Weather in Qualicum Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:56 pm (PDT)

Now · overcast 45 °F

Feels like: 41 °F
Low / high: 39 / 50 °F
Rain: 56% · 0.07 in
Wind: 4 mph ESE

→ 29.94 inHg · steady

Today in Qualicum Beach: drizzle, 39 °F to 50 °F, with a 56% chance of rain (0.07 in) and a light breeze from the east-southeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 40 °F to 47 °F and a 57% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 51 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Sisters Isl (CWGT), 9.6 mi away · 56 min ago

Visibility—

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature50 °F

Wind24 mph from the southeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

50° 39°
Today
47° 40°
Thu 29
47° 38°
Fri 30
48° 38°
Sat 31
49° 37°
Sun 1
49° 40°
Mon 2
51° 41°
Tue 3
52° 41°
Wed 4
51° 43°
Thu 5
50° 43°
Fri 6
50° 43°
Sat 7
56° 43°
Sun 8
58° 49°
Mon 9
65° 56°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Drizzle	39 / 50 °F	56% · 0.07 in	9 mph SE	1.3 ft	8:41 am · 6:39 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Drizzle	40 / 47 °F	57% · 0.35 in	11 mph E	2.2 ft	9:38 am · 7:18 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	38 / 47 °F	49% · 0.17 in	6 mph NNE	0.5 ft	10:38 am · 8:05 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	38 / 48 °F	19% · 0.02 in	6 mph E	0.5 ft	11:40 am · 9:04 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	37 / 49 °F	18% · 0.07 in	7 mph SE	0.1 ft	12:41 pm · 10:26 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Drizzle	40 / 49 °F	26% · 0.12 in	7 mph SE	0.5 ft	1:36 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	41 / 51 °F	25% · 0.05 in	5 mph WNW	0.6 ft	12:22 am · 2:22 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	41 / 52 °F	21% · 0.05 in	4 mph SE	0.1 ft	2:17 am · 3:01 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Drizzle	43 / 51 °F	24% · 0.07 in	4 mph ESE	0.3 ft	3:43 am · 3:33 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	43 / 50 °F	35% · 0.17 in	11 mph ESE	1.0 ft	4:52 am · 4:00 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	43 / 50 °F	34% · 0.35 in	7 mph SE	3.8 ft	5:49 am · 4:25 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Drizzle	43 / 56 °F	53% · 0.21 in	10 mph SSE	2.8 ft	6:40 am · 4:49 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Light rain	49 / 58 °F	56% · 1.13 in	8 mph SE	4.4 ft	7:26 am · 5:13 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	56 / 65 °F	61%	6 mph S	3.9 ft	8:09 am · 5:38 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 12:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Overcast	Overcast	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Drizzle	Partly cloudy	Drizzle
Temperature	45°	42°	40°	40°	50°	50°	47°	44°
Chance of rain	32%	28%	1%	2%	4%	26%	24%	20%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.03 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	9 NW	3 SW	4 SSW	4 SW	1 NE	5 E	4 SE	4 SE
Humidity	89%	89%	90%	82%	75%	76%	89%	85%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	49°	44°	45°	50°	54°	57°	58°
AIFS	50°	47°	48°	51°	53°	52°	56°
GFS	48°	45°	46°	49°	49°	50°	53°
ICON	48°	47°	48°	49°	52°	52°	54°
HRRR	50°	49°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	48°	46°	47°	48°	49°	49°	51°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.20 in	0.25 in	0.06 in	0	0	0.17 in	0
AIFS	0.21 in	0.66 in	0.19 in	0.02 in	0	0.17 in	0.12 in
GFS	0.17 in	1.18 in	0.04 in	0.02 in	0	0	0
ICON	0.29 in	0.19 in	0.05 in	0	0	0.01 in	0
HRRR	0.07 in	0.17 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.24 in	0.85 in	0.17 in	0.02 in	0.07 in	0.12 in	0.05 in
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	419	623	413	313	213	417	523
AIFS	5	6	2	2	3	4	4
GFS	116	1211	54	65	74	34	43
ICON	1018	1323	611	712	712	712	611
HRRR	920	821	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	815	1323	68	67	711	79	56
Confidence	high	medium	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	100%	63%	9%	22%	45%	30%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	55%	29%	35%	35%	19%
NBM (NOAA)	56%	57%	49%	19%	18%	26%	25%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.4 °F	A bit below −28%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +4.1 °F	Above +67%	47° / 42°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +3.1 °F	A bit above +22%	45° / 39°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.9 °F	Normal	43° / 37°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	42° / 35°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal
December	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
January	Above +2.9 °F	Normal
February	A bit above +2.5 °F	Normal
March	Above +3.6 °F	A bit above +25%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Qualicum Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Qualicum Beach is from July to August: highs of 74 °F to 74 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

44° 35°

JanJ
46° 35°

FebF
50° 37°

MarM
56° 41°

AprA
64° 47°

MayM
68° 52°

JunJ
74° 55°

JulJ
74° 55°

AugA
68° 49°

SepS
57° 43°

OctO
49° 38°

NovN
44° 35°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	44°	35°	7.87 in	18	1.0	45°	0.9 ft
FebruaryFeb	46°	35°	3.59 in	14	3.2	45°	0.8 ft
MarchMar	50°	37°	4.24 in	16	4.0	46°	0.8 ft
AprilApr	56°	41°	2.69 in	13	5.9	49°	0.6 ft
MayMay	64°	47°	1.80 in	9	7.3	55°	0.4 ft
JuneJun	68°	52°	1.58 in	9	7.4	60°	0.5 ft
JulyJul	74°	55°	0.79 in	6	8.4	63°	0.4 ft
AugustAug	74°	55°	1.30 in	6	7.6	63°	0.4 ft
SeptemberSep	68°	49°	1.72 in	8	5.8	59°	0.5 ft
OctoberOct	57°	43°	4.63 in	14	2.9	53°	0.7 ft
NovemberNov	49°	38°	7.27 in	18	1.4	49°	1.0 ft
DecemberDec	44°	35°	6.20 in	18	0.6	46°	1.0 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	45°	0.9 ft
Feb	45°	0.8 ft
Mar	46°	0.8 ft
Apr	49°	0.6 ft
May	55°	0.4 ft
Jun	60°	0.5 ft
Jul	63°	0.4 ft
Aug	63°	0.4 ft
Sep	59°	0.5 ft
Oct	53°	0.7 ft
Nov	49°	1.0 ft
Dec	46°	1.0 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 43.67 in of rain on about 147 days and about 1,700 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now45 °Ffeels like 41 °F

Tomorrow40 / 47 °F

It's 45 °F now (feels like 41 °F). Today, 39 °F to 50 °F; tomorrow, 40 °F to 47 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 56% 0.07 in
Thu 29 57% 0.35 in
Fri 30 49% 0.17 in
Sat 31 19% 0.02 in
Sun 1 18% 0.07 in
Mon 2 26% 0.12 in
Tue 3 25% 0.05 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 56%, with 0.07 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 57% and 0.35 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.10 in; last 3 days, 0.33 in; last 7 days, 2.05 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity83%

Dew point40 °F

Humidity is 83% now and the dew point is 40 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now11 migood

Clouds95%

Visibility is good now (11 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 0 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.99

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Light drizzle	43 / 50 °F	0.13 in	4 mph WSW
Mon 26	Heavy drizzle	42 / 56 °F	0.20 in	2 mph SW
Sun 25	Light rain	42 / 48 °F	0.73 in	7 mph ESE
Sat 24	Light rain	42 / 45 °F	0.99 in	6 mph SSE
Fri 23	Overcast	42 / 55 °F	0	3 mph WNW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	45 / 55 °F	0.01 in	7 mph NW
Wed 21	Overcast	47 / 63 °F	0	3 mph SSW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	45 / 61 °F	0	3 mph N
Mon 19	Overcast	46 / 58 °F	0	4 mph N
Sun 18	Overcast	42 / 56 °F	0	4 mph NE
Sat 17	Drizzle	44 / 60 °F	0.12 in	11 mph WSW
Fri 16	Light drizzle	53 / 71 °F	0.05 in	6 mph SSW
Thu 15	Overcast	49 / 65 °F	0	3 mph SE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	53 / 59 °F	0.05 in	5 mph WNW
Tue 13	Drizzle	49 / 57 °F	0.17 in	6 mph SSW
Mon 12	Overcast	42 / 61 °F	0	3 mph WSW
Sun 11	Mainly clear	45 / 58 °F	0	4 mph NW
Sat 10	Clear sky	43 / 57 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	47 / 59 °F	0.28 in	10 mph W
Thu 8	Overcast	58 / 71 °F	0	7 mph SW
Wed 7	Overcast	56 / 72 °F	0	3 mph NNW
Tue 6	Overcast	52 / 66 °F	0	3 mph WNW
Mon 5	Overcast	53 / 70 °F	0	5 mph SW
Sun 4	Overcast	56 / 72 °F	0	4 mph SW
Sat 3	Overcast	55 / 68 °F	0	4 mph N
Fri 2	Drizzle	55 / 64 °F	0.15 in	3 mph WSW
Thu 1	Rain	53 / 57 °F	0.41 in	3 mph SE
Wed 30	Overcast	44 / 60 °F	0	4 mph NE
Tue 29	Drizzle	49 / 61 °F	0.21 in	7 mph W
Mon 28	Rain	49 / 59 °F	0.77 in	8 mph SSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Qualicum BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Qualicum Beach?

Drizzle, from 39 °F to 50 °F, with a light breeze from the east-southeast (4 mph) and a 56% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Qualicum Beach?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 57% (0.35 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 37 °F and a high of 51 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.94 inHg and steady: +0.10 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Qualicum Beach?

The best time to visit Qualicum Beach is from July to August: highs of 74 °F to 74 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Qualicum Beach in October?

In October, Qualicum Beach normally sees highs of 57 °F and lows of 43 °F, with about 14 rainy days (4.63 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 53 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Qualicum Beach?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 74 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 35 °F. The wettest is January (7.87 in) and the driest, July.

More about Qualicum Beach today

Weather near Qualicum Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.2 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:56 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from