Weather in Matanzas

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:51 am (AST)

Now · light drizzle 81 °F

Feels like: 91 °F
Low / high: 78 / 86 °F
Rain: 64% · 0.09 in
Wind: 4 mph NE

↗ 29.99 inHg · rising UV 8 · high

Today in Matanzas: drizzle, 78 °F to 86 °F, with a 64% chance of rain (0.09 in) and a light breeze from the northeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 76 °F to 85 °F and a 57% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 89 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 78°
Today
85° 76°
Fri 30
89° 75°
Sat 31
87° 76°
Sun 1
86° 74°
Mon 2
84° 76°
Tue 3
82° 77°
Wed 4
84° 77°
Thu 5
85° 76°
Fri 6
86° 76°
Sat 7
87° 77°
Sun 8
86° 75°
Mon 9
87° 75°
Tue 10
88° 77°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Drizzle	78 / 86 °F	64% · 0.09 in	8 mph E	2.4 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	57% · 0.08 in	10 mph ENE	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Overcast	75 / 89 °F	10%	14 mph E	2.6 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	76 / 87 °F	46% · 0.20 in	10 mph ENE	2.7 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	74 / 86 °F	50% · 0.24 in	11 mph E	2.2 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light showers	76 / 84 °F	69% · 0.26 in	6 mph E	2.1 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	77 / 82 °F	58% · 0.22 in	3 mph SE	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Light drizzle	77 / 84 °F	53% · 0.08 in	5 mph WNW	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light drizzle	76 / 85 °F	42% · 0.07 in	6 mph N	1.4 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	76 / 86 °F	36% · 0.05 in	4 mph ENE	1.7 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Mainly clear	77 / 87 °F	32%	4 mph NNW	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Overcast	75 / 86 °F	41%	8 mph E	2.6 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	75 / 87 °F	40%	13 mph ENE	3.3 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	77 / 88 °F	24% · 0.02 in	11 mph E	4.0 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Overcast	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy	Clear
Temperature	78°	78°	78°	80°	85°	85°	82°	79°
Chance of rain	10%	22%	41%	32%	44%	64%	40%	5%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	4 NNE	2 NE	2 NE	3 NE	7 SE	7 SE	2 E	3 ENE
Humidity	92%	89%	90%	88%	71%	73%	80%	88%
UV	0	0	0	3	8	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	86°	85°	89°	87°	86°	84°	82°
AIFS	83°	84°	86°	84°	84°	84°	84°
GFS	85°	85°	87°	85°	83°	82°	84°
ICON	86°	88°	91°	90°	88°	88°	89°
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.09 in	0.08 in	0	0.20 in	0.24 in	0.26 in	0.22 in
AIFS	0.11 in	0.12 in	0.02 in	0.18 in	0.14 in	0.18 in	0.14 in
GFS	0.19 in	0.15 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.21 in	0.40 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0.01 in	0
Confidence	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	817	1021	1427	1028	1121	620	317
AIFS	5	6	9	9	9	8	3
GFS	89	1314	1618	1518	1113	1014	913
ICON	711	1117	1523	1424	1219	1015	914
Confidence	high	high	medium	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	64%	57%	10%	46%	50%	69%	58%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	97%	48%	61%	42%	58%	35%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.9 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	83° / 78°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	83° / 78°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	82° / 78°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Above +60%	Above +2.3 °F
January	Above +2.7 °F	Well above +125%	Above +2.5 °F
February	Above +2.7 °F	Above +61%	Above +2.5 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Above +80%	Above +2.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Matanzas climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Matanzas is from December to March: highs of 89 °F to 90 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to September and in December, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 11 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Matanzas, about 4 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Franklin, in August 2023.

89° 68°

JanJ
89° 68°

FebF
90° 69°

MarM
91° 71°

AprA
91° 73°

MayM
91° 73°

JunJ
92° 74°

JulJ
92° 74°

AugA
92° 73°

SepS
92° 73°

OctO
91° 71°

NovN
89° 69°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	89°	68°	0.83 in	3	7.7	80°	3.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	89°	68°	0.70 in	3	8.1	80°	3.9 ft	–
MarchMar	90°	69°	0.89 in	3	8.1	80°	3.6 ft	–
AprilApr	91°	71°	1.56 in	5	7.4	81°	3.3 ft	–
MayMay	91°	73°	4.45 in	7	6.8	82°	3.4 ft	–
JuneJun	91°	73°	4.17 in	5	7.7	83°	3.6 ft	–
JulyJul	92°	74°	3.46 in	6	8.0	83°	3.6 ft	1
AugustAug	92°	74°	6.80 in	7	7.7	84°	3.5 ft	5
SeptemberSep	92°	73°	5.07 in	7	7.1	84°	2.8 ft	2
OctoberOct	92°	73°	5.86 in	7	7.2	84°	2.8 ft	1
NovemberNov	91°	71°	2.37 in	7	7.2	83°	3.0 ft	–
DecemberDec	89°	69°	1.07 in	4	6.8	82°	3.8 ft	2

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	3.9 ft	–
Feb	80°	3.9 ft	–
Mar	80°	3.6 ft	–
Apr	81°	3.3 ft	–
May	82°	3.4 ft	–
Jun	83°	3.6 ft	–
Jul	83°	3.6 ft	1
Aug	84°	3.5 ft	5
Sep	84°	2.8 ft	2
Oct	84°	2.8 ft	1
Nov	83°	3.0 ft	–
Dec	82°	3.8 ft	2

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 37.24 in of rain on about 63 days and about 2,750 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now81 °Ffeels like 91 °F

Tomorrow76 / 85 °F

It's 81 °F now (feels like 91 °F). Today, 78 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 76 °F to 85 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 64% 0.09 in
Fri 30 57% 0.08 in
Sat 31 10%
Sun 1 46% 0.20 in
Mon 2 50% 0.24 in
Tue 3 69% 0.26 in
Wed 4 58% 0.22 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 64%, with 0.09 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 57% and 0.08 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.33 in; last 3 days, 1.49 in; last 7 days, 3.67 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity87%

Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 87% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds52%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now3

Today's peak8high

Fri 30: 8 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.87

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	75 / 87 °F	0.27 in	8 mph E
Tue 27	Light showers	75 / 82 °F	0.48 in	10 mph ENE
Mon 26	Showers	76 / 87 °F	1.24 in	12 mph ENE
Sun 25	Showers	77 / 83 °F	0.72 in	9 mph NE
Sat 24	Overcast	81 / 89 °F	0	13 mph E
Fri 23	Showers	74 / 88 °F	0.69 in	11 mph E
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.37 in	7 mph E

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Partly cloudy	76 / 90 °F	0	5 mph NE
Tue 20	Drizzle	75 / 89 °F	0.12 in	9 mph ESE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	78 / 90 °F	0.06 in	9 mph E
Sun 18	Light drizzle	78 / 91 °F	0.02 in	9 mph E
Sat 17	Mainly clear	79 / 92 °F	0	14 mph E
Fri 16	Light drizzle	80 / 92 °F	0.02 in	16 mph E
Thu 15	Overcast	80 / 92 °F	0	15 mph E
Wed 14	Overcast	76 / 87 °F	0	12 mph E
Tue 13	Drizzle	75 / 91 °F	0.08 in	12 mph E
Mon 12	Light drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.02 in	13 mph E
Sun 11	Light drizzle	78 / 87 °F	0.07 in	21 mph E
Sat 10	Light drizzle	80 / 91 °F	0.04 in	17 mph E
Fri 9	Drizzle	78 / 88 °F	0.07 in	16 mph E
Thu 8	Light showers	76 / 89 °F	0.44 in	15 mph E
Wed 7	Drizzle	78 / 92 °F	0.12 in	19 mph E
Tue 6	Light drizzle	79 / 91 °F	0.01 in	8 mph E
Mon 5	Light drizzle	78 / 91 °F	0.05 in	13 mph E
Sun 4	Light drizzle	76 / 92 °F	0.08 in	9 mph E
Sat 3	Light showers	75 / 91 °F	0.35 in	14 mph E
Fri 2	Drizzle	76 / 88 °F	0.17 in	14 mph ENE
Thu 1	Drizzle	76 / 93 °F	0.12 in	19 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	81 / 95 °F	0.04 in	17 mph E
Tue 29	Light drizzle	80 / 95 °F	0.01 in	16 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in MatanzasQuestions

What's the weather like today in Matanzas?

Drizzle, from 78 °F to 86 °F, with a light breeze from the northeast (4 mph) and a 64% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Matanzas?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 57% (0.08 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 74 °F and a high of 89 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.99 inHg and rising: +0.00 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Matanzas?

The best time to visit Matanzas is from December to March: highs of 89 °F to 90 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Matanzas in October?

In October, Matanzas normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 7 rainy days (5.86 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Matanzas?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 92 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 68 °F. The wettest is August (6.80 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Matanzas?

Hurricane season: from August to September and in December, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 11 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Matanzas, about 4 every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Franklin, in August 2023.

More about Matanzas today

Weather near Matanzas

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:51 am (local time).

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