.62 in
GFS	0	0.20 in	0.07 in	0.11 in	0.14 in	0.19 in	0.04 in
ICON	0	0.47 in	0.41 in	0.04 in	0.01 in	0.27 in	0.37 in
Confidence	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	917	716	815	915	515	816	815
AIFS	8	6	7	11	9	6	7
GFS	1012	79	89	910	78	79	78
ICON	819	719	520	824	518	726	726
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	71%	76%	76%	51%	70%	75%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	94%	84%	55%	42%	42%	45%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, a bit drier and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.7 °F	A bit below −35%	Normal +0.4 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	Normal +0.4 °F	82° / 80°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.1 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.5 °F	82° / 80°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −21%	A bit above +0.9 °F	82° / 80°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −31%	A bit above +1.1 °F	82° / 80°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit below −28%	Above +2.0 °F
December	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +31%	Above +2.3 °F
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	A bit above +25%	Above +2.2 °F
March	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Manchioneal climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Manchioneal is from February to April and in July: highs of 80 °F to 85 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manchioneal, about 4 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

79° 68°

JanJ
80° 68°

FebF
81° 69°

MarM
82° 70°

AprA
83° 71°

MayM
83° 73°

JunJ
85° 72°

JulJ
86° 72°

AugA
85° 72°

SepS
83° 71°

OctO
82° 70°

NovN
80° 69°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	79°	68°	7.26 in	4	6.6	81°	4.8 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	80°	68°	3.52 in	2	7.0	80°	4.8 ft	–
MarchMar	81°	69°	3.34 in	3	7.7	80°	4.5 ft	–
AprilApr	82°	70°	4.15 in	4	8.3	81°	3.9 ft	–
MayMay	83°	71°	9.52 in	10	6.9	82°	4.3 ft	–
JuneJun	83°	73°	6.68 in	7	7.2	83°	4.9 ft	–
JulyJul	85°	72°	4.98 in	5	8.1	84°	4.6 ft	3
AugustAug	86°	72°	6.92 in	9	7.5	85°	4.2 ft	4
SeptemberSep	85°	72°	7.99 in	11	7.5	85°	3.2 ft	2
OctoberOct	83°	71°	13.16 in	13	6.9	85°	3.4 ft	3
NovemberNov	82°	70°	11.22 in	9	6.6	83°	3.9 ft	1
DecemberDec	80°	69°	11.26 in	5	6.0	82°	4.8 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	4.8 ft	–
Feb	80°	4.8 ft	–
Mar	80°	4.5 ft	–
Apr	81°	3.9 ft	–
May	82°	4.3 ft	–
Jun	83°	4.9 ft	–
Jul	84°	4.6 ft	3
Aug	85°	4.2 ft	4
Sep	85°	3.2 ft	2
Oct	85°	3.4 ft	3
Nov	83°	3.9 ft	1
Dec	82°	4.8 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 89.99 in of rain on about 82 days and about 2,600 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now80 °Ffeels like 89 °F

Tomorrow74 / 81 °F

It's 80 °F now (feels like 89 °F). Today, 74 °F to 85 °F; tomorrow, 74 °F to 81 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 0%
Thu 29 71% 0.27 in
Fri 30 76% 0.37 in
Sat 31 76% 0.20 in
Sun 1 51% 0.06 in
Mon 2 70% 0.15 in
Tue 3 75% 0.20 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 71% and 0.27 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.41 in; last 7 days, 4.89 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%

Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds36%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak8very high

Thu 29: 8 · Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.99

Rising now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.01 in	11 mph SW
Mon 26	Heavy drizzle	75 / 84 °F	0.15 in	5 mph NW
Sun 25	Showers	75 / 83 °F	0.87 in	8 mph NNW
Sat 24	Thunderstorm	78 / 82 °F	1.33 in	10 mph SE
Fri 23	Showers	77 / 81 °F	2.47 in	7 mph E
Thu 22	Light drizzle	74 / 85 °F	0.06 in	8 mph ENE
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	76 / 86 °F	0	6 mph SE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Overcast	76 / 85 °F	0	7 mph ESE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.03 in	9 mph E
Sun 18	Light drizzle	79 / 85 °F	0.10 in	9 mph E
Sat 17	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.17 in	11 mph ESE
Fri 16	Drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.24 in	12 mph E
Thu 15	Showers	78 / 86 °F	0.63 in	13 mph ENE
Wed 14	Showers	75 / 84 °F	0.93 in	13 mph ESE
Tue 13	Light showers	79 / 85 °F	0.63 in	12 mph ESE
Mon 12	Showers	76 / 86 °F	0.58 in	14 mph ESE
Sun 11	Showers	78 / 85 °F	0.36 in	9 mph E
Sat 10	Light drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.11 in	13 mph E
Fri 9	Light showers	78 / 82 °F	1.22 in	11 mph ESE
Thu 8	Showers	79 / 82 °F	0.89 in	10 mph ENE
Wed 7	Overcast	79 / 87 °F	0	8 mph ENE
Tue 6	Drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.17 in	6 mph E
Mon 5	Drizzle	79 / 86 °F	0.28 in	9 mph ESE
Sun 4	Light showers	78 / 85 °F	0.31 in	13 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light showers	78 / 85 °F	0.78 in	11 mph ESE
Fri 2	Light showers	81 / 85 °F	0.70 in	13 mph ESE
Thu 1	Light drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.22 in	14 mph ESE
Wed 30	Drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.26 in	15 mph E
Tue 29	Drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.13 in	11 mph E
Mon 28	Light drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.05 in	11 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ManchionealQuestions

What's the weather like today in Manchioneal?

Partly cloudy, from 74 °F to 85 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southwest (6 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Manchioneal?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 71% (0.27 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 28.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.90 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Manchioneal?

The best time to visit Manchioneal is from February to April and in July: highs of 80 °F to 85 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Manchioneal in October?

In October, Manchioneal normally sees highs of 83 °F and lows of 71 °F, with about 13 rainy days (13.16 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 85 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Manchioneal?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 86 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 68 °F. The wettest is October (13.16 in) and the driest, March.

When is hurricane season in Manchioneal?

Hurricane season: from July to October, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 13 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Manchioneal, about 4 every 10 years; 8 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Melissa, in October 2025.

More about Manchioneal today

Weather near Manchioneal

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.6 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:06 pm (local time).

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