Weather in Welcome Beach

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 4:01 pm (PDT)

Now · partly cloudy 49 °F

Feels like: 44 °F
Low / high: 41 / 49 °F
Rain: 75% · 0.37 in
Wind: 7 mph SE

→ 29.96 inHg · steady

Today in Welcome Beach: light rain, 41 °F to 49 °F, with a 75% chance of rain (0.37 in) and a light breeze from the southeast (7 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 41 °F to 47 °F and a 55% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 51 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

49° 41°
Today
47° 41°
Thu 29
47° 39°
Fri 30
48° 40°
Sat 31
48° 40°
Sun 1
49° 42°
Mon 2
51° 43°
Tue 3
51° 43°
Wed 4
50° 44°
Thu 5
50° 44°
Fri 6
50° 44°
Sat 7
55° 44°
Sun 8
57° 47°
Mon 9
66° 54°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Light rain	41 / 49 °F	75% · 0.37 in	12 mph E	1.8 ft	8:35 am · 6:39 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Light rain	41 / 47 °F	55% · 0.96 in	15 mph E	2.2 ft	9:31 am · 7:22 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	39 / 47 °F	32% · 0.01 in	5 mph NNE	0.4 ft	10:31 am · 8:12 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Light drizzle	40 / 48 °F	13%	6 mph N	0.7 ft	11:35 am · 9:13 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Partly cloudy	40 / 48 °F	15% · 0.02 in	8 mph E	0.7 ft	12:38 pm · 10:32 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	42 / 49 °F	26% · 0.09 in	7 mph ESE	0.7 ft	1:35 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	43 / 51 °F	17%	4 mph NE	0.1 ft	12:21 am · 2:22 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	43 / 51 °F	20% · 0.05 in	4 mph ENE	0.7 ft	2:16 am · 3:00 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	44 / 50 °F	24% · 0.07 in	4 mph ESE	0.9 ft	3:45 am · 3:31 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	44 / 50 °F	36% · 0.21 in	8 mph ESE	3.0 ft	4:56 am · 3:57 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Light rain	44 / 50 °F	35% · 0.33 in	7 mph ESE	—	5:55 am · 4:21 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Heavy drizzle	44 / 55 °F	55% · 0.14 in	9 mph E	—	6:45 am · 4:44 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Light rain	47 / 57 °F	55% · 1.02 in	12 mph E	—	7:30 am · 5:07 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Light drizzle	54 / 66 °F	71% · 0.07 in	11 mph ESE	—	8:10 am · 5:33 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 11:00 am; then NBM until Sunday 8 12:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light rain	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	44°	44°	42°	42°	49°	49°	46°	43°
Chance of rain	65%	61%	7%	3%	9%	4%	7%	23%
Rain	0.27 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 NNE	6 NNW	2 W	2 N	2 S	7 SE	5 ESE	10 ENE
Humidity	88%	92%	81%	85%	77%	82%	82%	81%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Friday 30: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	48°	46°	47°	54°	54°	56°	55°
AIFS	47°	48°	47°	50°	51°	51°	55°
GFS	49°	47°	48°	49°	50°	51°	55°
ICON	48°	47°	48°	51°	53°	52°	56°
HRRR	49°	48°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	48°	47°	47°	48°	48°	49°	51°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.33 in	0.79 in	0.07 in	0.06 in	0	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0.31 in	0.38 in	0.17 in	0	0	0.17 in	0.14 in
GFS	0.25 in	0.46 in	0.01 in	0.03 in	0.00 in	0	0
ICON	0.19 in	0.40 in	0.28 in	0	0	0.02 in	0
HRRR	0.37 in	1.05 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.30 in	0.45 in	0.01 in	0	0.02 in	0.09 in	0
Confidence	high	medium	low	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	715	717	49	39	217	412	611
AIFS	8	8	3	4	4	6	4
GFS	912	910	99	45	76	44	74
ICON	722	724	618	514	511	618	511
HRRR	1217	1529	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1219	1323	59	69	812	711	48
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	100%	100%	92%	25%	10%	12%	16%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	96%	32%	43%	24%	26%	29%
NBM (NOAA)	75%	55%	32%	13%	15%	26%	17%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal +0.5 °F	A bit below −34%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +4.0 °F	Above +63%	48° / 43°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +2.9 °F	Normal	46° / 40°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	44° / 38°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	42° / 37°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal
December	Above +3.6 °F	Normal
January	Above +4.1 °F	Normal
February	Above +3.8 °F	Normal
March	Above +4.3 °F	Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

Welcome Beach climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Welcome Beach is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

43° 36°

JanJ
45° 37°

FebF
48° 38°

MarM
53° 42°

AprA
61° 48°

MayM
65° 53°

JunJ
71° 56°

JulJ
71° 57°

AugA
65° 51°

SepS
55° 44°

OctO
47° 40°

NovN
43° 36°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	43°	36°	8.05 in	18	1.1	44°	0.8 ft
FebruaryFeb	45°	37°	3.63 in	14	3.4	45°	0.7 ft
MarchMar	48°	38°	4.97 in	16	4.1	46°	0.7 ft
AprilApr	53°	42°	3.43 in	13	6.1	50°	0.6 ft
MayMay	61°	48°	2.44 in	10	7.4	56°	0.4 ft
JuneJun	65°	53°	2.28 in	9	7.6	60°	0.5 ft
JulyJul	71°	56°	1.28 in	6	8.8	64°	0.4 ft
AugustAug	71°	57°	1.78 in	6	7.9	64°	0.4 ft
SeptemberSep	65°	51°	2.23 in	8	5.8	59°	0.5 ft
OctoberOct	55°	44°	5.40 in	15	2.9	53°	0.6 ft
NovemberNov	47°	40°	8.24 in	18	1.3	48°	0.8 ft
DecemberDec	43°	36°	6.64 in	18	0.7	46°	0.9 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	44°	0.8 ft
Feb	45°	0.7 ft
Mar	46°	0.7 ft
Apr	50°	0.6 ft
May	56°	0.4 ft
Jun	60°	0.5 ft
Jul	64°	0.4 ft
Aug	64°	0.4 ft
Sep	59°	0.5 ft
Oct	53°	0.6 ft
Nov	48°	0.8 ft
Dec	46°	0.9 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 50.38 in of rain on about 149 days and about 1,750 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now49 °Ffeels like 44 °F

Tomorrow41 / 47 °F

It's 49 °F now (feels like 44 °F). Today, 41 °F to 49 °F; tomorrow, 41 °F to 47 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 75% 0.37 in
Thu 29 55% 0.96 in
Fri 30 32% 0.01 in
Sat 31 13%
Sun 1 15% 0.02 in
Mon 2 26% 0.09 in
Tue 3 17%

Today the chance of rain reaches 75%, with 0.37 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 55% and 0.96 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.69 in; last 3 days, 0.73 in; last 7 days, 1.86 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity81%

Dew point43 °F

Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 43 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now11 migood

Clouds50%

Visibility is good now (11 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.91

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 27

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Drizzle	46 / 51 °F	0.12 in	6 mph WNW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	48 / 54 °F	0.01 in	4 mph NW
Sun 25	Light rain	46 / 51 °F	0.40 in	7 mph ENE
Sat 24	Light rain	46 / 49 °F	0.73 in	6 mph E
Fri 23	Overcast	42 / 55 °F	0	5 mph NNW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	47 / 56 °F	0.02 in	10 mph NW
Wed 21	Overcast	50 / 60 °F	0	2 mph NW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Partly cloudy	43 / 60 °F	0	5 mph NW
Mon 19	Overcast	49 / 58 °F	0	6 mph WNW
Sun 18	Overcast	47 / 56 °F	0	4 mph NW
Sat 17	Heavy drizzle	49 / 58 °F	0.20 in	9 mph NW
Fri 16	Light rain	56 / 69 °F	0.30 in	7 mph E
Thu 15	Overcast	47 / 65 °F	0	4 mph NNE
Wed 14	Drizzle	51 / 60 °F	0.18 in	9 mph E
Tue 13	Drizzle	50 / 57 °F	0.14 in	9 mph E
Mon 12	Overcast	44 / 57 °F	0	4 mph W
Sun 11	Clear sky	47 / 59 °F	0	7 mph NW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	48 / 57 °F	0.02 in	6 mph WNW
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	49 / 58 °F	0.24 in	15 mph NW
Thu 8	Overcast	56 / 65 °F	0	4 mph SE
Wed 7	Overcast	51 / 67 °F	0	6 mph NW
Tue 6	Overcast	52 / 64 °F	0	6 mph WNW
Mon 5	Overcast	57 / 64 °F	0	4 mph S
Sun 4	Partly cloudy	58 / 68 °F	0	4 mph WNW
Sat 3	Overcast	56 / 67 °F	0	6 mph NW
Fri 2	Drizzle	56 / 64 °F	0.12 in	6 mph ESE
Thu 1	Drizzle	55 / 59 °F	0.14 in	2 mph NNW
Wed 30	Overcast	46 / 60 °F	0	5 mph WNW
Tue 29	Rain	53 / 60 °F	0.69 in	10 mph WNW
Mon 28	Rain	53 / 58 °F	0.93 in	12 mph ESE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Welcome BeachQuestions

What's the weather like today in Welcome Beach?

Light rain, from 41 °F to 49 °F, with a light breeze from the southeast (7 mph) and a 75% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Welcome Beach?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 55% (0.96 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 39 °F and a high of 51 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.96 inHg and steady: +0.07 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Welcome Beach?

The best time to visit Welcome Beach is from July to August: highs of 71 °F, about 6 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Welcome Beach in October?

In October, Welcome Beach normally sees highs of 55 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 15 rainy days (5.40 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 53 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Welcome Beach?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is November (8.24 in) and the driest, July.

More about Welcome Beach today

Weather near Welcome Beach

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.5 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 4:01 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from