Weather in Mahone Bay
14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 8:12 am (ADT)- Feels like
- 37 °F
- Low / high
- 38 / 61 °F
- Rain
- 0%
- Wind
- 8 mph WSW
Today in Mahone Bay: clear sky, 38 °F to 61 °F, with a 0% chance of rain and a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (8 mph). Tomorrow, light drizzle, 49 °F to 58 °F and a 69% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 61 °F.
Temperatures for the next 14 days
- Today
- Fri 30
- Sat 31
- Sun 1
- Mon 2
- Tue 3
- Wed 4
- Thu 5
- Fri 6
- Sat 7
- Sun 8
- Mon 9
- Tue 10
- Wed 11
Day by day
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind | Max wave | High tides | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today · 29 | 38 / 61 °F | 0% | 11 mph WSW | 2.5 ft | 10:41 am · 11:25 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 30 | 49 / 58 °F | 69% · 0.05 in | 12 mph WSW | 2.6 ft | 11:32 am | ECMWF | |
| Sat 31 | 35 / 49 °F | 14% | 13 mph NW | 1.7 ft | 12:19 am · 12:26 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 1 | 33 / 49 °F | 0% | 11 mph W | 1.6 ft | 1:19 am · 12:26 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 2 | 40 / 60 °F | 8% | 13 mph WSW | 1.9 ft | 1:28 am · 1:36 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 3 | 31 / 48 °F | 14% | 8 mph NNW | 1.3 ft | 2:46 am · 2:57 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 4 | 31 / 49 °F | 20% | 5 mph WNW | 3.3 ft | 4:01 am · 4:17 pm | ECMWF | |
| Thu 5 | 35 / 56 °F | 21% | 7 mph SW | 2.6 ft | 4:58 am · 5:21 pm | ECMWF | |
| Fri 6 | 40 / 64 °F | 33% | 6 mph W | 2.6 ft | 5:46 am · 6:14 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sat 7 | 40 / 57 °F | 35% | 8 mph ESE | — | 6:28 am · 7:02 pm | ECMWF | |
| Sun 8 | 49 / 65 °F | 33% · 0.14 in | 9 mph S | — | 7:07 am · 7:46 pm | ECMWF | |
| Mon 9 | 44 / 56 °F | 23% | 14 mph WSW | — | 7:45 am · 8:28 pm | ECMWF | |
| Tue 10 | 44 / 54 °F | 18% · 0.05 in | 7 mph WSW | — | 8:23 am · 9:09 pm | ECMWF | |
| Wed 11 | 45 / 50 °F | 19% · 0.31 in | 7 mph NE | — | 9:00 am · 9:48 pm | ECMWF |
Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.
Today, every 3 hours
| Time | 12:00 am | 3:00 am | 6:00 am | 9:00 am | 12:00 pm | 3:00 pm | 6:00 pm | 9:00 pm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky | Clear | Clear | Clear | Clear sky | Clear sky | Clear sky | Clear sky | Clear |
| Temperature | 38° | 39° | 40° | 44° | 56° | 61° | 55° | 51° |
| Chance of rain | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Rain | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in | 0.00 in |
| Wind (mph) | 7 W | 8 WSW | 8 WSW | 8 WSW | 10 WSW | 10 WSW | 10 SW | 11 SW |
| Humidity | 83% | 92% | 100% | 91% | 61% | 56% | 74% | 87% |
| UV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Model | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF | ECMWF |
Do the models agree?
Medium confidenceThey broadly agree, but not quite on temperature tomorrow: take it with some caution.
What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.
| High (°F) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 61° | 58° | 49° | 49° | 60° | 48° | 49° |
| AIFS | 62° | 63° | 49° | 48° | 60° | 63° | 58° |
| GFS | 62° | 57° | 49° | 51° | 61° | 51° | 48° |
| ICON | 61° | 63° | 51° | 48° | 62° | 49° | 53° |
| Confidence | high | medium | high | high | high | low | low |
| Rain | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 0 | 0.05 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AIFS | 0 | 0.06 in | 0.04 in | 0 | 0 | 0.02 in | 0.21 in |
| GFS | 0 | 0.06 in | 0.04 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ICON | 0 | 0.05 in | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 in |
| Confidence | high | high | medium | high | high | high | low |
| Wind (mph) | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 1123 | 1223 | 1330 | 1127 | 1329 | 819 | 413 |
| AIFS | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| GFS | 1336 | 1336 | 1325 | 1326 | 1334 | 927 | 65 |
| ICON | 1024 | 920 | 1330 | 1023 | 1328 | 616 | 819 |
| Confidence | high | high | high | high | high | high | high |
Chance of rain from the ensemble models
| Model | Today | Fri 30 | Sat 31 | Sun 1 | Mon 2 | Tue 3 | Wed 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF (51 scenarios) | 0% | 69% | 14% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 20% |
| GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) | 0% | 81% | 55% | 0% | 3% | 16% | 23% |
Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.
Outlook
How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.
Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.
Next 6 weeks
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain | Typical high / low |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 | A bit above +2.0 °F | Normal | — |
| Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 | A bit above +0.9 °F | Normal | — |
| Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 | A bit above +1.4 °F | Normal | 46° / 37° |
| Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 | A bit above +2.2 °F | Normal | 44° / 37° |
| Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 | A bit above +1.6 °F | Normal | 41° / 33° |
Coming months
| When | TemperatureTemp. | Rain |
|---|---|---|
| November | A bit above +1.6 °F | Normal |
| December | Above +4.3 °F | A bit above +23% |
| January | Well above +5.9 °F | A bit above +23% |
| February | Above +4.7 °F | Normal |
| March | Above +4.0 °F | Normal |
Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).
Mahone Bay climate by monthClimate by month
Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)The best time to visit Mahone Bay is from July to August: highs of 77 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mahone Bay, about 2 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Earl, in September 2010.
- JanJ
- FebF
- MarM
- AprA
- MayM
- JunJ
- JulJ
- AugA
- SepS
- OctO
- NovN
- DecD
- Highs and lows
- Monthly rainfall
- Best time
| Month | High | Low | Rain | Rainy daysDays | Sun (h/day) | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuaryJan | 33° | 16° | 5.58 in | 10 | 3.1 | 38° | 5.2 ft | – |
| FebruaryFeb | 34° | 16° | 4.93 in | 9 | 4.7 | 34° | 5.2 ft | – |
| MarchMar | 40° | 22° | 5.39 in | 9 | 5.8 | 34° | 5.1 ft | – |
| AprilApr | 50° | 32° | 4.65 in | 10 | 5.6 | 37° | 4.8 ft | – |
| MayMay | 61° | 40° | 4.72 in | 10 | 6.1 | 42° | 3.7 ft | – |
| JuneJun | 70° | 49° | 4.41 in | 9 | 6.8 | 50° | 3.4 ft | – |
| JulyJul | 77° | 56° | 3.56 in | 9 | 7.3 | 57° | 3.1 ft | – |
| AugustAug | 77° | 56° | 3.70 in | 8 | 7.3 | 61° | 3.1 ft | 1 |
| SeptemberSep | 70° | 49° | 4.40 in | 8 | 6.1 | 61° | 3.8 ft | 4 |
| OctoberOct | 58° | 40° | 5.83 in | 9 | 4.2 | 56° | 4.5 ft | 1 |
| NovemberNov | 48° | 33° | 6.70 in | 10 | 2.5 | 49° | 4.9 ft | – |
| DecemberDec | 38° | 24° | 6.24 in | 11 | 2.1 | 43° | 5.1 ft | – |
| Month | Water | Waves | Cyclones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 38° | 5.2 ft | – |
| Feb | 34° | 5.2 ft | – |
| Mar | 34° | 5.1 ft | – |
| Apr | 37° | 4.8 ft | – |
| May | 42° | 3.7 ft | – |
| Jun | 50° | 3.4 ft | – |
| Jul | 57° | 3.1 ft | – |
| Aug | 61° | 3.1 ft | 1 |
| Sep | 61° | 3.8 ft | 4 |
| Oct | 56° | 4.5 ft | 1 |
| Nov | 49° | 4.9 ft | – |
| Dec | 43° | 5.1 ft | – |
Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.
A normal year brings 60.10 in of rain on about 111 days and about 1,900 hours of sunshine.
Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).
1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses
Temperature
It's 42 °F now (feels like 37 °F). Today, 38 °F to 61 °F; tomorrow, 49 °F to 58 °F.
Chance of rain
Today the chance of rain reaches 0%. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 69% and 0.05 in.
Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.00 in; last 3 days, 0.00 in; last 7 days, 0.85 in.
Humidity and dew point
Humidity is 95% now and the dew point is 41 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.
The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.
Visibility and fog
Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.
The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.
UV index
Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 2
| Index | Level | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | low | No special protection needed. |
| 3–5 | moderate | Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday. |
| 6–7 | high | Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm. |
| 8–10 | very high | Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it. |
| 11+ | extreme | Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy. |
Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.
Barometric pressure
- ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
- → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
- ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change
Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.16 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.
Air and pollen
Previous days
The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 28 | Partly cloudy | 31 / 50 °F | 0 | 8 mph WNW |
| Tue 27 | Overcast | 36 / 55 °F | 0 | 11 mph NW |
| Mon 26 | Overcast | 43 / 64 °F | 0 | 10 mph W |
| Sun 25 | Clear sky | 39 / 65 °F | 0 | 8 mph W |
| Sat 24 | Overcast | 36 / 51 °F | 0 | 11 mph NW |
| Fri 23 | Overcast | 40 / 48 °F | 0 | 19 mph N |
| Thu 22 | Rain | 46 / 51 °F | 0.86 in | 17 mph NNE |
Show all 30 days
| Day | Sky | Low / high | Rain | Max wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 | Overcast | 41 / 58 °F | 0 | 9 mph NE |
| Tue 20 | Overcast | 40 / 60 °F | 0 | 9 mph N |
| Mon 19 | Overcast | 33 / 54 °F | 0 | 8 mph SSE |
| Sun 18 | Clear sky | 33 / 51 °F | 0 | 10 mph NW |
| Sat 17 | Heavy drizzle | 40 / 60 °F | 0.11 in | 13 mph WNW |
| Fri 16 | Rain | 38 / 58 °F | 0.48 in | 11 mph S |
| Thu 15 | Overcast | 43 / 55 °F | 0 | 18 mph NW |
| Wed 14 | Light rain | 46 / 62 °F | 0.90 in | 15 mph SE |
| Tue 13 | Heavy drizzle | 43 / 49 °F | 0.13 in | 11 mph ENE |
| Mon 12 | Drizzle | 48 / 58 °F | 0.14 in | 13 mph WNW |
| Sun 11 | Overcast | 40 / 58 °F | 0 | 10 mph W |
| Sat 10 | Mainly clear | 44 / 55 °F | 0 | 15 mph WNW |
| Fri 9 | Light drizzle | 48 / 64 °F | 0.01 in | 11 mph W |
| Thu 8 | Heavy drizzle | 46 / 68 °F | 0.13 in | 17 mph SSW |
| Wed 7 | Partly cloudy | 46 / 61 °F | 0 | 11 mph W |
| Tue 6 | Light drizzle | 48 / 57 °F | 0.01 in | 19 mph W |
| Mon 5 | Heavy drizzle | 53 / 64 °F | 0.23 in | 12 mph SE |
| Sun 4 | Overcast | 46 / 61 °F | 0 | 9 mph E |
| Sat 3 | Heavy drizzle | 51 / 68 °F | 0.06 in | 9 mph NW |
| Fri 2 | Heavy drizzle | 58 / 79 °F | 0.09 in | 11 mph SW |
| Thu 1 | Overcast | 58 / 69 °F | 0 | 8 mph WSW |
| Wed 30 | Light drizzle | 59 / 65 °F | 0.01 in | 6 mph N |
| Tue 29 | Heavy drizzle | 59 / 69 °F | 0.22 in | 8 mph ESE |
These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.
Questions about the weather in Mahone BayQuestions
What's the weather like today in Mahone Bay?
Clear sky, from 38 °F to 61 °F, with a gentle breeze from the west-southwest (8 mph) and a 0% chance of rain.
Will it rain tomorrow in Mahone Bay?
On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 69% (0.05 in): light drizzle.
How warm will it be this week?
Between a low of 31 °F and a high of 61 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.
What's the UV index today?
It reaches 3 (low). No special protection needed.
Is the pressure rising or falling?
It's 30.22 inHg and steady: −0.22 inHg over the last 24 hours.
When is the best time to visit Mahone Bay?
The best time to visit Mahone Bay is from July to August: highs of 77 °F, about 8 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.
What is the weather like in Mahone Bay in October?
In October, Mahone Bay normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 40 °F, with about 9 rainy days (5.83 in for the month) and 4 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 56 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.
What are the warmest and wettest months in Mahone Bay?
The warmest is July, with average highs of 77 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 16 °F. The wettest is November (6.70 in) and the driest, July.
When is hurricane season in Mahone Bay?
Hurricane season: from August to October, peaking in September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 6 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Mahone Bay, about 2 every 10 years; 4 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Earl, in September 2010.
More about Mahone Bay today
Weather near Mahone Bay
- Lunenburg 42 °F · clear sky · 5.8 mi
- Hubbards 41 °F · clear sky · 21 mi
- West Dover 45 °F · clear sky · 25 mi
- Shad Bay 45 °F · clear sky · 30 mi
- Liverpool 44 °F · clear sky · 33 mi
- Clayton Park West 41 °F · clear sky · 38 mi
Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.
Learn more
Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.8 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).
Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 8:12 am (local time).
Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from