Weather in Shelburne

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 3:10 am (ADT)

Now · clear 40 °F

Feels like: 34 °F
Low / high: 37 / 56 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 7 mph WSW

↘ 30.27 inHg · falling

Today in Shelburne: clear sky, 37 °F to 56 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west-southwest (7 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 48 °F to 61 °F and a 36% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 61 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

56° 37°
Today
61° 48°
Fri 30
49° 31°
Sat 31
52° 26°
Sun 1
58° 38°
Mon 2
53° 38°
Tue 3
54° 37°
Wed 4
56° 42°
Thu 5
57° 48°
Fri 6
55° 42°
Sat 7
52° 40°
Sun 8
54° 38°
Mon 9
50° 35°
Tue 10
54° 38°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Clear sky	37 / 56 °F	1%	12 mph WSW	2.4 ft	11:11 am · 12:00 am	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Drizzle	48 / 61 °F	36% · 0.05 in	7 mph WSW	2.6 ft	12:03 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Partly cloudy	31 / 49 °F	3%	9 mph NW	1.6 ft	12:58 am · 1:00 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	26 / 52 °F	2%	8 mph W	1.2 ft	1:03 am · 1:04 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	38 / 58 °F	4%	9 mph WSW	2.0 ft	2:13 am · 2:16 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	38 / 53 °F	8%	4 mph NNE	1.4 ft	3:23 am · 3:28 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Light drizzle	37 / 54 °F	20% · 0.18 in	6 mph SE	3.0 ft	4:24 am · 4:35 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	42 / 56 °F	30% · 0.39 in	6 mph S	2.6 ft	5:16 am · 5:34 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	48 / 57 °F	35% · 0.52 in	8 mph SSE	5.3 ft	6:01 am · 6:26 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Overcast	42 / 55 °F	35% · 0.41 in	7 mph SW	6.0 ft	6:43 am · 7:14 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light drizzle	40 / 52 °F	25% · 0.13 in	11 mph NW	5.1 ft	7:22 am · 7:58 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	38 / 54 °F	20%	9 mph NW	3.3 ft	8:00 am · 8:40 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Mainly clear	35 / 50 °F	18%	6 mph NNE	2.4 ft	8:38 am · 9:20 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Overcast	38 / 54 °F	18%	7 mph SSE	2.4 ft	9:15 am · 10:00 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 10:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 9:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 11:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	37°	40°	42°	45°	55°	56°	51°	49°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 WSW	7 WSW	7 WSW	8 WSW	11 WSW	11 WSW	9 SW	11 SW
Humidity	81%	86%	88%	93%	79%	76%	83%	86%
UV	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on temperature tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	59°	58°	51°	49°	60°	58°	64°
AIFS	59°	62°	50°	48°	57°	63°	59°
GFS	59°	56°	48°	52°	59°	51°	49°
ICON	58°	59°	51°	47°	57°	53°	51°
HRRR	56°	56°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	59°	61°	49°	52°	58°	53°	54°
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.07 in	0	0	0	0	0.01 in
AIFS	0	0.05 in	0	0	0.01 in	0.01 in	0.05 in
GFS	0	0.25 in	0.01 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0.04 in	0	0	0	0	0.02 in
HRRR	0	0.10 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0.05 in	0	0	0	0	0.17 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1327	1223	1531	1325	1129	817	1530
AIFS	13	13	13	13	13	8	7
GFS	1333	1234	1328	1120	1330	1122	59
ICON	1325	1020	1530	1224	1326	613	918
HRRR	1226	1228	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1018	717	916	815	917	49	611
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	47%	2%	0%	4%	8%	25%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	61%	16%	0%	3%	13%	20%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	36%	3%	2%	4%	8%	20%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	48° / 41°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	46° / 40°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	44° / 38°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.8 °F	Normal
January	Above +5.0 °F	A bit above +20%
February	Above +4.3 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.0 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Shelburne climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Shelburne is from July to August: highs of 74 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Shelburne, about 3 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Arthur, in July 2014.

34° 18°

JanJ
34° 17°

FebF
40° 24°

MarM
50° 33°

AprA
60° 41°

MayM
68° 49°

JunJ
73° 55°

JulJ
74° 54°

AugA
69° 49°

SepS
59° 40°

OctO
49° 34°

NovN
39° 25°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	34°	18°	5.99 in	10	3.0	39°	4.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	34°	17°	5.12 in	9	4.4	36°	4.6 ft	–
MarchMar	40°	24°	5.62 in	9	5.6	35°	4.3 ft	–
AprilApr	50°	33°	5.39 in	9	5.4	37°	4.0 ft	–
MayMay	60°	41°	4.45 in	9	6.1	42°	3.1 ft	–
JuneJun	68°	49°	4.51 in	9	7.0	50°	2.9 ft	–
JulyJul	73°	55°	4.29 in	9	7.3	57°	2.7 ft	2
AugustAug	74°	54°	3.28 in	8	7.2	60°	2.6 ft	1
SeptemberSep	69°	49°	3.98 in	7	6.1	60°	3.1 ft	5
OctoberOct	59°	40°	5.59 in	9	4.3	56°	3.7 ft	1
NovemberNov	49°	34°	7.20 in	10	2.6	50°	4.2 ft	–
DecemberDec	39°	25°	7.24 in	12	2.2	44°	4.4 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	39°	4.7 ft	–
Feb	36°	4.6 ft	–
Mar	35°	4.3 ft	–
Apr	37°	4.0 ft	–
May	42°	3.1 ft	–
Jun	50°	2.9 ft	–
Jul	57°	2.7 ft	2
Aug	60°	2.6 ft	1
Sep	60°	3.1 ft	5
Oct	56°	3.7 ft	1
Nov	50°	4.2 ft	–
Dec	44°	4.4 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 62.66 in of rain on about 110 days and about 1,850 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now40 °Ffeels like 34 °F

Tomorrow48 / 61 °F

It's 40 °F now (feels like 34 °F). Today, 37 °F to 56 °F; tomorrow, 48 °F to 61 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Fri 30 36% 0.05 in
Sat 31 3%
Sun 1 2%
Mon 2 4%
Tue 3 8%
Wed 4 20% 0.18 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 36% and 0.05 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.86 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity86%

Dew point37 °F

Humidity is 86% now and the dew point is 37 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.1 migood

Clouds2%

Visibility is good now (9.1 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling · now Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.2030.40 29.82

Falling now (−0.07 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.30 inHg. Falling pressure: anglers say fish feed more before the change. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 25

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Partly cloudy	31 / 50 °F	0	8 mph WNW
Tue 27	Overcast	35 / 54 °F	0	11 mph NW
Mon 26	Overcast	42 / 62 °F	0	10 mph WSW
Sun 25	Clear sky	37 / 64 °F	0	8 mph W
Sat 24	Overcast	37 / 54 °F	0	11 mph NNW
Fri 23	Overcast	40 / 50 °F	0	18 mph N
Thu 22	Rain	49 / 57 °F	0.87 in	17 mph NE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	43 / 58 °F	0	12 mph NE
Tue 20	Overcast	45 / 62 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Mon 19	Overcast	35 / 55 °F	0	8 mph E
Sun 18	Mainly clear	33 / 53 °F	0	12 mph NNW
Sat 17	Rain	43 / 62 °F	0.31 in	13 mph WNW
Fri 16	Rain	38 / 61 °F	0.64 in	16 mph S
Thu 15	Overcast	42 / 56 °F	0	18 mph NW
Wed 14	Rain	49 / 64 °F	0.96 in	17 mph S
Tue 13	Heavy drizzle	44 / 51 °F	0.17 in	12 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light rain	51 / 60 °F	0.47 in	11 mph N
Sun 11	Overcast	39 / 57 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	45 / 56 °F	0.01 in	15 mph WNW
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	48 / 65 °F	0	14 mph W
Thu 8	Light drizzle	50 / 68 °F	0.02 in	14 mph SSW
Wed 7	Clear sky	45 / 60 °F	0	9 mph W
Tue 6	Light drizzle	49 / 57 °F	0.00 in	19 mph W
Mon 5	Heavy drizzle	53 / 65 °F	0.35 in	12 mph NNE
Sun 4	Light drizzle	48 / 62 °F	0.02 in	13 mph E
Sat 3	Light drizzle	52 / 69 °F	0.01 in	8 mph NW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	59 / 75 °F	0.02 in	11 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	57 / 66 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Wed 30	Light drizzle	58 / 68 °F	0.01 in	6 mph NW
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	60 / 70 °F	0.22 in	7 mph SSE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in ShelburneQuestions

What's the weather like today in Shelburne?

Clear sky, from 37 °F to 56 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (7 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Shelburne?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 36% (0.05 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 26 °F and a high of 61 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.27 inHg and falling: −0.13 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Shelburne?

The best time to visit Shelburne is from July to August: highs of 74 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Shelburne in October?

In October, Shelburne normally sees highs of 59 °F and lows of 40 °F, with about 9 rainy days (5.59 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 56 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Shelburne?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 74 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 17 °F. The wettest is December (7.24 in) and the driest, August.

When is hurricane season in Shelburne?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Shelburne, about 3 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Arthur, in July 2014.

More about Shelburne today

Weather near Shelburne

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 3.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 3:10 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from