Weather in Birchtown

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 6:03 am (ADT)

Now · clear 40 °F

Feels like: 33 °F
Low / high: 35 / 56 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 7 mph WSW

→ 30.27 inHg · steady

Today in Birchtown: clear sky, 35 °F to 56 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a light breeze from the west-southwest (7 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 49 °F to 61 °F and a 43% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 61 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

56° 35°
Today
61° 49°
Fri 30
49° 32°
Sat 31
52° 28°
Sun 1
58° 40°
Mon 2
54° 39°
Tue 3
54° 38°
Wed 4
56° 43°
Thu 5
58° 48°
Fri 6
55° 43°
Sat 7
52° 41°
Sun 8
55° 46°
Mon 9
57° 46°
Tue 10
51° 48°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Clear sky	35 / 56 °F	1%	11 mph WSW	2.4 ft	11:11 am · 12:00 am	HRRR
Fri 30	Drizzle	49 / 61 °F	43% · 0.09 in	11 mph WSW	2.6 ft	12:03 pm	HRRR + NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	32 / 49 °F	2%	10 mph NW	1.6 ft	12:58 am · 1:00 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	28 / 52 °F	2%	9 mph W	1.2 ft	1:03 am · 1:04 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	40 / 58 °F	4%	10 mph WSW	2.0 ft	2:13 am · 2:16 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Drizzle	39 / 54 °F	8%	5 mph N	1.4 ft	3:23 am · 3:28 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	38 / 54 °F	20% · 0.18 in	7 mph SE	3.0 ft	4:24 am · 4:35 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Partly cloudy	43 / 56 °F	30% · 0.39 in	7 mph S	2.6 ft	5:16 am · 5:34 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	48 / 58 °F	35% · 0.52 in	8 mph SSE	3.0 ft	6:01 am · 6:26 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light drizzle	43 / 55 °F	35% · 0.41 in	8 mph WSW	3.4 ft	6:43 am · 7:14 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Drizzle	41 / 52 °F	25% · 0.13 in	10 mph NW	4.7 ft	7:22 am · 7:58 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Mainly clear	46 / 55 °F	19%	13 mph WSW	4.3 ft	8:00 am · 8:40 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	46 / 57 °F	17% · 0.02 in	8 mph WSW	2.9 ft	8:38 am · 9:20 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light drizzle	48 / 51 °F	16% · 0.18 in	9 mph ENE	2.1 ft	9:15 am · 10:00 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Friday 30 1:00 am; then NBM until Sunday 8 9:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 11:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear sky	Clear
Temperature	35°	37°	40°	42°	55°	56°	51°	49°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	2 SW	5 WSW	7 WSW	6 WSW	10 WSW	11 WSW	8 SW	11 SW
Humidity	78%	77%	78%	84%	78%	77%	82%	84%
UV	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	59°	58°	52°	50°	58°	51°	50°
AIFS	57°	60°	50°	48°	56°	61°	58°
GFS	59°	58°	50°	51°	58°	55°	49°
ICON	58°	59°	51°	47°	57°	54°	52°
HRRR	56°	56°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	59°	61°	49°	52°	58°	54°	54°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0	0.08 in	0	0	0.04 in	0.09 in	0
AIFS	0	0.05 in	0	0	0	0	0.02 in
GFS	0	0.06 in	0.00 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0	0.04 in	0	0	0	0	0.01 in
HRRR	0	0.06 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0.09 in	0	0	0	0	0.17 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1228	1224	1329	1228	1328	717	515
AIFS	13	13	13	13	11	7	6
GFS	1332	1233	1326	1219	1427	720	712
ICON	1226	1021	1430	1226	1227	715	919
HRRR	1126	1130	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1119	1019	1017	915	1018	59	712
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	57%	2%	0%	2%	9%	24%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	71%	16%	0%	3%	16%	19%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	43%	2%	2%	4%	8%	20%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	2%	1%	0%	0%	1%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	48° / 41°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	46° / 40°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	44° / 38°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.8 °F	Normal
January	Above +5.0 °F	A bit above +20%
February	Above +4.3 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.0 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Birchtown climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Birchtown is from July to August: highs of 73 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Birchtown, about 3 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Arthur, in July 2014.

33° 18°

JanJ
34° 17°

FebF
40° 24°

MarM
49° 33°

AprA
59° 40°

MayM
68° 49°

JunJ
73° 54°

JulJ
73° 54°

AugA
69° 49°

SepS
58° 40°

OctO
49° 33°

NovN
39° 25°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	33°	18°	5.94 in	11	3.0	39°	4.7 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	34°	17°	4.97 in	9	4.4	36°	4.6 ft	–
MarchMar	40°	24°	5.55 in	10	5.6	35°	4.3 ft	–
AprilApr	49°	33°	5.35 in	10	5.4	37°	4.0 ft	–
MayMay	59°	40°	4.45 in	9	6.1	42°	3.1 ft	–
JuneJun	68°	49°	4.55 in	9	7.0	50°	2.9 ft	–
JulyJul	73°	54°	4.32 in	8	7.3	57°	2.7 ft	2
AugustAug	73°	54°	3.30 in	8	7.2	60°	2.6 ft	1
SeptemberSep	69°	49°	3.97 in	7	6.1	60°	3.1 ft	5
OctoberOct	58°	40°	5.48 in	9	4.3	56°	3.7 ft	1
NovemberNov	49°	33°	7.06 in	10	2.7	50°	4.2 ft	–
DecemberDec	39°	25°	7.12 in	12	2.2	44°	4.4 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	39°	4.7 ft	–
Feb	36°	4.6 ft	–
Mar	35°	4.3 ft	–
Apr	37°	4.0 ft	–
May	42°	3.1 ft	–
Jun	50°	2.9 ft	–
Jul	57°	2.7 ft	2
Aug	60°	2.6 ft	1
Sep	60°	3.1 ft	5
Oct	56°	3.7 ft	1
Nov	50°	4.2 ft	–
Dec	44°	4.4 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 62.06 in of rain on about 111 days and about 1,850 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now40 °Ffeels like 33 °F

Tomorrow49 / 61 °F

It's 40 °F now (feels like 33 °F). Today, 35 °F to 56 °F; tomorrow, 49 °F to 61 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Fri 30 43% 0.09 in
Sat 31 2%
Sun 1 2%
Mon 2 4%
Tue 3 8%
Wed 4 20% 0.18 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 43% and 0.09 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.48 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity78%

Dew point33 °F

Humidity is 78% now and the dew point is 33 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.9 migood

Clouds0%

Visibility is good now (8.9 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak3low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 2

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8030.0030.2030.40 29.83

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.23 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 25

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Mainly clear	31 / 49 °F	0	8 mph WNW
Tue 27	Overcast	35 / 56 °F	0	11 mph NW
Mon 26	Overcast	44 / 61 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Sun 25	Clear sky	37 / 63 °F	0	8 mph W
Sat 24	Overcast	35 / 54 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Fri 23	Overcast	40 / 50 °F	0	17 mph N
Thu 22	Rain	48 / 54 °F	0.66 in	17 mph NNE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	42 / 59 °F	0	11 mph NE
Tue 20	Overcast	44 / 63 °F	0	10 mph NNE
Mon 19	Overcast	33 / 55 °F	0	8 mph E
Sun 18	Partly cloudy	32 / 53 °F	0	11 mph NNW
Sat 17	Rain	42 / 62 °F	0.31 in	13 mph NW
Fri 16	Rain	38 / 61 °F	0.60 in	13 mph S
Thu 15	Overcast	43 / 55 °F	0	17 mph NW
Wed 14	Rain	48 / 63 °F	1.02 in	15 mph S
Tue 13	Light rain	44 / 53 °F	0.20 in	11 mph ENE
Mon 12	Light rain	50 / 60 °F	0.47 in	10 mph N
Sun 11	Overcast	40 / 57 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	45 / 56 °F	0.02 in	15 mph WNW
Fri 9	Partly cloudy	49 / 65 °F	0	13 mph W
Thu 8	Drizzle	48 / 70 °F	0.07 in	15 mph SSW
Wed 7	Clear sky	44 / 59 °F	0	9 mph W
Tue 6	Mainly clear	49 / 56 °F	0	17 mph W
Mon 5	Drizzle	52 / 65 °F	0.21 in	12 mph WSW
Sun 4	Light drizzle	47 / 64 °F	0.01 in	12 mph E
Sat 3	Light drizzle	51 / 69 °F	0.01 in	9 mph NNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	59 / 74 °F	0.02 in	11 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	56 / 66 °F	0	9 mph WSW
Wed 30	Overcast	57 / 70 °F	0	5 mph NW
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	60 / 72 °F	0.26 in	7 mph SSE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in BirchtownQuestions

What's the weather like today in Birchtown?

Clear sky, from 35 °F to 56 °F, with a light breeze from the west-southwest (7 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Birchtown?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 43% (0.09 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 28 °F and a high of 61 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 3 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.27 inHg and steady: −0.16 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Birchtown?

The best time to visit Birchtown is from July to August: highs of 73 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Birchtown in October?

In October, Birchtown normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 40 °F, with about 9 rainy days (5.48 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 56 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Birchtown?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 73 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 17 °F. The wettest is December (7.12 in) and the driest, August.

When is hurricane season in Birchtown?

Hurricane season: from July to September, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 9 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Birchtown, about 3 every 10 years; 5 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Arthur, in July 2014.

More about Birchtown today

Weather near Birchtown

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.1 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 6:03 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from