TidePlanet

Weather in La Conner

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 7:42 pm (PDT)
Now · clear 44 °F
Feels like
38 °F
Low / high
42 / 52 °F
Rain
91% · 0.21 in
Wind
8 mph ESE
→ 29.98 inHg · steady

Today in La Conner: light rain, 42 °F to 52 °F, with a 91% chance of rain (0.21 in) and a gentle breeze from the east-southeast (8 mph). Tomorrow, light rain, 42 °F to 52 °F and a 21% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 53 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Burlington/Skagit Rgnl (KBVS), 6.6 mi away · 7 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature46 °F
Wind5 mph from the south-southeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 28 Light rain 42 / 52 °F 91% · 0.21 in 12 mph SSE 0.9 ft 8:04 am · 6:24 pm HRRR
Thu 29 Light rain 42 / 52 °F 21% · 0.07 in 12 mph SE 1.0 ft 9:00 am · 7:07 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Drizzle 38 / 51 °F 12% 4 mph ESE 0.1 ft 10:02 am · 7:59 pm NBM
Sat 31 Overcast 36 / 52 °F 2% 4 mph ENE 0.1 ft 11:08 am · 9:05 pm NBM
Sun 1 Overcast 38 / 53 °F 3% 2 mph SE 0.1 ft 11:15 am · 9:31 pm NBM
Mon 2 Overcast 38 / 52 °F 11% 2 mph E 0.3 ft 12:15 pm · 11:12 pm NBM
Tue 3 Overcast 41 / 53 °F 10% 2 mph N 0.2 ft 1:04 pm NBM
Wed 4 Overcast 39 / 53 °F 11% 1 mph SE 0.3 ft 12:53 am · 1:43 pm NBM
Thu 5 Light drizzle 41 / 53 °F 12% 2 mph SE 0.1 ft 2:18 am · 2:15 pm NBM
Fri 6 Light drizzle 43 / 54 °F 26% · 0.03 in 4 mph SE 0.8 ft 3:28 am · 2:43 pm NBM
Sat 7 Drizzle 44 / 54 °F 31% · 0.17 in 5 mph SSE 1.6 ft 4:26 am · 3:09 pm NBM
Sun 8 Overcast 44 / 58 °F 33% · 0.11 in 11 mph SE 1.6 ft 5:16 am · 3:34 pm NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Drizzle 44 / 54 °F 33% · 0.26 in 12 mph ESE 1.1 ft 6:01 am · 4:01 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Overcast 47 / 58 °F 43% 8 mph ESE 0.6 ft 6:41 am · 4:31 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 2:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 11:00 am; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 7:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky DrizzleLight rainDrizzleLight drizzleLight drizzleLight drizzleMainly clearClear
Temperature 47°45°44°45°50°52°47°43°
Chance of rain 91%21%38%20%9%6%20%20%
Rain 0.03 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.04 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 6 SSE4 SE5 ESE4 S10 S4 S12 SE4 E
Humidity 92%91%97%90%80%71%91%90%
UV 00001000
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRR

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain tomorrow: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 53°53°47°50°50°50°51°
AIFS 49°51°48°50°50°51°54°
GFS 52°54°54°53°54°53°55°
ICON 50°54°48°50°53°52°55°
HRRR 52°50°—————
NBM 51°52°51°52°53°52°53°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 0.48 in0.31 in0.15 in0000
AIFS 0.40 in0.09 in0.12 in000.00 in0.04 in
GFS 0.54 in0.08 in0.27 in0.01 in000
ICON 0.53 in0.02 in0.23 in0.01 in000
HRRR 0.21 in0—————
NBM 0.42 in0.13 in00000
Confidence highmediumhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF 13231222612815422412610
AIFS 111245343
GFS 917821712612464647
ICON 91610196136134939511
HRRR 12261227—————
NBM 122312244747232323
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayThu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 100%65%65%6%6%10%8%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 100%71%39%29%6%6%13%
NBM (NOAA) 91%21%12%2%3%11%10%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 2%0%2%1%0%0%0%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer and normal rain.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Normal −0.7 °F Below −57% —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Above +4.3 °F Normal 53° / 45°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 Above +3.1 °F Normal 51° / 43°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Above +2.7 °F Normal 49° / 41°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +2.2 °F Normal 47° / 39°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain
November A bit above +1.4 °F Normal
December Above +3.1 °F Normal
January Above +3.4 °F Normal
February Above +2.7 °F Normal
March Above +3.4 °F Normal

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give. The long-range sea temperature isn't usable at this spot (the model's grid cell falls on land).

La Conner climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit La Conner is from July to August: highs of 70 °F to 71 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 47° 37° 3.69 in 17 1.5 46° 1.6 ft
FebruaryFeb 49° 37° 2.17 in 14 3.8 46° 1.6 ft
MarchMar 52° 39° 2.60 in 16 3.8 47° 1.4 ft
AprilApr 56° 42° 2.00 in 12 6.0 48° 1.2 ft
MayMay 62° 46° 1.77 in 9 6.8 50° 0.8 ft
JuneJun 65° 50° 1.59 in 8 7.0 52° 0.9 ft
JulyJul 70° 52° 0.81 in 4 8.7 53° 0.7 ft
AugustAug 71° 52° 1.05 in 4 7.8 54° 0.6 ft
SeptemberSep 67° 50° 1.54 in 8 6.1 53° 0.7 ft
OctoberOct 58° 44° 2.83 in 13 2.8 50° 1.1 ft
NovemberNov 51° 39° 4.15 in 18 1.5 49° 1.7 ft
DecemberDec 46° 36° 3.64 in 17 1.1 47° 1.8 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 46° 1.6 ft
Feb 46° 1.6 ft
Mar 47° 1.4 ft
Apr 48° 1.2 ft
May 50° 0.8 ft
Jun 52° 0.9 ft
Jul 53° 0.7 ft
Aug 54° 0.6 ft
Sep 53° 0.7 ft
Oct 50° 1.1 ft
Nov 49° 1.7 ft
Dec 47° 1.8 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 27.85 in of rain on about 141 days and about 1,750 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now44 °Ffeels like 38 °F
Tomorrow42 / 52 °F

It's 44 °F now (feels like 38 °F). Today, 42 °F to 52 °F; tomorrow, 42 °F to 52 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 91% 0.21 in
  • Thu 29 21% 0.07 in
  • Fri 30 12%
  • Sat 31 2%
  • Sun 1 3%
  • Mon 2 11%
  • Tue 3 10%

Today the chance of rain reaches 91%, with 0.21 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Thursday 29: 21% and 0.07 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.23 in; last 3 days, 0.35 in; last 7 days, 0.79 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity90%
Dew point41 °F

Humidity is 90% now and the dew point is 41 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now8.9 migood
Clouds13%

Visibility is good now (8.9 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak1low

Thu 29: 1 · Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (+0.02 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 31
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 27 Light rain45 / 53 °F0.63 in10 mph SSE
Mon 26 Light drizzle46 / 55 °F0.01 in4 mph NE
Sun 25 Heavy drizzle45 / 57 °F0.37 in9 mph E
Sat 24 Drizzle38 / 48 °F0.07 in5 mph ENE
Fri 23 Overcast41 / 55 °F09 mph NNW
Thu 22 Overcast42 / 55 °F09 mph NNW
Wed 21 Overcast40 / 58 °F04 mph NNW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Tue 20 Partly cloudy44 / 56 °F08 mph NNW
Mon 19 Overcast44 / 56 °F06 mph NNW
Sun 18 Overcast41 / 55 °F08 mph NNW
Sat 17 Drizzle46 / 58 °F0.08 in15 mph WSW
Fri 16 Overcast43 / 66 °F05 mph E
Thu 15 Overcast48 / 58 °F06 mph N
Wed 14 Light drizzle51 / 61 °F0.04 in9 mph ENE
Tue 13 Overcast44 / 59 °F08 mph SE
Mon 12 Overcast38 / 57 °F05 mph NE
Sun 11 Mainly clear42 / 59 °F013 mph NNW
Sat 10 Drizzle44 / 55 °F0.13 in15 mph NNW
Fri 9 Light rain50 / 56 °F0.34 in17 mph SW
Thu 8 Overcast48 / 61 °F07 mph SSW
Wed 7 Overcast50 / 59 °F06 mph NNW
Tue 6 Overcast51 / 59 °F07 mph S
Mon 5 Overcast51 / 65 °F07 mph SSE
Sun 4 Overcast52 / 61 °F05 mph NNW
Sat 3 Overcast54 / 62 °F09 mph NNW
Fri 2 Overcast52 / 66 °F07 mph NNW
Thu 1 Drizzle51 / 61 °F0.09 in8 mph NNW
Wed 30 Overcast45 / 58 °F07 mph N
Tue 29 Rain50 / 58 °F1.17 in19 mph SSE
Mon 28 Drizzle45 / 62 °F0.08 in18 mph SE

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in La ConnerQuestions

What's the weather like today in La Conner?

Light rain, from 42 °F to 52 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east-southeast (8 mph) and a 91% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in La Conner?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 21% (0.07 in): light rain.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 36 °F and a high of 53 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and steady: +0.09 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit La Conner?

The best time to visit La Conner is from July to August: highs of 70 °F to 71 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in La Conner in October?

In October, La Conner normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 13 rainy days (2.83 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 50 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in La Conner?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 71 °F, and the coldest December, with lows of 36 °F. The wettest is November (4.15 in) and the driest, July.

More about La Conner today

Weather near La Conner

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 7:42 pm (local time).

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