Weather in Carleton

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:23 pm (EDT)

Now · overcast 39 °F

Feels like: 31 °F
Low / high: 31 / 45 °F
Rain: 4%
Wind: 9 mph WSW

→ 30.19 inHg · steady

Today in Carleton: overcast, 31 °F to 45 °F, with a 4% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (9 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 38 °F to 57 °F and a 23% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 57 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (21%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

45° 31°
Today
57° 38°
Thu 29
53° 40°
Fri 30
44° 33°
Sat 31
48° 31°
Sun 1
50° 36°
Mon 2
45° 32°
Tue 3
46° 34°
Wed 4
48° 35°
Thu 5
48° 38°
Fri 6
46° 36°
Sat 7
45° 32°
Sun 8
43° 31°
Mon 9
43° 28°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	31 / 45 °F	4%	14 mph W	1.0 ft	4:42 am · 4:54 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Light drizzle	38 / 57 °F	23% · 0.02 in	13 mph W	0.6 ft	5:31 am · 5:40 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Overcast	40 / 53 °F	9% · 0.01 in	11 mph WNW	0.9 ft	6:23 am · 6:29 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	33 / 44 °F	9%	14 mph WNW	0.9 ft	7:16 am · 7:23 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	31 / 48 °F	1%	14 mph W	1.1 ft	7:12 am · 7:26 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	36 / 50 °F	9%	15 mph W	1.6 ft	8:11 am · 8:38 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	32 / 45 °F	21% · 0.04 in	8 mph WNW	0.3 ft	9:16 am · 9:52 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Light rain	34 / 46 °F	28% · 0.17 in	7 mph W	0.9 ft	10:25 am · 10:59 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	35 / 48 °F	23% · 0.19 in	7 mph WNW	0.5 ft	11:29 am · 11:55 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Drizzle	38 / 48 °F	33% · 0.17 in	7 mph ENE	1.3 ft	12:22 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	36 / 46 °F	33% · 0.16 in	7 mph WNW	1.2 ft	12:45 am · 1:09 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light rain	32 / 45 °F	18% · 0.10 in	9 mph WNW	2.6 ft	1:31 am · 1:51 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	31 / 43 °F	18%	11 mph NW	2.7 ft	2:14 am · 2:30 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	28 / 43 °F	18%	5 mph NW	1.2 ft	2:56 am · 3:07 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Overcast
Temperature	34°	33°	32°	34°	41°	45°	40°	38°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 W	8 WSW	10 W	11 WSW	13 W	13 W	8 W	9 W
Humidity	61%	68%	71%	75%	61%	44%	58%	58%
UV	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on wind today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	46°	56°	51°	43°	46°	49°	43°
AIFS	44°	57°	55°	41°	47°	56°	54°
GFS	45°	54°	54°	42°	47°	47°	41°
ICON	46°	55°	54°	41°	45°	51°	38°
HRRR	45°	56°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	47°	57°	53°	44°	48°	50°	45°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.07 in	0	0	0	0	0.09 in
AIFS	0	0.04 in	0.05 in	0.01 in	0	0	0.27 in
GFS	0	0.07 in	0.04 in	0	0	0.05 in	0
ICON	0	0.01 in	0.11 in	0	0.00 in	0.03 in	0
HRRR	0	0.03 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0.02 in	0.01 in	0	0	0	0.04 in
Confidence	high	medium	medium	high	high	high	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	921	923	1127	1230	1126	1541	516
AIFS	9	9	10	11	11	12	6
GFS	1626	1330	1730	1629	1531	1335	1626
ICON	1528	920	1121	1732	1527	2140	1838
HRRR	1426	1426	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1319	1018	1120	1422	1422	1524	811
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	83%	53%	19%	0%	2%	35%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	61%	46%	5%	0%	20%	13%
NBM (NOAA)	4%	23%	9%	9%	1%	9%	21%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	2%	1%	0%	1%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +2.9 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	42° / 33°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	39° / 31°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.1 °F	A bit above +23%	38° / 30°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	35° / 26°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
December	Above +5.0 °F	Normal
January	Well above +7.0 °F	A bit above +25%
February	Well above +5.9 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.0 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Carleton climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Carleton is from July to August: highs of 72 °F to 73 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

21° 4°

JanJ
23° 4°

FebF
33° 15°

MarM
44° 27°

AprA
57° 38°

MayM
67° 47°

JunJ
73° 54°

JulJ
72° 53°

AugA
65° 46°

SepS
52° 37°

OctO
40° 28°

NovN
28° 15°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	21°	4°	2.74 in	8	3.9	31°	1.9 ft
FebruaryFeb	23°	4°	2.48 in	7	5.8	30°	1.3 ft
MarchMar	33°	15°	2.83 in	8	6.6	30°	1.4 ft
AprilApr	44°	27°	3.00 in	9	6.6	33°	1.2 ft
MayMay	57°	38°	3.92 in	10	6.8	38°	0.9 ft
JuneJun	67°	47°	3.50 in	10	7.3	51°	0.8 ft
JulyJul	73°	54°	3.97 in	12	7.2	61°	0.7 ft
AugustAug	72°	53°	3.79 in	9	7.0	62°	0.8 ft
SeptemberSep	65°	46°	3.66 in	8	5.9	57°	1.1 ft
OctoberOct	52°	37°	4.14 in	10	3.6	49°	1.4 ft
NovemberNov	40°	28°	3.67 in	9	2.5	39°	1.3 ft
DecemberDec	28°	15°	3.36 in	10	2.3	33°	1.7 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	31°	1.9 ft
Feb	30°	1.3 ft
Mar	30°	1.4 ft
Apr	33°	1.2 ft
May	38°	0.9 ft
Jun	51°	0.8 ft
Jul	61°	0.7 ft
Aug	62°	0.8 ft
Sep	57°	1.1 ft
Oct	49°	1.4 ft
Nov	39°	1.3 ft
Dec	33°	1.7 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 41.08 in of rain on about 110 days and about 2,000 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now39 °Ffeels like 31 °F

Tomorrow38 / 57 °F

It's 39 °F now (feels like 31 °F). Today, 31 °F to 45 °F; tomorrow, 38 °F to 57 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 4%
Thu 29 23% 0.02 in
Fri 30 9% 0.01 in
Sat 31 9%
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 9%
Tue 3 21% 0.04 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 4%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 21% and 0.04 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.02 in; last 7 days, 0.02 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity59%

Dew point26 °F

Humidity is 59% now and the dew point is 26 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now19 migood

Clouds100%

Visibility is good now (19 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Thu 29: 2 · Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.00 29.63

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.33 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 23

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Partly cloudy	33 / 41 °F	0	15 mph NW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	39 / 58 °F	0.02 in	14 mph W
Sun 25	Partly cloudy	38 / 65 °F	0	9 mph W
Sat 24	Clear sky	26 / 60 °F	0	5 mph NW
Fri 23	Partly cloudy	30 / 49 °F	0	10 mph N
Thu 22	Overcast	28 / 55 °F	0	12 mph NNW
Wed 21	Clear sky	30 / 54 °F	0	4 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Mainly clear	34 / 54 °F	0	11 mph NW
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	30 / 58 °F	0	7 mph SW
Sun 18	Partly cloudy	27 / 45 °F	0	10 mph W
Sat 17	Overcast	29 / 42 °F	0	14 mph WNW
Fri 16	Light rain	30 / 41 °F	0.64 in	8 mph SE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	36 / 50 °F	0.01 in	18 mph NW
Wed 14	Light rain	31 / 45 °F	0.56 in	9 mph NE
Tue 13	Overcast	27 / 46 °F	0	5 mph W
Mon 12	Heavy drizzle	32 / 54 °F	0.25 in	13 mph NNW
Sun 11	Overcast	33 / 54 °F	0	12 mph SW
Sat 10	Overcast	39 / 53 °F	0	17 mph WNW
Fri 9	Overcast	42 / 54 °F	0	11 mph W
Thu 8	Light rain	45 / 53 °F	0.48 in	5 mph S
Wed 7	Overcast	42 / 55 °F	0	11 mph W
Tue 6	Drizzle	39 / 51 °F	0.13 in	19 mph W
Mon 5	Light rain	42 / 52 °F	0.46 in	9 mph S
Sun 4	Overcast	35 / 57 °F	0	8 mph SSE
Sat 3	Partly cloudy	41 / 57 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	47 / 62 °F	0.01 in	8 mph WNW
Thu 1	Overcast	42 / 71 °F	0	7 mph SW
Wed 30	Overcast	43 / 63 °F	0	4 mph NW
Tue 29	Light drizzle	47 / 61 °F	0.02 in	4 mph NNE
Mon 28	Overcast	39 / 61 °F	0	5 mph NE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in CarletonQuestions

What's the weather like today in Carleton?

Overcast, from 31 °F to 45 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (9 mph) and a 4% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Carleton?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 23% (0.02 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 31 °F and a high of 57 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.19 inHg and steady: −0.06 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Carleton?

The best time to visit Carleton is from July to August: highs of 72 °F to 73 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Carleton in October?

In October, Carleton normally sees highs of 52 °F and lows of 37 °F, with about 10 rainy days (4.14 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 49 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Carleton?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 73 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 4 °F. The wettest is October (4.14 in) and the driest, February.

More about Carleton today

Weather near Carleton

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 12 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:23 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from