Weather in La Ciénaga

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:50 am (AST)

Now · drizzle 80 °F

Feels like: 87 °F
Low / high: 79 / 83 °F
Rain: 78% · 0.21 in
Wind: 8 mph NE

→ 29.92 inHg · steady UV 9 · very high

Today in La Ciénaga: drizzle, 79 °F to 83 °F, with a 78% chance of rain (0.21 in) and a gentle breeze from the northeast (8 mph). Tomorrow, light showers, 82 °F to 83 °F and a 57% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Saturday 31, at 85 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

83° 79°
Today
83° 82°
Fri 30
85° 83°
Sat 31
84° 82°
Sun 1
83° 80°
Mon 2
83° 79°
Tue 3
83° 80°
Wed 4
83° 81°
Thu 5
83° 81°
Fri 6
85° 82°
Sat 7
85° 83°
Sun 8
84° 82°
Mon 9
84° 82°
Tue 10
83° 81°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Drizzle	79 / 83 °F	78% · 0.21 in	10 mph NE	2.2 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Light showers	82 / 83 °F	57% · 0.24 in	11 mph NNE	2.6 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	55% · 0.07 in	18 mph NE	3.3 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Heavy drizzle	82 / 84 °F	61% · 0.40 in	16 mph ENE	3.2 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light showers	80 / 83 °F	51% · 0.43 in	13 mph NE	2.4 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light showers	79 / 83 °F	65% · 0.39 in	10 mph NE	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	80 / 83 °F	57% · 0.25 in	5 mph E	1.9 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	81 / 83 °F	68% · 0.09 in	10 mph S	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Drizzle	81 / 83 °F	71% · 0.27 in	5 mph SSE	1.6 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	65% · 0.12 in	11 mph NE	1.2 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	58% · 0.12 in	12 mph NE	2.5 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	82 / 84 °F	50%	8 mph NE	2.7 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	82 / 84 °F	62% · 0.09 in	9 mph NE	3.2 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Drizzle	81 / 83 °F	78% · 0.34 in	10 mph NE	4.1 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Overcast	Overcast	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Partly cloudy	Overcast
Temperature	82°	81°	79°	80°	80°	80°	81°	83°
Chance of rain	47%	71%	75%	55%	33%	33%	50%	40%
Rain	0.01 in	0.03 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 NE	6 ENE	10 NE	8 NNE	6 ENE	6 E	6 NNE	8 N
Humidity	79%	80%	85%	82%	83%	83%	83%	78%
UV	0	0	0	2	9	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain on Saturday 31: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	83°	83°	85°	84°	83°	83°	83°
AIFS	83°	83°	84°	83°	83°	82°	82°
GFS	85°	87°	86°	84°	82°	83°	86°
ICON	85°	87°	90°	87°	86°	87°	88°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.21 in	0.24 in	0.07 in	0.40 in	0.43 in	0.39 in	0.25 in
AIFS	0.18 in	0.08 in	0.02 in	0.12 in	0.15 in	0.24 in	0.33 in
GFS	0.06 in	0.15 in	0.04 in	0.15 in	0.19 in	0.38 in	0.13 in
ICON	0.11 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0	0.13 in	0.11 in	0
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1015	1116	1823	1622	1325	1017	513
AIFS	7	8	11	11	9	8	5
GFS	68	711	711	915	615	59	513
ICON	518	616	721	819	719	614	613
Confidence	high	high	medium	medium	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	78%	57%	55%	61%	51%	65%	57%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	96%	89%	75%	71%	45%	42%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +0.7 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit below −28%	A bit above +1.1 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit above +34%	A bit above +1.1 °F	84° / 76°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F	84° / 76°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F	83° / 75°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
December	A bit above +2.3 °F	Well above +106%	Above +2.2 °F
January	A bit above +2.3 °F	Well above +226%	Above +2.5 °F
February	A bit above +2.3 °F	Well above +122%	Above +2.5 °F
March	A bit above +2.5 °F	Well above +120%	Above +2.3 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

La Ciénaga climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit La Ciénaga is from December to March: highs of 86 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October and in December, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of La Ciénaga, about 5 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Franklin, in August 2023.

86° 67°

JanJ
86° 68°

FebF
86° 69°

MarM
87° 71°

AprA
88° 71°

MayM
89° 72°

JunJ
90° 73°

JulJ
91° 73°

AugA
91° 73°

SepS
89° 72°

OctO
88° 70°

NovN
86° 68°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	86°	67°	1.15 in	2	7.3	81°	3.5 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	86°	68°	0.93 in	2	7.7	80°	3.6 ft	–
MarchMar	86°	69°	1.25 in	3	8.1	80°	3.3 ft	–
AprilApr	87°	71°	1.94 in	4	8.0	81°	3.1 ft	–
MayMay	88°	71°	4.72 in	7	7.0	82°	3.2 ft	–
JuneJun	89°	72°	3.85 in	5	7.5	83°	3.5 ft	–
JulyJul	90°	73°	2.55 in	5	8.0	83°	3.4 ft	1
AugustAug	91°	73°	5.21 in	6	7.9	84°	3.2 ft	8
SeptemberSep	91°	73°	5.05 in	7	7.1	84°	2.6 ft	1
OctoberOct	89°	72°	6.17 in	7	7.1	84°	2.6 ft	2
NovemberNov	88°	70°	2.73 in	5	7.0	83°	2.7 ft	–
DecemberDec	86°	68°	1.76 in	3	6.5	82°	3.4 ft	2

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	81°	3.5 ft	–
Feb	80°	3.6 ft	–
Mar	80°	3.3 ft	–
Apr	81°	3.1 ft	–
May	82°	3.2 ft	–
Jun	83°	3.5 ft	–
Jul	83°	3.4 ft	1
Aug	84°	3.2 ft	8
Sep	84°	2.6 ft	1
Oct	84°	2.6 ft	2
Nov	83°	2.7 ft	–
Dec	82°	3.4 ft	2

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 37.31 in of rain on about 56 days and about 2,700 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now80 °Ffeels like 87 °F

Tomorrow82 / 83 °F

It's 80 °F now (feels like 87 °F). Today, 79 °F to 83 °F; tomorrow, 82 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 78% 0.21 in
Fri 30 57% 0.24 in
Sat 31 55% 0.07 in
Sun 1 61% 0.40 in
Mon 2 51% 0.43 in
Tue 3 65% 0.39 in
Wed 4 57% 0.25 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 78%, with 0.21 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 57% and 0.24 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.18 in; last 3 days, 2.07 in; last 7 days, 4.72 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity83%

Dew point74 °F

Humidity is 83% now and the dew point is 74 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak9very high

Fri 30: 9 · Sat 31: 9 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.98

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 16

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	81 / 83 °F	0.13 in	9 mph ENE
Tue 27	Showers	78 / 83 °F	1.15 in	9 mph ENE
Mon 26	Showers	78 / 83 °F	0.85 in	12 mph N
Sun 25	Showers	79 / 83 °F	1.49 in	9 mph ENE
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	84 / 87 °F	0.27 in	15 mph E
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	78 / 84 °F	0.38 in	14 mph NNE
Thu 22	Light showers	79 / 85 °F	0.43 in	11 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.01 in	8 mph SE
Tue 20	Drizzle	80 / 86 °F	0.13 in	8 mph ENE
Mon 19	Drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.19 in	10 mph ENE
Sun 18	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.06 in	9 mph NE
Sat 17	Light drizzle	83 / 85 °F	0.09 in	15 mph ENE
Fri 16	Mainly clear	84 / 85 °F	0	16 mph ENE
Thu 15	Overcast	83 / 86 °F	0	21 mph ENE
Wed 14	Drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.13 in	16 mph NE
Tue 13	Showers	80 / 85 °F	0.44 in	9 mph NNE
Mon 12	Heavy drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.25 in	18 mph ENE
Sun 11	Drizzle	81 / 85 °F	0.14 in	27 mph ENE
Sat 10	Drizzle	83 / 86 °F	0.11 in	19 mph ENE
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	81 / 86 °F	0.43 in	16 mph ENE
Thu 8	Light showers	79 / 85 °F	0.63 in	12 mph NE
Wed 7	Thunderstorm	81 / 85 °F	1.03 in	14 mph ENE
Tue 6	Drizzle	81 / 86 °F	0.21 in	11 mph NNE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	82 / 86 °F	0.02 in	19 mph ENE
Sun 4	Light showers	80 / 87 °F	0.28 in	20 mph ENE
Sat 3	Showers	81 / 85 °F	0.97 in	17 mph ENE
Fri 2	Showers	81 / 83 °F	0.92 in	19 mph ENE
Thu 1	Light showers	81 / 86 °F	0.32 in	20 mph ENE
Wed 30	Drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.18 in	20 mph ENE
Tue 29	Drizzle	84 / 87 °F	0.12 in	18 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in La CiénagaQuestions

What's the weather like today in La Ciénaga?

Drizzle, from 79 °F to 83 °F, with a gentle breeze from the northeast (8 mph) and a 78% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in La Ciénaga?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 57% (0.24 in): light showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 79 °F and a high of 85 °F; the warmest day, Saturday 31.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 9 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.92 inHg and steady: +0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit La Ciénaga?

The best time to visit La Ciénaga is from December to March: highs of 86 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in La Ciénaga in October?

In October, La Ciénaga normally sees highs of 89 °F and lows of 72 °F, with about 7 rainy days (6.17 in for the month) and 7 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in La Ciénaga?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is October (6.17 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in La Ciénaga?

Hurricane season: from August to October and in December, peaking in August. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 14 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of La Ciénaga, about 5 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Franklin, in August 2023.

More about La Ciénaga today

Weather near La Ciénaga

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:50 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from