TidePlanet

Weather in Bay City

14-day forecast · updated today, Thursday, October 29, at 2:09 am (PDT)
Now · heavy drizzle 45 °F
Feels like
41 °F
Low / high
43 / 50 °F
Rain
58% · 0.39 in
Wind
6 mph SSE
→ 29.98 inHg · steady

Today in Bay City: light rain, 43 °F to 50 °F, with a 58% chance of rain (0.39 in) and a light breeze from the south-southeast (6 mph). Tomorrow, drizzle, 41 °F to 53 °F and a 60% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Wednesday 4, at 58 °F.

Measured now at the airport

Hoquiam/Bowerman (KHQM), 9.6 mi away · 16 min ago

Visibility9.9 mi or more
WeatherNothing to note
Temperature46 °F
Wind10 mph from the east-southeast

It's what the airport's weather station measured, not a forecast: on the coast, wind and fog can be different. Airports report every 30 or 60 minutes.

Airport METAR report, via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov). Sources and licenses

Temperatures for the next 14 days

Day by day

Day Sky Low / high Rain Max wind Max wave High tides Model
Today · 29 Light rain 43 / 50 °F 58% · 0.39 in 10 mph SSE 5.4 ft 4:11 am · 3:21 pm HRRR + NBM
Fri 30 Drizzle 41 / 53 °F 60% · 0.27 in 10 mph SE 3.4 ft 5:08 am · 4:14 pm NBM
Sat 31 Overcast 41 / 55 °F 17% · 0.02 in 8 mph ESE 3.1 ft 6:11 am · 5:17 pm NBM
Sun 1 Overcast 40 / 54 °F 4% 5 mph SE 4.9 ft 6:18 am · 5:30 pm NBM
Mon 2 Overcast 43 / 56 °F 23% · 0.07 in 8 mph E 6.4 ft 7:27 am · 6:52 pm NBM
Tue 3 Overcast 44 / 57 °F 17% 6 mph ENE 6.4 ft 8:26 am · 8:15 pm NBM
Wed 4 Overcast 45 / 58 °F 28% 9 mph ESE 5.4 ft 9:15 am · 9:28 pm NBM
Thu 5 Overcast 46 / 57 °F 33% · 0.17 in 8 mph SE 5.6 ft 9:56 am · 10:31 pm NBM
Fri 6 Overcast 47 / 55 °F 37% · 0.36 in 8 mph S 7.0 ft 10:33 am · 11:26 pm NBM
Sat 7 Light rain 47 / 56 °F 40% · 0.57 in 9 mph SE 1.8 ft 11:07 am NBM
Sun 8 Light rain 46 / 55 °F 40% · 0.24 in 10 mph SSE 1.7 ft 12:15 am · 11:40 am NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9 Rain 46 / 61 °F 39% · 0.11 in 19 mph ESE 1.6 ft 12:59 am · 12:12 pm ECMWF
Tue 10 Rain 54 / 57 °F 56% · 2.45 in 26 mph SSE 2.0 ft 1:40 am · 12:43 pm ECMWF
Wed 11 Light rain 52 / 55 °F 60% · 0.83 in 23 mph S 2.0 ft 2:20 am · 1:16 pm ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 9:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 11:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 7:00 pm; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time 12:00 am3:00 am6:00 am9:00 am12:00 pm3:00 pm6:00 pm9:00 pm
Sky DrizzleHeavy drizzleLight rainDrizzleHeavy drizzleLight drizzleLight drizzleLight drizzle
Temperature 46°46°43°45°49°50°46°46°
Chance of rain 58%47%46%47%47%38%31%9%
Rain 0.02 in0.00 in0.00 in0.02 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in0.00 in
Wind (mph) 8 SSE7 SE8 SE9 SE10 SSE9 S6 ESE6 SE
Humidity 95%90%87%85%81%78%77%100%
UV 00001000
Model HRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRHRRRNBM

Do the models agree?

Medium confidence

They broadly agree, but not quite on rain today: take it with some caution.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 50°51°54°56°58°59°60°
AIFS 50°50°53°52°52°57°56°
GFS 53°51°57°55°54°61°59°
ICON 51°51°54°55°51°58°61°
HRRR 50°51°—————
NBM 53°53°55°54°56°57°58°
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 0.65 in0.30 in00000
AIFS 0.43 in0.26 in0.02 in0000
GFS 0.16 in0.11 in00000
ICON 0.35 in0.08 in000.04 in00
HRRR 0.37 in0.90 in—————
NBM 0.50 in0.27 in0.02 in00.07 in00
Confidence mediummediumhighhighhighhighhigh
Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph) TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF 122211197136167199151221
AIFS 9764668
GFS 112281761346499281032
ICON 92171691951349717613
HRRR 10191429—————
NBM 1016101481459813610914
Confidence highhighhighhighhighhighhigh

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model TodayFri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3Wed 4
ECMWF (51 scenarios) 100%94%20%11%10%12%20%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios) 100%81%16%3%23%20%10%
NBM (NOAA) 58%60%17%4%23%17%15%
Thunderstorm (NBM) 2%13%8%1%1%1%1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: a bit warmer, normal rain and a slightly warmer sea.

Next 6 weeks

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8 Normal −0.5 °F A bit below −43% A bit below −1.3 °F —
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15 Above +2.9 °F A bit above +25% Normal +0.2 °F —
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22 A bit above +2.3 °F Normal Above +1.8 °F 54° / 50°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29 Above +2.7 °F Normal Above +3.1 °F 53° / 49°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6 A bit above +2.5 °F Normal Well above +3.8 °F 52° / 47°

Coming months

When TemperatureTemp. Rain Sea
November A bit above +1.1 °F Normal A bit above +0.5 °F
December Above +3.6 °F Normal Well above +4.9 °F
January Above +4.0 °F Normal Well above +6.1 °F
February Above +3.2 °F Normal Well above +5.0 °F
March Above +4.0 °F Normal Well above +4.5 °F

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Bay City climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Bay City is from July to August: highs of 67 °F to 69 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

Month High Low Rain Rainy daysDays Sun (h/day) Water Waves
JanuaryJan 48° 37° 14.67 in 20 1.4 48° 9.4 ft
FebruaryFeb 51° 37° 9.16 in 15 3.7 48° 8.5 ft
MarchMar 53° 39° 10.42 in 18 3.5 49° 7.9 ft
AprilApr 56° 41° 6.99 in 15 4.9 51° 7.2 ft
MayMay 61° 46° 4.01 in 10 6.1 54° 5.5 ft
JuneJun 64° 50° 2.82 in 8 6.2 56° 5.0 ft
JulyJul 67° 53° 1.34 in 3 7.3 57° 4.5 ft
AugustAug 69° 53° 1.89 in 4 6.7 58° 4.3 ft
SeptemberSep 68° 50° 3.29 in 7 5.9 57° 5.5 ft
OctoberOct 61° 44° 9.02 in 14 3.0 55° 7.1 ft
NovemberNov 53° 41° 13.80 in 19 1.6 52° 8.7 ft
DecemberDec 48° 37° 14.22 in 19 1.0 49° 9.5 ft
Month Water Waves
Jan 48° 9.4 ft
Feb 48° 8.5 ft
Mar 49° 7.9 ft
Apr 51° 7.2 ft
May 54° 5.5 ft
Jun 56° 5.0 ft
Jul 57° 4.5 ft
Aug 58° 4.3 ft
Sep 57° 5.5 ft
Oct 55° 7.1 ft
Nov 52° 8.7 ft
Dec 49° 9.5 ft

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 91.62 in of rain on about 153 days and about 1,550 hours of sunshine.

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now45 °Ffeels like 41 °F
Tomorrow41 / 53 °F

It's 45 °F now (feels like 41 °F). Today, 43 °F to 50 °F; tomorrow, 41 °F to 53 °F.

Chance of rain

  • Today 58% 0.39 in
  • Fri 30 60% 0.27 in
  • Sat 31 17% 0.02 in
  • Sun 1 4%
  • Mon 2 23% 0.07 in
  • Tue 3 17%
  • Wed 4 28%

Today the chance of rain reaches 58%, with 0.39 in in total. The next day with likely rain is Friday 30: 60% and 0.27 in.

Recent rain: last 24 hours, 0.35 in; last 3 days, 1.29 in; last 7 days, 2.75 in.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity91%
Dew point43 °F

Humidity is 91% now and the dew point is 43 °F. The temperature is very close to the dew point: fog may form.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now3.8 mimoderate
Clouds83%

Visibility is moderate now (3.8 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0
Today's peak1low

Fri 30: 1 · Sat 31: 2 · Sun 1: 2

IndexLevelWhat to do
0–2lowNo special protection needed.
3–5moderateHat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7highSunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10very highAvoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+extremeAvoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

  • ↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
  • → Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
  • ↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). It barely changes over the next 48 hours. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 34
Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 28 Heavy drizzle47 / 54 °F0.38 in11 mph WSW
Tue 27 Light rain49 / 53 °F0.46 in13 mph W
Mon 26 Light rain49 / 56 °F0.44 in10 mph SE
Sun 25 Rain49 / 53 °F1.31 in16 mph SSE
Sat 24 Drizzle42 / 54 °F0.12 in12 mph SSE
Fri 23 Overcast44 / 54 °F011 mph NW
Thu 22 Overcast49 / 56 °F017 mph NNW
Show all 30 days
DaySkyLow / highRainMax wind
Wed 21 Overcast45 / 63 °F010 mph NE
Tue 20 Mainly clear46 / 64 °F011 mph ENE
Mon 19 Overcast48 / 58 °F08 mph ESE
Sun 18 Overcast41 / 59 °F09 mph NNE
Sat 17 Drizzle50 / 59 °F0.17 in11 mph NW
Fri 16 Overcast55 / 63 °F09 mph E
Thu 15 Overcast51 / 69 °F014 mph ENE
Wed 14 Light drizzle55 / 62 °F0.01 in8 mph SSE
Tue 13 Overcast46 / 57 °F06 mph S
Mon 12 Partly cloudy42 / 58 °F07 mph NE
Sun 11 Partly cloudy41 / 58 °F07 mph NE
Sat 10 Light drizzle48 / 57 °F0.01 in11 mph NW
Fri 9 Drizzle54 / 58 °F0.09 in15 mph NW
Thu 8 Overcast50 / 60 °F013 mph NNW
Wed 7 Partly cloudy51 / 66 °F09 mph NNE
Tue 6 Overcast54 / 61 °F09 mph N
Mon 5 Overcast54 / 62 °F08 mph NNW
Sun 4 Overcast51 / 63 °F010 mph N
Sat 3 Overcast54 / 69 °F09 mph NNE
Fri 2 Light drizzle55 / 62 °F0.02 in7 mph S
Thu 1 Overcast51 / 65 °F08 mph ENE
Wed 30 Overcast48 / 64 °F08 mph NNE
Tue 29 Light rain55 / 60 °F0.66 in19 mph SSW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in Bay CityQuestions

What's the weather like today in Bay City?

Light rain, from 43 °F to 50 °F, with a light breeze from the south-southeast (6 mph) and a 58% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Bay City?

On Friday 30 the chance of rain is 60% (0.27 in): drizzle.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 40 °F and a high of 58 °F; the warmest day, Wednesday 4.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 1 (low). No special protection needed.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 29.98 inHg and steady: +0.08 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Bay City?

The best time to visit Bay City is from July to August: highs of 67 °F to 69 °F, about 4 rainy days a month and 7 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Bay City in October?

In October, Bay City normally sees highs of 61 °F and lows of 44 °F, with about 14 rainy days (9.02 in for the month) and 3 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 55 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Bay City?

The warmest is August, with average highs of 69 °F, and the coldest February, with lows of 37 °F. The wettest is January (14.67 in) and the driest, July.

More about Bay City today

Weather near Bay City

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 8.4 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 2:09 am (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from

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