Weather in Thổ Châu

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 7:09 am (GMT+7)

Now · light drizzle 82 °F

Feels like: 89 °F
Low / high: 82 / 86 °F
Rain: 82% · 0.37 in
Wind: 10 mph ENE

↗ 29.93 inHg · rising UV 10 · very high

Today in Thổ Châu: showers, 82 °F to 86 °F, with a 82% chance of rain (0.37 in) and a gentle breeze from the east-northeast (10 mph). Tomorrow, showers, 80 °F to 83 °F and a 88% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Thursday 29, at 86 °F.

Temperatures for the next 14 days

86° 82°
Today
83° 80°
Fri 30
84° 81°
Sat 31
84° 81°
Sun 1
82° 81°
Mon 2
84° 81°
Tue 3
83° 79°
Wed 4
83° 79°
Thu 5
84° 81°
Fri 6
83° 78°
Sat 7
84° 80°
Sun 8
84° 82°
Mon 9
83° 82°
Tue 10
84° 81°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	Model
Today · 29	Showers	82 / 86 °F	82% · 0.37 in	15 mph ESE	1.8 ft	ECMWF
Fri 30	Showers	80 / 83 °F	88% · 0.56 in	14 mph E	2.4 ft	ECMWF
Sat 31	Showers	81 / 84 °F	88% · 0.67 in	15 mph E	1.7 ft	ECMWF
Sun 1	Light showers	81 / 84 °F	67% · 0.41 in	12 mph E	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Mon 2	Light showers	81 / 82 °F	73% · 0.67 in	10 mph ENE	0.9 ft	ECMWF
Tue 3	Light showers	81 / 84 °F	82% · 0.32 in	11 mph ESE	1.2 ft	ECMWF
Wed 4	Drizzle	79 / 83 °F	79% · 0.33 in	12 mph ESE	0.6 ft	ECMWF
Thu 5	Heavy drizzle	79 / 83 °F	76% · 0.46 in	12 mph E	1.2 ft	ECMWF
Fri 6	Light showers	81 / 84 °F	79% · 0.50 in	15 mph E	1.5 ft	ECMWF
Sat 7	Light showers	78 / 83 °F	86% · 0.90 in	13 mph E	2.0 ft	ECMWF
Sun 8	Light showers	80 / 84 °F	92% · 0.60 in	17 mph ENE	2.4 ft	ECMWF
Mon 9	Drizzle	82 / 84 °F	89% · 0.28 in	17 mph ENE	2.8 ft	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	82 / 83 °F	91% · 0.31 in	20 mph ENE	3.3 ft	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light showers	81 / 84 °F	95% · 0.58 in	19 mph E	3.1 ft	ECMWF

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Overcast	Drizzle	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Partly cloudy	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	86°	83°	82°	82°	83°	84°	83°	83°
Chance of rain	32%	56%	64%	57%	43%	36%	40%	66%
Rain	0.00 in	0.03 in	0.02 in	0.01 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.01 in
Wind (mph)	15 ESE	13 E	11 ENE	7 E	5 ENE	3 ESE	9 SE	11 SE
Humidity	71%	76%	80%	81%	78%	74%	77%	80%
UV	0	0	0	4	10	3	0	0
Model	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF	ECMWF

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 4 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	86°	83°	84°	84°	82°	84°	83°
AIFS	85°	83°	83°	83°	83°	83°	84°
GFS	85°	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°	84°
ICON	85°	84°	84°	85°	84°	84°	85°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.37 in	0.56 in	0.67 in	0.41 in	0.67 in	0.32 in	0.33 in
AIFS	0.22 in	0.44 in	0.30 in	0.34 in	0.43 in	0.62 in	0.21 in
GFS	0.40 in	0.25 in	0.28 in	0.13 in	0.27 in	0.27 in	0.09 in
ICON	0.57 in	1.29 in	0.80 in	0.37 in	0.81 in	0.84 in	0.23 in
Confidence	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium	medium

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1519	1421	1521	1217	1020	1120	1218
AIFS	12	11	12	9	10	13	11
GFS	1213	1315	1416	1214	910	1415	1315
ICON	1015	1521	1216	1115	614	1321	1216
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	82%	88%	88%	67%	73%	82%	79%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	92%	60%	65%	78%	52%	61%	58%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	A bit above +0.9 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +22%	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +1.3 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	83° / 80°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F	84° / 81°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +23%	Above +2.3 °F	84° / 81°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +2.3 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
December	Above +3.4 °F	Normal	Above +3.4 °F
January	Above +3.6 °F	Below −50%	Well above +3.6 °F
February	Above +2.9 °F	Below −69%	Above +2.7 °F
March	Above +3.1 °F	Below −78%	Above +2.2 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Thổ Châu climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Thổ Châu is from January to February: highs of 85 °F to 86 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Typhoon season: from November to December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Thổ Châu, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Durian, in December 2006.

85° 73°

JanJ
86° 73°

FebF
89° 75°

MarM
91° 76°

AprA
90° 76°

MayM
87° 75°

JunJ
86° 75°

JulJ
86° 75°

AugA
86° 75°

SepS
85° 74°

OctO
85° 75°

NovN
84° 74°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	85°	73°	1.36 in	4	6.4	82°	1.9 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	86°	73°	0.96 in	1	7.4	82°	1.8 ft	–
MarchMar	89°	75°	4.17 in	5	7.2	84°	1.5 ft	–
AprilApr	91°	76°	5.02 in	13	7.0	85°	1.2 ft	–
MayMay	90°	76°	10.90 in	26	5.7	86°	1.5 ft	–
JuneJun	87°	75°	12.75 in	27	5.9	86°	2.2 ft	–
JulyJul	86°	75°	14.96 in	28	5.3	85°	2.5 ft	–
AugustAug	86°	75°	13.73 in	27	5.5	84°	2.7 ft	–
SeptemberSep	86°	75°	13.79 in	27	5.0	84°	2.6 ft	–
OctoberOct	85°	74°	12.07 in	27	5.5	84°	1.7 ft	–
NovemberNov	85°	75°	7.11 in	21	6.2	83°	1.6 ft	2
DecemberDec	84°	74°	5.34 in	12	5.7	83°	2.2 ft	2

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	82°	1.9 ft	–
Feb	82°	1.8 ft	–
Mar	84°	1.5 ft	–
Apr	85°	1.2 ft	–
May	86°	1.5 ft	–
Jun	86°	2.2 ft	–
Jul	85°	2.5 ft	–
Aug	84°	2.7 ft	–
Sep	84°	2.6 ft	–
Oct	84°	1.7 ft	–
Nov	83°	1.6 ft	2
Dec	83°	2.2 ft	2

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 102.16 in of rain on about 217 days and about 2,200 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now82 °Ffeels like 89 °F

Tomorrow80 / 83 °F

It's 82 °F now (feels like 89 °F). Today, 82 °F to 86 °F; tomorrow, 80 °F to 83 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 82% 0.37 in
Fri 30 88% 0.56 in
Sat 31 88% 0.67 in
Sun 1 67% 0.41 in
Mon 2 73% 0.67 in
Tue 3 82% 0.32 in
Wed 4 79% 0.33 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 82%, with 0.37 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 88% and 0.56 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.76 in; last 3 days, 1.32 in; last 7 days, 1.94 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity81%

Dew point76 °F

Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 76 °F. With a dew point this high, it feels muggy.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now15 migood

Clouds52%

Visibility is good now (15 mi). No fog expected today.

The model gives visibility up to about 15 mi: beyond that, the horizon is clear.

UV index

Now1

Today's peak10very high

Fri 30: 10 · Sat 31: 10 · Sun 1: 9

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising · now Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.84

Rising now (+0.05 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.04 inHg. Rising pressure: anglers say fish bite less for a while. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityFair · 28

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light showers	81 / 86 °F	0.88 in	19 mph ESE
Tue 27	Drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.15 in	19 mph ESE
Mon 26	Drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.13 in	16 mph SE
Sun 25	Light drizzle	82 / 85 °F	0.07 in	13 mph SE
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	81 / 86 °F	0.28 in	10 mph S
Fri 23	Heavy drizzle	81 / 88 °F	0.22 in	12 mph E
Thu 22	Heavy drizzle	80 / 88 °F	0.20 in	9 mph ENE

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.16 in	10 mph ENE
Tue 20	Drizzle	82 / 87 °F	0.27 in	13 mph ESE
Mon 19	Light showers	80 / 87 °F	0.44 in	11 mph SSE
Sun 18	Showers	80 / 83 °F	1.15 in	15 mph ENE
Sat 17	Light showers	81 / 86 °F	0.49 in	13 mph ENE
Fri 16	Drizzle	81 / 87 °F	0.13 in	13 mph E
Thu 15	Light drizzle	84 / 88 °F	0.07 in	13 mph ENE
Wed 14	Light drizzle	84 / 88 °F	0.09 in	14 mph ESE
Tue 13	Drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.11 in	12 mph ENE
Mon 12	Drizzle	82 / 88 °F	0.24 in	15 mph E
Sun 11	Light showers	85 / 89 °F	0.35 in	11 mph ESE
Sat 10	Overcast	85 / 88 °F	0	10 mph E
Fri 9	Light showers	79 / 86 °F	0.27 in	9 mph N
Thu 8	Heavy drizzle	80 / 87 °F	0.39 in	11 mph WNW
Wed 7	Light drizzle	82 / 88 °F	0.02 in	9 mph ENE
Tue 6	Light drizzle	85 / 88 °F	0.05 in	9 mph SW
Mon 5	Light drizzle	85 / 86 °F	0.04 in	11 mph WSW
Sun 4	Drizzle	82 / 88 °F	0.24 in	11 mph W
Sat 3	Light drizzle	84 / 89 °F	0.01 in	9 mph W
Fri 2	Drizzle	83 / 87 °F	0.14 in	7 mph N
Thu 1	Light drizzle	85 / 87 °F	0.02 in	4 mph N
Wed 30	Light drizzle	85 / 87 °F	0.04 in	5 mph NE
Tue 29	Overcast	84 / 87 °F	0	15 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Thổ ChâuQuestions

What's the weather like today in Thổ Châu?

Showers, from 82 °F to 86 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east-northeast (10 mph) and a 82% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Thổ Châu?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 88% (0.56 in): showers.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 79 °F and a high of 86 °F; the warmest day, Thursday 29.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 10 (very high). Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.93 inHg and rising: +0.02 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Thổ Châu?

The best time to visit Thổ Châu is from January to February: highs of 85 °F to 86 °F, about 3 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Thổ Châu in October?

In October, Thổ Châu normally sees highs of 85 °F and lows of 74 °F, with about 27 rainy days (12.07 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 84 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Thổ Châu?

The warmest is April, with average highs of 91 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 73 °F. The wettest is July (14.96 in) and the driest, February.

When is typhoon season in Thổ Châu?

Typhoon season: from November to December. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 4 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Thổ Châu, about one every 10 years; one of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Durian, in December 2006.

More about Thổ Châu today

Weather near Thổ Châu

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 4.0 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:09 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from