Weather in Birch Bay

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 12:58 am (PDT)

Now · heavy drizzle 43 °F

Feels like: 36 °F
Low / high: 42 / 49 °F
Rain: 33% · 0.07 in
Wind: 9 mph E

→ 29.98 inHg · steady

Today in Birch Bay: heavy drizzle, 42 °F to 49 °F, with a 33% chance of rain (0.07 in) and a gentle breeze from the east (9 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 39 °F to 47 °F and a 31% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Tuesday 3, at 51 °F. No significant rain expected over the next 7 days.

Measured now at the airport

White Rock (CWWK), 7.1 mi away · 58 min ago

Visibility—

WeatherNothing to note

Temperature44 °F

Wind3 mph from the east-northeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

49° 42°
Today
47° 39°
Fri 30
49° 39°
Sat 31
49° 39°
Sun 1
50° 40°
Mon 2
51° 42°
Tue 3
51° 41°
Wed 4
51° 43°
Thu 5
51° 44°
Fri 6
51° 44°
Sat 7
51° 44°
Sun 8
54° 43°
Mon 9
55° 49°
Tue 10
56° 48°
Wed 11

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	Max wave	High tides	Model
Today · 29	Heavy drizzle	42 / 49 °F	33% · 0.07 in	10 mph E	1.0 ft	9:36 am · 6:33 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Drizzle	39 / 47 °F	31% · 0.02 in	8 mph E	0.4 ft	10:37 am · 7:16 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	39 / 49 °F	7%	6 mph NE	0.7 ft	11:39 am · 8:09 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	39 / 49 °F	6%	4 mph E	1.0 ft	11:38 am · 8:34 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	40 / 50 °F	13%	4 mph NE	0.1 ft	12:29 pm · 10:42 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	42 / 51 °F	10%	3 mph NE	0.3 ft	1:09 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	41 / 51 °F	24% · 0.00 in	3 mph ENE	0.6 ft	12:42 am · 1:43 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	43 / 51 °F	24% · 0.02 in	3 mph ESE	0.2 ft	2:22 am · 2:11 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Overcast	44 / 51 °F	35% · 0.06 in	5 mph SE	0.1 ft	3:41 am · 2:35 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Drizzle	44 / 51 °F	37% · 0.33 in	8 mph ESE	1.3 ft	4:45 am · 2:56 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Light rain	44 / 51 °F	37% · 0.25 in	9 mph E	1.6 ft	5:37 am · 3:15 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Light drizzle	43 / 54 °F	38% · 0.01 in	17 mph ENE	0.9 ft	6:23 am · 3:32 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Drizzle	49 / 55 °F	48% · 0.58 in	18 mph E	2.7 ft	7:05 am · 3:49 pm	ECMWF
Wed 11	Light rain	48 / 56 °F	40% · 0.74 in	19 mph SSE	3.2 ft	7:46 am · 4:08 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 7:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 5:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 7:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Heavy drizzle	Heavy drizzle	Drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle	Light drizzle
Temperature	43°	44°	44°	45°	49°	48°	45°	44°
Chance of rain	10%	19%	25%	28%	24%	18%	21%	16%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.02 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	8 E	9 E	8 E	9 SE	8 SE	9 E	9 ENE	8 ENE
Humidity	86%	77%	84%	84%	80%	81%	85%	88%
UV	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	NBM

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	49°	46°	53°	54°	51°	57°	55°
AIFS	49°	47°	51°	50°	49°	53°	53°
GFS	50°	51°	52°	50°	48°	51°	55°
ICON	52°	49°	53°	52°	49°	54°	54°
HRRR	49°	—	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	49°	47°	49°	49°	50°	51°	51°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	0.47 in	0.21 in	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0.26 in	0.14 in	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0.19 in	0.04 in	0	0	0	0	0
ICON	0.22 in	0.18 in	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0.06 in	—	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0.09 in	0.02 in	0	0	0	0	0
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF	1120	611	611	420	613	411	410
AIFS	10	6	6	4	4	4	3
GFS	1021	814	916	56	57	43	55
ICON	923	512	613	510	47	512	37
HRRR	1023	—	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	1218	813	610	46	47	34	35
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3	Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	86%	65%	25%	11%	29%	20%	10%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	98%	58%	46%	3%	16%	13%	6%
NBM (NOAA)	33%	31%	7%	6%	13%	10%	17%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Normal −0.2 °F	Below −51%	A bit above +1.6 °F	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Above +3.6 °F	A bit above +21%	A bit above +1.4 °F	—
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	Above +2.9 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	51° / 47°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +1.8 °F	49° / 45°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +2.2 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.6 °F	48° / 43°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Sea
November	A bit above +1.4 °F	Normal	A bit above +1.4 °F
December	Above +3.1 °F	Normal	Above +2.0 °F
January	Above +3.4 °F	Normal	Above +2.3 °F
February	Above +2.7 °F	Normal	Above +2.5 °F
March	Above +3.4 °F	Normal	Above +2.7 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Birch Bay climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Birch Bay is from July to August: highs of 72 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

45° 35°

JanJ
48° 35°

FebF
52° 37°

MarM
56° 41°

AprA
63° 46°

MayM
67° 50°

JunJ
71° 53°

JulJ
72° 53°

AugA
67° 50°

SepS
58° 44°

OctO
51° 39°

NovN
45° 35°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves
JanuaryJan	45°	35°	6.07 in	18	1.5	45°	0.9 ft
FebruaryFeb	48°	35°	3.16 in	14	3.9	45°	0.8 ft
MarchMar	52°	37°	3.59 in	17	4.1	46°	0.8 ft
AprilApr	56°	41°	2.68 in	13	6.3	49°	0.6 ft
MayMay	63°	46°	2.12 in	10	7.2	53°	0.4 ft
JuneJun	67°	50°	1.86 in	9	7.5	57°	0.5 ft
JulyJul	71°	53°	1.03 in	5	9.0	59°	0.4 ft
AugustAug	72°	53°	1.49 in	5	8.0	60°	0.4 ft
SeptemberSep	67°	50°	1.73 in	9	6.1	57°	0.5 ft
OctoberOct	58°	44°	4.12 in	15	2.9	52°	0.6 ft
NovemberNov	51°	39°	6.72 in	19	1.5	49°	0.9 ft
DecemberDec	45°	35°	5.13 in	18	0.9	46°	1.0 ft

Month	Water	Waves
Jan	45°	0.9 ft
Feb	45°	0.8 ft
Mar	46°	0.8 ft
Apr	49°	0.6 ft
May	53°	0.4 ft
Jun	57°	0.5 ft
Jul	59°	0.4 ft
Aug	60°	0.4 ft
Sep	57°	0.5 ft
Oct	52°	0.6 ft
Nov	49°	0.9 ft
Dec	46°	1.0 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 39.71 in of rain on about 152 days and about 1,800 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now43 °Ffeels like 36 °F

Tomorrow39 / 47 °F

It's 43 °F now (feels like 36 °F). Today, 42 °F to 49 °F; tomorrow, 39 °F to 47 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 33% 0.07 in
Fri 30 31% 0.02 in
Sat 31 7%
Sun 1 6%
Mon 2 13%
Tue 3 10%
Wed 4 24% 0.00 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 33%, with 0.07 in in total. No significant rain expected this week.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.22 in; last 3 days, 0.68 in; last 7 days, 1.42 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity81%

Dew point38 °F

Humidity is 81% now and the dew point is 38 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now11 migood

Clouds97%

Visibility is good now (11 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 1 · Sun 1: 1

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

29.8029.9030.00 29.90

Steady now (−0.02 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: +0.05 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 24

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 28	Light rain	41 / 49 °F	0.48 in	12 mph S
Tue 27	Light rain	45 / 51 °F	0.43 in	12 mph WSW
Mon 26	Light drizzle	45 / 55 °F	0.01 in	6 mph NNE
Sun 25	Light rain	45 / 54 °F	0.43 in	14 mph ENE
Sat 24	Heavy drizzle	39 / 46 °F	0.31 in	11 mph NE
Fri 23	Overcast	41 / 56 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Thu 22	Light drizzle	42 / 54 °F	0.01 in	10 mph WNW

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Wed 21	Overcast	40 / 59 °F	0	4 mph NNW
Tue 20	Overcast	41 / 60 °F	0	5 mph NNW
Mon 19	Overcast	40 / 58 °F	0	5 mph N
Sun 18	Overcast	40 / 57 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Sat 17	Light rain	49 / 60 °F	0.30 in	15 mph SW
Fri 16	Overcast	44 / 68 °F	0	7 mph SE
Thu 15	Overcast	47 / 64 °F	0	5 mph N
Wed 14	Drizzle	48 / 61 °F	0.20 in	6 mph NNE
Tue 13	Light drizzle	45 / 57 °F	0.01 in	5 mph ESE
Mon 12	Overcast	36 / 58 °F	0	5 mph E
Sun 11	Mainly clear	39 / 60 °F	0	9 mph NNW
Sat 10	Light drizzle	45 / 58 °F	0.04 in	5 mph NNW
Fri 9	Heavy drizzle	49 / 57 °F	0.24 in	19 mph WSW
Thu 8	Overcast	48 / 64 °F	0	9 mph SE
Wed 7	Overcast	49 / 62 °F	0	4 mph ENE
Tue 6	Overcast	52 / 62 °F	0	5 mph SW
Mon 5	Overcast	52 / 64 °F	0	7 mph SSE
Sun 4	Overcast	51 / 65 °F	0	4 mph SE
Sat 3	Overcast	52 / 68 °F	0	6 mph NNW
Fri 2	Drizzle	55 / 65 °F	0.17 in	4 mph ENE
Thu 1	Light rain	49 / 62 °F	0.31 in	5 mph N
Wed 30	Overcast	47 / 61 °F	0	7 mph NNW
Tue 29	Rain	51 / 60 °F	1.05 in	19 mph S

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Birch BayQuestions

What's the weather like today in Birch Bay?

Heavy drizzle, from 42 °F to 49 °F, with a gentle breeze from the east (9 mph) and a 33% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Birch Bay?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 31% (0.02 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 39 °F and a high of 51 °F; the warmest day, Tuesday 3.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and steady: +0.16 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Birch Bay?

The best time to visit Birch Bay is from July to August: highs of 72 °F, about 5 rainy days a month and 8 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Birch Bay in October?

In October, Birch Bay normally sees highs of 58 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 15 rainy days (4.12 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 52 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Birch Bay?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 72 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 35 °F. The wettest is November (6.72 in) and the driest, July.

More about Birch Bay today

Weather near Birch Bay

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 5.7 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 12:58 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from