Weather in Heron Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:20 pm (ADT)

Now · mainly clear 37 °F

Feels like: 30 °F
Low / high: 26 / 47 °F
Rain: 2%
Wind: 5 mph WSW

↘ 30.15 inHg · falling

Today in Heron Bay: partly cloudy, 26 °F to 47 °F, with a 2% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west-southwest (5 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 36 °F to 62 °F and a 38% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 62 °F. Next likely rain: Tuesday 3 (19%).

Measured now at the airport

Charlo (CZCR), 3.6 mi away · 20 min ago

Visibility—

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature43 °F

Wind7 mph from the west-southwest

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

47° 26°
Today
62° 36°
Thu 29
55° 41°
Fri 30
44° 32°
Sat 31
48° 31°
Sun 1
50° 37°
Mon 2
45° 32°
Tue 3
46° 33°
Wed 4
49° 35°
Thu 5
49° 39°
Fri 6
46° 37°
Sat 7
45° 31°
Sun 8
43° 31°
Mon 9
44° 28°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Partly cloudy	26 / 47 °F	2%	12 mph W	5:42 am · 5:54 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Light drizzle	36 / 62 °F	38%	13 mph WSW	6:31 am · 6:40 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	41 / 55 °F	10%	12 mph W	7:23 am · 7:29 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	32 / 44 °F	10%	14 mph WNW	8:16 am · 8:23 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	31 / 48 °F	1%	15 mph WSW	8:12 am · 8:26 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	37 / 50 °F	10%	16 mph W	9:11 am · 9:38 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Light drizzle	32 / 45 °F	19% · 0.06 in	9 mph WNW	10:16 am · 10:52 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Light rain	33 / 46 °F	29% · 0.17 in	9 mph WSW	11:25 am · 11:59 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	35 / 49 °F	23% · 0.13 in	9 mph WSW	12:29 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Drizzle	39 / 49 °F	31% · 0.14 in	9 mph W	12:55 am · 1:22 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	37 / 46 °F	31% · 0.15 in	9 mph NW	1:45 am · 2:09 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Snow	31 / 45 °F	16% · 0.11 in	10 mph NNW	2:31 am · 2:51 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Partly cloudy	31 / 43 °F	18%	12 mph W	3:14 am · 3:30 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	28 / 44 °F	20%	6 mph WSW	3:56 am · 4:07 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 4:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 3:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 11:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Partly cloudy	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear
Temperature	32°	31°	27°	28°	40°	47°	44°	37°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	7 WSW	7 W	5 WSW	6 WSW	11 W	11 W	5 W	5 WSW
Humidity	59%	66%	79%	74%	53%	35%	35%	50%
UV	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	46°	58°	53°	43°	47°	51°	41°
AIFS	44°	60°	55°	39°	46°	55°	50°
GFS	46°	59°	58°	43°	50°	53°	41°
ICON	47°	60°	54°	40°	46°	52°	38°
HRRR	47°	62°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	47°	60°	55°	44°	48°	50°	45°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0.03 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0	0	0.11 in
AIFS	0	0.03 in	0.02 in	0.02 in	0	0	0.50 in
GFS	0	0.03 in	0.01 in	0	0	0.06 in	0
ICON	0	0.02 in	0.07 in	0	0	0.04 in	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.06 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	low

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1227	1530	1429	1330	1331	1744	919
AIFS	11	13	13	12	13	14	7
GFS	1225	1536	1532	1326	1228	1536	1530
ICON	1226	1328	1126	1329	1227	1636	1332
HRRR	1221	1226	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1319	1323	1222	1421	1523	1625	912
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	70%	53%	25%	0%	4%	35%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	84%	45%	6%	3%	29%	3%
NBM (NOAA)	2%	38%	10%	10%	1%	10%	19%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	2%	2%	0%	1%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	39° / 29°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	37° / 28°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +3.4 °F	Normal	35° / 27°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	Above +3.2 °F	Normal	32° / 22°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.8 °F	Normal
December	Above +5.2 °F	Normal
January	Well above +7.2 °F	A bit above +26%
February	Well above +6.1 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.1 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Heron Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Heron Bay is from July to August: highs of 74 °F to 74 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

20° 3°

JanJ
23° 3°

FebF
33° 14°

MarM
44° 28°

AprA
59° 38°

MayM
69° 47°

JunJ
74° 54°

JulJ
74° 53°

AugA
66° 46°

SepS
53° 37°

OctO
40° 28°

NovN
28° 14°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	20°	3°	2.89 in	8	3.9	31°	1.9 ft
FebruaryFeb	23°	3°	2.65 in	7	5.8	30°	1.3 ft
MarchMar	33°	14°	2.91 in	8	6.7	30°	1.4 ft
AprilApr	44°	28°	3.00 in	9	6.6	33°	1.2 ft
MayMay	59°	38°	3.87 in	10	6.9	38°	0.9 ft
JuneJun	69°	47°	3.58 in	10	7.4	51°	0.8 ft
JulyJul	74°	54°	3.98 in	12	7.2	61°	0.7 ft
AugustAug	74°	53°	3.70 in	9	7.1	62°	0.8 ft
SeptemberSep	66°	46°	3.61 in	8	5.9	57°	1.1 ft
OctoberOct	53°	37°	4.21 in	10	3.5	49°	1.4 ft
NovemberNov	40°	28°	3.61 in	9	2.5	39°	1.3 ft
DecemberDec	28°	14°	3.68 in	10	2.5	33°	1.7 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	31°	1.9 ft
Feb	30°	1.3 ft
Mar	30°	1.4 ft
Apr	33°	1.2 ft
May	38°	0.9 ft
Jun	51°	0.8 ft
Jul	61°	0.7 ft
Aug	62°	0.8 ft
Sep	57°	1.1 ft
Oct	49°	1.4 ft
Nov	39°	1.3 ft
Dec	33°	1.7 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 41.69 in of rain on about 110 days and about 2,000 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now37 °Ffeels like 30 °F

Tomorrow36 / 62 °F

It's 37 °F now (feels like 30 °F). Today, 26 °F to 47 °F; tomorrow, 36 °F to 62 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 2%
Thu 29 38%
Fri 30 10%
Sat 31 10%
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 10%
Tue 3 19% 0.06 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 2%. The next day with likely rain is Tuesday 3: 19% and 0.06 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity50%

Dew point20 °F

Humidity is 50% now and the dew point is 20 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now23 migood

Clouds46%

Visibility is good now (23 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak2low

Thu 29: 2 · Fri 30: 2 · Sat 31: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.00 29.65

Falling now (−0.03 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.25 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 21

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Overcast	33 / 42 °F	16 mph WNW
Mon 26	Overcast	41 / 58 °F	15 mph W
Sun 25	Mainly clear	36 / 65 °F	12 mph WSW
Sat 24	Clear sky	27 / 57 °F	10 mph WSW
Fri 23	Partly cloudy	31 / 49 °F	8 mph WNW
Thu 22	Overcast	29 / 55 °F	9 mph WNW
Wed 21	Clear sky	29 / 55 °F	6 mph WSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Mainly clear	35 / 54 °F	0	11 mph W
Mon 19	Partly cloudy	31 / 62 °F	0	12 mph WSW
Sun 18	Overcast	28 / 47 °F	0	11 mph W
Sat 17	Drizzle	31 / 43 °F	0.02 in	17 mph W
Fri 16	Snow	31 / 39 °F	0.48 in	11 mph SE
Thu 15	Light drizzle	37 / 50 °F	0.01 in	17 mph WNW
Wed 14	Heavy drizzle	35 / 47 °F	0.44 in	9 mph E
Tue 13	Overcast	28 / 46 °F	0	6 mph SW
Mon 12	Heavy drizzle	34 / 55 °F	0.21 in	16 mph W
Sun 11	Overcast	34 / 55 °F	0	17 mph WSW
Sat 10	Overcast	39 / 52 °F	0	17 mph W
Fri 9	Light drizzle	43 / 55 °F	0.00 in	13 mph W
Thu 8	Light rain	45 / 54 °F	0.49 in	8 mph WNW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	40 / 54 °F	0.02 in	13 mph WSW
Tue 6	Drizzle	39 / 51 °F	0.14 in	21 mph WSW
Mon 5	Rain	42 / 55 °F	0.51 in	10 mph SSW
Sun 4	Overcast	36 / 56 °F	0	8 mph S
Sat 3	Mainly clear	43 / 57 °F	0	13 mph W
Fri 2	Drizzle	48 / 65 °F	0.12 in	9 mph W
Thu 1	Overcast	45 / 71 °F	0	11 mph WSW
Wed 30	Overcast	42 / 65 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Tue 29	Drizzle	47 / 60 °F	0.09 in	6 mph E
Mon 28	Light drizzle	42 / 59 °F	0.02 in	10 mph E

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Heron BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Heron Bay?

Partly cloudy, from 26 °F to 47 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (5 mph) and a 2% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Heron Bay?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 38% (0.00 in): light drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 26 °F and a high of 62 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 2 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.15 inHg and falling: −0.13 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Heron Bay?

The best time to visit Heron Bay is from July to August: highs of 74 °F to 74 °F, about 11 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Heron Bay in October?

In October, Heron Bay normally sees highs of 53 °F and lows of 37 °F, with about 10 rainy days (4.21 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 49 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Heron Bay?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 74 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 3 °F. The wettest is October (4.21 in) and the driest, February.

More about Heron Bay today

Weather near Heron Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:20 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from