Weather in Tappahannock

14-day forecast · updated today, Wednesday, October 28, at 9:21 pm (EDT)

Now · partly cloudy 56 °F

Feels like: 55 °F
Low / high: 50 / 68 °F
Rain: 1%
Wind: 4 mph ESE

→ 30.32 inHg · steady

Today in Tappahannock: overcast, 50 °F to 68 °F, with a 1% chance of rain and a light breeze from the east-southeast (4 mph). Tomorrow, overcast, 50 °F to 71 °F and a 1% chance of rain. The warmest day of the week is Friday 30, at 74 °F. Next likely rain: Wednesday 4 (19%).

Temperatures for the next 14 days

68° 50°
Today
71° 50°
Thu 29
74° 53°
Fri 30
63° 49°
Sat 31
67° 48°
Sun 1
68° 52°
Mon 2
70° 54°
Tue 3
70° 57°
Wed 4
69° 59°
Thu 5
67° 56°
Fri 6
63° 51°
Sat 7
60° 45°
Sun 8
59° 40°
Mon 9
61° 39°
Tue 10

Day by day

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind	High tides	Model
Today · 28	Overcast	50 / 68 °F	1%	7 mph ESE	3:21 am · 3:50 pm	HRRR
Thu 29	Overcast	50 / 71 °F	1%	4 mph SSE	4:10 am · 4:42 pm	HRRR + NBM
Fri 30	Clear sky	53 / 74 °F	2%	8 mph NW	5:04 am · 5:39 pm	NBM
Sat 31	Overcast	49 / 63 °F	0%	6 mph NNE	6:03 am · 6:40 pm	NBM
Sun 1	Overcast	48 / 67 °F	1%	4 mph SE	6:06 am · 6:42 pm	NBM
Mon 2	Overcast	52 / 68 °F	7%	3 mph SE	7:15 am · 7:50 pm	NBM
Tue 3	Overcast	54 / 70 °F	11% · 0.02 in	8 mph ENE	8:30 am · 9:00 pm	NBM
Wed 4	Overcast	57 / 70 °F	19% · 0.09 in	10 mph E	9:41 am · 10:02 pm	NBM
Thu 5	Overcast	59 / 69 °F	32% · 0.91 in	11 mph ESE	10:37 am · 10:54 pm	NBM
Fri 6	Rain	56 / 67 °F	27% · 0.33 in	9 mph W	11:26 am · 11:40 pm	NBM
Sat 7	Rain	51 / 63 °F	17% · 0.07 in	8 mph NW	12:10 pm	NBM
Sun 8	Overcast	45 / 60 °F	16%	8 mph NNW	12:24 am · 12:51 pm	NBM + ECMWF
Mon 9	Clear sky	40 / 59 °F	18%	7 mph N	1:05 am · 1:28 pm	ECMWF
Tue 10	Overcast	39 / 61 °F	18%	4 mph NNE	1:45 am · 2:04 pm	ECMWF

Each hour comes from the best model for this spot: HRRR until Thursday 29 4:00 pm; then NBM until Sunday 8 2:00 pm; then ECMWF until Thursday 12 10:00 am; then GFS.

Each day comes from the best model covering this spot: regional ones first (HRRR and NBM in the U.S., AROME, ICON-EU), then ECMWF; day 16, NOAA GFS. Waves: Météo-France up to day 10, then ECMWF WAM, coarser and further offshore. High tides: our own tide calculation.

Today, every 3 hours

Time	12:00 am	3:00 am	6:00 am	9:00 am	12:00 pm	3:00 pm	6:00 pm	9:00 pm
Sky	Clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Mainly clear	Overcast	Overcast	Overcast
Temperature	56°	50°	50°	55°	65°	68°	64°	57°
Chance of rain	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Rain	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in	0.00 in
Wind (mph)	6 ESE	1 SW	2 WNW	4 N	1 SSW	5 SE	2 SSE	4 ESE
Humidity	93%	93%	96%	92%	67%	60%	69%	83%
UV	0	0	0	1	4	2	0	0
Model	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR	HRRR

Do the models agree?

High confidence

The models agree for the next few days: the forecast is fairly solid.

What 6 forecast models say for the next few days. The closer they are, the more reliable the forecast.

HighRainWind

Do the models agree? · High
High (°F)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	69°	73°	73°	63°	66°	71°	72°
AIFS	68°	70°	75°	61°	64°	67°	70°
GFS	71°	75°	78°	64°	68°	58°	73°
ICON	68°	71°	75°	62°	69°	75°	69°
HRRR	68°	72°	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	68°	71°	74°	63°	67°	68°	70°
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	medium	high

Do the models agree? · Rain
Rain	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
AIFS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
GFS	0	0	0	0	0	0.03 in	0
ICON	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
HRRR	0	0	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.01 in
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Do the models agree? · Wind
Wind (mph)	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF	613	514	1022	717	523	817	918
AIFS	6	5	9	7	4	5	6
GFS	714	511	1126	719	719	416	611
ICON	412	37	921	614	615	514	615
HRRR	712	512	—	—	—	—	—
NBM	47	35	812	610	47	36	813
Confidence	high	high	high	high	high	high	high

Chance of rain from the ensemble models

Model	Today	Thu 29	Fri 30	Sat 31	Sun 1	Mon 2	Tue 3
ECMWF (51 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	8%	10%
GFS (GEFS, 31 scenarios)	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	13%	23%
NBM (NOAA)	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	7%	11%
Thunderstorm (NBM)	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%

Each model's day runs midnight to midnight local time; models that reach fewer days are left blank. Rain: daily total. Wind: the day's highest average wind and, in small type, the strongest gust. Highlighted: values that stand out from the rest. The chance of rain comes from many runs of the same model with slightly different starting data.

Outlook

How the coming weeks and months compare with what is normal for the time of year. It is a trend, not a day-by-day forecast.

Next few weeks, compared with normal: warmer and a bit wetter.

Next 6 weeks

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain	Typical high / low
Nov 2 – Nov 8Nov 2–Nov 8	Well above +6.8 °F	Above +77%	—
Nov 9 – Nov 15Nov 9–Nov 15	Normal +0.2 °F	Normal	60° / 45°
Nov 16 – Nov 22Nov 16–Nov 22	A bit above +2.0 °F	Normal	59° / 46°
Nov 23 – Nov 29Nov 23–Nov 29	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +29%	56° / 45°
Nov 30 – Dec 6Nov 30–Dec 6	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit above +41%	54° / 42°

Coming months

When	TemperatureTemp.	Rain
November	A bit above +1.3 °F	A bit above +35%
December	A bit above +1.6 °F	A bit above +27%
January	A bit above +2.2 °F	A bit above +43%
February	A bit above +0.9 °F	A bit above +49%
March	A bit above +1.4 °F	A bit above +32%

Weeks: ECMWF 46-day (average of its scenarios), against the normal of the last 20 years for those dates. Months: ECMWF SEAS5. Rain: total against normal. The further ahead, the closer it gets to normal and the less detail it can give.

Tappahannock climate by monthClimate by month

Normal weather for each month (1991–2020 averages)

The best time to visit Tappahannock is from August to October and from April to June: highs of 70 °F to 87 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

Hurricane season: from August to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tappahannock, about 3 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

47° 29°

JanJ
51° 30°

FebF
59° 37°

MarM
70° 45°

AprA
78° 55°

MayM
85° 64°

JunJ
89° 68°

JulJ
87° 66°

AugA
81° 60°

SepS
71° 49°

OctO
60° 39°

NovN
51° 32°

DecD

Highs and lows
Monthly rainfall
Best time

Month	High	Low	Rain	Rainy daysDays	Sun (h/day)	Water	Waves	Cyclones
JanuaryJan	47°	29°	3.18 in	8	4.4	39°	1.1 ft	–
FebruaryFeb	51°	30°	2.66 in	7	5.1	37°	1.0 ft	–
MarchMar	59°	37°	3.61 in	8	6.0	40°	1.0 ft	–
AprilApr	70°	45°	3.19 in	8	6.5	47°	1.0 ft	–
MayMay	78°	55°	3.64 in	11	7.3	57°	0.7 ft	–
JuneJun	85°	64°	4.20 in	11	7.4	68°	0.7 ft	–
JulyJul	89°	68°	4.49 in	13	7.6	77°	0.6 ft	2
AugustAug	87°	66°	4.54 in	11	7.2	78°	0.7 ft	3
SeptemberSep	81°	60°	4.24 in	9	6.1	74°	0.8 ft	3
OctoberOct	71°	49°	3.85 in	7	5.3	65°	1.0 ft	–
NovemberNov	60°	39°	3.09 in	7	4.8	55°	1.1 ft	–
DecemberDec	51°	32°	3.46 in	8	4.0	45°	1.0 ft	–

Month	Water	Waves	Cyclones
Jan	39°	1.1 ft	–
Feb	37°	1.0 ft	–
Mar	40°	1.0 ft	–
Apr	47°	1.0 ft	–
May	57°	0.7 ft	–
Jun	68°	0.7 ft	–
Jul	77°	0.6 ft	2
Aug	78°	0.7 ft	3
Sep	74°	0.8 ft	3
Oct	65°	1.0 ft	–
Nov	55°	1.1 ft	–
Dec	45°	1.0 ft	–

Days: rainy days in the month. Sun: hours a day.

A normal year brings 44.15 in of rain on about 107 days and about 2,200 hours of sunshine.

Cyclones: how many tropical cyclones (tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons) passed within 93 mi in each month from 1996 to 2025, according to IBTrACS (NOAA).

1991–2020 averages. Highs, lows and rainfall: TerraClimate; rainy days (0.04 in or more): NASA POWER (MERRA-2); sunshine hours: estimated from solar radiation; water: NOAA OISST; waves (average height): ERA5, 2011–2020. Normals are not a forecast: any given year can turn out very different. Sources and licenses

Temperature

Now56 °Ffeels like 55 °F

Tomorrow50 / 71 °F

It's 56 °F now (feels like 55 °F). Today, 50 °F to 68 °F; tomorrow, 50 °F to 71 °F.

Chance of rain

Today 1%
Thu 29 1%
Fri 30 2%
Sat 31 0%
Sun 1 1%
Mon 2 7%
Tue 3 11% 0.02 in

Today the chance of rain reaches 1%. The next day with likely rain is Wednesday 4: 19% and 0.09 in.

No rain in the last 7 days.

Humidity and dew point

Humidity85%

Dew point52 °F

Humidity is 85% now and the dew point is 52 °F.

The dew point is the temperature at which the air becomes saturated: the higher it is, the heavier the air feels.

Visibility and fog

Now9.6 migood

Clouds58%

Visibility is good now (9.6 mi). No fog expected today.

UV index

Now0

Today's peak4moderate

Thu 29: 4 · Fri 30: 4 · Sat 31: 3

Index	Level	What to do
0–2	low	No special protection needed.
3–5	moderate	Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.
6–7	high	Sunscreen, hat and shade between 12 and 4 pm.
8–10	very high	Avoid the midday sun; reflection off the water adds to it.
11+	extreme	Avoid the sun between 11 am and 5 pm; protect yourself even if it is cloudy.

Reflection off water and sand adds radiation: protect yourself more on a boat or at the beach.

Barometric pressure

↗ Rising Anglers say fish bite less for a while
→ Steady · now Anglers expect normal activity
↘ Falling Anglers say fish feed more before the change

30.2030.40 30.12

Steady now (−0.01 inHg in 3 hours). Over the next 48 hours: −0.09 inHg. Steady pressure: anglers expect normal activity. Fast changes, either way, tend to affect fishing.

Air and pollen

Air qualityGood · 42

Saharan dustNo

Previous days

The weather over the last 30 days, as the models analyzed it. Tap a day to see it hour by hour.

Day	Sky	Low / high	Max wind
Tue 27	Mainly clear	45 / 72 °F	7 mph NNE
Mon 26	Overcast	36 / 71 °F	5 mph W
Sun 25	Mainly clear	45 / 67 °F	5 mph NE
Sat 24	Overcast	44 / 63 °F	8 mph NE
Fri 23	Mainly clear	48 / 65 °F	9 mph NNE
Thu 22	Clear sky	45 / 67 °F	9 mph NNW
Wed 21	Clear sky	49 / 66 °F	10 mph N

Show all 30 days

Day	Sky	Low / high	Rain	Max wind
Tue 20	Clear sky	48 / 70 °F	0	11 mph N
Mon 19	Clear sky	43 / 65 °F	0	10 mph N
Sun 18	Clear sky	45 / 60 °F	0	12 mph NNE
Sat 17	Light rain	50 / 61 °F	0.74 in	15 mph N
Fri 16	Light rain	62 / 85 °F	0.27 in	11 mph SW
Thu 15	Light drizzle	65 / 74 °F	0.01 in	10 mph ENE
Wed 14	Overcast	64 / 91 °F	0	8 mph SW
Tue 13	Overcast	54 / 84 °F	0	8 mph SW
Mon 12	Light drizzle	61 / 74 °F	0.09 in	15 mph NW
Sun 11	Light rain	65 / 74 °F	0.93 in	13 mph SE
Sat 10	Light drizzle	55 / 71 °F	0.02 in	11 mph ENE
Fri 9	Overcast	55 / 77 °F	0	5 mph NNW
Thu 8	Overcast	56 / 80 °F	0	9 mph W
Wed 7	Overcast	43 / 72 °F	0	7 mph SSW
Tue 6	Mainly clear	48 / 66 °F	0	8 mph N
Mon 5	Overcast	59 / 75 °F	0	9 mph NW
Sun 4	Drizzle	62 / 68 °F	0.21 in	7 mph NNE
Sat 3	Light rain	61 / 70 °F	0.44 in	10 mph NNE
Fri 2	Light rain	65 / 88 °F	0.17 in	9 mph SW
Thu 1	Overcast	62 / 86 °F	0	10 mph SSW
Wed 30	Overcast	56 / 82 °F	0	7 mph SW
Tue 29	Overcast	62 / 75 °F	0	5 mph WNW
Mon 28	Overcast	62 / 71 °F	0	9 mph NW

These are the models at the start of each day (ECMWF and GFS; waves from Météo-France), not readings from a weather station: there can be differences at specific spots.

Questions about the weather in TappahannockQuestions

What's the weather like today in Tappahannock?

Overcast, from 50 °F to 68 °F, with a light breeze from the east-southeast (4 mph) and a 1% chance of rain.

Will it rain tomorrow in Tappahannock?

On Thursday 29 the chance of rain is 1% (0.00 in): overcast.

How warm will it be this week?

Between a low of 48 °F and a high of 74 °F; the warmest day, Friday 30.

What's the UV index today?

It reaches 4 (moderate). Hat, sunglasses and sunscreen around midday.

Is the pressure rising or falling?

It's 30.32 inHg and steady: −0.01 inHg over the last 24 hours.

When is the best time to visit Tappahannock?

The best time to visit Tappahannock is from August to October and from April to June: highs of 70 °F to 87 °F, about 9 rainy days a month and 6 hours of sunshine a day.

What is the weather like in Tappahannock in October?

In October, Tappahannock normally sees highs of 71 °F and lows of 49 °F, with about 7 rainy days (3.85 in for the month) and 5 hours of sunshine a day. The sea is around 65 °F. These are 1991–2020 averages.

What are the warmest and wettest months in Tappahannock?

The warmest is July, with average highs of 89 °F, and the coldest January, with lows of 29 °F. The wettest is August (4.54 in) and the driest, February.

When is hurricane season in Tappahannock?

Hurricane season: from August to September. In the last 30 years (1996–2025), 8 tropical cyclones passed within 93 mi of Tappahannock, about 3 every 10 years; 2 of them with hurricane-force winds (74 mph or more). The most recent: Elsa, in July 2021.

More about Tappahannock today

Weather near Tappahannock

Only places with a different forecast: spots a few miles apart share the same model cell and wouldn't add anything.

Learn more

Weather: Open-Meteo, CC BY 4.0, with the best model for each spot and lead time (NOAA HRRR and NBM in the U.S., Météo-France AROME, DWD ICON-EU, ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS); ECMWF grid point 7.9 mi away. The comparison also uses ICON (DWD), AIFS (ECMWF) and ARPEGE (Météo-France). Outlook: ECMWF 46-day and SEAS5. Chance of rain from ensemble models (ECMWF, GEFS and NBM). UV, air quality and pollen: CAMS (Copernicus).

Forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0) with models from ECMWF, NOAA, Météo-France, DWD, Copernicus Marine and CAMS. Updated at 9:21 pm (local time).

Spotted a mistake? Tell us · Where the weather and sea data come from