Weather in Monte Cristo

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 10:04 am (AST)

Now · light drizzle 83 °F

Feels like: 94 °F
Low / high: 74 / 88 °F
Rain: 100% · 0.81 in
Wind: 1 mph E

→ 29.97 inHg · steady UV 8 · high

Today in Monte Cristo: showers, 74 °F to 88 °F, with a 100% chance of rain (0.81 in) and calm. Tomorrow, drizzle, 73 °F to 87 °F and a 72% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Monday 2, at 90 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

88° 74°
Today
87° 73°
Fri 30
87° 73°
Sat 31
88° 73°
Sun 1
90° 72°
Mon 2
86° 73°
Tue 3
89° 73°
Wed 4
85° 74°
Thu 5
89° 74°
Fri 6
87° 74°
Sat 7
87° 74°
Sun 8
87° 71°
Mon 9
89° 73°
Tue 10
92° 74°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Showers	74 / 88 °F	100% · 0.81 in	5 mph SE	1.5 ft	10:39 am · 9:43 pm	ECMWF
Fri 30	Drizzle	73 / 87 °F	72% · 0.09 in	6 mph ENE	1.4 ft	11:38 am · 10:42 pm	ECMWF
Sat 31	Light drizzle	73 / 87 °F	69% · 0.04 in	11 mph ENE	1.6 ft	12:39 pm · 11:53 pm	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light showers	73 / 88 °F	93% · 0.31 in	7 mph E	1.7 ft	1:40 pm	ECMWF
Mon 2	Drizzle	72 / 90 °F	82% · 0.09 in	6 mph ESE	1.4 ft	1:15 am · 2:36 pm	ECMWF
Tue 3	Drizzle	73 / 86 °F	78% · 0.13 in	5 mph SE	1.4 ft	2:36 am · 3:26 pm	ECMWF
Wed 4	Heavy drizzle	73 / 89 °F	80% · 0.26 in	4 mph E	1.3 ft	3:48 am · 4:10 pm	ECMWF
Thu 5	Drizzle	74 / 85 °F	79% · 0.22 in	4 mph SE	1.2 ft	4:51 am · 4:51 pm	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light showers	74 / 89 °F	75% · 0.34 in	4 mph E	1.4 ft	5:48 am · 5:30 pm	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	71% · 0.12 in	6 mph ENE	1.9 ft	6:40 am · 6:08 pm	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light drizzle	74 / 87 °F	62% · 0.02 in	10 mph ENE	—	7:27 am · 6:45 pm	ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	71 / 87 °F	47% · 0.09 in	4 mph ENE	—	8:10 am · 7:21 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	73 / 89 °F	59%	7 mph E	—	8:52 am · 7:58 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	74 / 92 °F	71% · 0.02 in	5 mph ENE	—	9:33 am · 8:34 pm	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Light showers	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Showers	Drizzle	Overcast
Temperature	78°	76°	74°	79°	88°	84°	75°	74°
Chance of rain	12%	23%	56%	69%	55%	88%	91%	43%
Rain	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.01 in	0.02 in	0.10 in	0.03 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 SSW	3 SE	3 SE	3 ESE	3 NW	2 N	3 ESE	1 W
Humidity	97%	99%	100%	89%	66%	77%	99%	100%
UV	0	0	0	2	8	4	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Saturday 31: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	88°	87°	87°	88°	90°	86°	89°
AIFS	89°	89°	89°	88°	89°	89°	87°
GFS	91°	91°	92°	91°	87°	89°	86°
ICON	89°	90°	90°	92°	92°	91°	91°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.81 in	0.09 in	0.04 in	0.31 in	0.09 in	0.13 in	0.26 in
AIFS	0.27 in	0.19 in	0.14 in	0.24 in	0.25 in	0.31 in	0.38 in
GFS	0.12 in	0.02 in	0.26 in	0.20 in	0.05 in	0.28 in	0.02 in
ICON	0.29 in	0.10 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.04 in	0	0.04 in
Confidence	medium	medium	low	medium	medium	medium	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	513	617	1121	719	617	518	415
AIFS	4	4	9	10	6	4	4
GFS	119	1111	1620	1627	1523	98	99
ICON	510	714	1120	923	514	512	715
Confidence	medium	medium	high	medium	medium	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	72%	69%	93%	82%	78%	80%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	29%	65%	85%	77%	42%	52%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.5 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	89° / 74°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	89° / 74°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal	89° / 74°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	Above +3.1 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.2 °F	Above +72%
January	Above +2.7 °F	Above +77%
February	A bit above +2.5 °F	A bit above +39%
March	A bit above +2.2 °F	Above +62%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Monte Cristo climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Monte Cristo is from December to March: highs of 85 °F to 87 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Monte Cristo, about 6 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Franklin, in August 2023.

85° 67°

JanJ
87° 67°

FebF
87° 68°

MarM
89° 71°

AprA
91° 72°

MayM
93° 74°

JunJ
93° 74°

JulJ
94° 74°

AugA
93° 74°

SepS
92° 73°

OctO
88° 70°

NovN
86° 68°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	67°	2.88 in	5	5.9	80°	4.2 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	87°	67°	1.54 in	3	6.7	79°	4.3 ft	–
MarchMar	87°	68°	2.00 in	4	7.2	79°	4.1 ft	–
AprilApr	89°	71°	2.09 in	4	7.5	80°	3.6 ft	–
MayMay	91°	72°	2.72 in	6	6.7	81°	3.3 ft	–
JuneJun	93°	74°	1.78 in	4	7.1	83°	3.2 ft	–
JulyJul	93°	74°	1.38 in	3	7.4	83°	3.8 ft	1
AugustAug	94°	74°	2.11 in	5	6.9	84°	3.6 ft	6
SeptemberSep	93°	74°	2.41 in	5	6.2	84°	3.1 ft	6
OctoberOct	92°	73°	2.65 in	7	6.0	84°	3.1 ft	2
NovemberNov	88°	70°	5.29 in	7	5.5	83°	3.8 ft	1
DecemberDec	86°	68°	3.17 in	5	5.5	81°	4.3 ft	1

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	80°	4.2 ft	–
Feb	79°	4.3 ft	–
Mar	79°	4.1 ft	–
Apr	80°	3.6 ft	–
May	81°	3.3 ft	–
Jun	83°	3.2 ft	–
Jul	83°	3.8 ft	1
Aug	84°	3.6 ft	6
Sep	84°	3.1 ft	6
Oct	84°	3.1 ft	2
Nov	83°	3.8 ft	1
Dec	81°	4.3 ft	1

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 30.02 in of rain on about 56 days and about 2,400 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now83 °Ffeels like 94 °F

Tomorrow73 / 87 °F

It's 83 °F now (feels like 94 °F). Today, 74 °F to 88 °F; tomorrow, 73 °F to 87 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 100% 0.81 in
Fri 30 72% 0.09 in
Sat 31 69% 0.04 in
Sun 1 93% 0.31 in
Mon 2 82% 0.09 in
Tue 3 78% 0.13 in
Wed 4 80% 0.26 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 100%, with 0.81 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 72% and 0.09 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.42 in; last 3 days, 1.06 in; last 7 days, 2.46 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity76%

Dew point75 °F

Humidity is 76% now and the dew point is 75 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds58%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now3

Today's peak8high

Fri 30: 7 · Sat 31: 8 · Sun 1: 8

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.9030.00 29.88

Steady now (+0.03 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 30

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Drizzle	74 / 92 °F	0.08 in	5 mph E
Tue 27	Light drizzle	75 / 90 °F	0.07 in	5 mph NNE
Mon 26	Showers	76 / 84 °F	0.83 in	5 mph WSW
Sun 25	Heavy drizzle	76 / 87 °F	0.37 in	6 mph E
Sat 24	Drizzle	74 / 92 °F	0.15 in	10 mph E
Fri 23	Light showers	73 / 91 °F	0.33 in	6 mph E
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	72 / 91 °F	0.28 in	9 mph E

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	73 / 91 °F	0.25 in	10 mph W
Tue 20	Light showers	74 / 93 °F	0.30 in	9 mph SE
Mon 19	Light drizzle	76 / 93 °F	0.07 in	9 mph ENE
Sun 18	Drizzle	78 / 93 °F	0.14 in	10 mph ENE
Sat 17	Clear sky	77 / 97 °F	0	15 mph E
Fri 16	Drizzle	78 / 93 °F	0.07 in	15 mph ENE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	79 / 93 °F	0.02 in	13 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light showers	77 / 93 °F	0.22 in	11 mph ENE
Tue 13	Drizzle	75 / 93 °F	0.11 in	10 mph E
Mon 12	Drizzle	76 / 95 °F	0.13 in	10 mph E
Sun 11	Light drizzle	78 / 94 °F	0.02 in	15 mph ENE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	78 / 95 °F	0.04 in	16 mph ENE
Fri 9	Light drizzle	76 / 98 °F	0.05 in	11 mph E
Thu 8	Drizzle	78 / 92 °F	0.15 in	8 mph ENE
Wed 7	Light drizzle	76 / 93 °F	0.05 in	12 mph E
Tue 6	Drizzle	77 / 92 °F	0.12 in	7 mph ENE
Mon 5	Light drizzle	74 / 92 °F	0.01 in	6 mph E
Sun 4	Light showers	73 / 93 °F	0.44 in	6 mph ESE
Sat 3	Light showers	76 / 93 °F	0.35 in	8 mph E
Fri 2	Heavy drizzle	79 / 94 °F	0.17 in	11 mph E
Thu 1	Light drizzle	80 / 95 °F	0.02 in	14 mph E
Wed 30	Light drizzle	80 / 94 °F	0.06 in	15 mph ENE
Tue 29	Light drizzle	78 / 95 °F	0.05 in	15 mph ENE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Monte CristoQuestions

What's the weather like today in Monte Cristo?

Showers, from 74 °F to 88 °F, with calm and a 100% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Monte Cristo?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 72% (0.09 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 72 °F and a high of 90 °F; the warmest day, Monday 2.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 8 (high). Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.97 inHg and steady: +0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Monte Cristo?

The best time to visit Monte Cristo is from December to March: highs of 85 °F to 87 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Monte Cristo in October?

In October, Monte Cristo normally sees highs of 92 °F and lows of 73 °F, with about 7 rainy days (2.65 in for the month) and 6 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Monte Cristo?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 94 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 67 °F. The wettest is November (5.29 in) and the driest, July.

When is hurricane season in Monte Cristo?

Hurricane season: from August to October. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 17 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Monte Cristo, about 6 every 10 years; 6 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Franklin, in August 2023.

More about Monte Cristo today

Weather near Monte Cristo

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 12 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 10:04 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from