Weather in Nanaimo

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 2:56 pm (PDT)

Now · light drizzle 48 °F

Feels like: 44 °F
Low / high: 39 / 49 °F
Rain: 39% · 0.07 in
Wind: 6 mph ESE

→ 29.94 inHg · steady

Today in Nanaimo: drizzle, 39 °F to 49 °F, with a 39% chance of rain (0.07 in) and a light breeze from the east-southeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 41 °F to 49 °F and a 65% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 54 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

49° 39°
Today
49° 41°
Thu 29
49° 40°
Fri 30
51° 40°
Sat 31
51° 39°
Sun 1
51° 42°
Mon 2
54° 43°
Tue 3
54° 43°
Wed 4
53° 44°
Thu 5
52° 45°
Fri 6
52° 46°
Sat 7
53° 46°
Sun 8
51° 49°
Mon 9
57° 51°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Drizzle	39 / 49 °F	39% · 0.07 in	9 mph SSE	1.6 ft	8:41 am · 6:40 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Drizzle	41 / 49 °F	65% · 0.69 in	18 mph ESE	2.4 ft	9:38 am · 7:20 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Light drizzle	40 / 49 °F	44% · 0.03 in	7 mph NE	0.6 ft	10:38 am · 8:07 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	40 / 51 °F	14%	7 mph NNE	0.7 ft	11:40 am · 9:07 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	39 / 51 °F	7%	9 mph SE	0.6 ft	12:41 pm · 10:27 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Light drizzle	42 / 51 °F	16%	8 mph SE	0.3 ft	1:35 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	43 / 54 °F	12%	7 mph NW	0.1 ft	12:21 am · 2:21 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	43 / 54 °F	14%	5 mph ESE	0.7 ft	2:17 am · 2:59 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Light drizzle	44 / 53 °F	19%	5 mph SE	0.7 ft	3:44 am · 3:31 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Light drizzle	45 / 52 °F	32% · 0.12 in	9 mph SE	2.0 ft	4:52 am · 3:58 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	46 / 52 °F	32% · 0.31 in	9 mph SE	—	5:51 am · 4:23 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Drizzle	46 / 53 °F	51% · 0.14 in	12 mph SE	—	6:42 am · 4:47 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Light rain	49 / 51 °F	51% · 0.76 in	19 mph SE	—	7:28 am · 5:12 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	51 / 57 °F	63%	15 mph SE	—	8:11 am · 5:37 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 9:00 am; then NBM until Sunday 8 12:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 8:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Mainly clear	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Drizzle
Temperature	45°	42°	40°	41°	49°	49°	46°	44°
Chance of rain	27%	16%	4%	6%	7%	10%	9%	21%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	3 N	6 NW	3 S	3 SW	4 ENE	6 ESE	3 SE	4 SSE
Humidity	88%	87%	84%	79%	82%	79%	84%	87%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

Low confidence

They don't agree on rain on Friday 30: it may change, so check again closer to the day.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	47°	45°	46°	50°	51°	51°	52°
AIFS	46°	46°	45°	47°	49°	49°	51°
GFS	49°	45°	47°	47°	53°	52°	57°
ICON	48°	49°	47°	52°	51°	51°	56°
HRRR	49°	49°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	50°	49°	49°	51°	51°	51°	54°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0.17 in	0.63 in	0.05 in	0	0	0.01 in	0
AIFS	0.19 in	0.45 in	0.21 in	0	0	0.09 in	0.07 in
GFS	0.12 in	0.87 in	0.06 in	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.20 in	0.42 in	0.04 in	0	0	0.04 in	0
HRRR	0.07 in	0.68 in	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.12 in	0.66 in	0.03 in	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	low	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	1425	1425	916	914	921	718	815
AIFS	13	14	4	8	7	10	6
GFS	511	822	413	46	56	33	56
ICON	916	1321	1016	813	1221	610	915
HRRR	919	1124	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	915	1827	79	79	911	89	79
Confidence	medium	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	94%	100%	76%	10%	4%	10%	16%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	100%	100%	55%	30%	19%	23%	16%
NBM (NOAA)	39%	65%	44%	14%	7%	16%	12%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit below −35%	A bit above +0.5 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.8 °F	Above +55%	A bit above +0.7 °F	49° / 45°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +2.9 °F	A bit above +22%	A bit above +0.9 °F	47° / 43°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	45° / 41°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.1 °F	43° / 39°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.6 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.3 °F
December	Above +3.2 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F
January	Above +3.8 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
February	Above +3.2 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
March	Above +3.8 °F	A bit above +20%	Above +2.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Nanaimo climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Nanaimo is from July to August: highs of 75 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

45° 35°

JanJ
47° 35°

FebF
51° 37°

MarM
57° 40°

AprA
64° 47°

MayM
69° 52°

JunJ
74° 56°

JulJ
75° 55°

AugA
69° 50°

SepS
58° 44°

OctO
50° 38°

NovN
44° 35°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	45°	35°	7.92 in	16	1.1	44°	0.6 ft
FebruaryFeb	47°	35°	3.67 in	11	3.3	45°	0.5 ft
MarchMar	51°	37°	4.56 in	13	4.0	46°	0.5 ft
AprilApr	57°	40°	2.54 in	10	5.9	50°	0.5 ft
MayMay	64°	47°	1.77 in	7	7.2	55°	0.3 ft
JuneJun	69°	52°	1.56 in	6	7.4	59°	0.3 ft
JulyJul	74°	56°	0.85 in	4	8.7	63°	0.3 ft
AugustAug	75°	55°	1.24 in	4	7.8	63°	0.3 ft
SeptemberSep	69°	50°	1.63 in	7	5.9	59°	0.4 ft
OctoberOct	58°	44°	4.26 in	11	3.0	53°	0.5 ft
NovemberNov	50°	38°	6.95 in	16	1.4	48°	0.6 ft
DecemberDec	44°	35°	6.92 in	16	0.7	46°	0.6 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	44°	0.6 ft
Feb	45°	0.5 ft
Mar	46°	0.5 ft
Apr	50°	0.5 ft
May	55°	0.3 ft
Jun	59°	0.3 ft
Jul	63°	0.3 ft
Aug	63°	0.3 ft
Sep	59°	0.4 ft
Oct	53°	0.5 ft
Nov	48°	0.6 ft
Dec	46°	0.6 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 43.86 in of rain on about 120 days and about 1,700 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now48 °Ffeels like 44 °F

Tomorrow41 / 49 °F

It's 48 °F now (feels like 44 °F). Today, 39 °F to 49 °F; tomorrow, 41 °F to 49 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 39% 0.07 in
Thu 29 65% 0.69 in
Fri 30 44% 0.03 in
Sat 31 14%
Sun 1 7%
Mon 2 16%
Tue 3 12%

Today the chance of rain reaches 39%, with 0.07 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 65% and 0.69 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.24 in; last 3 days, 0.37 in; last 7 days, 1.74 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity79%

Dew point42 °F

Humidity is 79% now and the dew point is 42 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now12 migood

Clouds50%

Visibility is good now (12 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.99

Steady now (+0.00 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 36

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 27	Heavy drizzle	43 / 48 °F	0.14 in	12 mph W
Mon 26	Overcast	46 / 54 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Sun 25	Light rain	45 / 50 °F	0.41 in	16 mph ESE
Sat 24	Light rain	43 / 47 °F	1.05 in	13 mph SE
Fri 23	Overcast	43 / 52 °F	0	18 mph WNW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	47 / 53 °F	0.01 in	19 mph WNW
Wed 21	Overcast	44 / 55 °F	0	7 mph W

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	46 / 57 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Mon 19	Overcast	46 / 55 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Sun 18	Overcast	45 / 53 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Sat 17	Light drizzle	46 / 57 °F	0.02 in	8 mph WNW
Fri 16	Light rain	50 / 62 °F	0.31 in	9 mph SE
Thu 15	Overcast	46 / 56 °F	0	7 mph WNW
Wed 14	Light drizzle	48 / 58 °F	0.02 in	15 mph ESE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	50 / 55 °F	0.02 in	15 mph SE
Mon 12	Overcast	43 / 54 °F	0	6 mph WSW
Sun 11	Clear sky	46 / 56 °F	0	14 mph WNW
Sat 10	Mainly clear	46 / 56 °F	0	13 mph WNW
Fri 9	Drizzle	50 / 57 °F	0.13 in	19 mph NW
Thu 8	Overcast	53 / 60 °F	0	10 mph S
Wed 7	Overcast	55 / 64 °F	0	12 mph WNW
Tue 6	Overcast	50 / 61 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Mon 5	Overcast	51 / 61 °F	0	4 mph SE
Sun 4	Overcast	53 / 63 °F	0	9 mph WNW
Sat 3	Overcast	53 / 63 °F	0	10 mph WNW
Fri 2	Light drizzle	53 / 60 °F	0.07 in	8 mph SE
Thu 1	Heavy drizzle	51 / 56 °F	0.19 in	7 mph WSW
Wed 30	Overcast	48 / 57 °F	0	11 mph WNW
Tue 29	Heavy drizzle	51 / 58 °F	0.25 in	13 mph W
Mon 28	Light rain	49 / 57 °F	0.51 in	15 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in NanaimoQuestions

What's the weather like today in Nanaimo?

Drizzle, from 39 °F to 49 °F, with a light breeze from the east-southeast (6 mph) and a 39% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Nanaimo?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 65% (0.69 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 39 °F and a high of 54 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.94 inHg and steady: +0.03 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Nanaimo?

The best time to visit Nanaimo is from July to August: highs of 75 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Nanaimo in October?

In October, Nanaimo normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 11 rainy days (4.26 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 53 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Nanaimo?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 75 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 35 °F. The wettest is January (7.92 in) and the driest, July.

More about Nanaimo today

Weather near Nanaimo

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 6.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:56 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from